Real Madrid v Alaves: La Liga Bet Builder Tips & Predictions




Tyler Smith
An enthusiastic sports writer with a passion for Football, American Sports and Formula 1, bringing sharp insight and informed betting analysis to every weekend.
Published Date: April 20, 2026 2:31 PM






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Tuesday night’s La Liga fixture between Real Madrid CF and Deportivo Alavés comes at a pivotal moment in the season for the hosts, who are still attempting to salvage something from a turbulent campaign. Real Madrid currently sit nine points behind Barcelona with seven games remaining, leaving their title hopes hanging by a thread and placing huge importance on every remaining league fixture.
The context surrounding Madrid only adds further pressure heading into this match. Their recent Champions League elimination to Bayern Munich effectively ended their final realistic chance of silverware, while a poor run of form domestically—winless in four matches across competitions—has underlined the inconsistency that has defined their season. With scrutiny increasing and the campaign at risk of ending trophyless, this game represents an opportunity to steady momentum and restore confidence at the Santiago Bernabéu.
Alavés, meanwhile, arrive with their own objectives as they continue to battle near the bottom of the table. Sitting in the lower reaches of La Liga, they remain firmly in the relegation fight but have shown resilience in recent weeks, including a 3-3 draw against Real Sociedad that highlighted both their attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities. With Madrid under pressure and Alavés fighting for survival, this sets up an intriguing encounter where expectation meets urgency in the Spanish capital.


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Form and Context
Tuesday night’s clash between Real Madrid CF and Deportivo Alavés comes with very different pressures on both sides as the La Liga season approaches its conclusion. Real Madrid remain in the title race but are chasing from behind, making this a must-win fixture to keep any realistic hopes alive. Alavés, meanwhile, are firmly focused on survival, sitting in the lower half and still needing points to ensure their top-flight status.
Real Madrid’s recent form has been inconsistent by their standards, with dropped points proving costly in the title race. However, their record at the Santiago Bernabéu remains strong, and they continue to dominate the majority of their home fixtures. Alavés arrive having shown resilience in recent weeks, picking up important results in their fight to stay up, but their away form has been a concern throughout the campaign.
Key Players and Team News
Real Madrid’s attacking threat is led by Jude Bellingham and Vinícius Júnior, both of whom remain central to their ability to break down opposition defences. Their pace, movement, and creativity in the final third make Madrid one of the most dangerous attacking sides in the league, particularly when playing at home. Depth across the squad also gives them multiple options to change games if needed.
For Alavés, the focus will be on collective organisation rather than individual brilliance, though players in attacking areas will need to take chances when they come. Their ability to remain disciplined defensively and frustrate Madrid for long periods will be key, as will their effectiveness on the counter-attack and from set-piece situations.
Tactical Outlook
Tactically, the game is likely to follow a familiar pattern. Real Madrid are expected to dominate possession, control territory, and apply sustained pressure, using width and quick combinations to break down a compact defensive block. Their ability to stretch the pitch and create overloads in wide areas will be central to their approach.
Alavés, by contrast, are likely to sit deep and remain organised, prioritising defensive shape and looking to exploit moments in transition. Quick counters and set pieces could represent their best opportunities to threaten.
Overall, Real Madrid’s quality, depth, and home advantage make them clear favourites, but Alavés’ urgency and defensive discipline could make this a more competitive contest than it appears on paper, particularly if Madrid struggle to convert early chances.


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Real Madrid vs Alavés — Match Result: Real Madrid
Real Madrid CF come into this as clear favourites, particularly at the Bernabéu where they’ve been dominant, winning the majority of their home matches and averaging ~2+ goals per game. Their control of possession and attacking depth usually proves too much for lower-table sides. Deportivo Alavés have been competitive but struggle against elite opposition, especially away from home where they concede regularly. With the gulf in quality and Madrid’s consistency, the home win is one of the strongest selections.
Real Madrid vs Alavés — Over 2.5 Goals
Real Madrid’s attacking output alone often drives games over this line. They consistently create high shot volume and average ~2.1–2.4 goals per game, while Alavés have conceded in the majority of away fixtures. Even if Alavés offer limited attacking threat, Madrid are capable of covering the line themselves. This makes over 2.5 goals a strong, data-backed play.
Real Madrid vs Alavés — Over 8.5 Corners
Madrid’s attacking style naturally generates corners, averaging ~6–7 per game, particularly at home where they dominate territory and sustain pressure. Alavés are often forced into defensive clearances, which adds to the total, and can contribute a small number themselves in transition. With Madrid expected to control the game, over 8.5 corners is well supported.
Real Madrid vs Alavés — Jude Bellingham Anytime Goalscorer
Jude Bellingham remains one of Madrid’s most consistent goal threats from midfield, averaging ~2–3 shots per game and regularly arriving in the box in scoring positions. His late runs and involvement in attacking phases make him difficult to track, particularly against deeper defensive blocks. Against an Alavés side likely to concede chances, Bellingham is a strong anytime goalscorer selection.


