Southampton v Portsmouth Betting Preview: Cards Expected in South Coast Derby

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Fraser Bricknell

Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.

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Southampton v Portsmouth Booking Bets

Date: 14 September 2025, 12:00
Venue: St Mary’s Stadium
Broadcast: Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Ultra HD, Sky Sports Main Event

Sunday lunchtime brings us this upcoming south coast battle between Southampton and Portsmouth in what is regarded as a fierce local derby at St Mary’s Stadium. The Saints head into this encounter on the back of a 2-2 draw away at Watford before the international break, while Pompey picked up all three points with a narrow 1-0 home win against Preston NE.

This is one of the fiercest rivalries in English football and the atmosphere is guaranteed to be hostile. Recent form suggests both sides are competitive, and with so much riding on local bragging rights, discipline will be tested across the pitch.

In this fixture, we will be concentrating on the potentially lucrative player cards market – and there are two players in particular who stand out when it comes to finding their way into the referee’s notebook.

Taylor Harwood-Bellis to be booked

The right-sided centre-back is a combative defender who is certainly no stranger to discipline. Harwood-Bellis picked up 9 yellow cards during last season’s campaign for Southampton, showing a consistent tendency to attract fouls and cautions.

He was also booked in Southampton’s most recent 2-2 draw away at Watford, underlining how quickly he can find himself in trouble with the referee.

Facing the physical presence of Colby Bishop and the movement of Conor Chaplin in Portsmouth’s attack, Harwood-Bellis is likely to be in for a busy afternoon. That defensive workload makes him a strong candidate for another card in this derby clash.

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Andre Dozzell to be booked

On the other side of the rivalry, Portsmouth’s midfield anchor Andre Dozzell is another name that catches the eye in the card markets. The defensive midfielder accumulated 11 yellow cards last season and has already been booked once this campaign.

That booking came in Portsmouth’s 1-0 home win against Preston NE before the international break. Known for breaking up play aggressively and committing tactical fouls, Dozzell’s style of play often puts him on the wrong side of referees.

Against Southampton’s pace and direct attacking threat, it looks highly likely he will be in the thick of the challenges once again.

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Referee Watch: Matt Donohue

The man in the middle for this fiery derby is Matt Donohue, an experienced Championship referee. He has officiated 162 second-tier matches to date, producing an average of 4.13 yellow cards per game and 0.19 red cards per game.

Those numbers suggest he has no problem reaching into his pocket, especially in high-intensity matches like this one. With the fierce rivalry between Southampton and Portsmouth, Donohue could well have his busiest afternoon of the season so far.

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Prediction and Betting Pick
  • This upcoming local derby will be a no-holds-barred contest with no love lost between the two sets of supporters. Tensions are always high when Southampton and Portsmouth meet, and with both Harwood-Bellis and Dozzell having poor disciplinary records, the player cards market looks like a prime angle to attack.

    Our pick:

    • Taylor Harwood-Bellis to be carded

    • Andre Dozzell to be carded

    Odds: 12/1

    A card-laden affair at St Mary’s looks likely – and this combination offers great value.

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