Toluca vs Monterrey - Match Preview & Prediction

1.6

Toluca
d d d w w d l w l w

Mexico - Mexico Liga MX

Toluca vs Monterrey

Sunday - May 11th, 02:00 AM

1.2

Monterrey
d d w l d l w l w l

Predictions & Tips

65% Over 2.5 Goals

84% Over 1.5 Goals

63% BTTS

2.91 Goals / Match

4.3 Cards / Match

9.39 Corners / Match

Toluca Information

Coming into this game, Toluca has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Toluca has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Superb stuff from Toluca at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?

Monterrey's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Toluca from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.

Momentum is really building for Toluca as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.

Toluca is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Monterrey, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.

In the last 5 matches for Toluca, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 21 matches (58% of all matches) involving Toluca has seen BTTS landing.

It's likely that Toluca will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.

Monterrey Information

Coming into this game, Monterrey has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Monterrey has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Monterrey has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.

Just 2 of the last 5 games for Monterrey has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 28/42 games for Monterrey this season.

It's likely that Monterrey will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.

Who Will Win

1.6 d d d w w d l w l w
The home team is 14 % better to the away team in terms of points per game
57 %
43 %
1.2 d d w l d l w l w l

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 27
37% Wins
30% Draws
33% Wins

85% Over 1.5 Goals

23/27 Matches

52% Over 2.5 Goals

14/27 Matches

30% Over 3.5 Goals

8/27 Matches

70% BTTS

19/27 Matches

22% Clean Sheets

Toluca

11% Clean Sheets

Monterrey

Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 45% worse than away team in terms of goals scored
1.10 Average Goals
1.60 Average Goals
Scored Per Game Toluca Monterrey
Over 0.5 50% 90%
Over 1.5 50% 50%
Over 2.5 10% 10%
Over 3.5 0% 10%
Failed To Score 50% 10%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Toluca Monterrey
Scored in 1H 55% 64%
Scored in 2H 45% 82%
Scored in Both Halves 30% 30%
Scored Average 1H 0.60 0.70
Scored Average 2H 0.50 0.90

Recent Form

Deportivo Toluca FC

Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall d d d w w d l w l w 1.6
Home d w d w w 2.2
Away d d w l l 1
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 40% 60% 20%
AVG 1.90 2.80 1.00
Scored 11.00 9.00 2.00
Conceded 8.00 5.00 3.00
BTTS 40% 60% 20%
CS 40% 40% 40%
FTS 50% 20% 80%
xG 1.71 1.96 1.46
xGA 0.96 1.11 0.81
CF Monterrey

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall d d w l d l w l w l 1.2
Home d w d w w 2.2
Away d l l l l 0.2
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 30% 60% 0%
AVG 3.30 2.60 4.00
Scored 16.00 9.00 7.00
Conceded 17.00 4.00 13.00
BTTS 70% 60% 80%
CS 20% 40% 0%
FTS 10% 0% 20%
xG 1.34 1.42 1.25
xGA 1.39 1.29 1.52

Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 113% better than away team in terms of goals conceded
0.80 Goals Conceded
1.70 Goals Conceded
Scored Per Game Toluca Monterrey
Over 0.5 60% 80%
Over 1.5 20% 60%
Over 2.5 0% 20%
Over 3.5 0% 10%
Cleansheets 40% 20%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Toluca Monterrey
1H Clean Sheet 60% 40%
2H Clean Sheet 70% 30%
Conceded Average 1H 0.40 0.90
Conceded Average 2H 0.40 0.80

Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

30%

Scored first in 3 / 10

40%

Scored first in 4 / 10

10 Minutes Toluca Monterrey
0 - 10 Mins 11% 6%
11 - 20 Mins 11% 6%
21 - 30 Mins 5% 6%
31 - 40 Mins 16% 9%
41 - 50 Mins 16% 21%
51 - 60 Mins 32% 18%
61 - 70 Mins 5% 6%
71 - 80 Mins 5% 12%
81 - 90 Mins 0% 15%
15 Minutes Toluca Monterrey
0 - 15 Mins 16% 9%
16 - 30 Mins 11% 9%
31 - 45 Mins 26% 30%
46 - 60 Mins 37% 18%
61 - 75 Mins 11% 12%
76 - 90 Mins 0% 21%
Scored (10 min) Toluca Monterrey
0 - 10 Mins 9% 6%
11 - 20 Mins 9% 0%
21 - 30 Mins 9% 0%
31 - 40 Mins 18% 13%
41 - 50 Mins 9% 25%
51 - 60 Mins 36% 19%
61 - 70 Mins 9% 6%
71 - 80 Mins 0% 25%
81 - 90 Mins 0% 6%
Scored (15 min) Toluca Monterrey
0 - 15 Mins 9% 6%
16 - 30 Mins 18% 0%
31 - 45 Mins 27% 38%
46 - 60 Mins 36% 19%
61 - 75 Mins 9% 19%
76 - 90 Mins 0% 19%
Conceded (10 min) Toluca Monterrey
0 - 10 Mins 13% 6%
11 - 20 Mins 13% 12%
21 - 30 Mins 0% 12%
31 - 40 Mins 13% 6%
41 - 50 Mins 25% 18%
51 - 60 Mins 25% 18%
61 - 70 Mins 0% 6%
71 - 80 Mins 13% 0%
81 - 90 Mins 0% 24%
Conceded (15 min) Toluca Monterrey
0 - 15 Mins 25% 12%
16 - 30 Mins 0% 18%
31 - 45 Mins 25% 24%
46 - 60 Mins 38% 18%
61 - 75 Mins 13% 6%
76 - 90 Mins 0% 24%

Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

4.1
Cards / Match

Sum of bookings per match between Toluca and Monterrey

2.1 / Match

Booked / Match

2 / Match

Booked / Match

Match Cards Toluca Monterrey Average
Over 2.5 90% 70% 80%
Over 3.5 70% 70% 70%
Over 4.5 40% 50% 45%
Over 5.5 20% 40% 30%
Over 6.5 20% 40% 30%
Team Cards Toluca Monterrey Average
Cards For Average 2.1 2 2.05
Over 0.5 For 100% 80% 90%
Over 1.5 For 50% 50% 50%
Over 2.5 For 40% 40% 40%
Over 3.5 For 20% 20% 20%
Cards Against Toluca Monterrey Average
Over 0.5 Against 90% 90% 90%
Over 1.5 Against 70% 70% 70%
Over 2.5 Against 40% 60% 50%
Over 3.5 Against 20% 40% 30%

First Half / Second Half Cards

Half Cards Toluca Monterrey Average
1H Cards For Average 0.9 0.5 0.255
2H Cards For Average 1.1 1.3 1.2
1H Total Cards AVG 1.6 1.4 1.5
2H Total Cards AVG 2.7 3.1 2.9
1H Had More Cards % 30% 20% 25%
2H Had More Cards % 50% 80% 55%
Over X 1H/2H Cards Toluca Monterrey Average
1H Over 0.5 Cards For 70% 30% 50%
2H Over 0.5 Cards For 60% 70% 65%
1H Total Under 2 40% 70% 55%
2H Total Under 2 30% 40% 35%
1H is 2~3 Total Cards 60% 20% 40%
2H is 2~3 Total Cards 40% 10% 25%
1H Total Over 3 0% 10% 5.005%
2H Total Over 3 30% 50% 40%

Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

8.9
Corners / Match

Average Corner Kicks per match between Toluca and Monterrey

6.1 / Match

Corners Earned

2.8 / Match

Corners Earned

Match Corners Toluca Monterrey Average
Over 6.5 90% 60% 75%
Over 7.5 80% 30% 55%
Over 8.5 70% 20% 45%
Over 9.5 50% 20% 35%
Over 10.5 30% 10% 20%
Over 11.5 30% 0% 15%
Over 12.5 30% 0% 15%
Over 13.5 20% 0% 10%
Over 14.5 10% 0% 5%
First Half Toluca Monterrey Average
FH Average 48 35 41.5
FH Over 4 6 1 3.5
FH Over 5 5 0 2.5
FH Over 6 3 0 1.5
Second Half Toluca Monterrey Average
2H Average 42 36 39
2H Over 4 5 2 3.5
2H Over 5 4 1 2.5
2H Over 6 3 1 2

