NFL MVP 2025/26 Season: Preview, Prediction & Analysis

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Tyler Smith

An enthusiastic sports writer with a passion for Football, American Sports and Formula 1, bringing sharp insight and informed betting analysis to every weekend.

Published Date: August 20, 2025 9:42 PM

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Award Overview

Award: NFL MVP
Season: 2025/26 Season
Previous winner: Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills

Award Overview

The NFL is back in town with the ‘greatest show on turf’ coming back for its 106th season. The prestigious NFL MVP Award, being the prized possession for individuals, will be finding a home for the 68th time this year and to a 70th winner overall, with some years having resulted in co-winners.

The NFL MVP is a historical award that signifies the ‘Most Valuable Player’ during the regular season of the NFL Season, which now runs for a 17 game long season.

The award is voted upon by a panel of 50 sportswriters at the end of the regular season, before the playoffs, though the results are not announced to the public until the day before the Super Bowl. The sportswriters chosen regularly follow the NFL, and remain mostly consistent from year to year.

For the players, while you want to win the Superbowl, individual accolades such as the MVP award can actually define a persons legacy within the sport and in some regards, etch themselves into the Hall of Fame despite not winning the grand team prize. 32 teams each year compete for that 1 trophy and some organisations such as the Buffalo Bills, have never been able to reach the top of the mountain and win the superbowl.

However, in recent years it has been recognised that the MVP award has turned into a quarterback award, with the honour being given to a QB every year for the last 12 years, despite in some instances other positions being of more ‘value’ to the overall success.

In this article, we look at the past winners of the award, the trends as spoken about above and also give Tipmans prediction to win the award, a dark horse AND an outsider.

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Previous Winners

2024: Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills
2023: Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens
2022: Patrick Mahomes, QB,Kansas City Chiefs
2021: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
2020: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
2019: Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens
2018: Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs
2017: Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
2016: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons
2015: Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers
2014: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
2013: Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Bronco’s
2012: Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings
2011: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers
2010: Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
2009: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis Colts
2008: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis Colts
2007: Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots
2006: LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, San Diego Chargers
2005: Shaun Alexander, RB, Seattle Seahawks

Josh Allen was the latest winner of the 2025 award in a somewhat controversial decision by the voters. Allen, the QB for the Buffalo Bills, produced a fantastic season but was actually slightly below the key statistics that are taken into account, with Lamar Jackson showing more, admittedly with more weapons to use.

This was almost role reversal for the previous year, 2024, where Allen was probably more deserving statistically for the award over Jackson, but Lamar Jackson won the 2024 MVP. As you can see, there is an element of politics in the voting and ultimately it comes down to what you define as the ‘Most valuable’.

Does this have to be value but on a winning side?

Does it have to be value overall?

Do you need to have less resources to overperform your value?

All considerations we have taken when we look at our Winner, darkhorse and outsider selections.

Tipman's Winner, Darkhorse and outsider selections

Winner – Joe Burrow @ 6/1
Dark Horse – Jayden Daniels @ 9/1
Outsider – Baker Mayfield @ 22/1

Joe Burrow @ 6/1

6/1

The joint second favourite in the bookies market, Joe Burrow provides some immense value. Joe Burrow quite simply is one of the purest passers of the football in the league. He is fundamentally sound biomechanically, he is able to read defences on a level we have not seen since Tom Brady was in the league and he has absolute stars all over his offence. A big consideration when selection our favourite for the award is offensive talent. In 2024, Lamar Jackson won it with a good cast of receivers but nothing generational. In 2025, Josh Allen won the award with some key pieces, but lesser quality than some of the other teams. However, while it would be easy to sit here and say that Jamar Chase (one of the NFL's star receivers) & Tee Higgins (another massive WR star) could devalue the 'Most Valuable' part of the award, I actually expect it to work in his favour. We all know how good these Wide Receivers are, but Burrow is still the person that needs to deliver the ball to them on a regular occurrence. Offensively, the Bengals are usually ranked around 7th-10th and seem capable of scoring 30+ points on any given Sunday. It is defensively that Burrow and the team was let down last year, ranking poorly and giving up just as many points as they scored which Burrow ultimately cant do much about. While we expect the defence to be a little better, we still expect Burrow to HAVE to score big to be able to win matches which statistically should work well for this award.

