Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Monday 16th February

36258

Zoë Jayne Beard

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Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Monday 16th February

Another busy Monday of racing across Carlisle, Fairyhouse, Wolverhampton and Ayr, with testing ground conditions set to play a big role at the jumps venues. We’ve pulled together our Lucky 15, a confident NAP of the Day, and a lively Dark Horse for those hunting a bit of value.

As always, these selections are based on recent form, ground suitability, handicapping angles and jockey bookings — not guesswork.

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Todays NAP of the Day

16 Feb 15:50 - Easter Festival Early Bird Ends March 1st Rated Novice Hurdle - Fairyhouse
16 Feb 15:50
Easter Festival Early Bird Ends March 1st Rated Novice Hurdle - Fairyhouse

Lynches Knock

J: Jack Kennedy T: G Elliott
Race Winner
11/8

Reason for Tip

Elliot trained youngster Lynches Knock is the most unexposed horse in this field with only three races and the form from those runs is 312. Should be suited by the heavy ground today as the ground lto at Naas was rather testing and he handled it well. Trip is fine and whilst this is course debut here at Fairyhouse, should handle this track with no issues and has a top jockey aboard in Gordon Elliot. Lynches Knock has looked better and better each time over the obstacles and further progression is highly likely still. From a powerful yard who are going along nicely at the moment and stable first string jockey Jack Kennedy prefers this youngster to the other Elliot horse. Lynches Knock looks the likely winner here today and could take this in his stride.

⭐ NAP of the Day

Lynches Knock

3.50 Fairyhouse – 11/8
T: Gordon Elliott | J: Jack Kennedy

The most unexposed runner in the race and one who has improved with every start. Proven on testing ground, stays the trip well, and comes from a yard in strong form. Jack Kennedy choosing this one over the other Elliott runner is telling. Looks the one to beat and a confident NAP.

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Todays Dark Horse

16 Feb 20:00 - Join The Midnite Movement Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) - Wolverhampton
16 Feb 20:00
Join The Midnite Movement Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) - Wolverhampton

Annandale

J: Lauren Young T: J S Goldie
Race Winner
14/1

Reason for Tip

Not a lot in this race who look nailed on for winning this but one who looks to have a reasonable a chance at a big price is eight year old Annandale from the Goldie yard. Had shown a glimpse of a return to form earlier this year with a close third at Newcastle but was subpar lto with an 8th place finish. However, that run last time was dropped back to the straight mile and was clearly not suited to it. Returns to usual 1m4f today and is now 7lb below last winning mark and 19lb below highest winning mark. Jockey change to Lauren Young also sees Annandale with a 5lb apprentice allowance which makes the mark impossible to ignore in such a weak looking race. Drawn wide but won’t pose a threat, is pretty versatile to positioning and can run from the front or the rear. 14/1 looks generous today and would not be any sort of surprise to see Annandale return to the top 3 today and is not written off for win purposes either.

🎯 Dark Horse

Annandale

8.00 Wolverhampton – 14/1
T: Jim Goldie | J: Lauren Young

Plenty of reasons to give this one another chance. Returns to his preferred 1m4f trip, now very well handicapped, and benefits from a 5lb claim. Recent form isn’t disastrous and this is a weak race. At double-figure odds, Annandale looks overpriced and could easily sneak into the places — or better.

Todays Lucky 15

16 Feb 13:05 - Conference & Events At Carlisle Racecourse Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) - Carlisle
16 Feb 13:05
Conference & Events At Carlisle Racecourse Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) - Carlisle

Kilnesare Flight

J: B S Hughes T: D McCain Jnr
Race Winner
3/1

Reason for Tip

Unexposed 6 year old who was runner up in his debut point before again being runner up in rules debut in a bumper here at Carlisle. Got up to win on hurdling debut lto on his third start and did so in nice style in a relatively warm race and so looks very capable of taking this today. Further progression highly likely and will be ideally suited to the soft ground. Represents a yard with a strong history at Carlisle and has a good booking in Brian Hughes. There is a couple of useful looking types who are equally unexposed in the line up but what we saw from Kilnesare Flight lto at Ayr was a big positive and with any further improvement is likely to take this race today. Big chance.

