PSG vs Real Madrid Bet Builder Tips – 11/2 Club World Cup Semi-Final

1822

Fraser Bricknell

Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.

Published Date: July 8, 2025 9:57 PM

PSG v Real Madrid Match Info

Match: Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid
Competition: FIFA Club World Cup Semi Final
Date: Wednesday 10 July 2025
Kick-off: 8PM BST
Venue: MetLife Stadium, New Jersey
Best Odds: 11/2 with Paddy Power & Betfair (Super Sub applies)

The second semi-final of the Club World Cup is a blockbuster. PSG and Real Madrid meet again in a high-stakes clash between two of Europe’s elite, with a place in the final and a huge prize pool on the line. PSG come into the match off a dominant 2-0 win over Bayern Munich, despite finishing with nine men. Real Madrid are unbeaten and full of threat, with Vinícius Jr, Bellingham and Gonzalo García all in form.

Here’s a sharp five-leg bet builder at 11/2 with Paddy Power and Betfair. The Hakimi leg is Super Sub eligible, meaning it stays live even if he comes off the bench.

Villa v Palace Bet Builder

7.29/1

31 Aug 18:00 - Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

31 Aug 18:00
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

Aston Villa Win or Draw

Double Chance

2/9

Reason for Tip

Villa finished sixth in the Premier League last season with sixty six points and a goal difference of plus seven. They also come in with a long unbeaten run at Villa Park in all competitions that the club noted as twenty one matches going into this campaign. The last league meeting between these two at Villa Park ended level at two each.

31 Aug 18:00 - Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

31 Aug 18:00
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

Over 1.5 Goals

3/10

Reason for Tip

Recent meetings between these sides have cleared two goals comfortably. Palace beat Villa five nil on the final day of 2023 to 2024, Palace won four one in February 2025, and Palace beat Villa three nil in the FA Cup semi-final in April 2025. The Villa Park league game in November 2024 was two two. All four of those examples land over one point five goals.

31 Aug 18:00 - Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

31 Aug 18:00
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

Over 7.5 Corners

1/4

Reason for Tip

Across last season Villa averaged just over six corners won per league match and Palace averaged four and a half. That combined baseline sits above ten total corners, which gives headroom over the seven point five line. Early season corner totals also track high for both teams’ games.

31 Aug 18:00 - Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

31 Aug 18:00
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target

4/5

Reason for Tip

Rogers produced twenty shots on target in thirty seven Premier League appearances last season, so roughly one every other game. He also showed end-product in April with the opener against Nottingham Forest. One on target here is a fair ask.

31 Aug 18:00 - Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

31 Aug 18:00
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target

12/25

Reason for Tip

Mateta has started this league season with three shots on target across two matches, which is one point five per game. He also has a strong personal record against Villa, including a hat-trick in the five nil and a goal in the four one.

31 Aug 18:00 - Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

31 Aug 18:00
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls

1/4

Reason for Tip

Mateta is a contact-heavy centre forward. Across the opening two league matches this season he has committed two fouls and is tracking at about one foul per ninety. That profile supports at least one foul.

31 Aug 18:00 - Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

31 Aug 18:00
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League

Matty Cash 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls

2/9

Reason for Tip

Cash is an aggressive one v one defender. His long-run Premier League average is about one foul per match, and even in a small early-season sample he is committing around half a foul per game. One foul is a sensible line against dribble-heavy wide players.

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Liverpool v Arsenal BB

5/1

31 Aug 15:30 - Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

31 Aug 15:30
Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

BTTS - Yes

Both Teams To Score

8/13

Reason for Tip

Both Liverpool and Arsenal have explosive attacking talent and have shown early-season form in front of goal. Liverpool scored three against Newcastle, including a stoppage-time winner, showing they can break through even resilient defenses. Arsenal hammered Leeds 5–0, proving their attack remains potent even with Saka and Ødegaard potentially missing. Both teams have leaky moments defensively, so a high-scoring, open game is likely.

31 Aug 15:30 - Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

31 Aug 15:30
Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

Over 8.5 Corners

8/15

Reason for Tip

High-profile matches like this tend to produce more attacking intensity. Liverpool and Arsenal both like to play wide, use overlapping full-backs, and apply sustained pressure. Anfield’s high-tempo style encourages crosses and wing play, generating corners. Arsenal’s counter-attacking setup also forces them to attack quickly, which usually results in additional corners. Combining both teams, exceeding 8.5 corners is very achievable.

