Benfica v Real Madrid Tips, Predictions and 15/1 Bet Builder – Champions League
30233DavidParsons
David Parsons is an experienced sports writer with over 15 years’ expertise, creating trusted, data-driven match previews and betting content for leading sports platforms.
Published Date: February 16, 2026 6:25 AM
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Benfica v Real Madrid Tips, Predictions and 15/1 Bet Builder
17 February – 20:00 | Estádio da Luz
UEFA Champions League
Benfica v Real Madrid Preview
Benfica scraped into the playoff round on the final matchday of the league phase and now face European royalty in Real Madrid at the Estádio da Luz. Despite the magnitude of the task, the Portuguese giants will take belief from their thrilling 4-2 victory over Los Blancos in the previous meeting.
Benfica’s league-phase campaign was inconsistent – three wins and five defeats – but recent domestic form has been encouraging. Jose Mourinho’s side have won four of their last five in all competitions, demonstrating improved defensive organisation and sharper attacking transitions.
Real Madrid, meanwhile, arrive in Lisbon in strong domestic form following a 4-1 victory over Real Sociedad, with Vinícius Júnior in electric touch. However, their European campaign has been less convincing by their standards. Five wins and three defeats saw them finish ninth in the league phase, while three losses in their last five Champions League matches highlight a rare vulnerability.
With both sides possessing elite attacking threats and defensive absentees, this tie has all the ingredients for a high-scoring European classic.
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
Benfica v Real Madrid Tips, Predictions and 15/1 Bet Builder
17 February – 20:00 | Estádio da Luz
UEFA Champions League
Benfica v Real Madrid Preview
Benfica scraped into the playoff round on the final matchday of the league phase and now face European royalty in Real Madrid at the Estádio da Luz. Despite the magnitude of the task, the Portuguese giants will take belief from their thrilling 4-2 victory over Los Blancos in the previous meeting.
Benfica’s league-phase campaign was inconsistent – three wins and five defeats – but recent domestic form has been encouraging. Jose Mourinho’s side have won four of their last five in all competitions, demonstrating improved defensive organisation and sharper attacking transitions.
Real Madrid, meanwhile, arrive in Lisbon in strong domestic form following a 4-1 victory over Real Sociedad, with Vinícius Júnior in electric touch. However, their European campaign has been less convincing by their standards. Five wins and three defeats saw them finish ninth in the league phase, while three losses in their last five Champions League matches highlight a rare vulnerability.
With both sides possessing elite attacking threats and defensive absentees, this tie has all the ingredients for a high-scoring European classic.
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Over 8.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Over 3.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Vinicius Junior to Score
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Vangelis Pavlidis 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
.
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Benfica Team News
Alexander Bah has returned to training but is unlikely to feature. Samuel Soares remains a doubt, while Fredrik Aursnes is ruled out. Richard Rios is back in training but not expected to start.
Benfica Predicted XI:
Trubin; Dedic, Araujo, Otamendi, Dahl; Barreiro, Barrenechea; Prestianni, Sudakov, Schjelderup; Pavlidis
Real Madrid Team News
Kylian Mbappe is fit after missing the Sociedad win. Raul Asencio is suspended, Rodrygo serves a UEFA ban, while Jude Bellingham (hamstring) and Eder Militao remain sidelined.
Real Madrid Predicted XI:
Courtois; Carreras, Huijsen, Rudiger, Alexander-Arnold; Camavinga, Tchouameni, Valverde; Vinicius, Mbappe, Guler
Real Madrid’s firepower gives them a slight edge, but Benfica’s home atmosphere and recent momentum should ensure this is anything but straightforward. Expect an open, end-to-end contest.
TipMan Bet Builder
Both Teams To Score
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 8.5 Corners Total
Over 3.5 Cards Total
Vinicius Junior Anytime Goalscorer
Vangelis Pavlidis 1+ Shots On Target
🔥 Estimated Odds: ~ 15.00+ (dependent on bookmaker)
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
Benfica v Real Madrid Tips, Predictions and 15/1 Bet Builder
17 February – 20:00 | Estádio da Luz
UEFA Champions League
Benfica v Real Madrid Preview
Benfica scraped into the playoff round on the final matchday of the league phase and now face European royalty in Real Madrid at the Estádio da Luz. Despite the magnitude of the task, the Portuguese giants will take belief from their thrilling 4-2 victory over Los Blancos in the previous meeting.
Benfica’s league-phase campaign was inconsistent – three wins and five defeats – but recent domestic form has been encouraging. Jose Mourinho’s side have won four of their last five in all competitions, demonstrating improved defensive organisation and sharper attacking transitions.
Real Madrid, meanwhile, arrive in Lisbon in strong domestic form following a 4-1 victory over Real Sociedad, with Vinícius Júnior in electric touch. However, their European campaign has been less convincing by their standards. Five wins and three defeats saw them finish ninth in the league phase, while three losses in their last five Champions League matches highlight a rare vulnerability.
With both sides possessing elite attacking threats and defensive absentees, this tie has all the ingredients for a high-scoring European classic.
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Over 8.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Over 3.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Vinicius Junior to Score
Reason for Tip
Benfica vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Vangelis Pavlidis 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
.
This promises to be one of the standout ties of the playoff round. Benfica’s home resilience and belief from their previous win over Madrid make them dangerous, but Los Blancos’ elite attacking quality should ultimately prevail in a high-scoring encounter.
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