Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Monday 10th November
22599Ben Beard
Co-founder of Tipman and a well-known tipster with over a decade of profitable tracked results. Featured on the Racing Post NAPs table, Ben brings proven expertise and sharp racing insight.
Published Date: November 9, 2025 10:19 PM
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Welcome to your free TipMan horse racing tips for Monday 10th November, including today’s NAP of the Day, Dark Horse (outsider), and Lucky 15. We’ve analysed the cards at Carlisle & Kempton, breaking down the best value selections, strongest form angles and today’s most backable runners.
Let’s get straight into the action.
Carlisle – First race 12:45
Kempton – First race 2:00
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Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 2) - Carlisle
Real Quartz
Reason for Tip
Odds of 4/5 at time of writing are a little shorter than we like to tip for a NAP but with only two cards available today, it’s hard to find a nicer priced one quite frankly. Real Quartz is the real deal on paper, won irish point debut with absolute ease and sold for £190k following that. Been in training with the Skelton’s and looks primed for a hurdle debut victory here today. Nicely bred five year old who is related to plenty of useful hurdlers and this isn’t a strong entry point here today in this Class 4 at Carlisle. Won the Irish point on yielding and soft ground today should be no issue. Yard is flying at the moment and Harry is aboard for the ride. Great record here at this track and quite frankly when you look through the card for this race, it’s easy to write off most of this field. Real Quartz should shine here today and win.
Real Quartz – 12:45 Carlisle – 4/5
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
It’s shorter than we typically like for a NAP, but on a day with only two cards and limited quality, Real Quartz is the standout runner across all races today.
This five-year-old made a serious impression when bolting up in his Irish point, winning with ease before being purchased for £190k and joining the Skeltons. Everything on pedigree and reputation suggests a high-class novice hurdler in the making.
Today’s Class 4 at Carlisle is weak, with most rivals having huge question marks. Real Quartz has already proven he handles yielding/soft ground, and conditions today are ideal. The yard is flying, Harry Skelton rides (with an excellent Carlisle record), and this looks a simple case of:
✅ Superior ability
✅ Right conditions
✅ Ideal opportunity
Verdict: Should win. The one they all fear.
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Fatty Renshaw Memorial Novices' Handicap Hurdle - Carlisle
Drop Kick
Reason for Tip
Four year old who hasn’t really shown a great deal of promise on first three starts with form of 677 but he remains very unexposed and goes beyond 2m for the time here today which on pedigree looks to be a favourable switch. Should handle the give in the ground and this is a very weak entry point on handicap debut. Wouldn’t take a great deal of improvement today to finish ahead of most of this field and with the favourable increased distance, Drop Kick could well outrun his odds. Whilst neither trainer or jockey are known to be the most successful, they do have a shared 15% strikerate when combining here at Carlisle. If a few things click with a little improvement, Drop Kick could be a surprise winner here today at nice odds.
Drop Kick – 1:45 Carlisle – 9/1
Trainer: M Walford
Jockey: Jamie Hamilton
Drop Kick has shown very little on paper so far (form 677), but there are multiple angles that make him a live outsider today:
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First try beyond 2m, and pedigree suggests the step up in trip is a major plus
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Handicap debut in a weak race
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Ground should suit
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Yard and jockey have a profitable 15% strike rate when combining at Carlisle
At 9/1, he doesn’t need to be a world-beater—just show normal improvement for the new trip and a more suitable test.
Verdict: Major place player with win potential if the extra distance unlocks improvement.
JCB Handicap Hurdle - Kempton
Sun Joy
Reason for Tip
This six year old has won twice in 15 hurdle starts and prior to lto where returning to winning ways, had ran mostly well even in defeat. Has gone up 6lb for the win last month but is still somewhat well handicapped on previous form and is still below highest winning mark. Retains potential and this distance of 2m5f seems to be there or thereabouts the ideal trip for Sun Joy. Represents a top yard who are firing on all cylinders currently and apprentice Callum Pritchard retains the ride from lto. Capable of taking this.
