Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Thursday 2nd April

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Zoë Jayne Beard

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Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Thursday 2nd April

It’s a busy day of racing across Kelso, Chepstow, Southwell and more, and as always we’ve picked out our NAP of the Day, Dark Horse, and a strong Lucky 15 for today’s racing.

We’re focusing on course form, handicap marks, trainer form and jockey bookings to find the best value on the card.

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Todays NAP of the Day

19 Apr 16:53 - Geely Leamington Spa Novices' Handicap Chase - Stratford
19 Apr 16:53
Geely Leamington Spa Novices' Handicap Chase - Stratford

Pure Carbon

J: Paul O'Brien T: Harry Derham
Race Winner
15/8

Reason for Tip

Small field race here in the penultimate race at Stratford and the one to beat very much looks to be Pure Carbon from the Derham yard. Two wins over fences this season and wasn’t far away when third at Ascot last month. This is very much a weaker race today and Pure Carbon remains on a workable mark and should go very well again here in suited conditions. The rest of the field have marks to defy or breaks to overcome and Pure Carbon is primed and ready to go on a proven mark. Yard and jockey both have strong records at Stratford and have won over a quarter of races when combining here. Pure Carbon looks a very likely victor today.

⭐ NAP of the Day

Lovely bred youngster from the Johnston yard who ran a cracker on debut when finishing a close second before going one better at Wolverhampton last time out, winning in fine style. She looks the most unexposed horse in this race and remains open to plenty of improvement.

She has a decent draw in stall 4 today and quite frankly not much in this field looks capable of matching her on paper. This looks like a very good opportunity for Espanita to follow up on handicap debut. Callum Shepherd is in great form and this looks a strong booking.

Everything points towards a big run here and the price may shorten before the off.

Tip: Espanita – 13/8

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Todays Dark Horse

19 Apr 13:58 - George Wood Years Of Service Mares' Maiden Hurdle - Stratford
19 Apr 13:58
George Wood Years Of Service Mares' Maiden Hurdle - Stratford

Miss Denver

J: Toby McCain-Mitchell T: N&W Twiston-Davies
Race Winner
22/1

Reason for Tip

One of the more unexposed types in the race with only three starts to her name and whilst the first two runs were ones to forget, showed more of what is to be expected lto when fourth. This six year old is bred to be much better than those first two starts and so the run last time was very encouraging and may be a springboard to much better today. Will be fine over this trip and should act on this ground. There is a short priced fav at the head of the market who is a little complicated and so looks vulnerable. 22/1 is a big price and based on what Miss Dancer has shown but she’s open to much more progress than most of this field, from a respected yard and has a good jockey aboard in Toby. Bred for better, will we see that today?

🎯 Dark Horse

The Jad Factor can be difficult to predict, but he is more than capable on his day and looks well handicapped at present. His last five runs read P114P, which sums up his inconsistency, but there are reasons to believe he could bounce back today.

He may have found the 2m7f trip too far last time out and now drops back to 2m5f, which looks much more suitable. He has course form, having won here last year, and the ground conditions are fine.

The yard are flying at the moment with a 43% strike rate in the last month, and with Patrick Wadge booked, there are plenty of positives. In a race that doesn’t look overly strong, he could easily outrun his odds.

Tip: The Jad Factor – 9/1

Todays Lucky 15

19 Apr 14:33 - Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap Hurdle - Stratford
19 Apr 14:33
Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap Hurdle - Stratford

East Eagle

J: Charlie Maggs T: M E Sowersby
Race Winner
6/1

Reason for Tip

Largely consistent six year old with form of 41432 and looks to still be well treated and on a very workable mark. This trip is bang in the middle of this horses range and so no concerns on that front and will act on this ground. This race is pretty open and there is question marks over a few at the head of the market here whereas we are sure to get another good run from this six year old and this looks a very winnable race. Charlie Maggs retains the ride and that’s no negative, has a good record here for an apprentice and he is riding brilliantly at the moment with a strikerate north of 20% for the last two months. Good chance for East Eagle to notch another win today.

