Monterrey vs Toluca - Match Preview & Prediction

1.2

Monterrey
d d w l d l w l w l

Mexico - Mexico Liga MX

Monterrey vs Toluca

Thursday - May 8th, 02:00 AM

1.6

Toluca
d d d w w d l w l w

Predictions & Tips

65% Over 2.5 Goals

84% Over 1.5 Goals

63% BTTS

2.93 Goals / Match

4.29 Cards / Match

9.56 Corners / Match

Monterrey Information

Coming into this game, Monterrey has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Monterrey has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Toluca's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Monterrey from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 15 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.

Monterrey has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.

Just 2 of the last 5 games for Monterrey has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 28/42 games for Monterrey this season.

It's likely that Monterrey will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.

Toluca Information

Coming into this game, Toluca has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Toluca has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Toluca has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.

Momentum is really building for Toluca as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.

Toluca is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Monterrey, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.

In the last 5 matches for Toluca, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 21 matches (58% of all matches) involving Toluca has seen BTTS landing.

It's likely that Toluca will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.

Who Will Win

1.2 d d w l d l w l w l
The home team is 14 % worse to the away team in terms of points per game
43 %
57 %
1.6 d d d w w d l w l w

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 26
31% Wins
31% Draws
38% Wins

85% Over 1.5 Goals

22/26 Matches

50% Over 2.5 Goals

13/26 Matches

27% Over 3.5 Goals

7/26 Matches

69% BTTS

18/26 Matches

12% Clean Sheets

Monterrey

23% Clean Sheets

Toluca

Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 45% better than the away team in terms of goals scored
1.60 Average Goals
1.10 Average Goals
Scored Per Game Monterrey Toluca
Over 0.5 90% 50%
Over 1.5 50% 50%
Over 2.5 10% 10%
Over 3.5 10% 0%
Failed To Score 10% 50%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Monterrey Toluca
Scored in 1H 44% 38%
Scored in 2H 56% 31%
Scored in Both Halves 30% 30%
Scored Average 1H 0.70 0.60
Scored Average 2H 0.90 0.50

Recent Form

CF Monterrey

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall d d w l d l w l w l 1.2
Home d w d w w 2.2
Away d l l l l 0.2
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 30% 60% 0%
AVG 3.30 2.60 4.00
Scored 16.00 9.00 7.00
Conceded 17.00 4.00 13.00
BTTS 70% 60% 80%
CS 20% 40% 0%
FTS 10% 0% 20%
xG 1.34 1.42 1.25
xGA 1.39 1.29 1.52
Deportivo Toluca FC

Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall d d d w w d l w l w 1.6
Home d w d w w 2.2
Away d d w l l 1
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 40% 60% 20%
AVG 1.90 2.80 1.00
Scored 11.00 9.00 2.00
Conceded 8.00 5.00 3.00
BTTS 40% 60% 20%
CS 40% 40% 40%
FTS 50% 20% 80%
xG 1.71 1.96 1.46
xGA 0.96 1.11 0.81

Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 113% worse than the away team in terms of goals conceded
1.70 Goals Conceded
0.80 Goals Conceded
Scored Per Game Monterrey Toluca
Over 0.5 80% 60%
Over 1.5 60% 20%
Over 2.5 20% 0%
Over 3.5 10% 0%
Cleansheets 20% 40%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Monterrey Toluca
1H Clean Sheet 40% 60%
2H Clean Sheet 30% 70%
Conceded Average 1H 0.90 0.40
Conceded Average 2H 0.80 0.40

Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

40%

Scored first in 4 / 10

30%

Scored first in 3 / 10

10 Minutes Monterrey Toluca
0 - 10 Mins 6% 11%
11 - 20 Mins 6% 11%
21 - 30 Mins 6% 5%
31 - 40 Mins 9% 16%
41 - 50 Mins 21% 16%
51 - 60 Mins 18% 32%
61 - 70 Mins 6% 5%
71 - 80 Mins 12% 5%
81 - 90 Mins 15% 0%
15 Minutes Monterrey Toluca
0 - 15 Mins 9% 16%
16 - 30 Mins 9% 11%
31 - 45 Mins 30% 26%
46 - 60 Mins 18% 37%
61 - 75 Mins 12% 11%
76 - 90 Mins 21% 0%
Scored (10 min) Monterrey Toluca
0 - 10 Mins 6% 9%
11 - 20 Mins 0% 9%
21 - 30 Mins 0% 9%
31 - 40 Mins 13% 18%
41 - 50 Mins 25% 9%
51 - 60 Mins 19% 36%
61 - 70 Mins 6% 9%
71 - 80 Mins 25% 0%
81 - 90 Mins 6% 0%
Scored (15 min) Monterrey Toluca
0 - 15 Mins 6% 9%
16 - 30 Mins 0% 18%
31 - 45 Mins 38% 27%
46 - 60 Mins 19% 36%
61 - 75 Mins 19% 9%
76 - 90 Mins 19% 0%
Conceded (10 min) Monterrey Toluca
0 - 10 Mins 6% 13%
11 - 20 Mins 12% 13%
21 - 30 Mins 12% 0%
31 - 40 Mins 6% 13%
41 - 50 Mins 18% 25%
51 - 60 Mins 18% 25%
61 - 70 Mins 6% 0%
71 - 80 Mins 0% 13%
81 - 90 Mins 24% 0%
Conceded (15 min) Monterrey Toluca
0 - 15 Mins 12% 25%
16 - 30 Mins 18% 0%
31 - 45 Mins 24% 25%
46 - 60 Mins 18% 38%
61 - 75 Mins 6% 13%
76 - 90 Mins 24% 0%

Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

4.1
Cards / Match

Sum of bookings per match between Monterrey and Toluca

2 / Match

Booked / Match

2.1 / Match

Booked / Match

Match Cards Monterrey Toluca Average
Over 2.5 70% 90% 80%
Over 3.5 70% 70% 70%
Over 4.5 50% 40% 45%
Over 5.5 40% 20% 30%
Over 6.5 40% 20% 30%
Team Cards Monterrey Toluca Average
Cards For Average 2 2.1 2.05
Over 0.5 For 80% 100% 90%
Over 1.5 For 50% 50% 50%
Over 2.5 For 40% 40% 40%
Over 3.5 For 20% 20% 20%
Cards Against Monterrey Toluca Average
Over 0.5 Against 90% 90% 90%
Over 1.5 Against 70% 70% 70%
Over 2.5 Against 60% 40% 50%
Over 3.5 Against 40% 20% 30%

First Half / Second Half Cards

Half Cards Monterrey Toluca Average
1H Cards For Average 0.5 0.9 0.455
2H Cards For Average 1.3 1.1 1.2
1H Total Cards AVG 1.4 1.6 1.5
2H Total Cards AVG 3.1 2.7 2.9
1H Had More Cards % 20% 30% 25%
2H Had More Cards % 80% 50% 35%
Over X 1H/2H Cards Monterrey Toluca Average
1H Over 0.5 Cards For 30% 70% 50%
2H Over 0.5 Cards For 70% 60% 65%
1H Total Under 2 70% 40% 55%
2H Total Under 2 40% 30% 35%
1H is 2~3 Total Cards 20% 60% 40%
2H is 2~3 Total Cards 10% 40% 25%
1H Total Over 3 10% 0% 5%
2H Total Over 3 50% 30% 40%

Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

8.9
Corners / Match

Average Corner Kicks per match between Monterrey and Toluca

2.8 / Match

Corners Earned

6.1 / Match

Corners Earned

Match Corners Monterrey Toluca Average
Over 6.5 60% 90% 75%
Over 7.5 30% 80% 55%
Over 8.5 20% 70% 45%
Over 9.5 20% 50% 35%
Over 10.5 10% 30% 20%
Over 11.5 0% 30% 15.005%
Over 12.5 0% 30% 15.005%
Over 13.5 0% 20% 10.005%
Over 14.5 0% 10% 5.005%
First Half Monterrey Toluca Average
FH Average 35 48 41.5
FH Over 4 1 6 3.5
FH Over 5 0 5 2.505
FH Over 6 0 3 1.505
Second Half Monterrey Toluca Average
2H Average 36 42 39
2H Over 4 2 5 3.5
2H Over 5 1 4 2.5
2H Over 6 1 3 2

Team Corners Corners Earned / Against

Team Corners Monterrey Toluca Average
Corners Earned / Match 2.8 6.1 4.45
Corners Against / Match 4.4 4.1 4.25
Over 2.5 For 70% 90% 80%
Over 3.5 For 20% 90% 55%
Over 4.5 For 10% 70% 40%
Over 2.5 Against 90% 70% 80%
Over 3.5 Against 60% 50% 55%
Over 4.5 Against 30% 40% 35%

Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more

Team Shots Monterrey Toluca Average
Shots / Match 11.3 16.7 14.00
Shots Conversion Rate 14% 7% 10.50%
Shots On Target / M 4.6 4.9 4.75
Shots Off Target / M 6.7 11.8 9.25
Shots Per Goal Scored 7.06 15.18 11.12
Team Shots Over 10.5 50% 80% 65%
Team Shots Over 11.5 50% 70% 60%
Team Shots Over 12.5 40% 70% 55%
Team Shots Over 13.5 40% 70% 55%
Team Shots Over 14.5 20% 40% 30%
Team Shots Over 15.5 0% 40% 20.005%
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ 70% 80% 75%
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ 50% 50% 50%
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ 40% 20% 30%
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ 10% 20% 15%
Offside Stats Monterrey Toluca Average
Offsides / Match 3.1 4 3.55
Over 2.5 Offsides 6 8 7.00
Over 3.5 Offsides 2 4 3.00
Misc Stats Monterrey Toluca Average
Fouls Committed / Match 10.5 11.9 11.20
Fouled Against / Match 12.1 11 11.55
Average Possession 53% 57% 55%

Past Matches

19th January 2025
Toluca 1
Monterrey 1
1st September 2024
Monterrey 1
Toluca 2
19th February 2024
Monterrey 0
Toluca 0
31st August 2023
Toluca 1
Monterrey 0
6th February 2023
Monterrey 2
Toluca 1
18th August 2022
Toluca 1
Monterrey 1
7th April 2022
Toluca 2
Monterrey 2
23rd September 2021
Monterrey 2
Toluca 0
11th April 2021
Toluca 1
Monterrey 2
29th July 2020
Monterrey 3
Toluca 1
29th February 2020
Toluca 2
Monterrey 0
18th August 2019
Monterrey 2
Toluca 0
7th April 2019
Toluca 5
Monterrey 1
21st October 2018
Monterrey 2
Toluca 1
11th February 2018
Toluca 2
Monterrey 1
24th August 2017
Monterrey 4
Toluca 1
16th April 2017
Toluca 1
Monterrey 1
23rd October 2016
Monterrey 1
Toluca 1
8th May 2016
Monterrey 1
Toluca 2
22nd November 2015
Toluca 3
Monterrey 1
8th March 2015
Monterrey 3
Toluca 2
21st September 2014
Toluca 1
Monterrey 0
26th January 2014
Toluca 2
Monterrey 0
4th August 2013
Monterrey 1
Toluca 1
7th April 2013
Toluca 1
Monterrey 0
8th November 2012
Monterrey 2
Toluca 2

Team Player List

FT Result Odds

FT Result 10Bet188Bet1xbet888SportBetfairBetssonBetwayCashpointCloudBetDafabetInterwettenLadbrokesMarathonPlanetwin365PnclSboTipicoUnibetWilliamHillbet365bwin
Monterrey 2.16 2.16 2.24 2.15 2.05 2.20 2.15 2.05 2.17 2.25 2.20 2.10 2.16 2.13 2.20 2.18 2.10 2.23 2.15 2.20 2.15
Draw 3.30 3.30 3.28 3.10 3.10 3.30 3.25 3.30 3.35 3.30 3.10 3.10 3.28 3.03 3.40 3.12 3.20 3.15 3.10 3.30 3.25
Toluca 3.40 3.20 3.25 3.25 3.30 3.30 3.25 3.52 3.47 3.00 3.20 3.20 3.36 3.43 3.52 3.02 3.40 3.20 3.25 3.40 3.30

Double Chance Odds

Double Chance 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betway Marathon Pncl Sbo Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bwin
Monterrey 1.30 1.34 1.30 1.30 1.31 1.34 1.27 1.27 1.28 1.30 1.31
Draw 1.28 1.33 1.33 1.35 1.32 1.36 1.25 1.32 1.29 1.35 1.32
Toluca 1.67 1.64 1.67 1.70 1.67 1.71 1.67 1.60 1.56 1.67 1.66

