Chelsea vs Benfica Bet Builder Tips and Predictions


Fraser Bricknell
Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.
Published Date: September 29, 2025 10:57 PM


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Chelsea vs Benfica – Match Info
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Date: Tuesday, September 30
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Kick-off: 8pm
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Venue: Stamford Bridge, London
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Competition: Champions League
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TV: TNT Sports 1
Chelsea vs Benfica Preview
Jose Mourinho makes his return to Stamford Bridge on Tuesday night as Benfica manager, with the Portuguese legend aiming to heap further pressure on Enzo Maresca’s struggling Chelsea side.
Mourinho lifted eight trophies across two spells in west London and knows the Bridge better than most. Now he comes back in charge of a Benfica team unbeaten since his arrival earlier this month.
The contrast in form could not be clearer. Chelsea have lost three of their last four, slipping at home to Brighton and away at Manchester United and Bayern Munich. Their only victory in that run came against League One Lincoln in the EFL Cup. Injuries to Cole Palmer, Levi Colwill and Wesley Fofana have left them short of options, while confidence looks low after conceding the opening goal in four of their last five games.
Benfica, meanwhile, are unbeaten in 14 away matches in all competitions and have found the net in 21 of their last 22 on the road. With Mourinho now at the helm, they look a tough nut to crack.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Chelsea Win
Reason for Tip
Chelsea have been difficult to beat at Stamford Bridge in European competition. Benfica have traditionally found results hard to come by when travelling to England. Chelsea’s home advantage makes them favourites in this tie.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Both teams are used to playing in high-scoring matches. Chelsea’s recent fixtures have regularly featured at least two goals, and Benfica also tend to be involved in games with multiple goals. Over 1.5 goals is a realistic expectation.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Matches involving these two clubs usually see a high number of corners. Chelsea often attack with width and deliver plenty of crosses, while Benfica’s counter-attacking style also contributes to corner counts. More than seven corners is a common outcome.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 3.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Benfica matches are typically physical in European competition, with their last five Champions League games producing an average of 4.2 yellow cards. Chelsea themselves picked up 24 bookings across 10 group and knockout games last season, showing discipline is often an issue. Over 3.5 cards is well supported by the stats.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Joao Pedro 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Joao Pedro averages 1.2 shots on target per game in European competition. Whether starting centrally or drifting wide, he is consistent at testing the keeper. He managed at least one shot on target in four of his last five European appearances.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Marc Cucurella 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Cucurella is aggressive in one-on-one duels and often picks up fouls when defending against quick wingers. Given Benfica’s wide players, it is likely he commits at least one foul.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Nicolas Otamendi 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Otamendi is a physical centre-back who plays on the front foot and engages directly with strikers. His style of defending means he often gives away fouls, so committing at least one is a strong possibility.

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Chelsea have won just one of their last five games
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Benfica have lost one of 13 fixtures this season
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Both teams have scored in six of Chelsea’s last seven matches
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Benfica are unbeaten in their last 14 away games
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Chelsea have conceded first in four of their last five games

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Chelsea’s injury list is mounting. Cole Palmer (groin), Levi Colwill (knee), Wesley Fofana (head), Tosin Adarabioyo (calf), Liam Delap (thigh) and Dario Essugo (thigh) are all unavailable. Trevor Chalobah will return from suspension after his red card against Brighton.
Benfica are also missing key players. Manu Silva and Alexander Bah are recovering from ACL injuries, while Bruma is sidelined until next year with a ruptured Achilles.
Predicted Chelsea XI (4-2-3-1): Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Badiashile, Cucurella; Fernandez, Lavia; Estevao, Buonanotte, Garnacho; Pedro.
Predicted Benfica XI (4-2-3-1): Trubin; Dedic, Otamendi, A. Silva, Dahl; Barrenechea, Rios; Lukebakio, Sudakov, Schjelderup; Pavlidis.
Chelsea to Win
Despite recent setbacks, Chelsea remain favourites at home. Stamford Bridge has historically been a tough place to visit in Europe, and Benfica have rarely left England with a positive result. The Blues will be desperate to respond, and home advantage could prove decisive.
Over 1.5 Goals
Both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches this season. Chelsea’s games regularly produce multiple goals, and Benfica’s attacking set-up under Mourinho also creates chances. Two or more goals looks a strong base for this bet.
Over 7.5 Corners
Chelsea create plenty of width through Garnacho and Estevao, while Benfica also attack down the flanks. Both teams’ styles naturally lead to corners, and this line has landed consistently in their recent fixtures.
Over 3.5 Cards
Big Champions League nights often bring a physical edge, and both sides have players willing to make tactical fouls. Chelsea’s recent league defeats have also featured red cards, underlining discipline issues. Four or more cards looks realistic.
Joao Pedro – 1+ Shot on Target
Joao Pedro has quickly emerged as a reliable outlet for Benfica, consistently testing goalkeepers. He finds space between the lines and has registered efforts on target in recent European outings.
Marc Cucurella – 1+ Foul
Cucurella is Chelsea’s most foul-prone player in the league this season, already committing nine fouls. Up against Benfica’s quick wingers, at least one foul is highly likely.
Nicolas Otamendi – 1+ Foul
Otamendi is known for his physical style and rarely shies away from contact. He has given away fouls regularly in both domestic and European competitions, making one or more a strong possibility here.

