England v Wales Bet Builder Tips

14123

Fraser Bricknell

Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.

Published Date: October 8, 2025 10:31 PM

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England v Wales – Match Info

Date: Thursday, October 9th
Kick-off: 7.45 pm
Venue: Wembley Stadium, London
Competition: International Friendly
TV: ITV 1

England continue their preparations for the 2026 World Cup with an all-British friendly against Wales at Wembley.
Thomas Tuchel’s side are top of World Cup Qualifying Group K and head into this clash full of confidence after their emphatic 5-0 win away to Serbia last month.

Wales, managed by Craig Bellamy, have their eyes firmly on Monday’s crucial qualifier against Belgium, so Tuchel’s men will be strong favourites to record another convincing victory in front of a packed Wembley crowd.

England v Wales Bet Builder
5.77/1

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

England Win

Match Result
2/7

Reason for Tip

England have beaten Wales in each of the last seven meetings conceding just once, including 3–0 at the 2022 World Cup. That run also includes 2–1 at Euro 2016 and 1–0 in 2011. This is a strong historical edge in England’s favour.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Neco Williams 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/4

Reason for Tip

Williams is an aggressive full back and is averaging roughly 1.2–1.3 fouls per 90 this Premier League season. He has also collected multiple cards already, which tracks with a committed style of defending. Facing direct runners like Saka or Gordon increases the foul risk.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Ethan Ampadu 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/7

Reason for Tip

Ampadu sits in the middle of the pitch for Wales and averages around 1.4 fouls per 90 this season. England’s midfield carries plenty of ball carriers and one tactical foul or late challenge is very plausible.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Bukayo Saka to Score or Assist

Player To Score Or Assist
4/6

Reason for Tip

Saka returns to the England squad and remains a high output wide forward for Arsenal. Last Premier League season he spent a lot of the season out injured and still produced 6 goals and 10 assists, and he has started this season with steady contributions as well. That level of end product supports a goal involvement in this fixture. He is likely to be on penalties with Kane absent.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Under 3.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals
4/9

Reason for Tip

Recent England v Wales games competitive have tended to stay under four goals: 3–0 in 2022, 2–1 in 2016 and 1–0 in 2011 all land under 3.5. With Kane a fitness doubt, England may control the game without it becoming a shootout with an out of confidence Ollie Watkins likely to be leading the line.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Eberechi Eze 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target
4/9

Reason for Tip

Eze is in this England squad and is a frequent shooter. So far this Premier League season he has averaged just over one shot on target per match with a healthy shot volume, which supports a single effort on target for England.

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England v Wales Team News & Predicted Line-Ups

England Team News:

Tuchel has omitted Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden and Jack Grealish for this camp, while Cole Palmer and Noni Madueke are injured.
Reece James withdrew mid-week, and Harry Kane is unlikely to feature after missing training with an ankle knock.
That opens the door for Ollie Watkins and Eberechi Eze to impress.

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Spence, Stones, Burn, Lewis-Skelly; Anderson, Henderson; Rice, Eze, Saka; Watkins.

Wales Team News:

Dan James and Aaron Ramsey have both withdrawn through injury, and Bellamy is expected to rest several senior players ahead of Monday’s qualifier with Belgium.

Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): A. Davies; Kpakio, Cabango, B. Davies, Dasilva; Sheehan, J. James; Koumas, Wilson, Brooks; Moore.

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Key Match Stats

  • England have won their last seven matches against Wales

  • England have kept seven clean sheets in a row in competitive games

  • Nine of England’s last 11 wins have been by two goals or more

  • Wales have failed to score in three straight friendlies

  • Wales have lost their last seven fixtures versus England

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England v Wales Bet Builder Tips

England to Win

England have dominated this fixture, winning seven successive meetings against Wales by an aggregate score of 14-1. They were 3-0 winners when the sides met at the 2022 World Cup, and Tuchel’s team look well-set to extend that streak.
The Three Lions have also won nine of their last 11 competitive matches by two goals or more, keeping seven clean sheets in a row. With home advantage and far greater depth, another routine England win looks the most likely outcome.

Neco Williams – 1+ Foul

Williams averages around 1.3 fouls per 90 minutes this season for Nottingham Forest and is a natural aggressor in defensive duels.
He’s likely to start at left wing-back and face Bukayo Saka, one of the Premier League’s most fouled players last season (1.8 times per game).
That match-up almost guarantees at least one infringement from the Welsh defender.

Ethan Ampadu – 1+ Foul

Deployed as a holding midfielder for both Leeds United and Wales, Ampadu commits 1.4 fouls per 90 on average.
His role at Wembley will involve closing down Declan Rice and Curtis Jones, both adept at drawing contact in midfield.
Ampadu has made at least one foul in 10 of his last 12 starts and looks nailed-on for another.

Bukayo Saka to Score or Assist

Saka remains England’s most reliable creative outlet. He has produced 13 goal contributions (8 goals, 5 assists) in his last 15 appearances for club and country.
He was on target in England’s 3-0 win over Wales in 2022 and has carried that form into this season with Arsenal, averaging 2.3 shots and 0.7 key passes per game.
If he starts on the right flank, another goal involvement feels highly probable.

Under 3.5 Goals

Despite England’s dominance, recent head-to-heads have stayed under this line.
Six of the last seven meetings have produced fewer than four goals, and England’s style under Tuchel has been measured rather than reckless.
With Harry Kane doubtful due to an ankle issue and Wales expected to rotate heavily, a controlled 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline fits both form and logic.

Eberechi Eze – 1+ Shot on Target

Eze offers direct attacking threat whether he starts wide or centrally. He averages 1.2 shots on target per 90 for Crystal Palace this season and tested the keeper in five of his last six appearances for club and country.
With freedom to drift into pockets between the lines, the Palace playmaker should register at least one effort on goal.

