Free Football Tips – Wednesday 26th November
26701Ben Beard
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Published Date: November 25, 2025 8:57 PM
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A huge Wednesday card with goals expected across England and Europe, plus a confident Bet of the Day as Birmingham travel to West Brom. Below is today’s full breakdown.
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West Bromwich vs Birmingham - Championship
Birmingham Win
Reason for Tip
The hosts West Brom come in-to the match in bad form, losing four of their previous six games and have only won once within that run. Meanwhile the visitors Birmingham have managed to score in all four of their previous four matches.
West Brom vs Birmingham
Tip: Birmingham to Win
West Brom’s form has fallen away badly, losing four of their last six and winning just once in that period. Birmingham arrive in much stronger attacking rhythm, scoring in all of their previous four matches. With confidence heading in opposite directions, the visitors look the value play and a strong contender for the win.
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Blackburn vs QPR - Championship
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
The hosts Blackburn have managed to score in all five of their previous five matches. Meanwhile the visitors QPR have been involved in three matches resulting in both teams scoring within their previous four matches.
Millwall vs Sheff Wed - Championship
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
The hosts Millwall have been involved in three matches resulting in both teams scoring within their previous four matches, meanwhile the visitors Sheffield Wednesday have been involved in two matches resulting in both teams scoring within their previous three matches.
Wrexham vs Bristol City - Championship
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
The hosts Wrexham have scored in all four of their previous four matches while playing at home, meanwhile the visitors Bristol City have managed to score in four of their previous five matches.
Arsenal vs Bayern München - Champions League
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
The hosts Arsenal come in-to the match in excellent form, unbeaten in their previous ten matches and have managed to score in all ten matches. Meanwhile the visitors Bayern Munich come in-to the match in matching form, unbeaten in their previous ten matches and have scored in all ten games.
Blackburn vs QPR
Blackburn have scored in all five of their last five matches, while QPR have seen BTTS land in three of their last four.
Tip: BTTS
Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall have seen BTTS in three of their last four, while Sheffield Wednesday have seen BTTS in two of their last three.
Tip: BTTS
Wrexham vs Bristol City
Wrexham have scored in all four of their recent home matches. Bristol City have scored in four of their last five.
Tip: BTTS
Arsenal vs Bayern Munich
Arsenal come into this in excellent form, unbeaten in ten and scoring in all ten. Bayern Munich arrive in matching form, also unbeaten in ten and scoring in every match.
Tip: BTTS
Sheff Utd vs Portsmouth - Championship
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
The hosts Sheffield United have been involved in four matches resulting in over 2.5 match goals within their previous five matches. Meanwhile the visitors Portsmouth have been involved in three matches resulting in over 2.5 match goals within their previous four matches.
Atlético vs Inter - Champions League
Atlético Win
Reason for Tip
The hosts Atletico Madrid come in-to the match in excellent form, winning seven of their previous eight matches and all five of their previous five games. In the previous two head-to-head matches the hosts Atletico Madrid have a perfect record, winning both matches.
Liverpool vs PSV - Champions League
PSV Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
The hosts Liverpool come in-to the match in bad form, losing seven of their previous ten matches throughout all competitions. Meanwhile the visitors PSV come in-to the match in excellent form, unbeaten in their previous eleven matches and have won eight within that run.
Paris SG vs Spurs - Champions League
Paris SG Win
Reason for Tip
The hosts PSG come in-to the match in good form, winning five of their previous seven matches and have only lost once within those seven games. The visitors Tottenham on the other-hand come in-to the match in bad form, only winning once within their previous five attempts.
Ajax vs Benfica - Champions League
Benfica Win
Reason for Tip
Benfica look the more trustworthy side here despite being away from home. Domestically they’ve been right in the title race again, sitting in that top cluster in Portugal with a strong points tally and only a single league defeat, which underlines their consistency and game management over 90 minutes. Ajax, by contrast, are still far looser than their historical reputation suggests, conceding around 1.5 goals per game in the Eredivisie this season and regularly giving up big chances when pressed high. In a Champions League environment where Benfica are used to travelling and keeping things compact, their more solid structure and higher defensive ceiling make them a justified pick to edge what could be a tight but controlled away performance.