Over/Under Odds

Over/Under 10Bet 188Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betfair Betsson Betway Cashpoint CloudBet Dafabet Ladbrokes Marathon Planetwin365 Pncl Sbo Tipico Unibet bet365 bwin
Over 0.5 1.06 N/A 1.03 1.06 1.03 N/A 1.03 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.00 N/A N/A N/A 1.02 1.02 N/A 1.06
Over 1.5 1.33 N/A 1.30 1.30 1.25 N/A 1.29 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.25 N/A 1.30 N/A 1.25 1.26 N/A 1.29
Over 2.5 1.95 1.95 2.02 1.91 1.85 1.65 1.91 1.95 1.96 1.98 1.91 1.92 1.88 1.98 1.97 1.85 1.97 1.90 1.87
Over 3.5 3.40 N/A 3.25 3.30 3.20 N/A 3.20 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.10 N/A 3.38 N/A 3.30 3.50 N/A 3.10
Over 4.5 6.50 N/A 6.32 6.50 6.50 N/A 5.75 N/A N/A N/A N/A 6.15 N/A 6.75 N/A 5.80 7.50 N/A 6.00
Under 0.5 8.50 N/A 11.00 9.50 9.00 N/A 9.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A 9.30 N/A N/A N/A 9.50 10.50 N/A 8.50
Under 1.5 3.25 N/A 3.50 3.40 3.60 N/A 3.30 N/A N/A N/A N/A 3.28 N/A 3.68 N/A 3.50 3.55 N/A 3.25
Under 2.5 1.83 1.94 1.83 1.80 1.85 2.2 1.80 1.8 1.89 1.92 1.83 1.85 1.82 1.91 1.89 1.83 1.78 1.90 1.80
Under 3.5 1.30 N/A 1.34 1.30 1.30 N/A 1.30 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.28 N/A 1.34 N/A 1.28 1.26 N/A 1.32
Under 4.5 1.10 N/A 1.11 1.11 1.08 N/A 1.10 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.06 N/A 1.12 N/A 1.09 1.06 N/A 1.11

Both Teams To Score Odds

Both Teams To Score 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betfair Betway Marathon Pncl Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Yes 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.67 1.73 1.71 1.72 1.65 1.70 1.73 1.70 1.72
No 2.00 2.08 2.05 2.05 2.00 2.02 2.18 2.10 2.00 2.05 2.05 1.98

BTTS 1st Half Odds

BTTS 1st Half 10Bet 1xbet Betway Marathon Pncl Tipico bet365 bwin
Yes 4.00 4.33 4.33 4.40 4.69 4.20 4.50 4.20
No 1.20 1.21 1.18 1.17 1.20 1.18 1.18 1.19

BTTS 2nd Half Odds

BTTS 2nd Half 10Bet 1xbet Betway Marathon Tipico bet365 bwin
Yes 3.10 3.25 3.00 3.26 3.30 3.25 3.20
No 1.33 1.34 1.33 1.29 1.28 1.33 1.31

Over/Under 1st Half Odds

Over/Under 1st Half 10Bet 1xbet Betfair Betway Dafabet Marathon Pncl Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Over 0.5 1.40 1.38 1.36 1.38 1.44 1.39 1.39 1.35 1.40 1.36 1.36 1.39
Over 1.5 2.75 2.90 2.88 2.70 3.04 2.77 2.89 2.70 2.90 2.75 2.75 2.70
Over 2.5 6.50 7.42 7.50 6.50 N/A 6.95 N/A 6.50 6.75 7.00 7.00 7.00
Under 0.5 2.75 3.00 2.88 2.80 2.85 2.77 3.11 2.90 2.85 3.00 3.00 2.75
Under 1.5 1.40 1.40 1.36 1.40 1.39 1.39 1.44 1.40 1.38 1.40 1.40 1.40
Under 2.5 1.08 1.08 1.06 1.08 N/A 1.04 N/A 1.07 1.06 1.08 1.10 1.09

Over/Under 2nd Half Odds

Over/Under 2nd Half 10Bet 1xbet Betway Marathon Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bwin
Over 0.5 1.22 1.21 1.25 1.21 1.22 1.23 1.25 1.24
Over 1.5 2.10 2.02 2.10 2.13 2.10 2.10 2.20 2.05
Over 2.5 4.33 4.30 4.33 4.60 4.70 4.60 4.80 4.40
Under 0.5 3.75 3.78 3.60 3.75 3.80 3.80 3.70 3.70
Under 1.5 1.67 1.68 1.67 1.67 1.65 1.66 1.62 1.66
Under 2.5 1.18 1.16 1.18 1.14 1.14 1.16 1.17 1.18

