Premier League Top 10 Goalscorers: Odds, Reasoning and Tips

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Tyler Smith

A qualified sports journalist with a passion for Football, American Sports and Formula 1, bringing sharp insight and informed betting analysis to every weekend.

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Premier League Top Goalscorer Odds: Golden Boot Tips for 2025/26

The race for the Premier League Golden Boot is always one of the most popular betting markets before the season kicks off. Erling Haaland is favourite again for 2025/26, but there’s strong competition from the likes of Mohamed Salah, Alexander Isak and new signings like Viktor Gyokeres and Hugo Ekitike.

We’ve broken down the current top ten in the goalscorer odds, including each player’s form, team setup, penalty duties and minutes risk. Whether you’re backing a short-priced favourite or looking for a bit of each-way value, this guide highlights the best bets for the Premier League’s top scorer market.

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Premier League Golden Boot Odds

Premier League Golden Boot Odds:

1️⃣Erling Haaland – 2.1/1

2️⃣Mohamed Salah – 4.5/1

3️⃣Alexander Isak – 6/1

4️⃣Viktor Gyokeres – 11/1

5️⃣Hugo Ekitike – 17/1

6️⃣Joao Pedro – 19/1

7️⃣Cole Palmer – 21/1

8️⃣Ollie Watkins  – 26/1

9️⃣Dominic Solanke – 34/1

🔟Omar Marmoush – 34/1

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Top 5 Premier League Golden Boot Contenders (2025/26)

Erling Haaland (2.1/1)

No surprises here. Haaland is once again the clear favourite in the Premier League top scorer odds. Despite picking up a few injuries last season, he still found the net regularly and remains the most clinical striker in the league when fully fit. City create more chances than anyone else and with Haaland still taking penalties, the numbers speak for themselves.

He scored 36 and 27 goals in his first two Premier League campaigns. Last season’s total of 22 looked low in comparison, but with City struggling for form at times and Haaland missing games through injury, it was still a solid return. The only real concern is rotation. With the size of City’s squad, Pep could give him more rest this year, especially during busy periods.


Mohamed Salah (4.5/1)

Salah needs no introduction when it comes to the Golden Boot. Last year’s winner led Liverpool to the title and once again proved why he’s been the most consistent scorer in the Premier League since 2017. He’s still likely to be on penalties and has hit double figures every single season since joining the club.

With the arrival of Ekitike and potentially Isak, there is a chance the goals are shared out more than usual. But the addition of Florian Wirtz should give Salah more creative support and allow him to play with more freedom. At 33, the risks are rotation and missing games during the African Cup of Nations. Even with that, it’s hard to look past him.


Alexander Isak (6/1)

When fully fit, Isak is arguably the most complete striker in the Premier League. He finishes with both feet, scores different types of goals and has that ruthless streak needed to challenge for the Golden Boot. His rocket against Liverpool at St James’ Park last season was a reminder of what he’s capable of.

There’s still uncertainty over where he’ll play this season. A move to Liverpool would make his price much shorter, especially if he ends up linking with Wirtz and Salah. If he stays at Newcastle, he’ll remain their focal point but the supply line won’t be quite as strong. He’s a contender either way, but injury history and potential rotation are still a concern.


Viktor Gyokeres (11/1)

Arsenal’s new number 14 comes in after tearing up the Portuguese league. He’s physical, sharp and direct. With Bukayo Saka on one side and Declan Rice’s delivery from set pieces, he’s going to get plenty of chances.

This is still a big jump in quality though. The Premier League is a very different challenge and plenty of strikers have failed to adapt. The last hyped striker to arrive from Portugal was Darwin Núñez and we’ve seen how that turned out. If Gyokeres hits the ground running, he has the tools to challenge, but it’s a big ask in year one.


Hugo Ekitike (17/1)

Liverpool paid £69 million up front for Ekitike, with add-ons taking it to £79 million, which shows just how important he is to their rebuild. He’s quick, strong and a natural finisher. He scored 15 goals in the Bundesliga last season and made the Team of the Season.

With Núñez and Díaz gone and Jota no longer with us, Ekitike walks into a team that needs a proper number 9. Slot’s fast-paced attacking system should suit him perfectly. The risk is minutes. If Liverpool do bring in another striker like Isak, it could limit his game time. But if he starts regularly, he could explode.

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Best of the Rest: Each-Way Shouts and Big Prices

Cole Palmer (21/1)

Palmer is now the main man at Chelsea. His performances in the Club World Cup were top class and with Chelsea pushing for the title, he will be expected to lead the way again in both goals and assists.

He had quiet spells last season but rediscovered his form when it mattered. The concern is not his talent but Chelsea’s depth. With Joao Pedro, Gittens, Jackson, Delap and others all competing for minutes, there is a good chance the goals are spread across the squad rather than concentrated in one player.


Joao Pedro (19/1)

Pedro arrived from Brighton midway through last season and wasted no time making an impact. He scored big goals in the Club World Cup and Chelsea fans are hoping he is finally the number nine they have been missing since the Diego Costa era.

With the creativity behind him, goals should come naturally if he stays fit and keeps his place. The issue is his past injury record and the threat of rotation. Liam Delap is waiting in the wings and could see his own fair share of minutes.


Ollie Watkins (26/1)

Watkins has become one of the most reliable strikers in the league. He plays almost every minute under Unai Emery and does not have much competition for his role. Villa’s quick, vertical style of play suits him perfectly and he is always involved in their attacking moves.

He gets into great positions but can be wasteful. His finishing still lets him down at times and he often underperforms his expected goals. That said, if he stays fit and Villa continue to create chances, he will always be a threat in this market.


Bukayo Saka (34/1)

Saka keeps getting better every season. He is now Arsenal’s first-choice penalty taker, plays almost every game, and scores regularly from wide areas. With Odegaard, Havertz and Rice behind him, he gets top-level service and rarely goes missing in games.

Wide players do not usually win the Golden Boot, but Salah has shown it is possible. The concern is injuries. Saka had his first real setback last season and we do not yet know if that will carry over. Still, at this price, it is easy to see why he is in the conversation.


Dominic Solanke (34/1)

Solanke was signed as a key part of Tottenham’s rebuild under Thomas Frank. The manager has said he will be the focal point and his style of play fits perfectly with Frank’s system, which relies on early balls into the box and a central striker who can hold it up and finish.

He scored 19 league goals for Bournemouth in 2023/24 and added 16 in all competitions last season. Unless Spurs bring in another striker, he should get a consistent run of starts. If he stays fit and hits form, this price could look massive later in the year.

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Tipman's Golden Boot Tip

Cole Palmer (20/1 each way, 4 places at 1/4 odds)

Haaland is the clear favourite and hard to oppose if he stays fit, but Cole Palmer looks like the standout each-way value at the prices. He finished last season strongly, ran the show in the Europa Conference League final, and looked a level above in the Club World Cup.

Palmer is now Chelsea’s main man. He’s on penalties, plays almost every minute, and has a stronger team behind him this season with better service and more attacking threat around him. If Chelsea improve like many expect, Palmer should go close.

At 20/1 with four places each way, this is a bet with a high ceiling and a solid chance of placing even if Haaland runs away with it.

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