Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Thursday 19th February

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Zoë Jayne Beard

Published Date: February 19, 2026 12:00 AM

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Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Thursday 19th February

Our free horse racing tips for Thursday 19th February are locked in, with a strong-looking Lucky 15, a confident NAP of the Day, and a big-priced Dark Horse who could easily outrun odds.

We’re targeting value across Thurles, Sedgefield, Huntingdon and Newcastle, with several runners who look well treated on the figures and ideally placed in weaker contests.

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Todays NAP of The Day

27 Jun 19:25 - Choice Training Handicap - Lingfield
27 Jun 19:25
Choice Training Handicap - Lingfield

Rogue Bullet

J: Jack Callan T: James Owen
Race Winner
6/5

Reason for Tip

Rogue Bullet enters the 7:25 Choice Training Handicap at Lingfield riding a wave of immense momentum following a highly successful transfer to trainer James Owen. The son of Mehmas delivered a sparkling, dominant performance on his stable debut just six days ago, surging to a comfortable victory over five and a half furlongs at Brighton. Although he shoulders a standard five pound penalty for that recent triumph, the sheer authority of that performance indicates he remains significantly ahead of the handicapper. The strategic booking of three pound claimer Jack Callan brilliantly offsets the majority of that weight penalty, maintaining the gelding’s distinct competitive advantage. Rogue Bullet is clearly thriving in his new environment and possesses proven form on synthetic surfaces. Bursting with confidence and tactical speed, he is beautifully positioned to secure immediate back-to-back victories.

6/5
59/50
10/11
10/11
10/11
1/1
10/11
1/1
⭐ NAP of the Day

Factual

5.00 Newcastle – 1/1
T: Andrew Balding | J: Callum Hutchinson

Factual looks the standout bet on today’s card and is taken to return to winning ways. A classy debut winner at Salisbury, the form from that race has worked out exceptionally well since, with multiple subsequent winners emerging from behind.

He returned from a seven-month break when finishing a solid second at Lingfield last time out and clearly shaped as though he’d improve significantly for the run. Dropping back in class here, drawn well in stall 3, and representing a Balding yard in excellent form, Factual looks primed to strike.

Callum Hutchinson is a notable booking and the yard’s record at Newcastle is strong, particularly when this jockey is involved. With natural progression expected, Factual looks the one to beat.

NAP rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Todays Dark Horse

27 Jun 19:35 - Congratulations Dan & Grace Handicap - Chepstow
27 Jun 19:35
Congratulations Dan & Grace Handicap - Chepstow

Stardancer

J: Georgia Dobie T: C G Cox
Race Winner
10/1

Reason for Tip

Stardancer, a beautifully bred four-year-old grey gelding by Dark Angel, looks dangerously well-handicapped heading into the 7:35 Congratulations Dan & Grace Handicap at Chepstow. Trained by Clive Cox, he made a highly encouraging seasonal reappearance at Nottingham last month following a lengthy ten-month absence and beneficial wind surgery. Although finishing sixth, he traveled smoothly for a long way, heavily implying he needed the outing to strip fitter and shake off residual rustiness. Prior to his break, Stardancer was a model of consistency, logging excellent placed efforts on the all-weather. Now dropping to an official rating of 74 and partnered with Georgia Dobie, he finds himself in an exceptionally winnable Class 5 turf contest. With his crucial comeback run securely behind him, Stardancer is poised to bounce back to peak form and deliver a prominent showing at a price that looks generous.

10/1
7/1
8/1
15/2
44/5
9/1
9/1
17/2
🎯 Dark Horse

Fleurman

3.57 Newcastle – 16/1
T: P Morris | J: Gina Mangan

Fleurman is far from a forlorn hope at a big price. A previous C&D winner off a mark 12lb higher, he’s shown signs of returning to form since switching yards and ran an encouraging third last time out.

This is a tougher race, but his current mark gives him a real shout, especially with Gina Mangan aboard, who boasts an excellent record at Newcastle. At 16/1, he’s capable of sneaking into the places or better.

Todays Lucky 15

27 Jun 13:40 - Education Network Handicap - Newcastle
27 Jun 13:40
Education Network Handicap - Newcastle

Caviar Cowboy

J: Luke Morris T: J R Fanshawe
Race Winner
6/1

Reason for Tip

Caviar Cowboy enters Saturday’s 1:40 assignment representing the astute James Fanshawe yard in exceptional heart. While initially noted in preliminary discussions for Newmarket, official declarations confirm his placement in Newcastle’s fiercely competitive Class 2 Education Network Handicap over seven furlongs. This progressive three-year-old colt by Zoustar possesses a highly dependable profile, highlighted by a dominant April victory at Lingfield and a remarkably tenacious second place finish in a thirteen runner Kempton handicap just last month. Demonstrating superb tactical versatility across both standard and slow all-weather surfaces, he remains on an appealing official rating of 86. Paired with the highly experienced Luke Morris and carrying a favourable racing weight, the colt’s willingness to battle strongly positions him for another bold showing. The data firmly suggests Caviar Cowboy is primed to deliver a highly prominent run in this contest.

