AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction and 8/1 Bet Builder | Serie A

22978

Lucio Pollice

Football fanatic and data-driven tipster who heads up Tipman’s Daily Doubles, as well as key free and premium football tips. With over two years of profitable tracked results, he blends stats and instinct to deliver consistent value for punters.

Published Date: January 7, 2026 7:45 PM

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Match Info

  • Fixture: AC Milan vs Genoa

  • Competition: Serie A

  • Date: Thursday 8 January 2026

  • Kick-off: 20:45 (UK Time)

  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro)

AC Milan vs Genoa Bet Builder Tip

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Milan Win

Match Result
43/100

Reason for Tip

Milan’s home control, superior squad depth, and Genoa’s poor record against top-nine sides strongly point toward a home victory. Allegri’s structure limits volatility, making Milan a reliable anchor leg.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals
7/20

Reason for Tip

While Allegri’s Milan are measured, Genoa’s defensive profile away from home almost always yields chances. With Milan regularly creating sustained pressure phases, two goals looks a realistic baseline.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 7.5 Corners

Over 7.5 Corners
1/3

Reason for Tip

Milan’s wide build-up and Genoa’s deep defensive blocks naturally inflate corner counts. Genoa concede territory for long spells, while Milan average high corner volume at San Siro.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 2.5 Cards

Over 2.5 Cards
1/3

Reason for Tip

This matchup profiles as physically demanding for Genoa, particularly in midfield. Their need to disrupt Milan’s rhythm often translates into tactical fouls and bookings.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Rafael Leao 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target
1/4

Reason for Tip

Leão’s direct running and preference for shooting early in transitions make at least one effort on target highly likely. He remains Milan’s primary vertical threat.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Lorenzo Colombo 2+ Shots

Player 2+ Shots
4/9

Reason for Tip

Colombo is Genoa’s most active attacking outlet, frequently tasked with speculative efforts when service is limited. His shot volume remains consistent even in difficult fixtures.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Ruslan Malinovskyi 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/7

Reason for Tip

Malinovskyi is regularly forced into defensive actions against possession-heavy sides. His pressing and recovery role increases his foul probability in games like this.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Youssouf Fofana 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
2/9

Reason for Tip

Fofana operates as Milan’s midfield enforcer, tasked with breaking Genoa counters. His ball-winning responsibilities make at least one foul very likely.

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7.13/1
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Teams Form and Stats

AC Milan

AC Milan come into this fixture firmly in the title picture, extending their unbeaten Serie A run to 16 matches (W11, D5). Since their Supercoppa disappointment against Napoli, Massimiliano Allegri’s side have responded with composed league wins over Verona and Cagliari, showing a return to control rather than flair.

At San Siro, Milan continue to dictate matches through territory and tempo rather than relentless pressing. Their home xG profile (1.63) reflects sustained pressure rather than chaos, while defensively they remain compact, conceding relatively few high-quality chances. Allegri’s Milan have also shown a clear pattern of decisive phases between the 30th and 55th minute, where most recent goals have been scored.

Milan’s discipline and structure make them difficult to disrupt, particularly against sides who struggle defensively under pressure.

Genoa

Genoa arrive hovering just above the relegation zone, and although their 1–1 draw with Pisa ended a three-game losing run, it did little to ease concerns. Daniele De Rossi’s early bounce has clearly faded, with Genoa now struggling for defensive solidity and game control.

Against top-nine sides this season, Genoa have lost seven of eight league matches, often conceding early and spending long spells without the ball. Away from home, their defensive workload increases significantly, leading to high foul counts, late fatigue, and increased shot volumes faced.

Despite this, Genoa are not passive. They regularly attempt to play through midfield, which often leads to transitional moments but also exposes them to sustained pressure.

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Head-to-Head History

AC Milan are unbeaten in their last nine meetings with Genoa (W6, D3). However, three of the last four H2Hs at San Siro finished level inside 90 minutes, highlighting Genoa’s ability to frustrate rather than dominate.

Notably, Genoa have still conceded regularly in these fixtures, even when avoiding defeat.