Team Corners Corners Earned / Against

Team Corners Toluca Monterrey Average
Corners Earned / Match 6.1 2.8 4.45
Corners Against / Match 4.1 4.4 4.25
Over 2.5 For 90% 70% 80%
Over 3.5 For 90% 20% 55%
Over 4.5 For 70% 10% 40%
Over 2.5 Against 70% 90% 80%
Over 3.5 Against 50% 60% 55%
Over 4.5 Against 40% 30% 35%

Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more

Team Shots Toluca Monterrey Average
Shots / Match 16.7 11.3 14.00
Shots Conversion Rate 7% 14% 10.50%
Shots On Target / M 4.9 4.6 4.75
Shots Off Target / M 11.8 6.7 9.25
Shots Per Goal Scored 15.18 7.06 11.12
Team Shots Over 10.5 80% 50% 65%
Team Shots Over 11.5 70% 50% 60%
Team Shots Over 12.5 70% 40% 55%
Team Shots Over 13.5 70% 40% 55%
Team Shots Over 14.5 40% 20% 30%
Team Shots Over 15.5 40% 0% 20%
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ 80% 70% 75%
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ 50% 50% 50%
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ 20% 40% 30%
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ 20% 10% 15%
Offside Stats Toluca Monterrey Average
Offsides / Match 4 3.1 3.55
Over 2.5 Offsides 8 6 7.00
Over 3.5 Offsides 4 2 3.00
Misc Stats Toluca Monterrey Average
Fouls Committed / Match 11.9 10.5 11.20
Fouled Against / Match 11 12.1 11.55
Average Possession 57% 53% 55%

Past Matches

8th May 2025
Monterrey 3
Toluca 2
19th January 2025
Toluca 1
Monterrey 1
1st September 2024
Monterrey 1
Toluca 2
19th February 2024
Monterrey 0
Toluca 0
31st August 2023
Toluca 1
Monterrey 0
6th February 2023
Monterrey 2
Toluca 1
18th August 2022
Toluca 1
Monterrey 1
7th April 2022
Toluca 2
Monterrey 2
23rd September 2021
Monterrey 2
Toluca 0
11th April 2021
Toluca 1
Monterrey 2
29th July 2020
Monterrey 3
Toluca 1
29th February 2020
Toluca 2
Monterrey 0
18th August 2019
Monterrey 2
Toluca 0
7th April 2019
Toluca 5
Monterrey 1
21st October 2018
Monterrey 2
Toluca 1
11th February 2018
Toluca 2
Monterrey 1
24th August 2017
Monterrey 4
Toluca 1
16th April 2017
Toluca 1
Monterrey 1
23rd October 2016
Monterrey 1
Toluca 1
8th May 2016
Monterrey 1
Toluca 2
22nd November 2015
Toluca 3
Monterrey 1
8th March 2015
Monterrey 3
Toluca 2
21st September 2014
Toluca 1
Monterrey 0
26th January 2014
Toluca 2
Monterrey 0
4th August 2013
Monterrey 1
Toluca 1
7th April 2013
Toluca 1
Monterrey 0
8th November 2012
Monterrey 2
Toluca 2

Team Player List

FT Result Odds

FT Result 10Bet188Bet1xbet888SportBetfairBetssonBetwayCashpointCloudBetDafabetInterwettenLadbrokesMarathonPlanetwin365PnclSboTipicoUnibetWilliamHillbet365bwin
Toluca 1.54 1.51 1.54 1.53 1.47 1.55 1.53 1.56 1.54 1.56 1.53 1.50 1.52 1.50 1.56 1.49 1.50 1.53 1.55 1.50 1.53
Draw 4.50 4.35 4.39 4.00 4.20 4.33 4.20 4.10 4.38 4.30 4.10 4.00 4.33 3.52 4.43 4.24 4.30 4.50 4.00 4.33 4.33
Monterrey 5.30 5.20 5.60 5.00 5.00 5.50 5.25 5.26 5.85 4.85 5.00 5.00 5.70 7.16 5.92 5.03 5.30 5.00 5.00 5.75 5.25

