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Liverpool vs Wolves Prediction and Bet Builder Tip | Premier League Preview

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Lucio Pollice

Football fanatic and data-driven tipster who heads up Tipman’s Daily Doubles, as well as key free and premium football tips. With over two years of profitable tracked results, he blends stats and instinct to deliver consistent value for punters.

Published Date: December 26, 2025 3:00 PM

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Match Info

Fixture: Liverpool vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Competition: Premier League
Date: Saturday, 28 December 2025
Kick-off: 3:00pm
Venue: Anfield

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Home Team Form and Stats

Liverpool

Liverpool enter the festive round in resurgent form, winning three consecutive matches across all competitions and claiming back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since September. Their revival has been built on grit rather than fluency. A 1–0 away win at Inter Milan set the tone, followed by a professional 2–0 dispatching of Brighton before a battling 2–1 victory over Tottenham in North London.

That win over Spurs exemplified Liverpool’s season: setbacks absorbed, momentum regained. They were made to work for it despite Xavi Simons’ early red card, losing Alexander Isak to injury even after he opened the scoring, and requiring another composed finish from Hugo Ekitiké to secure the points. Slot openly referenced the psychological scars of their poor autumn period – a nine-loss slump between late September and late November – but Liverpool now look far steadier.

The Reds are unbeaten in six (W4, D2) and historically thrive at this time of year, winning 17 of their last 20 Premier League matches between Christmas and New Year. Anfield offers even more insurance: Liverpool have won 25 of their last 31 Boxing Day–to–New Year’s Eve home fixtures, though ironically the only defeat in that run came against Wolves in 2010.

Liverpool remain dependent on their second-half output. Only two of their last ten goals have come before half-time, yet when they strike first, they rarely let go: 15 of their 17 Premier League matches this season have been won by the team scoring first.

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Away Team Form and Stats

Wolves

Wolves arrive in catastrophic shape. Their 2–0 defeat to Brentford last weekend cemented a historically poor start, equalling the longest winless opening to a Premier League season (17 matches). They have collected just two points, scored the league’s fewest goals (9), conceded the most (37), and lost ten straight league games.

The Old Gold’s issues are structural as much as psychological. Injuries and AFCON departures have ravaged their defensive core, while the attack remains blunt – no Wolves player has more than three goals, and Jørgen Strand Larsen’s form has collapsed compared to last season, highlighted by a crucial missed penalty last week.

Wolves have avoided defeat only against Spurs and Brighton (both 1–1), and now sit 16 points from safety. Their one faint silver lining is early-match energy: Wolves often start well, and all 17 of Liverpool’s league matches this season have been won by the side who scored first. If Wolves want a miracle, the opening 15 minutes may be their chance.

Historically, though, this fixture is one-way traffic. Liverpool have won 16 of the last 17 Premier League meetingsbetween the sides.

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Predicted Starting XI

Liverpool (4-2-3-1)

Alisson; Bradley, Konaté, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Jones, Gravenberch; Gakpo, Mac Allister, Wirtz; Ekitiké

Unavailable: Endo, Gomez, Leoni, Szoboszlai (suspended)
Doubts: Bradley, Isak (fitness)
Other absences: Salah (AFCON)

Wolves (3-5-2)

Sa; S Bueno, Mosquera, Doherty; Hoever, João Gomes, Andre, Krejci, Wolfe; Arokodare, Hwang

Unavailable: Toti, Bellegarde, Munetsi, Bentley, Chiwome, Rodrigo Gomes
AFCON: Agbadou, Chirewa
Doubts: Hugo Bueno
Notes: Larsen pushing for recall despite poor form

Game prediction and Correct Score

Liverpool enter with momentum, stability, and a clear edge in individual quality. Wolves, by contrast, are battling form, confidence, fitness and historic statistical decline. Anfield is one of the worst possible venues for a team in crisis, especially one prone to second-half collapses: Wolves have conceded the most Premier League goals after the interval this season.

Hugo Ekitiké’s explosive form adds another mismatch. With five goals in his last three Premier League games, he gives Liverpool a reliable focal point in Salah’s absence. The supporting cast – Wirtz, Gakpo, Mac Allister – should create enough volume against a makeshift Wolves midfield.

Wolves’ best route into the game is an early strike from Hwang, who consistently tests goalkeepers even when outnumbered. However, sustaining pressure against Liverpool’s physical and technical midfield has proven too great a task for far stronger sides this season.

Given the numbers, patterns and injury situation, Liverpool should control the match, generate corner volume, and draw Wolves into desperate defending.

Correct Score Prediction: Liverpool 3–1 Wolves

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TipMan Bet Builder & Reasoning

Liverpool to Win
Form, momentum, and historical dominance all aligned. Wolves have lost 10 straight league games and are leaking goals.

Over 2.5 Goals
Liverpool rarely win quietly; Wolves concede heavily after half-time and struggle to sustain resistance.

Over 8.5 Corners
Liverpool average high corner counts at Anfield, particularly against deep blocks. Wolves concede territory consistently.

Over 2.5 Cards
Wolves are forced into late defensive challenges as games drift away. Physical midfield matchups add to card likelihood.

Hugo Ekitiké – To Score
Five goals in his last three; Wolves’ depleted centre-back unit is the weakest he will face this season.

Hwang Hee-chan – 2+ Shots
Even in defeat, Hwang produces attempts early. He remains Wolves’ primary attacking outlet.

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