31 Aug 15:30 - Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

31 Aug 15:30
Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

Florian Wirtz 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target

10/11

Reason for Tip

Wirtz has been integrated as a key attacking outlet for Liverpool, often drifting into central positions to create or take chances. Given Liverpool’s attacking style under Arne Slot, he will likely be in advanced areas frequently. Even one accurate attempt on goal is very plausible given his positioning and involvement.

31 Aug 15:30 - Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

31 Aug 15:30
Liverpool vs Arsenal - Premier League

Eberechi Eze 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target

19/20

Reason for Tip

Eze is expected to feature in Arsenal’s midfield/attacking setup, particularly with Saka and Ødegaard doubtful. He is an aggressive dribbler and shooter who tends to take chances when given space. In a high-tempo, open match at Anfield, Eze is likely to find shooting opportunities, making at least one shot on target highly probable.

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Bet Builder Breakdown

PSG to Qualify
PSG are slight favourites to progress and looked composed in their quarter-final win over Bayern. They’ve kept four clean sheets in five tournament games and top the competition for possession at nearly 67 percent. With their defensive shape, technical midfield and fast wide players, they look well set to edge this.

Both Teams to Score
Real Madrid have scored in all five Club World Cup games so far and pose a constant threat through Vinícius Jr and Bellingham. PSG have enough firepower to respond and are unlikely to sit back. This has the makings of an open, attacking semi-final and both teams should get on the scoresheet.

Achraf Hakimi 1+ Shot on Target
Hakimi is consistently involved down the right and regularly gets into shooting positions. He had efforts on target in both previous rounds and is always a threat when PSG dominate possession. With Super Sub in play, this leg remains valid even if he comes on late.

Over 2.5 Goals
There’s too much attacking quality on the pitch for this not to open up. Recent clashes between these sides have regularly seen three or more goals, and with both teams built to attack rather than sit on leads, three or more is a realistic outcome.

Over 2.5 Match Cards
This is a huge occasion — a semi-final between two world-class sides with serious money, silverware and bragging rights on the line. There’s no room for passengers and no time for passengers. Expect tactical fouls, frustration, and high intensity challenges, especially if it gets cagey in the second half. Even without a strong card trend in earlier rounds, this sort of knockout tie usually sees the bookings pile up.

Bet Builder Tip

PSG to Qualify
Both Teams to Score
Achraf Hakimi 1+ Shot on Target (Super Sub applies)
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Match Cards

PSG v Real Madrid Predicted Line Ups

Predicted Lineups

PSG (4-3-3)
Donnarumma
Hakimi • Marquinhos • Beraldo • Mendes
Ruiz • Vitinha • João Neves
Doué • Dembélé • Kvaratskhelia

Unavailable: Lucas Hernandez, Willian Pacho (suspended)

Real Madrid (4-3-1-2)
Courtois
Alexander-Arnold • Rüdiger • Asencio • Fran García
Valverde • Tchouaméni • Güler
Bellingham
Gonzalo García • Vinícius Jr

Unavailable: Dean Huijsen (suspended)

Bet Builder Tip Stats

PSG have kept four clean sheets in five tournament games
Real Madrid are unbeaten and have scored in every match
Hakimi averages nearly 2 shots per game and is a constant outlet
PSG have dominated possession throughout the tournament
The winner plays for silverware and significant prize money — intensity will be through the roof

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PSG vs Real Madrid Bet Builder Tips – 11/2 Club World Cup Semi-Final

Aston Villa Win or Draw

Reason for Tip

Over 1.5 Goals

Reason for Tip

Over 7.5 Corners

Reason for Tip

Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target

Reason for Tip

Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Shots on Target

Reason for Tip

Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Fouls

Reason for Tip

Matty Cash 1+ Fouls

Reason for Tip

BTTS - Yes

Reason for Tip

Over 8.5 Corners

Reason for Tip

Florian Wirtz 1+ Shots on Target

Reason for Tip

Eberechi Eze 1+ Shots on Target

Reason for Tip

Predicted Lineups

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