Result 1st Half Odds

Result 1st Half 10Bet 1xbet Betfair Betway Dafabet Marathon Pncl Sbo Tipico Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Monterrey 2.65 2.78 2.70 2.75 2.69 2.76 2.80 2.48 2.70 2.80 2.50 2.75 2.70
Draw 2.05 2.22 2.10 2.10 2.13 2.03 2.29 2.09 2.15 2.12 2.20 2.20 2.05
Toluca 3.85 3.78 3.75 3.80 3.85 4.00 4.09 3.70 3.30 3.55 3.90 3.75 3.75

Result 2nd Half Odds

>
Result 2nd Half 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Betway Marathon Unibet WilliamHill bet365 bwin
Monterrey 2.50 2.58 2.60 2.50 2.43 2.48 2.60 2.50 2.40
Draw 2.38 2.58 2.38 2.38 2.43 2.48 2.38 N/A 2.40
Toluca 3.35 3.35 3.40 3.60 3.55 3.30 3.40 3.25 3.40

Team To Score First Odds

Team To Score First 10Bet Betway Marathon Tipico bet365 bwin
Monterrey 1.80 1.80 1.79 1.75 1.67 1.77
Draw 8.50 9.00 9.30 9.00 N/A 8.50
Toluca 2.30 2.30 2.28 2.20 2.30 2.30

Clean Sheet Home Odds

Clean Sheet - Home 10Bet Betway bwin
Yes 2.80 2.90 2.75
No 1.38 1.36 1.39

Clean Sheet Away Odds

>
Clean Sheet - Away 10Bet Betway bwin
Yes 3.75 3.80 3.75
No 1.22 1.22 1.23

Win To Nil Odds

Win To Nil 10Bet WilliamHill
Monterrey 3.80 3.80
Toluca 5.75 5.80

Corners 1x2 Odds

Corners 1x2 1xbet Betway Marathon Tipico Unibet WilliamHill
Monterrey 1.86 1.62 1.71 1.85 1.83 1.67
Draw 8.24 7.50 8.40 8.00 6.75 8.50
Toluca 2.45 2.88 2.49 2.25 2.17 2.45

Corners Over Under Odds

Corners Over Under 10Bet 1xbet Betway Marathon Pncl Tipico Unibet bwin
Over 7.5 N/A 1.30 1.29 1.22 N/A N/A 1.33 1.22
Over 8.5 N/A 1.55 1.50 1.43 1.56 1.45 1.58 1.42
Over 9.5 1.73 1.97 1.80 1.77 2.02 1.77 1.95 1.73
Over 10.5 N/A 2.43 2.25 2.23 2.49 2.20 2.55 2.25
Over 11.5 N/A 3.31 2.88 2.97 N/A N/A 3.30 3.10
Under 7.5 N/A 3.49 3.30 3.50 N/A N/A 2.88 3.75
Under 8.5 N/A 2.46 2.40 2.54 2.34 2.55 2.12 2.55
Under 9.5 2.00 1.83 1.91 1.94 1.79 1.95 1.70 1.90
Under 10.5 N/A 1.56 1.57 1.55 1.50 1.60 1.42 1.52
Under 11.5 N/A 1.33 1.36 1.30 N/A N/A 1.25 1.30

Mexico Liga MX 2024/2025 Table

Pos Team GF GA GD Pts AVG
1 Cruz Azul FC 78 40 38 88 2.81
2 Club América 78 42 36 84 2.55
3 Deportivo Toluca FC 89 47 42 83 3.24
4 CF Monterrey 79 57 22 75 3.09
5 Tigres UANL 52 38 14 71 2.25
6 Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente 61 65 -4 55 3.32
7 Atlético San Luis 53 58 -5 55 2.92
8 Club Universidad Nacional 48 48 0 53 2.53
9 Club Necaxa 58 57 1 48 3.19
10 Club León 48 49 -1 48 2.69
11 CD Guadalajara 43 38 5 46 2.31
12 CF Pachuca 51 55 -4 45 2.86
13 CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara 44 59 -15 43 2.86
14 FC Juárez 39 58 -19 42 2.77
15 Querétaro FC 30 55 -25 32 2.5
16 Mazatlán FC 26 45 -19 31 2.09
17 Puebla FC 29 56 -27 23 2.5
18 Club Santos Laguna 27 66 -39 17 2.74

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