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Predicted Starting XI

AC Milan (3-5-2)

Maignan
Tomori – Gabbia – Pavlović
Saelemaekers – Fofana – Modrić – Rabiot – Bartesaghi
Leão – Loftus-Cheek

Genoa (3-5-2)

Leali
Ostigard – Martin – Vásquez
Malinovskyi – Frendrup – Colombo – Thorsby – Norton-Cuffy
Vitinha – Messias

AC Milan vs Genoa Bet Builder Tip

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Milan Win

Match Result
43/100

Reason for Tip

Milan’s home control, superior squad depth, and Genoa’s poor record against top-nine sides strongly point toward a home victory. Allegri’s structure limits volatility, making Milan a reliable anchor leg.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals
7/20

Reason for Tip

While Allegri’s Milan are measured, Genoa’s defensive profile away from home almost always yields chances. With Milan regularly creating sustained pressure phases, two goals looks a realistic baseline.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 7.5 Corners

Over 7.5 Corners
1/3

Reason for Tip

Milan’s wide build-up and Genoa’s deep defensive blocks naturally inflate corner counts. Genoa concede territory for long spells, while Milan average high corner volume at San Siro.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 2.5 Cards

Over 2.5 Cards
1/3

Reason for Tip

This matchup profiles as physically demanding for Genoa, particularly in midfield. Their need to disrupt Milan’s rhythm often translates into tactical fouls and bookings.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Rafael Leao 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target
1/4

Reason for Tip

Leão’s direct running and preference for shooting early in transitions make at least one effort on target highly likely. He remains Milan’s primary vertical threat.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Lorenzo Colombo 2+ Shots

Player 2+ Shots
4/9

Reason for Tip

Colombo is Genoa’s most active attacking outlet, frequently tasked with speculative efforts when service is limited. His shot volume remains consistent even in difficult fixtures.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Ruslan Malinovskyi 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/7

Reason for Tip

Malinovskyi is regularly forced into defensive actions against possession-heavy sides. His pressing and recovery role increases his foul probability in games like this.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Youssouf Fofana 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
2/9

Reason for Tip

Fofana operates as Milan’s midfield enforcer, tasked with breaking Genoa counters. His ball-winning responsibilities make at least one foul very likely.

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7.13/1
Game prediction and Correct Score

Milan’s control and Genoa’s defensive workload point toward a measured but decisive home performance. Expect Milan to apply pressure early, manage the tempo, and capitalise through sustained phases rather than chaos.

Correct Score Lean: 2-0 or 2-1 AC Milan
Best Angle: Milan win with supporting volume markets (corners, fouls, shots)

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TipMan Bet Builder and Reasoning

✅ AC Milan to Win

Milan’s home control, superior squad depth, and Genoa’s poor record against top-nine sides strongly point toward a home victory. Allegri’s structure limits volatility, making Milan a reliable anchor leg.

✅ Over 1.5 Goals

While Allegri’s Milan are measured, Genoa’s defensive profile away from home almost always yields chances. With Milan regularly creating sustained pressure phases, two goals looks a realistic baseline.

✅ Over 7.5 Corners

Milan’s wide build-up and Genoa’s deep defensive blocks naturally inflate corner counts. Genoa concede territory for long spells, while Milan average high corner volume at San Siro.

✅ Over 2.5 Cards

This matchup profiles as physically demanding for Genoa, particularly in midfield. Their need to disrupt Milan’s rhythm often translates into tactical fouls and bookings.

✅ Rafael Leão – 1+ Shot on Target

Leão’s direct running and preference for shooting early in transitions make at least one effort on target highly likely. He remains Milan’s primary vertical threat.

✅ Lorenzo Colombo – 2+ Shots

Colombo is Genoa’s most active attacking outlet, frequently tasked with speculative efforts when service is limited. His shot volume remains consistent even in difficult fixtures.

✅ Ruslan Malinovskyi – 1+ Foul

Malinovskyi is regularly forced into defensive actions against possession-heavy sides. His pressing and recovery role increases his foul probability in games like this.