27 Jun 14:40 - JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap - Newcastle
27 Jun 14:40
JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap - Newcastle

Shrimp Shady

J: Rob Hornby T: A M Balding
Race Winner
7/2

Reason for Tip

Shrimp Shady arrives at the 2:40 JenningsBet Festival Northumberland Vase Handicap at Newcastle as a rapidly improving 4yo with exceptional staying credentials. Trained by Andrew Balding, this son of Mastercraftsman out of a Dalakhani mare boasts a pedigree tailor-made for this demanding trip. He lines up in peak physical condition following a gritty, career best victory in the Chester Plate over a similar distance last month, proving his stamina reserves are vast. Furthermore, his earlier success on the Wolverhampton tapeta confirms his complete comfort on all-weather surfaces. Reunited with jockey Rob Hornby, who understands his rhythm perfectly, the colt remains incredibly well-treated on an official rating of 87. Given his undeniable affinity for synthetic tracks and proven endurance, Shrimp Shady presents a formidable profile and holds outstanding prospects of securing another major victory today.

27 Jun 15:38 - Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap - York
27 Jun 15:38
Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap - York

Draupnir

J: Billy Garrity T: M&D Easterby
Race Winner
17/2

Reason for Tip

Trained by the shrewd Michael and David Easterby operation, Draupnir offers a highly intriguing profile for the 3:38 Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Handicap at York. This four-year-old gelding by the Epsom Derby winner Golden Horn possesses a stamina-laden pedigree that strongly suggests this dramatic step up in distance to one mile and six furlongs will unlock significant underlying potential. Although his recent form figures of 353 have been achieved over shorter trips, his strong-finishing third at Hamilton twelve days ago hinted heavily that a stiffer stamina test is required. With Billy Garritty in the saddle and racing off an attractive official rating of 72, this tactical distance experiment looks exceptionally well-timed. Removing previous headgear, Draupnir is a remarkably durable, consistent performer whose breeding implies he can thrive over this marathon trip, making him a highly compelling prospect.

27 Jun 19:05 - Paving Fields Construction Maiden Handicap - Chepstow
27 Jun 19:05
Paving Fields Construction Maiden Handicap - Chepstow

Thai Princess

J: Callum Hutchinson T: A M Balding
Race Winner
9/4

Reason for Tip

Thai Princess makes a highly anticipated and well-placed transition into handicap company in the 7:05 Paving Fields Construction Maiden Handicap at Chepstow. Representing the elite Andrew Balding stable, this lightly raced three-year-old daughter of Bangkok has demonstrated undeniable flashes of promise during three qualifying runs on all-weather surfaces earlier this spring. Crucially, she returns to the track following a two-month absence and restorative wind surgery—a routine veterinary intervention that frequently sparks immediate, significant performance improvements in young thoroughbreds. Now transitioning to turf and entering Class 6 company off a highly realistic opening mark of 60, she faces her most winnable assignment to date. With Callum Hutchinson taking the ride and the filly stepping slightly up in trip, these converging positive variables suggest Thai Princess is perfectly positioned to take a massive step forward and easily outperform market expectations.

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🍀 Lucky 15 Tips Today

Cappucino

1.32 Thurles – 5/2
T: Liz Doyle | J: Sean Flanagan

Cappucino showed a clear resurgence when finishing second on New Year’s Day and now looks extremely well treated for his handicap chase debut. He’s 10lb better off with Rockbrook from that run and remains unexposed over fences.

This is not a strong race, the ground and trip suit, and Sean Flanagan is a big positive in the saddle. Major player.

Roysse

1.58 Sedgefield – 5/2
T: Ben Pauling | J: Kielan Woods

Roysse has progressed nicely since switching to fences and his third in a warm Aintree novice last time out reads well in this context. This represents a much easier assignment and further improvement is expected.

The Pauling–Woods combination is lethal at Sedgefield and this trip and ground are ideal. Very strong chance.

For Old Times Sake

3.26 Huntingdon – 3/1
T: N P Mulholland | J: R P McLernon

Handicap debutants from this yard always demand respect and this looks a weak enough race for For Old Times Sake to step forward. Previous runs came in stronger company and today’s conditions should suit.

With many rivals carrying doubts, this five-year-old could easily outperform expectations now handicapping. Worth including.

Sedgemoor

7.00 Newcastle – 9/2
T: J Butler | J: Connor Planas

Sedgemoor now finds himself running off a mark of 47 and drops into his first 0–50 handicap. Blinkers are applied for the first time and he’s very well drawn in stall 3, likely to get a prominent position.

The quality of this race is low and off this mark, Sedgemoor is simply too well treated to ignore. Big chance to capitalise.

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Tipmans's Final Word

Thursday’s racing offers plenty of opportunity, with Factual standing out as a confident NAP, a solid Lucky 15 built around well-treated runners, and a Dark Horse who looks overpriced based on past course form.

As always, bet responsibly, play to your stakes, and enjoy the racing.

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