Aston Villa vs Manchester City Predictions, Betting Tips and Bet Builder
16725Fraser Bricknell
Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.
Published Date: October 25, 2025 9:39 PM
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Date: Sunday 26 October
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Kick-off: 2:00pm
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Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham
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Competition: Premier League
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TV: Sky Sports Main Event
Two sides in very different rhythms meet at Villa Park on Sunday. Aston Villa F.C. are back on home soil after a frustrating midweek European defeat, while Manchester City F.C. arrive with momentum and a clear upward curve in form. Here is our Aston Villa v Man City Bet Builder Tip!
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Man City Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
Aston Villa have beaten Manchester City at Villa Park in each of the last two Premier League seasons, but City have scored in every league game this campaign and remain one of the strongest sides in the division. Backing Draw or Manchester City gives cover against a draw while relying on City’s attacking quality to avoid a third straight defeat at this ground.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Villa have scored eight goals in eight league games this season and have failed to score in four of those fixtures. City, however, have found the net in every match and consistently create chances. With both sides capable of contributing, two or more goals is a fair and realistic line rather than an aggressive one.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
City control possession and regularly rack up high corner counts, especially away from home. Villa are more direct but attack with width at Villa Park, which can add to the corner tally. Eight or more corners is well within reach based on how both teams play.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 2.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
This fixture often involves physical duels in midfield and on the flanks. Villa press aggressively at home and City are not shy of tactical fouls when controlling transitions. A line of three or more cards is sensible given the way these sides match up.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Matty Cash 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Matty Cash plays on the front foot and regularly engages wingers early. Up against City’s wide attackers, there’s a strong chance he’ll be forced into at least one foul to break up play.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Boubacar Kamara 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Kamara screens Villa’s defence and is often the one who halts counter-attacks. City’s midfield rotations force holding players into contact regularly. One foul from him is a logical angle.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Matheus Nunes 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Nunes plays with high energy, closing down space quickly and pressing aggressively. That involvement whether at right back or in midfield battles often results in at least one foul during matches of this intensity.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Erling Braut Haaland 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Haaland is City’s main goal threat and gets multiple chances in most matches. Even in tougher away games, he regularly forces a save. One shot on target is a very reasonable expectation.
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Villa’s winning run came to a halt on Thursday with a 2–1 defeat away to Go Ahead Eagles in the Europa League. It was a reminder of their defensive vulnerability despite a strong domestic recovery. They’ve now conceded in six of their last seven matches in all competitions.
Unai Emery’s side started the Premier League season slowly, failing to score in their first four games, but have since found more balance and structure. They’ve beaten City at Villa Park in their last two league meetings, their best run against them at home in decades. However, fatigue may be a factor here after a demanding European trip and a squad that lacks depth in certain areas.
Manchester City, meanwhile, have been solid. They’ve won their last three league games without conceding and have kept clean sheets in seven of their eight wins in all competitions this season. Their defensive shape has tightened in recent weeks, and their attacking structure remains relentless.
City have also scored in every league match this season, regularly taking control early and forcing teams to chase. Pep Guardiola’s side have opened the scoring in six straight league matches and arrive with Erling Haaland in strong form, scoring in each of their last four Premier League away games.
Aston Villa
Youri Tielemans (calf) and Andrés GarcÃa (muscle) remain unavailable. Lucas Digne is a slight doubt and could be replaced by Ian Maatsen at left-back.
Predicted line-up (4-2-3-1):
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen; Kamara, Onana; Guessand, Rogers, McGinn; Watkins.
Bench: Buendia, Bogarde, Digne, Lindelof, Elliott, Mings.
Manchester City
Rodri remains out with a muscle injury. Nico González could start at the base of midfield. John Stones is fit and expected to partner Rúben Dias, with Josko Gvardiol at left-back.
Predicted line-up (4-1-4-1):
Donnarumma; Nunes, Stones, Dias, Gvardiol; Gonzalez; Doku, Reijnders, Foden, Savinho; Haaland.
Bench: Silva, Kovacic, Marmoush, Ait-Nouri, Bobb.
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Last 6 meetings: Villa 2 | Draw 1 | City 3
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Villa have won their last two home league games against City.
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City have scored in each of the last 10 league meetings.
This fixture has quietly become far more competitive at Villa Park, where City’s last win came in 2022.
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Villa’s home success against City has come through compact mid-blocks, organised pressing and clinical counter-attacks. John McGinn and Morgan Rogers drive transitions, while Ollie Watkins stretches defences.