16 Feb 16:05 - Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Chase (GBB Race) - Carlisle
16 Feb 16:05
Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Chase (GBB Race) - Carlisle

Hawkseye View

J: Danny McMenamin T: J Parkinson & S Smith
Race Winner
6/1

Reason for Tip

Despite being 0-18 under rules, Hawkseye View has ran very well in defeat on a number of occasions. Is on a very workable mark and a line can be put through the run lto as previously had been largely consistent in challenging. Drops back in trip today which looks to be a positive, some of his best runs have been over this shorter trip. Pretty versatile to the ground and acts on the forecasted soft ground. Looks on a mark that is hard to pass up today, particularly with a strong booking in Danny McMenamin who is riding well at the moment and has a very good strikerate at this track. If Hawkseye View can return to form, has every chance of getting his first win today.

16 Feb 16:50 - Group Discounts On Easter Festival General Admission Mares Handicap Hurdle - Fairyhouse
16 Feb 16:50
Group Discounts On Easter Festival General Admission Mares Handicap Hurdle - Fairyhouse

Forceonmyown

J: Jack Kennedy T: G Elliott
Race Winner
11/2

Reason for Tip

Wide open race here in the last on the card at Fairyhouse and with the principals having either question marks over the heavy ground or massive weight raises to defy, this looks a fantastic opportunity for seven year old Forceonmyown to start his handicapping with a win. This is definitely a reasonable mark for handicap debut and from what we’ve seen so far, has plenty of ability and form of 21634 in recent maidens/bumpers. Should relish the heavy ground today and the trip looks a positive on pedigree. Represents a major Irish yard with a top jockey aboard in Jack Kennedy. Unlikely to be far away today and looks a big player.

16 Feb 18:30 - Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) - Wolverhampton
16 Feb 18:30
Make The Move To Midnite Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) - Wolverhampton

Hierarchy

J: C J Whiteley T: J A Osborne
Race Winner
26/5

Reason for Tip

Hierarchy is very capable of getting the job done, but can be tricky and a bit inconsistent at times which is shown by the form of 21891. Returned to form lto at Lingfield and only gone up 3lb for that win so looks to remain on a workable mark, particularly today with Conor Whiteley aboard taking off 7lb with his apprentice allowance. Conor has been riding well of late and finding plenty of winners so it’s a positive booking. Hierarchy is taken to continue the good form and has a plum draw here today from stall 1. Pretty open race and we are likely to see Hierarchy come with a late surge in the final furlong and if Conor can find him a clear path through, may take some stopping. Good chance.

🍀 Lucky 15 Tips Today

Kilnesare Flight

1.05 Carlisle – 9/4
T: Donald McCain | J: Brian Hughes

A lightly-raced six-year-old who continues to progress with each run. After placing in a point and bumper, Kilnesare Flight made no mistake on hurdling debut last time, winning in tidy fashion in a race that has since worked out well. Further improvement looks very likely, soft ground is ideal, and the booking of Brian Hughes only strengthens confidence. Big chance.


Hawkseye View

4.05 Carlisle – 6/1
T: J Parkinson & S Smith | J: Danny McMenamin

Still searching for a first win under rules, but this mark looks very workable now. His latest run can be forgiven and the drop back in trip should suit, with several of his better efforts coming at this distance. Danny McMenamin is a positive booking and if returning to his previous form, Hawkseye View is capable of finally getting off the mark.


Forceonmyown

4.50 Fairyhouse – 11/2
T: Gordon Elliott | J: Jack Kennedy

A wide-open handicap where several rivals have ground or weight concerns. Forceonmyown looks well treated on handicap debut and should relish the heavy ground. His maiden form suggests plenty of ability and Gordon Elliott does well with this type. Jack Kennedy taking the ride is another big positive. Major player.


Hierarchy

6.30 Wolverhampton – 4/1
T: J A Osborne | J: Conor Whiteley

Capable but not always straightforward, Hierarchy bounced back with a solid win last time and remains well treated despite a small rise. Conor Whiteley’s 7lb claim makes a big difference here and stall 1 is ideal. Expect him to be delivered late — if he gets a clear run, he’ll be bang there.

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Tipmans's Final Word

A cracking Monday card with value angles across both codes, but Lynches Knock stands out as the most solid option on the day. The Lucky 15 carries a nice blend of progressive types and handicapped runners, while Annandale offers a bit of spice at a big price.

As always — sensible staking, shop around for prices, and enjoy the racing.

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