Christmas Jumper Day 14th December Handicap Hurdle - Carlisle
Russian Virtue
Reason for Tip
Versatile 8 year old who returns to hurdling here today after 4 runs on the flat. No stranger to winning and has won 6 times over hurdles previously with the last two coming here at this track, over this distance. Is somewhat at the top end of his ideal mark I would say and so there is a question mark over if this mark is a little too high but he is a talented old timer who still has the ability to compete and win races and the return here looks favourable. This is quite an open race and it would be no surprise to see the experienced Russian Virtue add another Carlisle win to the form book.
JCB Hydradig Conditional Jockeys' Novices' Handicap Hurdle - Kempton
Final Straw
Reason for Tip
464 is the form from first three starts and hasn’t really progressed quite as you’d expect. However saying that, Final Straw is dropped in Class here for handicap debut in a rather weak contest and represents a top stable. Upped in trip to 3miles and on pedigree that’s fine and may actually see a better run from this five year old over the longer trip as the engine seems to be there. Decent booking in Freddie Gordon who is a talented and up and coming apprentice who boasts an exceptional 33% strikerate in the last 60 days. When Freddie and Nicky have combined here at Kempton, they’ve won half the races, albeit it’s a small sample pool, but the combined form is there. Final Straw is taken to win this on handicap debut today.
Budds & Weatherbys Horseracing Memorabilia Mares' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) - Kempton
Shantwopointfive
Reason for Tip
Talented hurdler with form of 12241 and blew the field apart when winning in fashionable style lto at Cartmel in May. Obviously has the break to contend with here and it’s first time chasing but from what we’ve seen previously, can go well fresh, should take well to chasing and is a talented horse with plenty of ability and versatility. The one at the head of the market is the obvious threat, but Shantwopointfive if taking to chasing on first attempt could prove a lot to handle today and the chance is taken on that being the case. She is from a shrewd and successful yard and has James Bowen aboard for the ride, lots to like and every chance at making a winning start to chase career.
1️⃣ Sun Joy – 2:00 Kempton – 10/3
Six-year-old who returned to form with a win last time out. Up 6lb but still below his previous winning peak and remains well handicapped. The 2m5f trip suits and the Pauling yard is in flying form. Big chance.
2️⃣ Russian Virtue – 2:48 Carlisle – 6/1
Eight-year-old who returns to hurdling after several flat runs. Two wins over hurdles at Carlisle previously and returns to his optimum track and trip. Hard to rule out.
3️⃣ Shantwopointfive – 3:05 Kempton – 4/1
Unexposed and progressive hurdler who won impressively at Cartmel. Makes chase debut today—has the engine, should take to fences, and has James Bowen aboard. Threat to all.
4️⃣ Final Straw – 3:40 Kempton – 11/4
Handicap debut and dropped in class today. Up to 3m which suits on pedigree, and represents a top yard with a top young jockey (Freddie Gordon – 33% strike rate in last 60 days). If improving even slightly, he wins this.
Verdict: A strong, balanced Lucky 15 with form strength, upside, and several proven course specialists.
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Today’s racing is thinner than usual, making favourites more dominant.
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Carlisle’s softer ground will expose stamina weaknesses—stick to proven stayers or strong pedigrees.
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Kempton form usually holds well due to the fair nature of the track—yard form becomes crucial.
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Several handicap debutants run today; these races are often where you find the best value and biggest improvements.
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Carlisle – Sky Sports Racing
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Kempton – Sky Sports Racing
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Most bookmakers also offer free live streaming when placing a bet.
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Audio commentary available via Racing Post and Timeform.
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Add each selection to your betslip
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Play the Dark Horse each way (10/1+)
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Stick to your staking plan — no acca chasing
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Check extra places for Sandown handicaps
✅ What is the NAP of the Day?
Our strongest bet based on form, trainer trends and suitability of conditions.
✅ What is the Dark Horse?
Our best outsider—value selections capable of placing or springing a surprise.
✅ What is a Lucky 15?
A bet covering four selections (15 total bets) including singles, doubles, trebles and an accumulator.
✅ Do TipMan tips win every day?
No tipster can guarantee daily wins, but we focus on long-term profitability and data-driven selections.
✅ Where can I follow the action?
Sky Sports Racing, Racing TV, and bookmaker streams.
Today is all about taking advantage of a two-card Monday with clear standouts.
Real Quartz should get us off to the perfect start, Drop Kick offers huge outsider value, and the Lucky 15 contains multiple runners with winning profiles.
Good luck, and enjoy Monday’s racing!
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