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Jayden Daniels @ 9/1

9/1

We LOVE watching Jayden Daniels play football. The 2024 2nd overall pick to the Washington Commanders lived up to all the hype last year, producing a stellar season that got Washington to a 12-5 record, finishing 2nd in the NFC East just behind the Eagles and eventually managing to reach the conference championship where they got beaten convincingly by the eventual champions, Philadelphia Eagles. In his rookie season, he posted stats of 25 regular season passing touchdowns, 6 rushing touchdowns and also 9 interceptions. Daniels dynamism with both passing and rushing made him incredibly hard to gameplan for and as such, he led his team beyond all expectations. Heading into this season, the expectations suddenly become a lot harder for Daniels, reflected in his price, but we still like him as a dark horse because of his duel threat. However, a bring contributor to his chances will be the worrying situation with star receiver Terry McLaurin, who is currently holding out and refusing to practice until he receives a new contract. Without him, the offence becomes a lot more stagnant. With him, Daniels has his man and the term 'value' comes back to importance.

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Baker Mayfield @ 22/1

22/1

Finally, we have our outsider selection in Baker Mayfield. Baker, a college Heisman winner (college equivalent of the MVP award), has had a rollercoaster ride of a career so far. Entering into the NFL as the number 1 overall pick, all expectation was for Mayfield to grab his then team, the Cleveland Browns, by the horns and turn them into an established team of which could progress on forward. However, this did not turn out as expected. Just 3 years into his contract, he was deemed expendable and traded in 2022 to the Carolina Panthers for a conditional 5th round draft pick. Just 5 months later Mayfield was on the move again to the Los Angeles Rams after being released by the Panthers. This 5 game spell at the rams rejuvenated his career and later signed a 1 years contract with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as a prove it deal and prove it he did, signing a 3 year deal worth up to $100m. Last season, Mayfield threw for 41 touchdowns but also accounted for 16 interceptions, a stat he would like to reduce. This is seriously impressive when you consider Tampa was without one of their star receivers, Chris Godwin. Looking ahead to this year, Mike Evans is fit and healthy, Godwin is back and healthy, RB Bucky Irving will be looking to continue his development in this team without even considering offensive pieces such as Jalen McMillan and Emeka Egbuka, a WR drafted out of Ohio State who could be a steal of a selection. With all of this considered, it would not be a surprise to see Baker Mayfield being productive and re-discover some of his college success, both on an individual level and also as a team. We like this selection as an outsider for the price and potential.

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Timeline: When MVP Will Be Announced

The NFL MVP award is not decided at the end of the regular season but revealed as part of the league’s showpiece celebration, NFL Honors. This annual awards ceremony typically takes place on the Thursday before the Super Bowl, giving the finalists maximum spotlight before the biggest game of the year.

For the 2025 season, that means the MVP winner will be announced in late January or early February 2026, just days before Super Bowl LX. The award itself is voted on by a panel of 50 Associated Press (AP) voters, with ballots cast at the conclusion of the regular season and tallied ahead of NFL Honors. Importantly, postseason performances are not considered — meaning a player’s case must be built entirely on the 17-game regular season.

The run-up to the announcement usually follows a familiar rhythm:

Late December – Week 17/18: MVP frontrunners are clear, and sportsbooks react with significant line movement.
Early January: Regular season concludes, ballots are cast immediately afterwards.
Mid-January: Playoff narratives begin, but MVP chatter continues, especially if candidates are still in the postseason.
Super Bowl Week: NFL Honors airs live in primetime, where the MVP and other major awards (Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Coach of the Year) are revealed.