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Chelsea are under pressure and far from their best, but home advantage and Benfica’s mixed European record point to a competitive clash with plenty of action. Goals, corners, and cards all look likely, while Joao Pedro, Cucurella and Otamendi provide value in the player markets.

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Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Chelsea Win
Reason for Tip
Chelsea have been difficult to beat at Stamford Bridge in European competition. Benfica have traditionally found results hard to come by when travelling to England. Chelsea’s home advantage makes them favourites in this tie.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Both teams are used to playing in high-scoring matches. Chelsea’s recent fixtures have regularly featured at least two goals, and Benfica also tend to be involved in games with multiple goals. Over 1.5 goals is a realistic expectation.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Matches involving these two clubs usually see a high number of corners. Chelsea often attack with width and deliver plenty of crosses, while Benfica’s counter-attacking style also contributes to corner counts. More than seven corners is a common outcome.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 3.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Benfica matches are typically physical in European competition, with their last five Champions League games producing an average of 4.2 yellow cards. Chelsea themselves picked up 24 bookings across 10 group and knockout games last season, showing discipline is often an issue. Over 3.5 cards is well supported by the stats.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Joao Pedro 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Joao Pedro averages 1.2 shots on target per game in European competition. Whether starting centrally or drifting wide, he is consistent at testing the keeper. He managed at least one shot on target in four of his last five European appearances.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Marc Cucurella 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Cucurella is aggressive in one-on-one duels and often picks up fouls when defending against quick wingers. Given Benfica’s wide players, it is likely he commits at least one foul.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Nicolas Otamendi 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Otamendi is a physical centre-back who plays on the front foot and engages directly with strikers. His style of defending means he often gives away fouls, so committing at least one is a strong possibility.

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Chelsea may be under pressure, but home advantage could make the difference. Mourinho’s Benfica will cause problems, yet the Blues have enough quality to edge a close contest.
Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Benfica

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When is Chelsea vs Benfica?
The match takes place on Tuesday, September 30, with kick-off at 8pm.
Where is the game being played?
The match will be played at Stamford Bridge, London.
What channel is Chelsea vs Benfica on?
Fans in the UK can watch live on TNT Sports 1.
What is Jose Mourinho’s record at Stamford Bridge?
Mourinho managed Chelsea across two spells, winning eight trophies including three Premier League titles.
Who is injured for Chelsea?
Cole Palmer, Levi Colwill, Wesley Fofana, Tosin Adarabioyo, Liam Delap and Dario Essugo are all sidelined.
Who is likely to start for Benfica?
Nicolas Otamendi is expected to lead the defence, with Pavlidis spearheading the attack.
What is Tipman’s score prediction?
Chelsea 2-1 Benfica.

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Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Chelsea Win
Reason for Tip
Chelsea have been difficult to beat at Stamford Bridge in European competition. Benfica have traditionally found results hard to come by when travelling to England. Chelsea’s home advantage makes them favourites in this tie.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Both teams are used to playing in high-scoring matches. Chelsea’s recent fixtures have regularly featured at least two goals, and Benfica also tend to be involved in games with multiple goals. Over 1.5 goals is a realistic expectation.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Matches involving these two clubs usually see a high number of corners. Chelsea often attack with width and deliver plenty of crosses, while Benfica’s counter-attacking style also contributes to corner counts. More than seven corners is a common outcome.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Over 3.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
Benfica matches are typically physical in European competition, with their last five Champions League games producing an average of 4.2 yellow cards. Chelsea themselves picked up 24 bookings across 10 group and knockout games last season, showing discipline is often an issue. Over 3.5 cards is well supported by the stats.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Joao Pedro 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Joao Pedro averages 1.2 shots on target per game in European competition. Whether starting centrally or drifting wide, he is consistent at testing the keeper. He managed at least one shot on target in four of his last five European appearances.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Marc Cucurella 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Cucurella is aggressive in one-on-one duels and often picks up fouls when defending against quick wingers. Given Benfica’s wide players, it is likely he commits at least one foul.
Chelsea vs Benfica - Champions League
Nicolas Otamendi 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Otamendi is a physical centre-back who plays on the front foot and engages directly with strikers. His style of defending means he often gives away fouls, so committing at least one is a strong possibility.

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