Galatasaray vs R. Union SG - Champions League
Galatasaray Win
Reason for Tip
This is a clash of two in-form sides, but Galatasaray’s home edge and defensive numbers swing it. In the Süper Lig they’ve conceded just 8 goals in 13 matches, under 0.7 per game, with a very healthy clean-sheet rate and very few matches where they’ve allowed more than one. Union SG come into this as Belgian league leaders, scoring freely with a 31:8 goal difference and an excellent W-D-L record, but most of that dominance has come in domestic games where they can dictate tempo. Galatasaray’s ability to control matches at home, minimise shots against and lean on a hostile Istanbul atmosphere makes them a very strong candidate to make that defensive base count and turn pressure into three points.
Chelsea vs Barcelona - Champions League
Over 3.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
This fixture screams goals from multiple angles. Barcelona under Hansi Flick are an attacking machine right now, with 36 league goals already and 12 goals in four Champions League matches (3 per game), but they’ve also shipped 7 in that same European sample and are yet to keep a clean sheet in the competition. Chelsea come into this Champions League tie having won five of their last six domestic games and keeping several clean sheets, but those results have often featured plenty of chances at both ends, and they’re now facing one of Europe’s most fluid front lines. With both sides needing points in the league phase, neither is set up to sit on a 1–0 and protect it, and the combination of Barca’s high scoring/high concession profile plus Chelsea’s improving but still-testable back line justifies a dual angle of BTTS and a game that can easily open up into four or more goals.
Man City vs Leverkusen - Champions League
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Man City versus Leverkusen looks a very natural over-goals spot. Across all competitions this season City have scored 38 goals in 17 matches and hit 10 in four Champions League outings, so they’re comfortably above two goals per game in Europe alone. Leverkusen are also a positive, front-foot side: in the Bundesliga they sit near the top with a 7-2-2 record and some big scorelines on the card, including a 6–0 home win and a recent 3–1 away victory that underline how open their games can become. Neither coach is likely to abandon their attacking principles here; Leverkusen will try to play through City rather than simply sit deep, which tends to create transitions and space for City’s forwards. With both attacks in good nick and defensive lines that can be stretched by elite movement, the game profile strongly supports a line of at least three goals.
Liverpool vs PSV - Champions League
Liverpool Win
Reason for Tip
Liverpool’s league form has dipped badly, but in a one-off Anfield Champions League night they still deserve respect. In the Premier League they’ve conceded 20 in 12 (around 1.7 per match) and scored a relatively modest 18, so there’s clear room for improvement and a sense of urgency going into Europe. PSV, meanwhile, have been extremely open in the Eredivisie, averaging over 3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, which makes them great to watch but also leaves space for a more clinical side to punish them. Liverpool’s press and intensity tend to rise at home under the lights, and PSV’s attacking ambition should actually suit them: if the Dutch champions commit bodies forward as usual, Liverpool’s pace and quality in transition can create the better chances. Despite recent domestic setbacks, the step up in Liverpool’s level at Anfield plus PSV’s defensive leakage make the home win angle appealing.
Olympiakos vs Real Madrid - Champions League
Real Madrid Win
Reason for Tip
Olympiakos are flying domestically – top of the Greek Super League with a 9-1-1 record and a 26:7 goal difference, plus a strong home winning streak – so this isn’t a soft trip for Real Madrid. However, Madrid are operating at an even higher level: they lead La Liga with 10 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 28 and conceding just 12, and in the Champions League they’ve been even more ruthless, with 8 goals scored and only 2 conceded in four matches. Olympiakos’ recent European results include a heavy loss to Barcelona and a failure to see out a home win against PSV, which hints at the gap in quality when they face elite opposition. With Madrid’s defensive control, star power in attack and experience in navigating tricky away ties, backing the Spanish champions to find a way to win looks the percentage play.
