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Côte d'Ivoire vs Burkina Faso - Africa Cup of Nations
Over 2.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
The visitors Burkina Faso have been involved in four matches resulting in over 2.5 match goals within their previous six games. Within the previous three head-to-head matches, two games have resulted in over 2.5 match goals.
West Ham vs Nottm Forest - Premier League
West Ham or Nottm Forest
Reason for Tip
The hosts West Ham have only been involved in one match resulting in a draw within their previous five matches, meanwhile the visitors Nottingham Forrest have been involved in zero matches resulting in a draw within their previous ten matches across all competitions.
Lecce vs Roma - Serie A
Roma Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
The hosts Lecce have only managed to win twice within their previous seven attempts, meanwhile the visitors Roma have lost twice in their previous five matches. Within the previous five head-to-head matches the visitors Roma are unbeaten, winning three matches and drawing twice.
Macclesfield vs Radcliffe - National League N / S
Radcliffe Win
Reason for Tip
The hosts Macclesfield have lost both of their most recent two league matches, meanwhile the visitors Radcliffe are unbeaten within their previous four matches, winning three and drawing once. Within the previous two head-to-head matches the visitors Radcliffe have a perfect record, winning both matches.
Bournemouth vs Spurs - Premier League
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
Bournemouth’s home fixtures continue to produce open game states, with goals at both ends a recurring theme. They score regularly at the Vitality but concede at a similar rate due to an aggressive defensive line. Spurs remain one of the league’s most attacking sides, averaging well over 1.9 goals per game, but clean sheets away from home have been inconsistent when games become stretched. With both sides preferring to play on the front foot rather than manage territory, BTTS is strongly supported.
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa - Premier League
Aston Villa Win
Reason for Tip
Villa’s away performances against mid-table opposition have been built on control and efficiency. They average around 1.6 goals per away game while limiting opponents’ shot quality through a well-drilled midfield unit. Palace remain competitive but often struggle to convert possession into sustained pressure against organised sides. Villa’s superior structure, counter-attacking threat and consistency in these matchups give them the edge.
Everton vs Wolves - Premier League
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
Everton’s home games tend to open up, particularly in the second half, with goals conceded remaining a concern despite improved attacking output. Wolves arrive with a reliable scoring profile, finding the net in over 65% of away fixtures, but clean sheets on the road have been rare. Both sides create chances but lack defensive control for 90 minutes, making BTTS a strong fit.
Fulham vs Chelsea - Premier League
BTTS - Yes
Reason for Tip
Fulham are far more effective at Craven Cottage, averaging over 1.4 goals per home match, but they continue to concede chances through transitions. Chelsea’s attacking metrics remain strong, particularly shot volume, yet defensive solidity away from home has been inconsistent. With Fulham capable of exploiting space and Chelsea almost certain to create chances, BTTS is well supported.
Man City vs Brighton - Premier League
Man City Win
Reason for Tip
City’s dominance at the Etihad remains a major factor, averaging 2.3+ goals per home game and posting elite xG figures. Brighton will look to play through pressure but have struggled defensively against top-six sides, particularly when pressed aggressively. City’s ability to suffocate opponents and convert sustained pressure into goals makes the home win the standout angle.
Burnley vs Man Utd - Premier League
Man Utd Win
Reason for Tip
United’s away performances against lower-half opposition have improved, with better game management and a higher chance conversion rate. Burnley remain competitive but concede a high volume of shots when pinned back, particularly against sides with pace in wide areas. United’s attacking quality and ability to punish defensive errors should see them come out on top.
Newcastle vs Leeds - Premier League
Newcastle Win
Reason for Tip
Newcastle’s intensity at St James’ Park continues to overwhelm visiting sides. They average close to 2 goals per home match and rank among the league leaders for shots and pressures in the final third. Leeds’ aggressive approach leaves space in behind, which Newcastle are well equipped to exploit. Home advantage and superior physical output point towards a Newcastle win.
Arsenal vs Liverpool - Premier League
Arsenal Win
Reason for Tip
Arsenal’s home record against top-six opposition has been built on control, patience and chance quality. They average over 1.8 goals per game at the Emirates, while Liverpool’s away performances have been less consistent defensively, particularly when pressed high. Arsenal’s ability to dominate midfield phases and limit transition opportunities gives them a strong platform to edge a high-level contest.
Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Fillies' Handicap - Southwell
Selenic
Reason for Tip
Selenic is a low mileage four year old who is the most unexposed horse in this field by quite a way. Positive debut at Kempton this time last year when going down a short head before sealing the deal nicely on second start in February. Which does mean she has a break to contend with but the Prescott yard have a decent strikerate with horses on breaks of 60 or more days and so Selenic should be readied for this. Goes further than previous runs today but that’s a positive and on pedigree she should relish the extra furlongs. Debut at Southwell today but that should pose no issues. This isn’t a strong handicap and if Selenic goes well fresh today, could win this with relative ease under a positive Luke Morris ride. Looks a very likely winner.
Make The Move To Midnite Classified Stakes (Div 1) - Southwell
Wadacre Moriarty
Reason for Tip
This four year old has been consistently rather disappointing in maidens with form of 666 and gets first run in a handicap today. This race looks wide open and ripe for the picking and this boy is extremely unexposed in a field of largely exposed older horses. This will be his easiest race to date and the Johnston yard have a very good record with first time handicappers and so there is positives about Wadacre Moriarty’s chances today. Stable is a shrewd one and know how to pick a race and this looks a fantastic chance for this boy to progress nicely and change those 6’s to something much better. Great jockey aboard in Callum Shepherd and at 18/1 Wadacre Moriarty would be a nice price if placing here but really isn’t written off winning either. Handicap progression highly likely and very interesting to see how he does today in this race.
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