Crystal Palace vs Millwall Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips | Carabao Cup Round 3

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Ben Beard

Co-founder of Tipman and a well-known tipster with over a decade of profitable tracked results. Featured on the Racing Post NAPs table, Ben brings proven expertise and sharp racing insight.

Published Date: September 15, 2025 5:37 PM

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Match Preview ⚽

Fixture: Crystal Palace vs Millwall
Competition: Carabao Cup – Third Round
Date & Kick-Off: Tuesday, 16 September 2025 — 20:00 UK Time
Venue: Selhurst Park

South London hosts a fierce derby as Crystal Palace welcome Millwall in the Carabao Cup Third Round. Selhurst Park, famous for its intimidating atmosphere, will be buzzing for this clash. Premier League side Palace enter as favourites, but in cup football, Championship sides like Millwall often relish the chance to cause an upset.

Oliver Glasner’s Palace have looked resolute defensively in the early stages of the Premier League season, conceding very few goals and keeping their structure tight. Millwall, meanwhile, arrive with grit and physicality, traits that often give them an edge in EFL Cup fixtures. This promises to be a match of quality versus tenacity, with bragging rights and progression at stake.

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Team News & Expected Line-Ups 📝

Crystal Palace

Unavailable/Injured: Adam Wharton, Ismaila Sarr
Likely XI (4-2-3-1): Henderson; Clyne, Lacroix, Guehi, Mitchell; Hughes, Lerma; Pino, Esse, Devenny; Mateta

Palace are expected to rotate slightly, but Glasner will still field a strong XI to avoid a potential banana skin. Mateta should start up front, supported by youthful pace from Esse and Pino.

Millwall

Unavailable/Injured: Billy Mitchell, squad depth players sidelined
Likely XI (4-4-2): Benda; Leonard, Taylor, Cooper, Bryan; Neghli, Luongo, Cundle, Emakhu; Ivanovic, Coburn

Joe Edwards’ Millwall side will likely set up with a compact midfield and two hard-working forwards, looking to make the most of counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities.

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Key Battles to Watch ⭐

Mateta vs Millwall’s Centre-Backs: Palace’s main striker has the physicality to dominate aerial duels and the composure to finish — Millwall’s defenders must stay organised.
Midfield Control: Hughes and Lerma will look to dictate tempo and break Millwall’s pressing lines. If Luongo and Cundle can disrupt, Millwall have a chance to gain territory.
Wide Areas: Palace’s pace and overlapping full-backs will test Millwall’s discipline. Breakthroughs down the flanks could decide the contest.

Betting Insights & Predictions 💡

Match Outcome & Odds

Crystal Palace win: Odds-on favourite due to superior quality and home advantage.
Draw: Possible if Millwall successfully stifle Palace and force penalties.
Millwall win: Long-shot value but difficult given Palace’s strength at Selhurst Park.

Goals & Market Picks

Under 3.5 Goals is a strong angle — both sides trend towards tighter games.
Crystal Palace to Win to Nil looks viable given Palace’s clean sheet record and Millwall’s goal struggles.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Less likely, though Millwall could nick one from a set-piece.

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⭐ TipMan Smart Tip ⭐

Crystal Palace to Win & Under 3.5 Goals
Palace’s defensive quality combined with Millwall’s limitations in attack makes this the most logical bet. It balances value with probability and suits the profile of this fixture.

Alternative Value Picks 🎯

Correct Score: Crystal Palace 2–0 Millwall
Anytime Scorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta — Palace’s most reliable attacking outlet
Bet Builder: Palace Win + Under 3.5 Goals + Palace Clean Sheet

Palace v Millwall Article

16 Sep 20:00 - Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

16 Sep 20:00
Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

Crystal Palace Win

Match Result

2/5

Reason for Tip

Palace’s defensive structure underlines their strength, and with Millwall struggling to pose consistent attacking threats, a low-scoring home win feels the logical outcome. Palace have enough quality to secure the victory without this turning into a goal fest, making the win and under 3.5 line an appealing angle.

16 Sep 20:00 - Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

16 Sep 20:00
Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

Under 3.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals

4/9

Reason for Tip

Mateta has been Palace’s most reliable outlet in front of goal, using his strength and movement to trouble defences. Against a Millwall side that will likely sit deep, his ability to take chances inside the box makes him the likeliest scorer on the night.

16 Sep 19:00 - Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

16 Sep 19:00
Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

Jean-Philippe Mateta to Score

Anytime Goalscorer

10/11

Reason for Tip

Palace’s organisation at the back has been excellent, and their ability to control games at Selhurst Park often restricts visiting sides to very few chances. Millwall’s lack of cutting edge further boosts the prospect of a shutout, making a Palace clean sheet a strong play.

16 Sep 19:00 - Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

16 Sep 19:00
Crystal Palace vs Millwall - English League Cup

Crystal Palace Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet

11/10

Reason for Tip

Mateta has been Palace’s most reliable outlet in front of goal, using his strength and movement to trouble defences. Against a Millwall side that will likely sit deep, his ability to take chances inside the box makes him the likeliest scorer on the night.

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TipMan’s Final Verdict 🏆

Crystal Palace’s class and organisation should ultimately prove too strong. Millwall will likely battle hard, but their lack of firepower compared to Premier League quality is telling. Expect a comfortable Palace win, with limited goals.

Predicted Scoreline: Crystal Palace 2–0 Millwall
Best Bet: ⭐ Palace to Win & Under 3.5 Goals ⭐

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Where to Watch Crystal Palace vs Millwall 📺

UK Broadcast: Available on Sky Sports and via streaming on Sky Go.
Europe Coverage: Match will be shown on local broadcasters carrying Carabao Cup rights.
Bookmaker Live Streams: Many leading bookmakers will stream the match live for registered users — check our Free Bets & Bookmaker Offers page for details.
Highlights & Replays: Post-match highlights will be available on Sky Sports, EFL platforms, and both clubs’ official websites.

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FAQs – Palace vs Millwall ⁉

Is Adam Wharton fit for Palace?
No — Wharton remains unavailable, reducing Palace’s central midfield creativity.

What time does Palace vs Millwall kick off?
The match starts at 20:00 UK Time on Tuesday, 16 September 2025.

Where is the match being played?
At Selhurst Park, home of Crystal Palace.

Who are the key players to watch?
For Palace, Mateta’s finishing and Esse’s pace will be decisive. For Millwall, Mihailo Ivanovic’s hold-up play and Emakhu’s direct runs are their best chances of threatening.

What’s the best betting tip for Palace vs Millwall?
The safest and best-value angle is Palace to Win & Under 3.5 Goals, reflecting Palace’s clean sheet ability and Millwall’s scoring limitations.

Could this game go to penalties?
Yes — if Millwall hold Palace to a draw over 90 minutes, it goes straight to penalties. Palace have the edge in quality, but cup ties are unpredictable.

Will both teams score in this game?
History suggests no — Millwall rarely find the net against Premier League opposition, while Palace often keep clean sheets at home.

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