Paris SG vs Spurs - Champions League
Paris SG Win
Reason for Tip
PSG bring both numbers and context that favour them strongly at home. In Ligue 1 they sit top with a 9-3-1 record, scoring just over 2 goals per game and conceding only 0.8, giving them one of the best defensive records in the division and a very healthy goal difference. In the Champions League they’ve already gone toe-to-toe with Bayern and others at this level, and even in defeats they’ve still carried plenty of attacking threat. Spurs, for their part, are competitive but more volatile away from home, and their back line has shown frailties when pressed by top-tier forwards. With PSG’s front three in good scoring rhythm and their home record in both league and Europe remaining strong, a Paris win feels a sensible anchor leg – especially in a game where a point doesn’t really suit them and they’ll be pushed to go for the result.
Sporting vs Club Brugge - Champions League
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Sporting and Club Brugge both profile as sides you want on your side in goals markets. Sporting sit in the top two of the Portuguese league with a 9-1-1 record and have been winning by multiple-goal margins regularly, helped by forwards like Luis Suárez already into 8 goals and 2 assists in his first 13 games for the club. Club Brugge are similarly strong domestically – 10 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats in the Pro League, with 22 goals scored and a reputation for aggressive, front-foot football. Their Champions League campaign has underlined that attacking intent: they were involved in a wild 3–3 draw with Barcelona recently and have been highlighted in European round-ups as one of the more entertaining high-tempo sides in the competition. With both teams comfortable playing on the front foot, happy to commit numbers forward and capable of scoring from open play and set pieces, a line of three or more goals looks a fair reflection of the game state you’d expect rather than requiring something freakish to land.
Sheffield United vs Portsmouth
Tip: Over 2.5 Match Goals
Sheffield United have seen four of their last five pass the 2.5 goals line. Portsmouth have seen three of their last four do the same. Strong over goals angle.
Atletico Madrid vs Inter
Tip: Atletico Madrid to Win
Atletico are flying, winning seven of their last eight and all of their previous five. The head-to-head record also favours them — winning both of the last two meetings. Big home advantage.
Liverpool vs PSV
Tip: PSV or Draw (Double Chance)
Liverpool’s form has collapsed, losing seven of their last ten across all competitions. PSV, meanwhile, are unbeaten in eleven, winning eight of those. Strong value in the visitors avoiding defeat.
PSG vs Tottenham
Tip: PSG to Win
PSG have won five of their last seven, losing just once. Tottenham are struggling, winning only one of their last five. The home side should have too much quality.
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West Brom’s downward curve combined with Birmingham’s strong scoring form made the BOTD selection straightforward. When momentum and confidence diverge this sharply, value often lies with the form side.
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BTTS patterns are exceptionally strong today, with multiple fixtures showing consistent scoring trends from both sides — especially Arsenal vs Bayern, Millwall vs Wednesday, and Blackburn vs QPR. These matchups tick every statistical box.
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Wrexham at home continue to be extremely reliable for goals. Their attacking output at home pairs perfectly with Bristol City’s solid scoring record.
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Sheffield United vs Portsmouth has one of the clearest over 2.5 profiles on the card. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and neither defence looks reliable enough to keep things tight.
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Atletico Madrid’s form surge is one of Europe’s strongest at the moment. Their combination of home dominance, strong head-to-head history, and defensive discipline makes them ideal accumulator material.
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Liverpool’s downturn is impossible to ignore. Combining that with PSV’s 11-game unbeaten run gives huge value on PSV/draw double chance.
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PSG at home remain one of the safest angles in European football, especially against inconsistent sides like Tottenham who struggle against high-paced attacking teams.
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A big Wednesday card with excellent opportunities across the BTTS and goals markets, plus a strong Bet of the Day as Birmingham look to take advantage of West Brom’s slump. Today’s accumulator combines reliable scoring teams, red-hot European form, and clear statistical edges.
As always, trust the numbers, follow the form, and stick to your staking plan.
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Free Football Tips – Wednesday 26th November
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