Moisés Caicedo has a reputation for combative midfield play and disharmony in high-stakes London derbies. In their recent league meeting he was dismissed in the first half following a reckless challenge — marking his first red in the Premier League but highlighting his aggressive style and disciplinary risk in big matches. Chelsea generally trend toward a higher card count (averaging around 3 yellow cards per match in some head-to-head trends), and Caicedo’s direct challenges combined with the natural intensity of a derby ups his chances of being booked.
Arsenal v Chelsea: Premier League Bet Builder Tips & Predictions




Tyler Smith
An enthusiastic sports writer with a passion for Football, American Sports and Formula 1, bringing sharp insight and informed betting analysis to every weekend.
Published Date: February 28, 2026 4:30 PM






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Arsenal v Chelsea Bet Builder Tips - Intro
Sunday’s London derby between Arsenal F.C. and Chelsea F.C. promises to be one of the standout fixtures in the Premier League calendar. With both sides chasing crucial points at different ends of the table narrative — whether it be title ambition, Champions League qualification or momentum in the run-in — the stakes are high at the Emirates Stadium. As ever in this rivalry, form can often take a back seat to intensity, pride and the fine margins that define elite-level clashes.
Arsenal will be looking to impose their structured, possession-based approach from the outset, using width and midfield control to dictate tempo. Home advantage could prove pivotal, particularly if they can start quickly and pin Chelsea back inside their own half. Consistency has been central to their campaign, and matches against direct London rivals represent opportunities not only to secure points but to make a broader statement about their credentials.
Chelsea, meanwhile, arrive intent on disrupting that rhythm. Athleticism in transition and pace in forward areas could be key weapons, especially if they can exploit space left behind by Arsenal’s advanced full-backs. Defensive discipline will be essential, but so too will bravery in possession. In a fixture that has delivered drama, late goals and tactical battles in recent seasons, Sunday’s encounter looks set to add another compelling chapter to this modern Premier League rivalry.
Arsenal v Chelsea Bet Builder
9/1
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal Win
Match Result
13/20
Reason for Tip
Arsenal head into this London derby in strong positional form, sitting atop the Premier League and riding the momentum of a convincing 4–1 derby win over Tottenham that reinforced their title credentials. They’ve been robust at home, scoring heavily (49 goals in 25 home games at ~1.96 goals per match) and conceding relatively little (just ~8 home conceded) this season, demonstrating a balanced but aggressive attacking identity; this has helped them control many high-profile fixtures. Chelsea’s recent form has been more uneven, including draws and dropped points, and they tend to struggle away against high-press and possession-driven teams like Arsenal. Given home advantage, Arsenal’s superior output and Chelsea’s inconsistent away form, backing a home win here aligns with current performance data.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
10/13
Reason for Tip
Historical data and recent trends also support a high-scoring encounter. The average goals per game in recent Arsenal vs Chelsea matchups hovers around 2.7 goals overall in broader Premier League context, while both teams have significant attacking promise this season (Arsenal ~2.20 goals per match, Chelsea ~1.80). In head-to-head action, their past meetings have seen goals flow — in the most recent 1–1 draw both sides scored and the overall goal rate in recent clashes finally tilts toward multiple goals. Combined with Arsenal’s strong attacking form and Chelsea’s ability to score even when conceding in many matches, the profile suggests at least three goals are likely.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Over 8.5 Corners
Over 8.5 Corners
1/2
Reason for Tip
Corner volume is driven by both teams’ attacking patterns. Arsenal frequently generate corners through territorial dominance and wide play, averaging around 6+ corners per game across this season’s data, while Chelsea also contribute a similar volume due to their own transitions and set-piece opportunities. In past London derbies between these sides, corner counts were high — for example in cup meetings Arsenal managed 9 corners to Chelsea’s 6 — and combined with open positional play this season by both teams, nine or more total corners feels like a realistic expectation.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Moises Caicedo to be Carded
Player To Be Carded
15/8
Reason for Tip
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Arsenal v Chelsea Match Preview
Form & Context
Sunday’s London derby in the Premier League brings together two sides with plenty on the line. Arsenal continue to push for consistency at the top end of the table, where every dropped point can prove costly in the title race. Their performances at the Emirates have been a cornerstone of their campaign, built on structured build-up play, territorial dominance and defensive organisation.
Chelsea, meanwhile, arrive with their own objectives — whether that be closing the gap to the European places or building momentum in the second half of the season. Their form has shown flashes of high attacking potential, particularly in transition, but balance and defensive resilience remain key talking points. Derby matches often provide the perfect stage to shift narrative, and this is a major opportunity for the Blues to make a statement.
Team News & Key Players
Arsenal’s success will likely hinge on midfield control and the ability to dictate tempo early. Their creative outlets in wide areas and between the lines will look to stretch Chelsea’s defensive shape, while the full-backs’ positioning could be crucial in sustaining pressure. If they can establish rhythm and press effectively after turnovers, they may pin Chelsea deep for extended spells.
Chelsea’s threat is likely to come through pace and verticality. Quick transitions and direct running at Arsenal’s defensive line could be their most effective weapon. The midfield battle will be decisive — if Chelsea can disrupt Arsenal’s passing lanes and win second balls, they’ll create opportunities to counter into space left behind.
Tactical Outlook
Expect Arsenal to dominate possession and attempt to build patiently through the thirds, probing for gaps with quick interchanges around the box. Set-pieces may also be influential, particularly in what could be a tightly contested affair where margins are slim.
Chelsea may adopt a slightly more compact shape, focusing on defensive discipline before springing forward at speed. Their ability to remain organised without the ball — and clinical when chances arrive — could determine whether they leave North London with points.
As with most London derbies, intensity, fine details and composure in key moments will likely decide the outcome in what promises to be another high-quality Premier League clash.