However, set pieces have been a weak spot — five of their last seven goals conceded have come from dead balls. That’s a danger against a City side with rehearsed routines and aerial threats in Stones, Dias and Haaland.
City will aim to suffocate Villa with sustained possession. Without Rodri, they’ve leaned more on positional rotations from Reijnders and Foden to build control. Erling Haaland’s physical presence remains their most consistent weapon, and he’s scored in all four away league games this season.
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Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Man City Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
Aston Villa have beaten Manchester City at Villa Park in each of the last two Premier League seasons, but City have scored in every league game this campaign and remain one of the strongest sides in the division. Backing Draw or Manchester City gives cover against a draw while relying on City’s attacking quality to avoid a third straight defeat at this ground.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Villa have scored eight goals in eight league games this season and have failed to score in four of those fixtures. City, however, have found the net in every match and consistently create chances. With both sides capable of contributing, two or more goals is a fair and realistic line rather than an aggressive one.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
City control possession and regularly rack up high corner counts, especially away from home. Villa are more direct but attack with width at Villa Park, which can add to the corner tally. Eight or more corners is well within reach based on how both teams play.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 2.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
This fixture often involves physical duels in midfield and on the flanks. Villa press aggressively at home and City are not shy of tactical fouls when controlling transitions. A line of three or more cards is sensible given the way these sides match up.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Matty Cash 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Matty Cash plays on the front foot and regularly engages wingers early. Up against City’s wide attackers, there’s a strong chance he’ll be forced into at least one foul to break up play.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Boubacar Kamara 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Kamara screens Villa’s defence and is often the one who halts counter-attacks. City’s midfield rotations force holding players into contact regularly. One foul from him is a logical angle.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Matheus Nunes 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Nunes plays with high energy, closing down space quickly and pressing aggressively. That involvement whether at right back or in midfield battles often results in at least one foul during matches of this intensity.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Erling Braut Haaland 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Haaland is City’s main goal threat and gets multiple chances in most matches. Even in tougher away games, he regularly forces a save. One shot on target is a very reasonable expectation.
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Manchester City have kept clean sheets in 7 of their 8 wins in all competitions this season.
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Villa have conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
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Haaland has scored in 4 straight Premier League away games.
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Villa are well drilled at home and have recent success against City on this ground, but Guardiola’s side look composed and efficient again. Expect Villa to make this competitive, but City to have enough control to avoid defeat.
Tipman Prediction: Manchester City to win or draw, 2–1 City correct score lean.
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When is Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Sunday 26 October, 2:00pm kick-off.
Where is the match being played?
Villa Park, Birmingham.
Where can I watch it?
Live on Sky Sports Main Event in the UK.
Who’s favourite?
Manchester City are odds-on favourites with the draw second favourite.
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Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Man City Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
Aston Villa have beaten Manchester City at Villa Park in each of the last two Premier League seasons, but City have scored in every league game this campaign and remain one of the strongest sides in the division. Backing Draw or Manchester City gives cover against a draw while relying on City’s attacking quality to avoid a third straight defeat at this ground.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Villa have scored eight goals in eight league games this season and have failed to score in four of those fixtures. City, however, have found the net in every match and consistently create chances. With both sides capable of contributing, two or more goals is a fair and realistic line rather than an aggressive one.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
City control possession and regularly rack up high corner counts, especially away from home. Villa are more direct but attack with width at Villa Park, which can add to the corner tally. Eight or more corners is well within reach based on how both teams play.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Over 2.5 Cards
Reason for Tip
This fixture often involves physical duels in midfield and on the flanks. Villa press aggressively at home and City are not shy of tactical fouls when controlling transitions. A line of three or more cards is sensible given the way these sides match up.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Matty Cash 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Matty Cash plays on the front foot and regularly engages wingers early. Up against City’s wide attackers, there’s a strong chance he’ll be forced into at least one foul to break up play.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Boubacar Kamara 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Kamara screens Villa’s defence and is often the one who halts counter-attacks. City’s midfield rotations force holding players into contact regularly. One foul from him is a logical angle.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Matheus Nunes 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Nunes plays with high energy, closing down space quickly and pressing aggressively. That involvement whether at right back or in midfield battles often results in at least one foul during matches of this intensity.
Aston Villa vs Man City - Premier League
Erling Braut Haaland 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Haaland is City’s main goal threat and gets multiple chances in most matches. Even in tougher away games, he regularly forces a save. One shot on target is a very reasonable expectation.
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