Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Monday 16th February

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Zoë Jayne Beard

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Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Monday 16th February

Another busy Monday of racing across Carlisle, Fairyhouse, Wolverhampton and Ayr, with testing ground conditions set to play a big role at the jumps venues. We’ve pulled together our Lucky 15, a confident NAP of the Day, and a lively Dark Horse for those hunting a bit of value.

As always, these selections are based on recent form, ground suitability, handicapping angles and jockey bookings — not guesswork.

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Todays NAP of the Day

15 Mar 16:30 - Celebrating Helen & Sharons 60th Birthdays Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) - Chepstow
15 Mar 16:30
Celebrating Helen & Sharons 60th Birthdays Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) - Chepstow

Milan Tino

J: H Cobden T: T R George
Race Winner
2/1

Reason for Tip

Five runner race here in the 4.30 at Chepstow and Milan Tino from the George yard looks very likely to run out the winner today. Largely consistent since chasing with form of 4142 and only denied last time by a very well handicapped opponent. Doesn’t look to be anything in this field that will throw up a major challenge and Milan Tino still seems to be on a very workable mark. Runs usual trip, the soft ground that’s forecasted is in his favour and he has the benefit of a top jockey aboard in Harry Cobden. Harry has a good record at this course and whilst he’s not ridden a great deal for the Tom George stable, is no doubt a positive booking for this six year old. Milan Tino is taken to return to winning form today.

⭐ NAP of the Day

Lynches Knock

3.50 Fairyhouse – 11/8
T: Gordon Elliott | J: Jack Kennedy

The most unexposed runner in the race and one who has improved with every start. Proven on testing ground, stays the trip well, and comes from a yard in strong form. Jack Kennedy choosing this one over the other Elliott runner is telling. Looks the one to beat and a confident NAP.

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Todays Dark Horse

15 Mar 16:20 - Nua Healthcare Irish Lincolnshire (Premier Handicap) - Curragh
15 Mar 16:20
Nua Healthcare Irish Lincolnshire (Premier Handicap) - Curragh

Far From Dandy

J: Ben Coen T: Stephen Thorne
Race Winner
20/1

Reason for Tip

Irish Lincoln time and one who looks a big price with a genuine chance of a big run is four year old Far From Dandy from the Thorne yard. The forecasted ground is heavy and a huge portion of this field aren’t going to handle it, including some of the principals. However, Far From Dandy handles deeper ground and it isn’t so much of a negative for his chances. Completed a Dundalk double at the back end of last year and can be forgiven for the 6th placed finish last time out when met trouble in running and still was only 3 lengths behind the winner. This is obviously a much deeper race today and this youngsters first run at this level, but he’s got a plum draw from stall 1, looks to be on a fair mark and from a small yard who are winning races at the moment. Ben Coen is a talented jockey but not in the best form at the moment, however he knows how to win and I would still consider him a positive booking. Far From Dandy does need to produce a big run to feature here, but if he gets a good start, may be challenging on ground that should suit. Outside chance but a chance nonetheless.

🎯 Dark Horse

Annandale

8.00 Wolverhampton – 14/1
T: Jim Goldie | J: Lauren Young

Plenty of reasons to give this one another chance. Returns to his preferred 1m4f trip, now very well handicapped, and benefits from a 5lb claim. Recent form isn’t disastrous and this is a weak race. At double-figure odds, Annandale looks overpriced and could easily sneak into the places — or better.

Todays Lucky 15

15 Mar 14:00 - Nua CLaD Hub Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden - Curragh
15 Mar 14:00
Nua CLaD Hub Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden - Curragh

Breaking Dawn

J: Colin Keane T: M O'Callaghan
Race Winner
10/3

Reason for Tip

Pretty open race here in the second on the card at The Curragh and one who looks primed for a massive run is three year old Breaking Dawn from the O’Callaghan yard. There is an O’Brien trained horse at the head of the market but there is some question marks over that debutant and so Breaking Dawn looks a little more likely to find consistency and a solid run. Does have a wide draw, but capable of starting well and looks potentially a little better than this field with further improvement highly likely. Has a great jockey aboard in Colin Keane and won’t be far away, big chance.

