Borussia Dortmund v Atalanta: Champions League Bet Builder Tips & Predictions
21298Tyler Smith
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Published Date: February 16, 2026 7:13 PM
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Under the floodlights at Signal Iduna Park, European football takes centre stage once again as Borussia Dortmund host Atalanta in a compelling Champions League showdown on Tuesday night. With both sides known for their attacking intent and fearless approach on the continental stage, this fixture promises tempo, intensity and the kind of drama synonymous with Europe’s elite competition.
Dortmund will look to make home advantage count in front of the famed Yellow Wall, where the atmosphere alone can tilt the balance of a tight contest. The Bundesliga giants have built a reputation for thriving in high-pressure European moments, blending youthful energy with big-match experience as they aim to take control of their group campaign.
Atalanta, meanwhile, arrive with their own European pedigree and a style that rarely compromises. The Italian side’s fluid attacking play and tactical flexibility have troubled some of Europe’s biggest clubs in recent seasons, and they will travel to Germany believing they can impose themselves. With both teams chasing momentum and qualification points, Tuesday’s clash carries all the ingredients of a thrilling Champions League encounter.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Dortmund Win
Reason for Tip
Borussia Dortmund enter this Champions League tie with clear statistical and form advantages. Dortmund have scored 19 goals in eight European matches this season — almost twice Atalanta’s total of 10 — and boast a stronger recent win rate in continental competition, with a comfortable 4-0 Bundesliga win in their latest outing boosting confidence. Home advantage at Signal Iduna Park further tilts the tie Dortmund’s way, and prediction models give them a higher probability of victory in this first leg.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Dortmund’s European fixtures have been notably high-scoring, averaging around 2.38 goals per match this season, with over 80 % of their games going over 1.5 goals and many seeing multiple goal contributions. Atalanta also average nearly 1.83 goals per match recently and are no strangers to open, attacking play. The combination of Dortmund’s attacking firepower and Atalanta’s ability to score suggests this fixture has value for over 2.5 goals.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Over 8.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Both teams generate a healthy number of attacking sequences that force defensive clearances and set-piece situations. In their recent campaign, Dortmund average roughly 4.6 corners per game and Atalanta around 4.5, meaning a combined return comfortably above 8.5 corners is statistically reasonable. In high-intensity Champions League knockout ties like this, sustained pressure — especially from Dortmund at home — boosts the corner count.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Serhou Guirassy 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Serhou Guirassy has been Dortmund’s standout offensive force — coming off a brace in their 4-0 win over Mainz, where he continued an excellent scoring run in 2026. With Dortmund creating plenty of chances in attack and Guirassy leading the line, he is one of the most likely players to test the goalkeeper at least once. His involvement in Dortmund’s goalscoring action makes 1+ shots on target a justified pick.
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Form & Match Context
Borussia Dortmund return to European action under the lights at Signal Iduna Park, where the atmosphere is often as influential as the football itself. The Bundesliga side will look to assert themselves early, using the intensity of the Yellow Wall to build pressure and momentum. With qualification points at a premium, a home victory would represent a significant step toward controlling their Champions League destiny.
Atalanta arrive as one of Europe’s most tactically adventurous sides, unafraid to attack away from home. The Italian club have built a reputation for fearless, high-tempo football on the continental stage, often committing numbers forward and pressing aggressively. They will view this trip to Germany not as a containment exercise, but as an opportunity to make a statement.
Team News & Key Players
Dortmund’s attacking threat is likely to revolve around pace in wide areas and dynamic movement through central channels. Creative midfield play will be essential in unlocking Atalanta’s defensive structure, while defensive discipline will be required to manage transitions — an area where the visitors excel. Set-pieces could also prove a decisive factor in what promises to be a tightly contested affair.
Atalanta will look to their fluid front line and midfield runners to stretch Dortmund’s back line. Quick interchanges, overlapping full-backs, and intelligent off-the-ball movement are hallmarks of their approach. If they can disrupt Dortmund’s rhythm and win second balls in midfield, they could generate sustained attacking pressure.