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Head-to-Head Record (All Competitions):
- Total Meetings: 45
- Real Madrid CF Wins: 37
- Draws: 3
- Deportivo Alavés Wins: 5
Historical Context
- This fixture has been heavily dominated by Real Madrid CF across its history, with a clear gap in overall wins.
- Meetings between the sides have largely taken place in La Liga, particularly since Alavés’ more regular presence in the top flight in recent decades.
- While Alavés have had occasional success, including a handful of notable wins, the overall trend strongly favours Madrid.
Notable Trends
- Real Madrid have won the vast majority of recent meetings, including 9 of the last 10 encounters.
- In fact, Alavés have lost 19 of the last 21 La Liga meetings, highlighting Madrid’s modern dominance in this fixture.
- Madrid have also been particularly strong at home, regularly scoring multiple goals in meetings at the Santiago Bernabéu.
Real Madrid CF (4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2)
GK: Andriy Lunin
RB: Trent Alexander-Arnold
CB: Éder Militão
CB: Antonio Rüdiger
LB: Álvaro Carreras
RM: Federico Valverde
CM: Aurélien Tchouaméni
CM: Jude Bellingham
LM: Arda Güler
ST: Kylian Mbappé
ST: Vinícius Júnior
Key notes:
- Thibaut Courtois remains out, so Lunin continues in goal.
- Tchouaméni returns to midfield after suspension.
- Rodrygo is ruled out long-term, meaning the front line is likely unchanged.
Deportivo Alavés (5-3-2 / 3-5-2)
GK: Antonio Sivera
CB: Abdel Abqar
CB: Rafa Marín / Víctor Parada
CB: Nahuel Tenaglia
RWB: Andoni Gorosabel / Ángel Pérez
CM: Antonio Blanco
CM: Jon Guridi
CM: Pablo Ibáñez
LWB: Yusi
ST: Toni Martínez
ST: Lucas Boyé
Key notes:
- Abde Rebbach is suspended, so Yusi is expected to come in.
- Carlos Benavídez remains unavailable through injury.
- Lucas Boyé is pushing for a start after scoring in consecutive appearances.
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United Kingdom
The match between Real Madrid CF and Deportivo Alavés will be shown live on Premier Sports in the UK.
- 📺 TV Channel: Premier Sports 1
- 📱 Live Stream: Premier Sports Player / Amazon Prime Channels
- 🕣 Kick-off: 8:30pm (UK time) Tuesday
Premier Sports is the main La Liga broadcaster in the UK, available via Sky, Virgin Media, and online streaming platforms.
🌍 Around the World
La Liga is widely broadcast globally, with coverage depending on your region:
- 🇺🇸 United States: ESPN Select / ESPN+
- 🇨🇦 Canada: TSN+ / DAZN (varies by fixture)
- 🇪🇺 Europe: DAZN, Movistar+, Canal+ (country dependent)
- 🌏 Australia: beIN Sports Connect
- 🌍 Africa & Middle East: beIN Sports
These are official La Liga broadcast partners, meaning most regions will have live TV or streaming access.
📱 Streaming, Commentary & Highlights
- Premier Sports Player (UK): Full live stream and replay
- ESPN+/beIN/DAZN: International streaming options
- La Liga & club platforms: Highlights shortly after full-time
- Radio / live blogs: Available via major sports outlets
📝 Quick Summary
- UK: Premier Sports 1
- Streaming (UK): Premier Sports Player / Prime Channels
- Global: ESPN+, beIN Sports, DAZN
- Kick-off: 8:30pm (UK) Tuesday
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