Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace Bet Builder Tips – Premier League


Fraser Bricknell
Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.
Published Date: August 30, 2025 10:10 PM


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Aston Villa welcome Crystal Palace to Villa Park on Sunday evening in the Premier League. Both teams are still looking for their first league win of the season, and recent meetings between the sides have been high-scoring and physical. Villa come into the game with a strong home record, while Palace carry confidence from a dominant head-to-head record over the past 18 months. Here is our Aston Villa v Crystal Palace Bet Builder tip.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Aston Villa Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
Villa finished sixth in the Premier League last season with sixty six points and a goal difference of plus seven. They also come in with a long unbeaten run at Villa Park in all competitions that the club noted as twenty one matches going into this campaign. The last league meeting between these two at Villa Park ended level at two each.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Recent meetings between these sides have cleared two goals comfortably. Palace beat Villa five nil on the final day of 2023 to 2024, Palace won four one in February 2025, and Palace beat Villa three nil in the FA Cup semi-final in April 2025. The Villa Park league game in November 2024 was two two. All four of those examples land over one point five goals.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Across last season Villa averaged just over six corners won per league match and Palace averaged four and a half. That combined baseline sits above ten total corners, which gives headroom over the seven point five line. Early season corner totals also track high for both teams’ games.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Rogers produced twenty shots on target in thirty seven Premier League appearances last season, so roughly one every other game. He also showed end-product in April with the opener against Nottingham Forest. One on target here is a fair ask.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Mateta has started this league season with three shots on target across two matches, which is one point five per game. He also has a strong personal record against Villa, including a hat-trick in the five nil and a goal in the four one.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Mateta is a contact-heavy centre forward. Across the opening two league matches this season he has committed two fouls and is tracking at about one foul per ninety. That profile supports at least one foul.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Matty Cash 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Cash is an aggressive one v one defender. His long-run Premier League average is about one foul per match, and even in a small early-season sample he is committing around half a foul per game. One foul is a sensible line against dribble-heavy wide players.

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Aston Villa
Team news: Ezri Konsa is back from suspension and is expected to return straight into the starting eleven.
Predicted lineup:
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne; Onana, Tielemans; Malen, Rogers, McGinn; Watkins
Crystal Palace
Departures: Eberechi Eze has completed a £67.5 million move to Arsenal. Oliver Glasner confirmed the exit and wished him well.
Arrivals: To replace him, Palace secured Yeremy Pino from Villarreal for around £26 million. The winger is set to take on the creative role left by Eze.
Predicted lineup:
Henderson; Richards, Lacroix, Guehi; Munoz, Wharton, Lerma, Mitchell; Sarr, Devenny; Mateta

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Villa finished 6th last season with 66 points and a +7 goal difference.
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They enter this season with a 21-match unbeaten run at home in all competitions.
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The last league meeting at Villa Park ended 2–2.
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Palace delivered emphatic wins over Villa in recent matches—5–0, 4–1, and 3–0 in FA Cup.
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Villa averaged over 6 corners per game, with Palace adding around 4.5—putting combined corner averages above 10.
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Morgan Rogers recorded 20 shots on target across 37 Premier League apps last season (~1 every other game).
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Jean-Philippe Mateta has already registered 3 shots on target across TWO league matches this season; he scored a hat-trick against Villa last season.
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Mateta is physical—tracking at roughly 1 foul per match, based on early-season stats.
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Matty Cash also averages close to 1 foul per game across his PL career.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Aston Villa Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
Villa finished sixth in the Premier League last season with sixty six points and a goal difference of plus seven. They also come in with a long unbeaten run at Villa Park in all competitions that the club noted as twenty one matches going into this campaign. The last league meeting between these two at Villa Park ended level at two each.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Recent meetings between these sides have cleared two goals comfortably. Palace beat Villa five nil on the final day of 2023 to 2024, Palace won four one in February 2025, and Palace beat Villa three nil in the FA Cup semi-final in April 2025. The Villa Park league game in November 2024 was two two. All four of those examples land over one point five goals.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Across last season Villa averaged just over six corners won per league match and Palace averaged four and a half. That combined baseline sits above ten total corners, which gives headroom over the seven point five line. Early season corner totals also track high for both teams’ games.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Rogers produced twenty shots on target in thirty seven Premier League appearances last season, so roughly one every other game. He also showed end-product in April with the opener against Nottingham Forest. One on target here is a fair ask.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Mateta has started this league season with three shots on target across two matches, which is one point five per game. He also has a strong personal record against Villa, including a hat-trick in the five nil and a goal in the four one.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Mateta is a contact-heavy centre forward. Across the opening two league matches this season he has committed two fouls and is tracking at about one foul per ninety. That profile supports at least one foul.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Matty Cash 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Cash is an aggressive one v one defender. His long-run Premier League average is about one foul per match, and even in a small early-season sample he is committing around half a foul per game. One foul is a sensible line against dribble-heavy wide players.

