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Norway Women vs Italy Women – Bet Builder Tip EURO 2025 (5/1)

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Tyler Smith

a qualified sports journalist with a passion for Formula 1 and American sports, bringing sharp insight and informed betting analysis to every race weekend.

Published Date: July 15, 2025 7:00 PM

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Match Info

Date: Wednesday 16 July 2025
Kick-off: 8pm BST
Venue: Stade de Genéve, Switzerland
Odds: Just over 5/1 with Betfair

Norway and Italy come into this UEFA Women’s Euro’s Quarter-Final tie in very different places. Norway enter the tie having won 3 out of 3 group stage matches, scoring 8 but also conceding 5 goals in the process. Ultimately, every time they have just been too good for their opponents even in closer games. Italy on the other hand, come into this game having finished 2nd in their group, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. It has been less than vintage for the Italians but being in a group with Spain meant that 2nd place was always going to be the realistic target to progress to the knockouts. They do however, come into the tie as slight favourites over their Norwegian counterparts.

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Norway Women v Italy Women – 5/1 Bet Builder Tip

✅ Both Teams to Score – YES

Norway have shown they are highly capable scorers in this Euro’s, having score a minimum of 2 goals in each match so far. They have also shown they are prone to conceding goals too, with Italy registering in all of their games so far in this competition.

✅ Over 2.5 Goals

Following on from the previous selection, I would expect the goals to be busy in this match. Norway have been involved with a 2-1, 2-1 and 4-3 this tournament. Italy a lot more conservative in score lines, but the nature of both sides should lead to goalscoring opportunities.

✅ Ada Hegerberg – 1 or more Shots on Target

Ada Hegerberg is one of the stars of the Norway national team. The first women’s Ballon D’or winner in 2018, Ada is now 30 years old but still sits with bags of quality. She has only scored 1 goal in this competition so far but was rested in the 3rd game of the tournament with Norway already being comfortable. If Norway are to compete in this game, you would think Ada will showcase her talent and get a SOT.

✅ Cristiana Girelli – 1 or more Shots on Target

Cristiana Girelli needs no introduction. She is a legend of the Italian Women’s game having made over 100 international appearances and over 50 national team goals. Also having over 200 club goals in her career too. Despite her age at 35, Girelli is still more than capable of contributing at this level, having started ⅔ games and having scored 1 goal. If she starts, we like the price of her to have a SOT.

✅ 8 or more corners

Matches involving Norway in this tournament have averaged 11.4 corners per game. Games involving Italy in this tournament have averaged 10.6 corners per game. 8 or more corners provides us with a good buffer.

✅ Norway to have 4 or more SOT

Norway have had 7, 3 and 7 Shots on Target in their first 3 games of the tournament showing a pattern as to how they like to play and operate. While Italy will be a sterner test to what they have faced, we expect this pattern to continue.

Combined Odds: Just over 5/1 with selected bookies at the time of writing.

Predicted Lineups & Team News

Norway (4-2-3-1):
Fiskerstrand
Woldvick, Mjelde, Harviken, Hansen
Naalsund, Risa
Bizet, Manuum, Gaupset
Hegerberg
Italy (5-4-1)
Giuliani
Oliviero, Lenzini, Salvai, Linari, Boattin
Cantore, Giugliano, Caruso, Bonansea
PiemonteLine-up source: WhoScored predicted XI with average match ratings included

✅ Norway Team News
- Marit Lund will miss this match after being sent off against Iceland.
- Signe Gaupset could be the one to watch for Norway in this match after she scored two and assisted two in the last match.
✅ Italy Team News
- There are no known injuries.
- Expect a fairly unchanged side.
- Arianna Caruso has been a key player for Italy so far in this tournament.

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