Monaco vs Manchester City Prediction, Tips & Bet Builder – Champions League


Fraser Bricknell
Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.
Published Date: September 30, 2025 10:21 PM


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Date: Wednesday, October 1
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Kick-off: 8pm
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Venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco
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Competition: Champions League
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TV: TNT Sports 2
Monaco vs Manchester City Preview
Manchester City travel to Monaco for their first away game of this year’s Champions League campaign, aiming to follow up their opening 2-0 victory over Napoli. Pep Guardiola’s side look to have settled after a shaky start to the season, winning four of their last five matches and scoring five against Burnley at the weekend.
City have found consistency again, with Erling Haaland already on nine goals this term. Their attacking power looks set to test a Monaco side that were humbled 4-1 by Club Brugge in their opening Champions League fixture.
Adi Hütter’s men have been strong at home domestically, winning all three games at Stade Louis II, but their defence remains a major concern. Monaco have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven matches across all competitions and conceded nine goals in their last three outings.
This fixture also carries history — Monaco famously knocked City out in 2017 with Bernardo Silva influential for the Ligue 1 side before his move to Manchester. However, the current Monaco squad looks far less equipped to repeat the feat against a City side finding rhythm.
odds correct at time of posting.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Man City Win
Reason for Tip
Manchester City have dominated European competition in recent years, lifting the Champions League in 2023 and consistently reaching the latter stages. Pep Guardiola’s side are heavy favourites against Monaco, who have struggled to match City’s depth and quality.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Manchester City’s games almost always produce goals, with their attacking talent led by Erling Haaland. Monaco also tend to be involved in open matches in Ligue 1 and Europe, making at least two goals a strong probability.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
City’s attacking style generates high corner counts, with their width and volume of shots leading to repeated set-piece situations. Monaco also push forward in Ligue 1, contributing to corner totals. Over 7.5 corners is a regular outcome in matches involving either side.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Under 4.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Neither Monaco nor City are known for heavy discipline issues. Guardiola’s teams in particular tend to dominate possession and give away fewer fouls, often keeping card counts low. Fewer than five cards looks realistic here.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Phil Foden 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Foden has established himself as one of City’s most reliable attacking threats, regularly getting shots away from both central and wide positions. He averages consistent shots on target in Premier League and Champions League fixtures.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Erling Braut Haaland 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Haaland is City’s focal point and one of Europe’s most prolific strikers. He averages multiple shots on target per game across domestic and European competitions, making at least one effort on target almost inevitable.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Eric Dier 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Dier, now playing in Monaco’s backline, is a physical defender who engages in direct duels. His style means he often concedes fouls when challenged by quick, mobile attackers — and against City, that’s a near certainty.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Matheus Nunes 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Nunes is an energetic midfielder who presses aggressively. Since joining City he has picked up fouls regularly, and his combative approach makes at least one foul highly likely in this fixture.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Takumi Minamino 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Minamino presses from the front and tracks back defensively for Monaco. He has a history of committing fouls when closing down opposition defenders and midfielders, so one or more here is well within expectation.

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Both teams have scored in 6 of Monaco’s 7 matches this season
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Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 matches
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Monaco have conceded 2+ goals in 4 of their last 5 fixtures
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All 3 of Monaco’s home games this season have gone over 3.5 goals
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Erling Haaland has scored 9 goals in 7 matches this season

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Monaco Team News
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Thilo Kehrer is available despite his Ligue 1 suspension.
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Maghnes Akliouche and Aleksandr Golovin are doubts.
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George Ilenikhena started against Lorient but Folarin Balogun is expected to return up front.
Manchester City Team News
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Abdukodir Khusanov missed the Burnley game and could remain sidelined.
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Rodri also sat out against Burnley and is doubtful for this tie.
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Guardiola may stick with the same XI that won 5-1 at the weekend.
Manchester City to Win
City have regained momentum with four wins from their last five, including a dominant 5-1 over Burnley. Monaco were beaten 4-1 by Club Brugge in their group opener, and City’s quality should tell here.
Over 1.5 Goals
City have scored 2+ goals in five of their last six matches, while Monaco’s last three fixtures have all gone over 3.5 goals. Goals look almost certain.
Over 7.5 Corners
City’s style naturally racks up corners through sustained pressure. Monaco also attack in numbers at home, which helps push corner counts upwards.
Under 4.5 Cards
Guardiola’s side dominate possession and rarely get involved in ill-disciplined games. City’s last six fixtures have all seen fewer than four cards.
Phil Foden – 1+ Shot on Target
Foden is in excellent form and regularly tests keepers when drifting inside from midfield or wide positions.
Erling Haaland – 1+ Shot on Target
Haaland averages multiple shots on target every game and is City’s focal point. Expect him to hit the target at least once.
Eric Dier – 1+ Foul
Now part of Monaco’s backline, Dier is physical but can struggle with pace. Up against Haaland and Doku, he is likely to concede at least one foul.
Matheus Nunes – 1+ Foul
Nunes presses aggressively and is prone to committing fouls in midfield battles. Against Monaco’s energetic attack, at least one looks likely.
Takumi Minamino – 1+ Foul
Minamino contributes defensively and often concedes fouls when tracking back. One or more is a fair expectation.