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Why Each Leg Makes Sense
Match Result – Arsenal
Arsenal head into this London derby in strong positional form, sitting atop the Premier League and riding the momentum of a convincing 4–1 derby win over Tottenham that reinforced their title credentials. They’ve been robust at home, scoring heavily (49 goals in 25 home games at ~1.96 goals per match) and conceding relatively little (just ~8 home conceded) this season, demonstrating a balanced but aggressive attacking identity; this has helped them control many high-profile fixtures. Chelsea’s recent form has been more uneven, including draws and dropped points, and they tend to struggle away against high-press and possession-driven teams like Arsenal. Given home advantage, Arsenal’s superior output and Chelsea’s inconsistent away form, backing a home win here aligns with current performance data.
Over 2.5 Goals – Over
Historical data and recent trends also support a high-scoring encounter. The average goals per game in recent Arsenal vs Chelsea matchups hovers around 2.7 goals overall in broader Premier League context, while both teams have significant attacking promise this season (Arsenal ~2.20 goals per match, Chelsea ~1.80). In head-to-head action, their past meetings have seen goals flow — in the most recent 1–1 draw both sides scored and the overall goal rate in recent clashes finally tilts toward multiple goals. Combined with Arsenal’s strong attacking form and Chelsea’s ability to score even when conceding in many matches, the profile suggests at least three goals are likely.
Over 8.5 Corners – Over
Corner volume is driven by both teams’ attacking patterns. Arsenal frequently generate corners through territorial dominance and wide play, averaging around 6+ corners per game across this season’s data, while Chelsea also contribute a similar volume due to their own transitions and set-piece opportunities. In past London derbies between these sides, corner counts were high — for example in cup meetings Arsenal managed 9 corners to Chelsea’s 6 — and combined with open positional play this season by both teams, nine or more total corners feels like a realistic expectation.
Player To Be Carded – Moisés Caicedo
Moisés Caicedo has a reputation for combative midfield play and disharmony in high-stakes London derbies. In their recent league meeting he was dismissed in the first half following a reckless challenge — marking his first red in the Premier League but highlighting his aggressive style and disciplinary risk in big matches. Chelsea generally trend toward a higher card count (averaging around 3 yellow cards per match in some head-to-head trends), and Caicedo’s direct challenges combined with the natural intensity of a derby ups his chances of being booked.