This timeline keeps the MVP race in the headlines for weeks after the regular season, fuelling betting markets and debate right up until the trophy is handed out on stage.

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Where to Watch the NFL in the UK

Sky Sports
Sky Sports remains the premier destination for live NFL coverage in the UK. Their dedicated channel, Sky Sports NFL, broadcasts Thursday Night Football, Sunday evening games (two per week), Sunday Night Football, and Monday Night Football — typically late at night or early morning for UK viewers.

Channel 5
Channel 5 (free-to-air) offers live coverage of Monday Night Football, along with a weekly highlights show.

ITV
ITV screens select London Games and the Super Bowl, plus weekly highlights, accessible across the UK via ITV, STV (Scotland), and UTV (Northern Ireland).

DAZN (NFL Game Pass)
For fans seeking full-season access, DAZN’s NFL Game Pass is the go-to. It offers over 250 regular season games, playoffs, the Super Bowl (live and on-demand), preseason, condensed replays, and RedZone — all available on multiple devices.

U.S. Standard NFL Game Times (Eastern vs. Pacific)

Sunday Afternoon (“Early Window”)
- East/Central games kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET (10:00 a.m. PT).
Sunday Afternoon (“Late Window”)
- West Coast games start between 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET (1:05–1:25 p.m. PT).
Prime Time Games
- Sunday Night Football: ~8:20 p.m. ET
- Monday Night Football: ~8:15 p.m. ET (note possible flex scheduling).

Weekly Schedule Breakdown

Sunday

1:00 p.m. ET: Early afternoon games (East)
4:05–4:25 p.m. ET: Late afternoon games (West)
8:20 p.m. ET: Sunday Night Football

Thursday Night Football

Typically at 8:15 p.m. ET; some games may be flexed later in the season.

Friday NFL Games

Not part of the regular season schedule. However, Friday games do occur in:
- Preseason: Occasionally broadcast on Fridays.
- Late-Season / Week 17–18 Adjustments: Sometimes scheduled due to flex or special circumstances.

Monday Night Football

Scheduled for approximately 8:15 p.m. ET, with flexibility starting Week 12.

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Overseas Games This Season: New Venues, Countries & Fixtures

The 2025 season is the most ambitious yet for the NFL’s international expansion, with seven regular-season games spread across five different countries. Two new nations join the schedule — Ireland and Spain — alongside returning venues in Brazil, the UK, and Germany.

New Host Countries & Venues

Ireland: First-ever NFL regular-season game hosted at Croke Park, Dublin.
Spain: Debut NFL fixture at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid.
Returning hosts include Brazil (Arena Corinthians, São Paulo), the UK (Wembley and Tottenham Hotspur Stadiums), and Germany (Olympiastadion, Berlin).

2025 International Schedule – Fixtures

Week 1 – Friday, September 5: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers at Arena Corinthians, São Paulo, Brazil.
Week 4 – Sunday, September 28: Minnesota Vikings vs Pittsburgh Steelers at Croke Park, Dublin, Ireland.
Week 5 – Sunday, October 5: Minnesota Vikings vs Cleveland Browns at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, UK.
Week 6 – Sunday, October 12: Denver Broncos vs New York Jets at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, UK.
Week 7 – Sunday, October 19: Los Angeles Rams vs Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium, London, UK.
Week 10 – Sunday, November 9: Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts at Olympiastadion, Berlin, Germany.
Week 11 – Sunday, November 16: Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid, Spain.

Why 2025 Stands Out

A record-breaking seven international games, the most in NFL history.
Expansion into new markets with Ireland and Spain both hosting for the first time.
London remains central with three fixtures, while Germany and Brazil continue as key growth territories.
The season opener in Brazil is held on a Friday, a rare scheduling quirk made possible by being outside traditional U.S. Friday football restrictions.

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