15 Mar 14:22 - First Past The Post At CopyBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) - Market Rasen
15 Mar 14:22
First Past The Post At CopyBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) - Market Rasen

Tobyshill

J: B S Hughes T: Nick Scholfield
Race Winner
3/1

Reason for Tip

Tobyshill is a six year old from the Scholfield yard who won handily on debut irish point. First run under rules in England was at Ascot in a warm Class 3 novice and was far from disgraced, third of eight that day and open to plenty of further progression today on second start. Runs a trip that will suit on ground that should be ideal. Drops a class today and has be taken seriously here. From a shrewd yard who are very much in form over the last month and has a good booking in Brian Hughes. Lots to like, likely winner.

15 Mar 15:55 - georgebakerracing.com - Have Horse Will Travel Mares' Handicap Hurdle - Chepstow
15 Mar 15:55
georgebakerracing.com - Have Horse Will Travel Mares' Handicap Hurdle - Chepstow

Analiese

J: Charlie Deutsch T: Mrs M Rowley
Race Winner
18/5

Reason for Tip

Five year old Analiese from the Rowley yard has been a picture of success since November last year. Form of 2112 in last four starts and was only denied the hattrick lto by a highly progressive winner. Front pair were miles clear together and only gone up 2lb for that run. Still looks well treated and this looks an easier affair than the race at Newbury last time. Drops back in trip ever so slightly which is of no concern and will handle the ground. Is definitely the form pick and given the small rise from last time, is taken to win again today. Charlie Deutsch aboard is a positive and Analiese looks a very likely victor in this race.

15 Mar 17:05 - Sorry Kids - Mums Gone Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race) - Chepstow
15 Mar 17:05
Sorry Kids - Mums Gone Racing Handicap Chase (GBB Race) - Chepstow

Jaipaletemps

J: Rian Corcoran T: D Pipe
Race Winner
22/5

Reason for Tip

Consistent type, form of 31142 dating back to December last year. Still a good few lb above last winning mark but wasn’t far away lto at Chepstow when second of five and that a deeper race than this. Returns to Class 4 company today and looks to have a great chance of resuming winning ways at a track he enjoys and on ground that suits. The increase in trip is the only question mark but handled 2m4f fine back in December at Haydock and so should stay fine. Rian Corcoran and her 7lb allowance return to the saddle and this seven year old horse is from a yard enjoying a good spell. Yard have a good record here and when teaming up with Rian have enjoyed a very solid strikerate. Lots to like, good chance.

🍀 Lucky 15 Tips Today

Kilnesare Flight

1.05 Carlisle – 9/4
T: Donald McCain | J: Brian Hughes

A lightly-raced six-year-old who continues to progress with each run. After placing in a point and bumper, Kilnesare Flight made no mistake on hurdling debut last time, winning in tidy fashion in a race that has since worked out well. Further improvement looks very likely, soft ground is ideal, and the booking of Brian Hughes only strengthens confidence. Big chance.


Hawkseye View

4.05 Carlisle – 6/1
T: J Parkinson & S Smith | J: Danny McMenamin

Still searching for a first win under rules, but this mark looks very workable now. His latest run can be forgiven and the drop back in trip should suit, with several of his better efforts coming at this distance. Danny McMenamin is a positive booking and if returning to his previous form, Hawkseye View is capable of finally getting off the mark.


Forceonmyown

4.50 Fairyhouse – 11/2
T: Gordon Elliott | J: Jack Kennedy

A wide-open handicap where several rivals have ground or weight concerns. Forceonmyown looks well treated on handicap debut and should relish the heavy ground. His maiden form suggests plenty of ability and Gordon Elliott does well with this type. Jack Kennedy taking the ride is another big positive. Major player.


Hierarchy

6.30 Wolverhampton – 4/1
T: J A Osborne | J: Conor Whiteley

Capable but not always straightforward, Hierarchy bounced back with a solid win last time and remains well treated despite a small rise. Conor Whiteley’s 7lb claim makes a big difference here and stall 1 is ideal. Expect him to be delivered late — if he gets a clear run, he’ll be bang there.

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Tipmans's Final Word

A cracking Monday card with value angles across both codes, but Lynches Knock stands out as the most solid option on the day. The Lucky 15 carries a nice blend of progressive types and handicapped runners, while Annandale offers a bit of spice at a big price.

As always — sensible staking, shop around for prices, and enjoy the racing.

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