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Monaco have been strong at home but are vulnerable defensively, and facing City at this point looks a tough task. Guardiola’s men have the firepower to punish Monaco’s weaknesses, though the hosts can still find the net.
Prediction: Monaco 1-3 Manchester City

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odds correct at time of posting.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Man City Win
Reason for Tip
Manchester City have dominated European competition in recent years, lifting the Champions League in 2023 and consistently reaching the latter stages. Pep Guardiola’s side are heavy favourites against Monaco, who have struggled to match City’s depth and quality.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Manchester City’s games almost always produce goals, with their attacking talent led by Erling Haaland. Monaco also tend to be involved in open matches in Ligue 1 and Europe, making at least two goals a strong probability.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
City’s attacking style generates high corner counts, with their width and volume of shots leading to repeated set-piece situations. Monaco also push forward in Ligue 1, contributing to corner totals. Over 7.5 corners is a regular outcome in matches involving either side.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Under 4.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Neither Monaco nor City are known for heavy discipline issues. Guardiola’s teams in particular tend to dominate possession and give away fewer fouls, often keeping card counts low. Fewer than five cards looks realistic here.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Phil Foden 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Foden has established himself as one of City’s most reliable attacking threats, regularly getting shots away from both central and wide positions. He averages consistent shots on target in Premier League and Champions League fixtures.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Erling Braut Haaland 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Haaland is City’s focal point and one of Europe’s most prolific strikers. He averages multiple shots on target per game across domestic and European competitions, making at least one effort on target almost inevitable.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Eric Dier 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Dier, now playing in Monaco’s backline, is a physical defender who engages in direct duels. His style means he often concedes fouls when challenged by quick, mobile attackers — and against City, that’s a near certainty.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Matheus Nunes 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Nunes is an energetic midfielder who presses aggressively. Since joining City he has picked up fouls regularly, and his combative approach makes at least one foul highly likely in this fixture.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Takumi Minamino 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Minamino presses from the front and tracks back defensively for Monaco. He has a history of committing fouls when closing down opposition defenders and midfielders, so one or more here is well within expectation.

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When is Monaco vs Manchester City?
Wednesday, October 1 at 8pm UK time.
Where is the match being played?
Stade Louis II, Monaco.
What channel is it on?
Live on TNT Sports 2 in the UK.
What happened last time they met?
In 2017, Monaco knocked City out of the Champions League last 16 on away goals after a thrilling 6-6 aggregate tie.
Who is in form?
Erling Haaland has 9 goals in 7 matches this season.
What is Tipman’s score prediction?
Monaco 1-3 Manchester City.

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odds correct at time of posting.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Man City Win
Reason for Tip
Manchester City have dominated European competition in recent years, lifting the Champions League in 2023 and consistently reaching the latter stages. Pep Guardiola’s side are heavy favourites against Monaco, who have struggled to match City’s depth and quality.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Manchester City’s games almost always produce goals, with their attacking talent led by Erling Haaland. Monaco also tend to be involved in open matches in Ligue 1 and Europe, making at least two goals a strong probability.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
City’s attacking style generates high corner counts, with their width and volume of shots leading to repeated set-piece situations. Monaco also push forward in Ligue 1, contributing to corner totals. Over 7.5 corners is a regular outcome in matches involving either side.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Under 4.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Neither Monaco nor City are known for heavy discipline issues. Guardiola’s teams in particular tend to dominate possession and give away fewer fouls, often keeping card counts low. Fewer than five cards looks realistic here.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Phil Foden 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Foden has established himself as one of City’s most reliable attacking threats, regularly getting shots away from both central and wide positions. He averages consistent shots on target in Premier League and Champions League fixtures.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Erling Braut Haaland 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Haaland is City’s focal point and one of Europe’s most prolific strikers. He averages multiple shots on target per game across domestic and European competitions, making at least one effort on target almost inevitable.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Eric Dier 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Dier, now playing in Monaco’s backline, is a physical defender who engages in direct duels. His style means he often concedes fouls when challenged by quick, mobile attackers — and against City, that’s a near certainty.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Matheus Nunes 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Nunes is an energetic midfielder who presses aggressively. Since joining City he has picked up fouls regularly, and his combative approach makes at least one foul highly likely in this fixture.
Monaco vs Man City - Champions League
Takumi Minamino 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Minamino presses from the front and tracks back defensively for Monaco. He has a history of committing fouls when closing down opposition defenders and midfielders, so one or more here is well within expectation.

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