✅ Youssouf Fofana – 1+ Foul

Fofana operates as Milan’s midfield enforcer, tasked with breaking Genoa counters. His ball-winning responsibilities make at least one foul very likely.

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AC Milan vs Genoa Bet Builder Tip

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Milan Win

Match Result
43/100

Reason for Tip

Milan’s home control, superior squad depth, and Genoa’s poor record against top-nine sides strongly point toward a home victory. Allegri’s structure limits volatility, making Milan a reliable anchor leg.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals
7/20

Reason for Tip

While Allegri’s Milan are measured, Genoa’s defensive profile away from home almost always yields chances. With Milan regularly creating sustained pressure phases, two goals looks a realistic baseline.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 7.5 Corners

Over 7.5 Corners
1/3

Reason for Tip

Milan’s wide build-up and Genoa’s deep defensive blocks naturally inflate corner counts. Genoa concede territory for long spells, while Milan average high corner volume at San Siro.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Over 2.5 Cards

Over 2.5 Cards
1/3

Reason for Tip

This matchup profiles as physically demanding for Genoa, particularly in midfield. Their need to disrupt Milan’s rhythm often translates into tactical fouls and bookings.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Rafael Leao 1+ Shots on Target

Player 1+ Shots On Target
1/4

Reason for Tip

Leão’s direct running and preference for shooting early in transitions make at least one effort on target highly likely. He remains Milan’s primary vertical threat.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Lorenzo Colombo 2+ Shots

Player 2+ Shots
4/9

Reason for Tip

Colombo is Genoa’s most active attacking outlet, frequently tasked with speculative efforts when service is limited. His shot volume remains consistent even in difficult fixtures.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Ruslan Malinovskyi 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
1/7

Reason for Tip

Malinovskyi is regularly forced into defensive actions against possession-heavy sides. His pressing and recovery role increases his foul probability in games like this.

8 Jan 19:45 - Milan vs Genoa - Serie A
8 Jan 19:45
Milan vs Genoa - Serie A

Youssouf Fofana 1+ Fouls

Player 1+ Fouls
2/9

Reason for Tip

Fofana operates as Milan’s midfield enforcer, tasked with breaking Genoa counters. His ball-winning responsibilities make at least one foul very likely.

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7.13/1

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Available to verified customers residing in the UK. Opt-in is required. Place your first bet of £10 at minimum odds of 1/1 on any sports market within 7 days of registering. Get £30 in Free Bets (2 x £10 Horse Racing Free Bet + 1 x £10 Football Acca Free Bet) T&Cs apply. 18+ Please gamble responsibly.

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Get £20 in Free Bets When you Bet £10
Get £20 in Free Bets When you Bet £10

18+, New customers only. Opt in, deposit & bet £10 on any sports (odds 2.00+) in 7 days. No cash out. Get 4x£5 sports free bets for set markets (odds 2.00+), which expire in 7 days. Scroll down for T&Cs. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly

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BET £10, GET £30 FREE & Free Bet Builder Every Sunday on any match.
BET £10, GET £30 FREE & Free Bet Builder Every Sunday on any match.

*New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. virtuals) at 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accepted in 7 days, valid 7 days; £20 use on sportsbook, £10 on Bet Builder. Stake not returned. T&Cs + deposit exclusions apply. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware.org. 18+ †Members only.Use Free Bet on any Bet Builder market for the selected football match by kick-off (EVS min odds). Free Bet: login & accept via pop-up, max 1/ Member. Free Bet varies from £1 - £20 per Member. Stakes not returned T&Cs apply. Click here for full T&Cs. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware.org. 18+

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BET £10 GET £30 IN FREE BETS
BET £10 GET £30 IN FREE BETS

New members only. Any new account registration or bets settled on 5 April 2025 are not eligible for this Welcome Offer. £10+ bet on sportsbook (ex. virtuals) at 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days on sportsbook only. 2x£5 Free Bets for Bet Builder only. Stake not returned. T&Cs + deposit exclusions apply. Bet Responsibly. GambleAware.org. 18+