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Double Chance – Aston Villa or Draw
Villa finished 6th last season and enter this fixture with a dominant 21-match unbeaten home run. The previous Villa Park meeting against Palace ended 2–2. That resilience on home turf makes this double chance strong.
Over 1.5 Goals
Their past four matchups all exceeded this line: 5–0, 4–1, 3–0, and 2–2. Expect another open, goal-producing encounter.
Over 7.5 Corners
Combined, both teams averaged over 10 corners per game last season. This season, early data suggests a continuation.
Morgan Rogers – 1+ Shots on Target
With 20 SoT in 37 appearances last season (approx. one every other game), Rogers is a reliable source of shots and will likely test the keeper here.
Jean-Philippe Mateta – 1+ Shots on Target
He’s started strongly this season with 3 SoT in 2 matches and has a prolific record against Villa, including a hat-trick in the 5–0 win.
Jean-Philippe Mateta – 1+ Fouls
Mateta commits about one foul per 90 mins—a strong likelihood given his physical forward play and his touchline presence.
Matty Cash – 1+ Fouls
Cash averages around one foul per match and will face tricky opposition, making a foul probable during his defensive duties.

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Kick-off: Sunday 31 August 2025, 19:00 BST
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Venue: Villa Park
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UK TV: Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League
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Streaming (UK): Sky Go and NOW TV
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USA: USA Network and Peacock
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Canada: fuboTV
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Australia: Stan Sport
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New Zealand: Sky Sport
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MENA: beIN Sports
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Aston Villa Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
Villa finished sixth in the Premier League last season with sixty six points and a goal difference of plus seven. They also come in with a long unbeaten run at Villa Park in all competitions that the club noted as twenty one matches going into this campaign. The last league meeting between these two at Villa Park ended level at two each.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Recent meetings between these sides have cleared two goals comfortably. Palace beat Villa five nil on the final day of 2023 to 2024, Palace won four one in February 2025, and Palace beat Villa three nil in the FA Cup semi-final in April 2025. The Villa Park league game in November 2024 was two two. All four of those examples land over one point five goals.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Across last season Villa averaged just over six corners won per league match and Palace averaged four and a half. That combined baseline sits above ten total corners, which gives headroom over the seven point five line. Early season corner totals also track high for both teams’ games.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Rogers produced twenty shots on target in thirty seven Premier League appearances last season, so roughly one every other game. He also showed end-product in April with the opener against Nottingham Forest. One on target here is a fair ask.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Mateta has started this league season with three shots on target across two matches, which is one point five per game. He also has a strong personal record against Villa, including a hat-trick in the five nil and a goal in the four one.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Mateta is a contact-heavy centre forward. Across the opening two league matches this season he has committed two fouls and is tracking at about one foul per ninety. That profile supports at least one foul.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Matty Cash 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Cash is an aggressive one v one defender. His long-run Premier League average is about one foul per match, and even in a small early-season sample he is committing around half a foul per game. One foul is a sensible line against dribble-heavy wide players.
Q: When is kick-off?
A: Sunday 31 August 2025, 19:00 BST at Villa Park. Live on Sky Sports Main Event.
Q: Is Eze playing?
A: No—he has transferred to Arsenal. Palace signed Yeremy Pino as cover for his departure.
Q: How strong is Villa’s home record?
A: Very strong—unbeaten in the last 21 games at Villa Park in all competitions.
Q: Are there usually goals in this fixture?
A: Yes—recent meetings have consistently gone over 1.5 goals.

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Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Aston Villa Win or Draw
Reason for Tip
Villa finished sixth in the Premier League last season with sixty six points and a goal difference of plus seven. They also come in with a long unbeaten run at Villa Park in all competitions that the club noted as twenty one matches going into this campaign. The last league meeting between these two at Villa Park ended level at two each.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
Recent meetings between these sides have cleared two goals comfortably. Palace beat Villa five nil on the final day of 2023 to 2024, Palace won four one in February 2025, and Palace beat Villa three nil in the FA Cup semi-final in April 2025. The Villa Park league game in November 2024 was two two. All four of those examples land over one point five goals.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Over 7.5 Corners
Reason for Tip
Across last season Villa averaged just over six corners won per league match and Palace averaged four and a half. That combined baseline sits above ten total corners, which gives headroom over the seven point five line. Early season corner totals also track high for both teams’ games.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Morgan Rogers 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Rogers produced twenty shots on target in thirty seven Premier League appearances last season, so roughly one every other game. He also showed end-product in April with the opener against Nottingham Forest. One on target here is a fair ask.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Shots on Target
Reason for Tip
Mateta has started this league season with three shots on target across two matches, which is one point five per game. He also has a strong personal record against Villa, including a hat-trick in the five nil and a goal in the four one.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Mateta is a contact-heavy centre forward. Across the opening two league matches this season he has committed two fouls and is tracking at about one foul per ninety. That profile supports at least one foul.
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace - Premier League
Matty Cash 1+ Fouls
Reason for Tip
Cash is an aggressive one v one defender. His long-run Premier League average is about one foul per match, and even in a small early-season sample he is committing around half a foul per game. One foul is a sensible line against dribble-heavy wide players.

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