Tactical Outlook
Expect Dortmund to dominate possession for spells, building patiently before accelerating the tempo in the final third. Their ability to switch play quickly and exploit width could be key in breaking through Atalanta’s compact defensive shape.
Atalanta, meanwhile, may look to press high and force turnovers in advanced areas, turning defence into attack within seconds. The battle in midfield — particularly in transitional phases — could ultimately determine the outcome.
Overall, this shapes up as a high-intensity, attack-minded Champions League contest, where courage in possession and composure under pressure will separate the sides. With both teams favouring proactive football, Tuesday night could deliver one of the standout fixtures of the round.
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Dortmund to win
Borussia Dortmund enter this Champions League tie with clear statistical and form advantages. Dortmund have scored 19 goals in eight European matches this season — almost twice Atalanta’s total of 10 — and boast a stronger recent win rate in continental competition, with a comfortable 4-0 Bundesliga win in their latest outing boosting confidence. Home advantage at Signal Iduna Park further tilts the tie Dortmund’s way, and prediction models give them a higher probability of victory in this first leg.
Over 2.5 goals
Dortmund’s European fixtures have been notably high-scoring, averaging around 2.38 goals per match this season, with over 80 % of their games going over 1.5 goals and many seeing multiple goal contributions. Atalanta also average nearly 1.83 goals per match recently and are no strangers to open, attacking play. The combination of Dortmund’s attacking firepower and Atalanta’s ability to score suggests this fixture has value for over 2.5 goals.
Over 8.5 corners
Both teams generate a healthy number of attacking sequences that force defensive clearances and set-piece situations. In their recent campaign, Dortmund average roughly 4.6 corners per game and Atalanta around 4.5, meaning a combined return comfortably above 8.5 corners is statistically reasonable. In high-intensity Champions League knockout ties like this, sustained pressure — especially from Dortmund at home — boosts the corner count.
Serhou Guirassy 1+ Shots on Target
Serhou Guirassy has been Dortmund’s standout offensive force — coming off a brace in their 4-0 win over Mainz, where he continued an excellent scoring run in 2026. With Dortmund creating plenty of chances in attack and Guirassy leading the line, he is one of the most likely players to test the goalkeeper at least once. His involvement in Dortmund’s goalscoring action makes 1+ shots on target a justified pick.
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Overall Record
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Total meetings: 2
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Borussia Dortmund wins: 1
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Atalanta wins: 0
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Draws: 1
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Goals scored: Borussia Dortmund 4 — Atalanta 3
The two sides have met only once previously in competitive European football, with both matches coming in the 2017/18 UEFA Europa League Round of 32.
Recent Head-to-Head Trend
The first leg in Germany ended in a dramatic 3–2 victory for Dortmund, with a late winner proving decisive in a high-tempo encounter.
The return leg in Italy finished 1–1, a result that saw Dortmund progress 4–3 on aggregate after a tightly contested second meeting.
Despite the limited sample size, both games were open, attacking contests featuring momentum swings and late drama — reflective of the playing styles both clubs favour.
Key Historical Notes
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First meeting: February 2018 (UEFA Europa League)
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All previous encounters have come in European knockout competition
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Both meetings saw over 2.5 goals
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Dortmund progressed on aggregate (4–3)
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The fixture has historically been attack-minded and closely fought
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Dortmund Win
Reason for Tip
Borussia Dortmund enter this Champions League tie with clear statistical and form advantages. Dortmund have scored 19 goals in eight European matches this season — almost twice Atalanta’s total of 10 — and boast a stronger recent win rate in continental competition, with a comfortable 4-0 Bundesliga win in their latest outing boosting confidence. Home advantage at Signal Iduna Park further tilts the tie Dortmund’s way, and prediction models give them a higher probability of victory in this first leg.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Dortmund’s European fixtures have been notably high-scoring, averaging around 2.38 goals per match this season, with over 80 % of their games going over 1.5 goals and many seeing multiple goal contributions. Atalanta also average nearly 1.83 goals per match recently and are no strangers to open, attacking play. The combination of Dortmund’s attacking firepower and Atalanta’s ability to score suggests this fixture has value for over 2.5 goals.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Over 8.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Both teams generate a healthy number of attacking sequences that force defensive clearances and set-piece situations. In their recent campaign, Dortmund average roughly 4.6 corners per game and Atalanta around 4.5, meaning a combined return comfortably above 8.5 corners is statistically reasonable. In high-intensity Champions League knockout ties like this, sustained pressure — especially from Dortmund at home — boosts the corner count.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Serhou Guirassy 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Serhou Guirassy has been Dortmund’s standout offensive force — coming off a brace in their 4-0 win over Mainz, where he continued an excellent scoring run in 2026. With Dortmund creating plenty of chances in attack and Guirassy leading the line, he is one of the most likely players to test the goalkeeper at least once. His involvement in Dortmund’s goalscoring action makes 1+ shots on target a justified pick.