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Arsenal v Chelsea - Historical Stats
Overall Record
The London derby between Arsenal F.C. and Chelsea F.C. is one of English football’s most historic rivalries, dating back to November 1907. Across all competitive fixtures:
-
Arsenal wins: 86
-
Draws: 62
-
Chelsea wins: 66
-
Total meetings: 214
Arsenal hold the overall edge in the rivalry, reflecting a marginally stronger record across more than a century of clashes.
Premier League & Domestic Battles
Most of the meetings have taken place in the Premier League and English league divisions, where both teams have traded memorable victories and tight scorelines. In league play, both clubs have enjoyed periods of dominance, but Arsenal’s overall head-to-head advantage is reflected in their higher number of wins. Famous results include Chelsea’s 6-0 victory at Stamford Bridge in 2014 and Arsenal’s 5-0 thrashing at the Emirates in 2024.
Recent Trends & Notable Facts
-
Meetings often produce close scorelines and tactical battles, with recent league head-to-head results including draws and narrow wins for both sides.
-
Arsenal have tended to enjoy stronger form in recent seasons, with key victories including 1-0 Premier League wins and cup successes.
-
The rivalry has extended into cup competitions and European finals, adding extra chapters to the fixture’s long history.
Arsenal v Chelsea Bet Builder
9/1
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal Win
Match Result
13/20
Reason for Tip
Arsenal head into this London derby in strong positional form, sitting atop the Premier League and riding the momentum of a convincing 4–1 derby win over Tottenham that reinforced their title credentials. They’ve been robust at home, scoring heavily (49 goals in 25 home games at ~1.96 goals per match) and conceding relatively little (just ~8 home conceded) this season, demonstrating a balanced but aggressive attacking identity; this has helped them control many high-profile fixtures. Chelsea’s recent form has been more uneven, including draws and dropped points, and they tend to struggle away against high-press and possession-driven teams like Arsenal. Given home advantage, Arsenal’s superior output and Chelsea’s inconsistent away form, backing a home win here aligns with current performance data.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
10/13
Reason for Tip
Historical data and recent trends also support a high-scoring encounter. The average goals per game in recent Arsenal vs Chelsea matchups hovers around 2.7 goals overall in broader Premier League context, while both teams have significant attacking promise this season (Arsenal ~2.20 goals per match, Chelsea ~1.80). In head-to-head action, their past meetings have seen goals flow — in the most recent 1–1 draw both sides scored and the overall goal rate in recent clashes finally tilts toward multiple goals. Combined with Arsenal’s strong attacking form and Chelsea’s ability to score even when conceding in many matches, the profile suggests at least three goals are likely.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Over 8.5 Corners
Over 8.5 Corners
1/2
Reason for Tip
Corner volume is driven by both teams’ attacking patterns. Arsenal frequently generate corners through territorial dominance and wide play, averaging around 6+ corners per game across this season’s data, while Chelsea also contribute a similar volume due to their own transitions and set-piece opportunities. In past London derbies between these sides, corner counts were high — for example in cup meetings Arsenal managed 9 corners to Chelsea’s 6 — and combined with open positional play this season by both teams, nine or more total corners feels like a realistic expectation.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Moises Caicedo to be Carded
Player To Be Carded
15/8
Reason for Tip
Moisés Caicedo has a reputation for combative midfield play and disharmony in high-stakes London derbies. In their recent league meeting he was dismissed in the first half following a reckless challenge — marking his first red in the Premier League but highlighting his aggressive style and disciplinary risk in big matches. Chelsea generally trend toward a higher card count (averaging around 3 yellow cards per match in some head-to-head trends), and Caicedo’s direct challenges combined with the natural intensity of a derby ups his chances of being booked.
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Predicted Line-Ups
Arsenal – 4-2-3-1
Raya,
Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie,
Zubimendi, Rice,
Saka, Eze, Trossard,
Gyokeres
Chelsea – 4-2-3-1
Sanchez,
James, Fofana, Chalobah, Gusto,
Caicedo, Santos,
Palmer, Fernandez, Neto,
Pedro
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Where to Watch Arsenal v Chelsea (Premier League – 1st March 2026)
United Kingdom & Ireland