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England v Wales Bet Builder
5.77/1

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

England Win

Match Result
2/7

Reason for Tip

England have beaten Wales in each of the last seven meetings conceding just once, including 3–0 at the 2022 World Cup. That run also includes 2–1 at Euro 2016 and 1–0 in 2011. This is a strong historical edge in England’s favour.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Neco Williams 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/4

Reason for Tip

Williams is an aggressive full back and is averaging roughly 1.2–1.3 fouls per 90 this Premier League season. He has also collected multiple cards already, which tracks with a committed style of defending. Facing direct runners like Saka or Gordon increases the foul risk.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Ethan Ampadu 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/7

Reason for Tip

Ampadu sits in the middle of the pitch for Wales and averages around 1.4 fouls per 90 this season. England’s midfield carries plenty of ball carriers and one tactical foul or late challenge is very plausible.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Bukayo Saka to Score or Assist

Player To Score Or Assist
4/6

Reason for Tip

Saka returns to the England squad and remains a high output wide forward for Arsenal. Last Premier League season he spent a lot of the season out injured and still produced 6 goals and 10 assists, and he has started this season with steady contributions as well. That level of end product supports a goal involvement in this fixture. He is likely to be on penalties with Kane absent.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Under 3.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals
4/9

Reason for Tip

Recent England v Wales games competitive have tended to stay under four goals: 3–0 in 2022, 2–1 in 2016 and 1–0 in 2011 all land under 3.5. With Kane a fitness doubt, England may control the game without it becoming a shootout with an out of confidence Ollie Watkins likely to be leading the line.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Eberechi Eze 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target
4/9

Reason for Tip

Eze is in this England squad and is a frequent shooter. So far this Premier League season he has averaged just over one shot on target per match with a healthy shot volume, which supports a single effort on target for England.

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Tipman Match Prediction

Even with rotation, England’s squad depth is immense.
Tuchel will expect another dominant display as he fine-tunes his plans for the 2026 World Cup. Wales, with one eye on Belgium, are unlikely to field their strongest side.
A comfortable England win in a low-scoring game looks the most realistic outcome.

Predicted Score: England 2–0 Wales

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FAQs – England v Wales Bet Builder

When is the game?
Thursday, October 9th at 7.45pm, Wembley Stadium.

Where can I watch it?
Live on ITV1 and streaming on ITVX.

Who manages England and Wales?
Thomas Tuchel leads England, Craig Bellamy manages Wales.

Is Harry Kane playing?
Unlikely. He’s been training separately with an ankle issue.

Who’s missing for England?
Bellingham, Foden and Grealish are rested. Palmer, Madueke and James are out injured.

Will Wales rotate their team?
Yes, they face Belgium in a qualifier four days later.

What happened last time they met?
England won 3-0 at the 2022 World Cup and have beaten Wales seven times in a row.

What’s the Bet Builder?
England to win, Williams 1+ foul, Ampadu 1+ foul, Saka to score or assist, under 3.5 goals, Eze 1+ shot on target.

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England v Wales Bet Builder
5.77/1

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

England Win

Match Result
2/7

Reason for Tip

England have beaten Wales in each of the last seven meetings conceding just once, including 3–0 at the 2022 World Cup. That run also includes 2–1 at Euro 2016 and 1–0 in 2011. This is a strong historical edge in England’s favour.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Neco Williams 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/4

Reason for Tip

Williams is an aggressive full back and is averaging roughly 1.2–1.3 fouls per 90 this Premier League season. He has also collected multiple cards already, which tracks with a committed style of defending. Facing direct runners like Saka or Gordon increases the foul risk.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Ethan Ampadu 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/7

Reason for Tip

Ampadu sits in the middle of the pitch for Wales and averages around 1.4 fouls per 90 this season. England’s midfield carries plenty of ball carriers and one tactical foul or late challenge is very plausible.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Bukayo Saka to Score or Assist

Player To Score Or Assist
4/6

Reason for Tip

Saka returns to the England squad and remains a high output wide forward for Arsenal. Last Premier League season he spent a lot of the season out injured and still produced 6 goals and 10 assists, and he has started this season with steady contributions as well. That level of end product supports a goal involvement in this fixture. He is likely to be on penalties with Kane absent.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Under 3.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals
4/9

Reason for Tip

Recent England v Wales games competitive have tended to stay under four goals: 3–0 in 2022, 2–1 in 2016 and 1–0 in 2011 all land under 3.5. With Kane a fitness doubt, England may control the game without it becoming a shootout with an out of confidence Ollie Watkins likely to be leading the line.

9 Oct 19:45 - England v Wales - International Friendlies
9 Oct 19:45
England v Wales - International Friendlies

Eberechi Eze 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target
4/9

Reason for Tip

Eze is in this England squad and is a frequent shooter. So far this Premier League season he has averaged just over one shot on target per match with a healthy shot volume, which supports a single effort on target for England.

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5.32/1

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New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled...

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£50 IN FREE ACCA BETS
£50 IN FREE ACCA BETS

New customers only. Football Accas only. 5 legs or more. Odds 1/1 or greater. 5 x £10 bet tokens. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets ...

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BET £5 Get £30 in Free Bets
BET £5 Get £30 in Free Bets

New Customer offer - Use promo code YSKAST. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £30 in free bets. Free bet rewards...

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£50 IN FREE BETS TO USE ON BUILDABET
£50 IN FREE BETS TO USE ON BUILDABET

New customers only. Football BuildABet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 5 x £10 Bet tokens. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets for Footb...

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£30 IN FREE BETS
£30 IN FREE BETS

New customers only. First single & E/W bet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 3 X £10 bet tokens. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets exclu...

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BET £5 GET £30

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