Double Chance Odds

Double Chance 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betway Marathon Pncl Sbo Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bwin
Toluca 1.15 1.14 1.15 1.22 1.13 1.16 1.10 1.13 1.13 1.15 1.24
Draw 1.15 1.21 1.22 1.29 1.20 1.24 1.15 1.20 1.15 1.22 1.26
Monterrey 2.45 2.46 2.38 2.00 2.47 2.54 2.38 2.25 2.25 2.38 1.90

Over/Under Odds

Over/Under 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betfair Betway CloudBet Dafabet Ladbrokes Marathon Sbo Tipico Unibet bwin
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.01 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.02 1.01 N/A
Over 1.5 1.15 1.14 1.15 1.11 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.10 N/A 1.11 1.11 N/A
Over 2.5 1.50 1.52 1.50 1.45 N/A N/A 1.51 N/A 1.44 N/A 1.47 1.44 N/A
Over 3.5 2.25 2.28 2.25 2.20 2.25 2.42 2.26 2.2 2.23 2.25 2.10 2.18 2.2
Over 4.5 3.95 3.87 3.90 4.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.60 N/A 3.40 4.70 N/A
Under 0.5 11.00 14.90 17.00 13.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 12.00 12.00 N/A
Under 1.5 5.25 5.50 5.00 5.50 N/A N/A N/A N/A 5.10 N/A 5.30 5.60 N/A
Under 2.5 2.55 2.50 2.45 2.55 2.63 2.43 2.45 2.63
Under 3.5 1.62 1.62 1.57 1.60 1.57 1.57 1.69 1.6 1.63 1.66 1.65 1.64 1.58
Under 4.5 1.25 1.25 1.22 1.20 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.21 N/A 1.27 1.16 N/A

Both Teams To Score Odds

Both Teams To Score 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betfair Betway Marathon Pncl Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Yes 1.57 1.60 1.62 1.50 1.57 1.57 1.64 1.52 1.50 1.62 1.62 1.57
No 2.25 2.30 2.25 2.38 2.25 2.25 2.33 2.35 2.35 2.25 2.20 2.25

BTTS 1st Half Odds

BTTS 1st Half 10Bet 1xbet Betway Marathon Pncl Tipico bet365 bwin
Yes 3.65 3.78 3.60 3.64 3.97 3.60 3.75 3.60
No 1.25 1.26 1.25 1.24 1.26 1.25 1.25 1.25

BTTS 2nd Half Odds

BTTS 2nd Half 10Bet 1xbet Betway Marathon Tipico bet365 bwin
Yes 2.70 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.75 2.75
No 1.40 1.42 1.38 1.38 1.37 1.40 1.38

Over/Under 1st Half Odds

Over/Under 1st Half 10Bet 1xbet Betfair Betway Marathon Pncl Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Over 0.5 1.25 1.26 1.22 1.29 1.23 1.34 1.22 1.21 1.25 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 2.15 2.24 2.20 2.25 2.18 2.26 2.10 2.12 2.20 2.20 2.30
Over 2.5 4.50 4.97 5.20 5.00 4.80 N/A 4.40 4.60 5.00 5.00 5.25
Under 0.5 3.65 3.75 3.80 3.30 3.58 3.26 3.70 3.80 3.80 3.75 3.25
Under 1.5 1.62 1.66 1.60 1.57 1.64 1.68 1.65 1.68 1.62 1.62 1.55
Under 2.5 1.17 1.17 1.13 1.13 1.13 N/A 1.16 1.15 1.17 1.17 1.13

Over/Under 2nd Half Odds

Over/Under 2nd Half 10Bet 1xbet Betway Marathon Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bwin
Over 0.5 1.13 1.11 1.18 1.11 1.14 1.13 1.18 1.17
Over 1.5 1.70 1.72 1.85 1.72 1.70 1.68 1.75 1.80
Over 2.5 3.20 3.15 3.60 3.15 3.20 3.15 3.50 3.50
Under 0.5 5.00 5.30 4.33 5.30 4.70 5.30 4.75 4.50
Under 1.5 2.05 2.05 1.85 2.05 2.00 2.07 1.95 1.88
Under 2.5 1.30 1.29 1.25 1.29 1.30 1.30 1.29 1.26