In the UK and Republic of Ireland, the Premier League broadcast rights mean this London derby will be shown live on Sky Sports — typically on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League. You can also stream the game live via the Sky Go app if you’re a subscriber, or use a NOW TV Sports Pass (daily or monthly) to watch without a long-term Sky contract. Highlights and post-match analysis are often available later on the Sky Sports YouTube channel or via official club coverage.
🌍 International Viewers
Away from the UK, the Premier League is covered by local rights holders across different regions:
-
United States: Matches are usually shown via Peacock and NBC Sports Network/Telemundo for Spanish-language coverage, with live streams available through their apps.
-
Canada: Platforms like Fubo and other sports networks that carry Premier League action.
-
Australia: Coverage typically on Optus Sport or other local broadcasters.
-
Europe: Broadcasters such as DAZN, Sky Sport, Viaplay and national free-to-air partners show Premier League matches in their respective countries.
-
Africa & Middle East: Channels like beIN Sports and SuperSport often broadcast Premier League games live.
Local listings will confirm exact channels per country, as rights vary widely by region and season.
📺 Additional Viewing Notes
-
In the UK, Sky Sports often begins build-up coverage ~1 hour before kick-off, with detailed analysis, team news and pundit insight.
-
If you’re outside your usual region, many official broadcasters offer streaming apps or services where you can watch live with a subscription.
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Highlights and extended match coverage are usually available shortly after full-time on platforms like YouTube or club apps.
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Arsenal v Chelsea Bet Builder
9/1
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal Win
Match Result
13/20
Reason for Tip
Arsenal head into this London derby in strong positional form, sitting atop the Premier League and riding the momentum of a convincing 4–1 derby win over Tottenham that reinforced their title credentials. They’ve been robust at home, scoring heavily (49 goals in 25 home games at ~1.96 goals per match) and conceding relatively little (just ~8 home conceded) this season, demonstrating a balanced but aggressive attacking identity; this has helped them control many high-profile fixtures. Chelsea’s recent form has been more uneven, including draws and dropped points, and they tend to struggle away against high-press and possession-driven teams like Arsenal. Given home advantage, Arsenal’s superior output and Chelsea’s inconsistent away form, backing a home win here aligns with current performance data.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Over 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
10/13
Reason for Tip
Historical data and recent trends also support a high-scoring encounter. The average goals per game in recent Arsenal vs Chelsea matchups hovers around 2.7 goals overall in broader Premier League context, while both teams have significant attacking promise this season (Arsenal ~2.20 goals per match, Chelsea ~1.80). In head-to-head action, their past meetings have seen goals flow — in the most recent 1–1 draw both sides scored and the overall goal rate in recent clashes finally tilts toward multiple goals. Combined with Arsenal’s strong attacking form and Chelsea’s ability to score even when conceding in many matches, the profile suggests at least three goals are likely.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Over 8.5 Corners
Over 8.5 Corners
1/2
Reason for Tip
Corner volume is driven by both teams’ attacking patterns. Arsenal frequently generate corners through territorial dominance and wide play, averaging around 6+ corners per game across this season’s data, while Chelsea also contribute a similar volume due to their own transitions and set-piece opportunities. In past London derbies between these sides, corner counts were high — for example in cup meetings Arsenal managed 9 corners to Chelsea’s 6 — and combined with open positional play this season by both teams, nine or more total corners feels like a realistic expectation.
1 Mar 16:30 - Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
1 Mar 16:30
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Arsenal vs Chelsea - Premier League
Moises Caicedo to be Carded
Player To Be Carded
15/8
Reason for Tip
Moisés Caicedo has a reputation for combative midfield play and disharmony in high-stakes London derbies. In their recent league meeting he was dismissed in the first half following a reckless challenge — marking his first red in the Premier League but highlighting his aggressive style and disciplinary risk in big matches. Chelsea generally trend toward a higher card count (averaging around 3 yellow cards per match in some head-to-head trends), and Caicedo’s direct challenges combined with the natural intensity of a derby ups his chances of being booked.
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BET £10 GET £30
18+ New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org


Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit & bet £10 (odds 2.00+) within 7 days of registration. Get £30 in Free Bets for selected markets, 7 days expiry. T&Cs apply, see below. gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly


100% up to £50 welcome bonus
New players. Choose bonus at signup. Wager bonus 10x. Any withdrawals void bonus. Valid 30 days. Deposit used 1st. Odds, bet & payment limits.T&Cs apply. 18+.


GET £60 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £10
Spread betting losses can exceed deposit. 18+ www.gambleaware.org. Place a £10 fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1/2 and get 3 x £10 free fixed odds bets, 3 x £5 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x £5 Winning Favourites spread bets and a £1 Race Index spread bet.


UP TO £40 IN FREE BETS
18+ New customers only. Opt in and bet up to £40 (min. £20) via mobile or app on any football (odds 1/1+) within 7 days of registration. Get up to £40 in free bets on selected markets, which expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply, see below. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Get £40 In Free Bets When you Bet £10
New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org
Get £40 In Free Bets When you Bet £10
New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org


Bet £10 get £40 In Free Bets
New UK customers. Min £10 first deposit. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 2.0 and get £40 in Free Bets within 48 hours. Restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply, 18+. BeGambleAware.org.


Bet £10 get £40 In Free Bets
New UK customers. Min £10 first deposit. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 2.0 and get £40 in Free Bets within 48 hours. Restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply, 18+. BeGambleAware.org.


Bet £10 Get £50 In Free Bets
Place a min £10 bet on Sportsbook on odds of min EVS (2.0), get 5x £10 in Free Bet Builders, Accumulators or multiples to use on any sport. Rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Pay by Bank, Apple Pay or Debit Card will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.


Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets
Registration required. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. 18+ GambleAware.org Please gamble responsibly.


BET £10 Get £50 in Bet Builder Bets
New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. Only deposits via cards & Apple Pay will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.


UP TO £40 IN FREE BETS
18+ New customers only. Opt in and bet up to £40 (min. £20) via mobile or app on any football (odds 1/1+) within 7 days of registration. Get up to £40 in free bets on selected markets, which expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply, see below. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly


£50 IN FREE ACCA BETS
New customers only. Football Accas only. 5 legs or more. Odds 1/1 or greater. 5 x £10 bet tokens. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets for Football Accas (5+ legs) only. Free Bets non withdrawable. Free Bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply.


Bet365 - 6 Scores Challenge
Free to play - win cash prizes or Free Spins. Only available to new & eligible customers. Game restrictions, time limits and T&Cs apply.


BET £5 Get £30 in Free Bets
New Customer offer - Use promo code YSKAST. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £30 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Pay by Bank, Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly


£50 IN FREE BETS TO USE ON BUILDABET
New customers only. Football BuildABet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 5 x £10 Bet tokens. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets for Football BuildABets only. Free Bets non withdrawable. Free Bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply.


£30 IN FREE BETS
New customers only. First single & E/W bet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 3 X £10 bet tokens. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets exclude virtuals. Free bets are non withdrawable. Free bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply.
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