19 Apr 15:00 - Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Handicap - Curragh
19 Apr 15:00
Final Furlong Podcast With 1xBet.ie Handicap - Curragh

Alnofoor

J: Colin Keane T: C O'Connell
Race Winner
5/1

Reason for Tip

Might be an eight year old, but Alnofoor is in the form of his life. Returned from a four year break last year and ran moderately on the AW at Dundalk but has found a new lease of life on turf the last twice with wins at Navan and Bellewstown and has looked better each time. Has to be respected today here at The Curragh as he’s still very low mileage and open to plenty of improvement, particularly with Colin Keane in the saddle today. Has a wide draw but plenty of early speed and the forecasted soft ground is ideal. Yard and jockey have a good record together and Alnofoor looks to have a very realistic chance of completing the hattrick today.

19 Apr 16:28 - Core Bullion Traders Handicap Chase - Tramore
19 Apr 16:28
Core Bullion Traders Handicap Chase - Tramore

Sammy Smart

J: Darragh O'Keefe T: T Gibney
Race Winner
7/2

Reason for Tip

Ten year old Sammy Smart looks set for a big run today dropped right back in class from the Listed event lto when fourth. Shed maiden at Punchestown in December and makes course debut at Tramore today. Seems to have a big preference for going right handed so should take to this course and Darragh knows the track well which will help Sammy Smart get round well. Remains on a competitive mark and there is lots in this race who don’t really look to have a chance. Conditions are ideal for this ten year old today and with a top jockey aboard in Darragh, could be hard to peg back here. Likely winner.

19 Apr 17:12 - Kalm Club Keep Calm & Gallop On Handicap Hurdle - Plumpton
19 Apr 17:12
Kalm Club Keep Calm & Gallop On Handicap Hurdle - Plumpton

Notnowlinda

J: Harry Skelton T: Dan Skelton
Race Winner
3/1

Reason for Tip

Out of sorts at the tail end of last year in Class 3 company and form wasn’t pretty reading. However, has turned a corner in cheekpieces and ran a very good race lto at Uttoxeter when a close third and looks set for a big run in a weak race today. Headgear retained, this is a very solid trip for this horse and does act on good ground. Might be a nine year old, but she’s a well handicapped one and represents a major yard with a fantastic jockey aboard in stable jockey Harry. Yard don’t have the sharpest record at this course, but they are very much in form currently and it won’t take Notnowlinda a great deal of encouragement to return to winning ways at Plumpton today. Great chance.

🍀 Lucky 15 Tips Today

Here are today’s Lucky 15 selections:

Horse Race Odds
Smoke Trail 2.40 Kelso 10/3
Supreme George 3.00 Chepstow 3/1
So You Know 4.07 Chepstow 3/1
Fortunate Star 6.48 Southwell 4/1

Lucky 15 Analysis

Smoke Trail returns to Kelso where he won on debut and can be forgiven for a poor run last time out at Newbury on handicap debut. This race looks weaker and a return to this track could spark improvement.

Supreme George has been very consistent over hurdles and completed a hat-trick earlier in the season. He has continued to run well despite higher weights and should be competitive again here.

So You Know looks one of the most unexposed runners in the race and has form figures of 122 since a disappointing debut. This looks a very good opportunity to get his head in front.

Fortunate Star has been in excellent form with two wins and a second recently and was unlucky not to complete a hat-trick last time out. He is now 5lb better off with the horse that beat him and looks set to reverse the form.

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Tipmans's Final Word

There looks to be some good opportunities on today’s card, with Espanita standing out as the best bet of the day, while The Jad Factor looks a solid each-way price in the Dark Horse slot.

The Lucky 15 looks strong on paper and could return well if a couple go in.

Good luck if you’re having a bet today.


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