Result 1st Half Odds

Result 1st Half 10Bet 1xbet Betfair Betway Dafabet Marathon Pncl Sbo Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Toluca 1.93 2.02 2.00 2.30 2.08 1.98 2.06 1.99 1.80 2.02 2.05 2.00 2.35
Draw 2.50 2.62 2.40 2.30 2.52 2.42 2.69 2.41 2.50 2.55 2.50 2.60 2.25
Monterrey 5.00 5.04 5.00 4.33 4.50 5.35 5.48 4.34 5.50 4.50 4.80 5.50 4.00

Result 2nd Half Odds

>
Result 2nd Half 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betway Marathon Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Toluca 1.83 1.91 1.85 2.20 1.77 1.85 1.85 1.80 2.10
Draw 2.88 2.86 2.80 2.60 2.95 3.05 2.80 N/A 2.65
Monterrey 4.50 4.95 4.80 3.80 4.95 4.35 4.80 4.75 3.70

Team To Score First Odds

Team To Score First 10Bet Betway Marathon Tipico bet365 bwin
Toluca 1.45 1.60 1.41 1.42 1.36 1.62
Draw 12.00 13.00 18.50 14.00 N/A 12.00
Monterrey 2.70 2.50 2.93 2.75 3.10 2.45

Clean Sheet Home Odds

Clean Sheet - Home 10Bet Betway bwin
Yes 2.65 2.90 2.90
No 1.42 1.36 1.35

Clean Sheet Away Odds

>
Clean Sheet - Away 10Bet Betway bwin
Yes 6.50 5.25 5.00
No 1.08 1.12 1.14

Win To Nil Odds

Win To Nil 10Bet WilliamHill
Toluca 2.90 3.00
Monterrey 10.00 11.00

Corners 1x2 Odds

Corners 1x2 1xbet Marathon Tipico Unibet WilliamHill
Toluca 1.55 1.42 1.57 1.42 1.44
Draw 8.80 9.00 8.20 7.00 9.00
Monterrey 3.21 3.44 2.85 3.15 3.00

Corners Over Under Odds

Corners Over Under 1xbet Betway Unibet bwin
Over 7.5 1.30 1.29 1.25 1.24
Over 8.5 1.55 1.50 1.44 1.46
Over 9.5 1.97 1.80 1.71 1.80
Over 10.5 2.43 2.25 2.12 2.37
Over 11.5 3.31 2.90 2.70 3.30
Under 7.5 3.49 3.30 3.35 3.50
Under 8.5 2.46 2.40 2.48 2.45
Under 9.5 1.83 1.91 1.95 1.83
Under 10.5 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.47
Under 11.5 1.33 1.36 1.37 1.27

Mexico Liga MX 2024/2025 Table

Pos Team GF GA GD Pts AVG
1 Cruz Azul FC 78 40 38 88 2.81
2 Club América 78 42 36 84 2.55
3 Deportivo Toluca FC 89 47 42 83 3.24
4 CF Monterrey 79 57 22 75 3.09
5 Tigres UANL 52 38 14 71 2.25
6 Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente 61 65 -4 55 3.32
7 Atlético San Luis 53 58 -5 55 2.92
8 Club Universidad Nacional 48 48 0 53 2.53
9 Club Necaxa 58 57 1 48 3.19
10 Club León 48 49 -1 48 2.69
11 CD Guadalajara 43 38 5 46 2.31
12 CF Pachuca 51 55 -4 45 2.86
13 CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara 44 59 -15 43 2.86
14 FC Juárez 39 58 -19 42 2.77
15 Querétaro FC 30 55 -25 32 2.5
16 Mazatlán FC 26 45 -19 31 2.09
17 Puebla FC 29 56 -27 23 2.5
18 Club Santos Laguna 27 66 -39 17 2.74

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