Leeds vs Aston Villa Predictions and Bet Builder Tips

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Fraser Bricknell

Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.

Published Date: November 23, 2025 9:19 AM

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Leeds vs Aston Villa Kick Off, Date and TV Details

Date Sunday November 23
Kick off 2pm
Venue Elland Road, Leeds
Competition Premier League
TV Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event

Leeds welcome Aston Villa to Elland Road on Sunday in a Premier League match that matters at both ends of the table. Leeds are looking for points to steer clear of the bottom three, while Villa arrive in confident form after a strong run of results under Unai Emery. Below you will find our full match preview, team news, stats and a fully researched Bet Builder tip for the game.

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Leeds vs Aston Villa Match Preview

Leeds return to Elland Road needing a response after a tough run. Daniel Farke’s side have lost four of their last five Premier League matches and pressure around the manager has increased as the season has gone on. Despite that, Leeds have been far stronger at home than away and have competed well in front of their own fans.

Aston Villa arrive in much better form and their confidence is high. Emery’s team struggled early on, failing to score a league goal until the fifth match of the season, but since then they have grown into a well balanced and well drilled side. Villa have won five of their last six league matches and swept aside Bournemouth 4-0 in their most recent Premier League victory.

Villa still need to improve their away form if they want to push for Europe. They have been excellent at Villa Park but less convincing on their travels. Even so, they continue to create chances and carry a real attacking threat through Ollie Watkins, John McGinn and Emi Buendia. Youri Tielemans is back fit and Emery has plenty of options in the final third.

Leeds will need to lean on their home form to get anything out of this game. They have beaten Everton and West Ham at Elland Road, held Newcastle to a 0-0 draw and were unfortunate not to take more from their 2-1 defeat against Tottenham. Leeds always carry energy at home and they will need that again against a Villa side that have rediscovered their rhythm.

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Leeds vs Aston Villa Form and Tactics

Leeds

Daniel Farke has used a 4-3-3 shape throughout the season but often shifts into more of a 4-1-4-1 when in possession. Ethan Ampadu anchors midfield while Sean Longstaff and Stach push on to support the forwards. Leeds play with intensity, press well at home and commit bodies forward, which creates chances but also leaves space for opponents to counter.

Leeds must be more clinical. They have created enough chances in their home games but have not converted enough of them, which has turned potential wins into draws or narrow defeats.

Aston Villa

Villa play a structured possession style that becomes a 4-2-2-2 when they have the ball. Their wide players drift inside while the full backs hold width. Villa build patiently through the thirds and create good quality opportunities for Watkins.

Away from home they have struggled for consistency, but they still pose danger with their midfield movement and rotations.

Ezri Konsa and Tyrone Mings remain out, but Villa still have enough depth in defence. Cash, Kamara, Tielemans, Rogers and Buendia are all expected to feature.

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Key Stats for Leeds vs Aston Villa

• Leeds have lost four of their last five Premier League matches
• Leeds have been level at half time in four of their five home games this season
• Six of Leeds’ last seven league matches have produced over two and a half goals
• Aston Villa have won five of their last six league games
• Only three of Villa’s thirteen league goals this season have been scored away from home
• Emi Buendia has scored in four of his last eight appearances

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Predicted Line-Ups

Leeds Predicted Line Up (4-3-3)
Perri, Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Gudmundsson, Longstaff, Ampadu, Stach, Aaronson, Nmecha, Okafor
Subs: James, Calvert Lewin, Gnonto, Harrison, Piroe, Bijol, Tanaka

Leeds have no major new injuries, although Daniel James and Wilfried Gnonto are still working towards full match sharpness.

Aston Villa Predicted Line Up (4-2-3-1)
Martinez, Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne, Kamara, Tielemans, McGinn, Rogers, Buendia, Watkins
Subs: Onana, Sancho, Barkley, Malen, Bogarde, Guessand, Maatsen

Villa remain without Tyrone Mings and are assessing players returning from international duty, but their core squad is available.

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Leeds vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tips

Below is our Tipman Bet Builder based on form, team news and statistical patterns from both sides this season.

Draw or Aston Villa

Villa are in far better form and have the stronger squad. They avoid defeat more often than not in this type of match and carry far more stability than Leeds. The double chance covers Villa’s superiority while respecting Leeds’ home record.

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams play fast attacking football and create plenty of chances. Leeds games regularly feature goals at both ends, and Villa have found their scoring touch again. Two or more goals is the most consistent angle.

Over 8.5 Corners

Leeds push their full backs high and attack from wide areas, generating regular corners. Villa also create repeated final third pressure and deliver plenty of crosses. The match profile strongly suits a high corner count.

Ollie Watkins – One or More Shots on Target

Watkins is central to everything Villa do. He consistently tests goalkeepers and carries strong shot volume both home and away. Leeds leave space in transition which should give Watkins at least one clear effort on target.

Matty Cash – One or More Fouls

Cash plays with real aggression and commits fouls regularly in one on one situations. Leeds’ wide players attack directly, which forces Cash into challenges. One foul fits both his profile and the expected tempo.

Boubacar Kamara – One or More Fouls

Kamara breaks up play, covers large areas and steps into duels often. Leeds’ midfield intensity means Kamara will be engaged throughout. He commits fouls in most matches and this is a safe angle.

Jayden Bogle – One or More Fouls

Bogle is an attacking full back who is often exposed when Leeds push forward. He regularly commits recovery fouls and will have to deal with Villa’s pace out wide. One foul is well within expectation.

Over 2.5 Cards

Both teams play at high intensity and commit tactical fouls, especially in midfield. Leeds rely on energy and aggression at home while Villa deal with transitions. Three or more cards has landed consistently in recent matches for both sides.

Tipman Verdict

Both teams are dangerous in attack but Villa are the more complete side. Leeds will compete with energy at Elland Road but their defensive gaps and missed chances have cost them repeatedly. Villa have momentum and greater individual quality which should carry them through a fast paced match.

Leeds 1-2 Aston Villa

Leeds vs Aston Villa FAQs

When is Leeds vs Aston Villa?
Sunday November 23 at 2pm.

Where is the match being played?
Elland Road, Leeds.

Where can I watch it?
Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event.

What are the match odds?
Leeds 15/8
Aston Villa 6/4
Draw 23/10

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