Borussia Dortmund – 3-4-2-1
Kobel,
Reggiani, Anton, Bensebaini
Ryerson, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson
Beier, Brandt,
Guirassy
Atalanta – 3-4-2-1-
Sportiello,
Scalvini, Djimsiti, Ahanor,
Zappacosta, de Roon, Ederson, Bernasconi,
Samardzic, Zalewski,
Scamacca
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United Kingdom & Ireland
In the UK, UEFA Champions League matches are shared between TNT Sports and Amazon Prime Video for the 2025/26 season. Dortmund vs Atalanta is scheduled live on TNT Sports 3, with coverage available on TV and via the discovery+ app (TNT Sports subscription required) ahead of the kick-off. Certain Tuesday fixtures may also be shown on Amazon Prime Video depending on selection for that matchday.
🌍 International Viewers
Champions League broadcast rights vary by region through UEFA’s official partners:
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USA & Canada: Paramount+
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Europe (selected countries): Sky (Italy), Canal+ / Sky Austria (Austria), ORF (Austria), DAZN (some regions)
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Spain: Telefónica / local broadcasters
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France: Canal+ / local networks
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Africa: SuperSport / local partners
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Asia & Oceania: Disney+, Stan Sport, local pay-TV rights
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Latin America: ESPN / Star+ and local partners
Local broadcasters often offer both TV and streaming access — check specific channels or streaming platforms in your region for live coverage.
📺 Additional Viewing Tips
Champions League coverage typically includes pre-match build-up and analysis, live commentary, and highlights on official broadcaster apps or follow-up shows. Many rights holders also stream matches via mobile apps or smart TV platforms for subscribers. To confirm availability in your exact country, visit the local broadcaster’s website or the official UEFA Champions League broadcast partners list.
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Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Dortmund Win
Reason for Tip
Borussia Dortmund enter this Champions League tie with clear statistical and form advantages. Dortmund have scored 19 goals in eight European matches this season — almost twice Atalanta’s total of 10 — and boast a stronger recent win rate in continental competition, with a comfortable 4-0 Bundesliga win in their latest outing boosting confidence. Home advantage at Signal Iduna Park further tilts the tie Dortmund’s way, and prediction models give them a higher probability of victory in this first leg.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Dortmund’s European fixtures have been notably high-scoring, averaging around 2.38 goals per match this season, with over 80 % of their games going over 1.5 goals and many seeing multiple goal contributions. Atalanta also average nearly 1.83 goals per match recently and are no strangers to open, attacking play. The combination of Dortmund’s attacking firepower and Atalanta’s ability to score suggests this fixture has value for over 2.5 goals.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Over 8.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Both teams generate a healthy number of attacking sequences that force defensive clearances and set-piece situations. In their recent campaign, Dortmund average roughly 4.6 corners per game and Atalanta around 4.5, meaning a combined return comfortably above 8.5 corners is statistically reasonable. In high-intensity Champions League knockout ties like this, sustained pressure — especially from Dortmund at home — boosts the corner count.
Dortmund vs Atalanta - Champions League
Serhou Guirassy 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Serhou Guirassy has been Dortmund’s standout offensive force — coming off a brace in their 4-0 win over Mainz, where he continued an excellent scoring run in 2026. With Dortmund creating plenty of chances in attack and Guirassy leading the line, he is one of the most likely players to test the goalkeeper at least once. His involvement in Dortmund’s goalscoring action makes 1+ shots on target a justified pick.
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