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BET £10 GET £30
BET £10 GET £30

18+ New customers only. Place a £10+ bet at min odds 1/1 (2.0) within 14 days of sign-up. Get £30 in Free Bets, valid for 7 days on selected bets only. Free stake not returned with winnings. T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org

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Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit & bet £10 (odds 2.00+) within 7 days of registration. Get £30 in Free Bets for selected markets, 7 days expiry. T&Cs apply, see below. gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly

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Double The Odds + 50 Free Spins
Double The Odds + 50 Free Spins

New customers only. Deposit min £10 (PayPal & PaySafe excluded) for 50 Free Spins at 10p on selected games + 100% odds boost token (Max £10), Max win from spins £1000. T&Cs apply.

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100% up to £50 welcome bonus
100% up to £50 welcome bonus

New bettors. Select bonus at signup or use code SPORT. Wager deposit & bonus 8x. Max qualifying bet = bonus. Valid 60 days. Odds, bet & payment limits apply. T&Cs apply. 18+.

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GET £60 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £10
GET £60 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £10

Spread betting losses can exceed deposit. 18+ www.gambleaware.org. Place a £10 fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1/2 and get 3 x £10 free fixed odds bets, 3 x £5 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x £5 Winning Favourites spread bets and a £1 Race Index spread bet.

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Bet £10 get £40 In Free Bets
Bet £10 get £40 In Free Bets

New UK customers. Min £10 first deposit. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 2.0 and get £40 in Free Bets within 48 hours. Restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply, 18+. BeGambleAware.org.

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Bet £10 get £40 In Free Bets
Bet £10 get £40 In Free Bets

New UK customers. Min £10 first deposit. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 2.0 and get £40 in Free Bets within 48 hours. Restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply, 18+. BeGambleAware.org.

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Get £50 In Free Bet Builders
Get £50 In Free Bet Builders

Place a min £10 bet on Sportsbook on odds of min EVS (2.0), get £50 in Free Bet Builders, Accumulators or multiples to use on any sport. Rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via cards or Apple Pay will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.

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Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets
Bet £10 & Get £30 In Free Bets

Registration required. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. 18+ GambleAware.org Please gamble responsibly.

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BET £10 Get £50 in Bet Builder Bets
BET £10 Get £50 in Bet Builder Bets

New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. Only deposits via cards & Apple Pay will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.

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GET £30 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £10
GET £30 IN FREE BETS WHEN YOU BET £10

18+ New customers only. Opt in via mobile or app and bet £10 on any sport market (odds of 2.00+) within 7 days of registration. Get 3x£10 Free Bets on selected sport markets, which expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org | Please gamble responsibly

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£50 IN FREE ACCA BETS
£50 IN FREE ACCA BETS

New customers only. Football Accas only. 5 legs or more. Odds 1/1 or greater. 5 x £10 bet tokens. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets for Football Accas (5+ legs) only. Free Bets non withdrawable. Free Bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply.

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Bet365 - 6 Scores Challenge
Bet365 - 6 Scores Challenge

Free to play - win cash prizes or Free Spins. Only available to new & eligible customers. Game restrictions, time limits and T&Cs apply.

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BET £5 Get £30 in Free Bets
BET £5 Get £30 in Free Bets

New Customer offer - Use promo code YSKAST. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £30 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Pay by Bank, Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly

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£50 IN FREE BETS TO USE ON BUILDABET
£50 IN FREE BETS TO USE ON BUILDABET

New customers only. Football BuildABet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 5 x £10 Bet tokens. Free Bet stakes not included in returns. Free Bets for Football BuildABets only. Free Bets non withdrawable. Free Bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply.

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£30 IN FREE BETS
£30 IN FREE BETS

New customers only. First single & E/W bet only. Odds of 1/1 or greater. 3 X £10 bet tokens. Free bet stakes not included in returns. Free bets exclude virtuals. Free bets are non withdrawable. Free bets expire after 30 days. Eligibility restrictions and further T&Cs apply.

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BET £5 GET £30

#Ad. 18+, GambleAware, Full T&Cs Apply.