Porto vs Benfica Preview and 7/1 Bet Builder | Portuguese Cup

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Lucio Pollice

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Match Info
  • Fixture: Porto vs Benfica

  • Competition: Taca de Portugal (Quarter-final)

  • Date: 14 January 2026

  • Kick-off: 20:45 (UK time)

  • Venue: Estádio do Dragão

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Teams Form and Stats

Porto
Porto come into this O Clássico riding a wave of momentum across all competitions. Their 4-1 demolition of Famalicão in the previous round underlined their attacking efficiency at the Dragão, where they have now won 12 of their last 14 matches this season. Francesco Farioli’s side have built their title charge on defensive control and relentless pressing, with seven consecutive wins in all competitions reinforcing their status as the dominant force in Portugal at present.

Sitting six points clear at the top of the Primeira Liga at the halfway stage, Porto will view the Taca de Portugal as a realistic path to another domestic trophy, particularly after last season’s early exit. They are unbeaten in their last three cup ties at home and have already eliminated top-flight opposition in this competition.

Benfica
Benfica arrive under more pressure following their midweek Taca da Liga semi-final defeat to Braga, a result that ended a 22-match unbeaten domestic run. While they remain competitive, recent performances have lacked defensive stability, and they now sit ten points behind Porto in the league standings.

Despite this, the Eagles have been strong on the road, winning six of their last eight away matches in all competitions. With the Taca de Portugal representing their most realistic route to silverware this season, motivation will not be an issue, especially given they have not lifted this trophy for nine years.

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Team News

Porto remain without Luuk de Jong, Nehuén Pérez and Tomás Pérez due to long-term injuries, while Francisco Moura is a doubt and Zaidu Sanusi is still away at AFCON. Samu continues to impress, scoring nine goals in his last seven appearances.

Benfica will be without captain Nicolás Otamendi due to suspension, while Antonio Silva is a doubt. Alexander Bah, Nuno Félix, Bruma, Dodi Lukébakio and Samuel Soares all remain sidelined. Pavlidis is the key attacking threat, having scored eight goals in his last five matches.

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Predicted Starting XI

Porto (4-3-3):
C. Ramos; Fernandes, Kiwior, Bednarek, A. Costa; Froholdt, Rosario, Mora; Pepe, Samu, Sainz

Benfica (4-2-3-1):
Trubin; Dedić, T. Araújo, A. Silva, Dahl; Ríos, M. Silva; Sudakov, Barreiro, Aursnes; Pavlidis

Game Prediction

Porto’s home dominance and superior form give them the edge, but Benfica’s attacking quality should ensure they get on the scoresheet. With both sides regularly starting fast and finishing strong, goals in each half look likely, while Samu’s current scoring run makes him the standout anytime scorer.

Correct Score Prediction: Porto 3-1 Benfica

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TipMan Bet Builder and Reasoning

Porto to win
Porto hold a clear situational advantage going into this quarter-final. Their overall form has been stronger, they have been consistently reliable at the Estádio do Dragão this season, and they appear more settled heading into a high-pressure knockout tie. Benfica also arrive off the back of a recent domestic cup setback and with defensive disruption, which increases the likelihood of them conceding at key moments. In a one-off cup match at Porto’s home ground, the hosts look best placed to progress.

Both teams to score (BTTS)
Even if Porto control large spells of the match, Benfica retain enough attacking quality to get on the scoresheet. Their ability to threaten in transition and exploit spaces left by Porto’s aggressive home approach makes a Benfica goal plausible. In a high-stakes clássico, both sides are expected to play with intensity rather than caution, which further supports the BTTS angle.

A goal scored in each half
Matches of this magnitude often begin at a high tempo, driven by emotion, pressing and early momentum. As the game develops, tactical adjustments, fatigue and changing match states tend to create further openings after the interval. This points towards a goal before the break and additional scoring in the second half as the tie opens up.

Samu to score anytime
Samu arrives in strong scoring form and remains Porto’s most reliable attacking outlet. His central role in Porto’s build-up and finishing phases makes him a natural focal point in a home knockout tie. If Porto deliver the expected performance, the likelihood of their leading striker getting on the scoresheet increases significantly. This selection also aligns well with a multi-goal match scenario.

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