AC Milan vs Lecce - Match Preview & Prediction

1.8

AC Milan
l w d l w w d d w w

Italy - Italy Serie A

AC Milan vs Lecce

Sunday - Jan 18th, 19:45 PM

0.7

Lecce
l w l w l d l l l l

Predictions & Tips

41% Over 2.5 Goals

63% Over 1.5 Goals

47% BTTS

2.78 Goals / Match

3.67 Cards / Match

10.47 Corners / Match

AC Milan Information

Coming into this game, AC Milan has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. AC Milan has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Superb stuff from AC Milan at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 9 games. Can they go another game without defeat?

AC Milan will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.

AC Milan has had no trouble finding the back of the net recently and has scored in the last 10 home games. They have failed to find the net in 0 home game this season.

Momentum is really building for AC Milan as they have now gone 18 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.

AC Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Lecce, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.

In the last 5 matches for AC Milan, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 10 matches (53% of all matches) involving AC Milan has seen BTTS landing.

It's likely that AC Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 13 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.

Lecce Information

Coming into this game, Lecce has picked up 1 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Lecce has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Can Lecce turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 1 draws and 4 defeats.

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Lecce recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Lecce has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That's 50% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 2 goals.

Just 2 of the last 5 games for Lecce has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/20 games for Lecce this season.

Who Will Win

1.8 l w d l w w d d w w
The home team is 36 % better to the away team in terms of points per game
68 %
32 %
0.7 l w l w l d l l l l

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 16
69% Wins
31% Draws
0% Wins

100% Over 1.5 Goals

16/16 Matches

63% Over 2.5 Goals

10/16 Matches

44% Over 3.5 Goals

7/16 Matches

50% BTTS

8/16 Matches

50% Clean Sheets

AC Milan

0% Clean Sheets

Lecce

Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 200% better than the away team in terms of goals scored
1.50 Average Goals
0.50 Average Goals
Scored Per Game AC Milan Lecce
Over 0.5 80% 40%
Over 1.5 40% 10%
Over 2.5 30% 0%
Over 3.5 0% 0%
Failed To Score 20% 60%
Scored 1st/2nd Half AC Milan Lecce
Scored in 1H 27% 27%
Scored in 2H 73% 7%
Scored in Both Halves 40% 0%
Scored Average 1H 0.40 0.40
Scored Average 2H 1.10 0.10

Recent Form

AC Milan

Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall l w d l w w d d w w 1.8
Home d w d w 2
Away l w l w d w 1.67
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 50% 50% 50%
AVG 2.50 2.50 2.50
Scored 15.00 7.00 8.00
Conceded 10.00 3.00 7.00
BTTS 50% 50% 50%
CS 30% 50% 17%
FTS 20% 0% 33%
xG 1.63 2.10 1.32
xGA 1.15 0.76 1.42
US Lecce

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall l w l w l d l l l l 0.7
Home w w l l l 1.2
Away l l d l l 0.2
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 20% 40% 0%
AVG 2.00 2.40 1.60
Scored 5.00 4.00 1.00
Conceded 15.00 8.00 7.00
BTTS 30% 40% 20%
CS 10% 20% 0%
FTS 60% 40% 80%
xG 0.95 1.19 0.72
xGA 1.70 1.23 2.18

Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 50% better than away team in terms of goals conceded
1.00 Goals Conceded
1.50 Goals Conceded
Scored Per Game AC Milan Lecce
Over 0.5 70% 90%
Over 1.5 30% 50%
Over 2.5 0% 10%
Over 3.5 0% 0%
Cleansheets 30% 10%
Scored 1st/2nd Half AC Milan Lecce
1H Clean Sheet 50% 70%
2H Clean Sheet 60% 10%
Conceded Average 1H 0.60 0.30
Conceded Average 2H 0.40 1.20

Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

30%

Scored first in 3 / 10

40%

Scored first in 4 / 10

10 Minutes AC Milan Lecce
0 - 10 Mins 8% 5%
11 - 20 Mins 8% 15%
21 - 30 Mins 8% 10%
31 - 40 Mins 8% 0%
41 - 50 Mins 20% 10%
51 - 60 Mins 8% 10%
61 - 70 Mins 12% 10%
71 - 80 Mins 16% 35%
81 - 90 Mins 12% 5%
15 Minutes AC Milan Lecce
0 - 15 Mins 12% 10%
16 - 30 Mins 12% 20%
31 - 45 Mins 16% 5%
46 - 60 Mins 20% 15%
61 - 75 Mins 12% 30%
76 - 90 Mins 28% 20%
Scored (10 min) AC Milan Lecce
0 - 10 Mins 0% 20%
11 - 20 Mins 0% 20%
21 - 30 Mins 7% 20%
31 - 40 Mins 7% 0%
41 - 50 Mins 33% 20%
51 - 60 Mins 13% 0%
61 - 70 Mins 7% 0%
71 - 80 Mins 13% 20%
81 - 90 Mins 20% 0%
Scored (15 min) AC Milan Lecce
0 - 15 Mins 0% 20%
16 - 30 Mins 7% 40%
31 - 45 Mins 20% 20%
46 - 60 Mins 33% 0%
61 - 75 Mins 7% 20%
76 - 90 Mins 33% 0%
Conceded (10 min) AC Milan Lecce
0 - 10 Mins 20% 0%
11 - 20 Mins 20% 13%
21 - 30 Mins 10% 7%
31 - 40 Mins 10% 0%
41 - 50 Mins 0% 7%
51 - 60 Mins 0% 13%
61 - 70 Mins 20% 13%
71 - 80 Mins 20% 40%
81 - 90 Mins 0% 7%
Conceded (15 min) AC Milan Lecce
0 - 15 Mins 30% 7%
16 - 30 Mins 20% 13%
31 - 45 Mins 10% 0%
46 - 60 Mins 0% 20%
61 - 75 Mins 20% 33%
76 - 90 Mins 20% 27%

Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

4
Cards / Match

Sum of bookings per match between AC Milan and Lecce

1.6 / Match

Booked / Match

2.4 / Match

Booked / Match

Match Cards AC Milan Lecce Average
Over 2.5 60% 80% 70%
Over 3.5 40% 40% 40%
Over 4.5 30% 30% 30%
Over 5.5 0% 20% 10.005%
Over 6.5 0% 10% 5.005%
Team Cards AC Milan Lecce Average
Cards For Average 1.6 2.4 2
Over 0.5 For 80% 100% 90%
Over 1.5 For 40% 70% 55%
Over 2.5 For 30% 30% 30%
Over 3.5 For 10% 10% 10%
Cards Against AC Milan Lecce Average
Over 0.5 Against 90% 90% 90%
Over 1.5 Against 50% 30% 40%
Over 2.5 Against 10% 20% 15%
Over 3.5 Against 0% 10% 5.005%

First Half / Second Half Cards

Half Cards AC Milan Lecce Average
1H Cards For Average 0.5 0.5 0.255
2H Cards For Average 1.1 1.7 1.4
1H Total Cards AVG 0.8 0.9 0.455
2H Total Cards AVG 2.3 2.8 2.55
1H Had More Cards % 10% 0% 5%
2H Had More Cards % 60% 80% 45%
Over X 1H/2H Cards AC Milan Lecce Average
1H Over 0.5 Cards For 50% 40% 45%
2H Over 0.5 Cards For 50% 100% 75%
1H Total Under 2 90% 80% 85%
2H Total Under 2 40% 10% 25%
1H is 2~3 Total Cards 10% 20% 15%
2H is 2~3 Total Cards 30% 60% 45%
1H Total Over 3 0% 0% 0.005%
2H Total Over 3 30% 30% 30%

Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

10.2
Corners / Match

Average Corner Kicks per match between AC Milan and Lecce

6.2 / Match

Corners Earned

4 / Match

Corners Earned

Match Corners AC Milan Lecce Average
Over 6.5 90% 80% 85%
Over 7.5 90% 80% 85%
Over 8.5 80% 80% 80%
Over 9.5 70% 80% 75%
Over 10.5 50% 50% 50%
Over 11.5 50% 40% 45%
Over 12.5 30% 20% 25%
Over 13.5 0% 10% 5.005%
Over 14.5 0% 0% 0.005%
First Half AC Milan Lecce Average
FH Average 43 48 45.5
FH Over 4 3 5 4
FH Over 5 2 4 3
FH Over 6 1 4 2.5
Second Half AC Milan Lecce Average
2H Average 63 54 58.5
2H Over 4 8 6 7
2H Over 5 7 5 6
2H Over 6 4 4 4

Team Corners Corners Earned / Against

Team Corners AC Milan Lecce Average
Corners Earned / Match 6.2 4 5.10
Corners Against / Match 4.4 6.2 5.30
Over 2.5 For 90% 60% 75%
Over 3.5 For 90% 40% 65%
Over 4.5 For 60% 30% 45%
Over 2.5 Against 70% 80% 75%
Over 3.5 Against 50% 70% 60%
Over 4.5 Against 50% 70% 60%

Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more

Team Shots AC Milan Lecce Average
Shots / Match 14.7 9.1 11.90
Shots Conversion Rate 10% 5% 7.50%
Shots On Target / M 4.6 1.6 3.10
Shots Off Target / M 10.1 7.5 8.80
Shots Per Goal Scored 9.8 18.2 14.00
Team Shots Over 10.5 80% 20% 50%
Team Shots Over 11.5 60% 10% 35%
Team Shots Over 12.5 60% 10% 35%
Team Shots Over 13.5 40% 10% 25%
Team Shots Over 14.5 30% 10% 20%
Team Shots Over 15.5 30% 10% 20%
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ 70% 10% 40%
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ 50% 10% 30%
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ 30% 0% 15%
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ 10% 0% 5%
Offside Stats AC Milan Lecce Average
Offsides / Match 2.9 3.67 3.29
Over 2.5 Offsides 6 7 6.50
Over 3.5 Offsides 2 6 4.00
Misc Stats AC Milan Lecce Average
Fouls Committed / Match 9.7 12.6 11.15
Fouled Against / Match 11.2 13.8 12.50
Average Possession 56% 40% 48%

Past Matches

23rd September 2025
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
29th August 2025
Lecce 0
AC Milan 2
8th March 2025
Lecce 2
AC Milan 3
27th September 2024
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
6th April 2024
AC Milan 3
Lecce 0
11th November 2023
Lecce 2
AC Milan 2
23rd April 2023
AC Milan 2
Lecce 0
14th January 2023
Lecce 2
AC Milan 2
22nd June 2020
Lecce 1
AC Milan 4
20th October 2019
AC Milan 2
Lecce 2
11th March 2012
AC Milan 2
Lecce 0
23rd October 2011
Lecce 3
AC Milan 4
16th January 2011
Lecce 1
AC Milan 1
29th August 2010
AC Milan 4
Lecce 0
5th April 2009
AC Milan 2
Lecce 0
9th November 2008
Lecce 1
AC Milan 1

Team Player List

Team Players - AC Milan

Pervis Estupiñán Defender
Santiago Giménez Forward
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder
Christian Pulisic Forward
Luka Modrić Midfielder
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder
Fikayo Tomori Defender
Strahinja Pavlović Defender
Matteo Gabbia Defender
Alexis Saelemaekers Forward
Pietro Terracciano Goalkeeper
Samuele Ricci Midfielder
Koni De Winter Defender
Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez Defender
Samuel Chukwueze Forward
Zachary Athekame Defender
Ardon Jasari Midfielder
Davide Bartesaghi Defender
Matteo Pittarella Midfielder
Yunus Musah Midfielder
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien Forward
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
Christopher Nkunku Midfielder
David Uyoyo Odogu Defender
Lorenzo Torriani Midfielder
Rafael Leão Forward
Emanuele Sala Midfielder
Alex Castiello Midfielder
Niclas Füllkrug Forward
Matteo Duțu Midfielder

Team Players - Lecce

Midfielder
Tete Morente Forward
Midfielder
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga Defender
Lameck Banda Forward
Ylber Ramadani Midfielder
Francesco Camarda Midfielder
Antonino Gallo Defender
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder
Wladimiro Falcone Goalkeeper
Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira Defender
Christian Früchtl Goalkeeper
Corrie Ndaba Defender
Jamil Siebert Defender
Hamza Rafia Midfielder
Konan Ignace Jocelyn Nu2019dri Midfielder
Matías Rodrigo Pérez Sepúlveda Midfielder
Thórir Jóhann Helgason Midfielder
Christ-Owen Kouassi Bathele Midfielder
Riccardo Sottil Forward
Olaf Gorter Midfielder
Jasper Samooja Goalkeeper
Balthazar Pierret Midfielder
Mohamed Kaba Midfielder
Youssef Maleh Midfielder
Santiago Pierotti Forward
Álex Sala Midfielder
Nikola Štulić Forward
Niko Kovac Midfielder
Gaby Jean Defender
Plamen Penev Goalkeeper
Filip Marchwiński Midfielder
Omri Gandelman Midfielder
Daniele Bleve Goalkeeper
Oumar Ngom Midfielder
Sadik Fofana Midfielder

Which Players Will Score?

Top Scores - AC Milan

Christian Pulisic - 8
Rafael Leão - 7
Christopher Nkunku - 4
Adrien Rabiot - 3
Strahinja Pavlović - 2

Top Scores - Lecce

- 2
Lameck Banda - 2
Lassana Coulibaly - 2
Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira - 2
Konan Ignace Jocelyn Nu2019dri - 2

Who Will Get Booked?

Cards Given - AC Milan

Youssouf Fofana - 4
Pervis Estupiñán - 4
Fikayo Tomori - 4
Matteo Gabbia - 3
Adrien Rabiot - 2

Cards Given - Lecce

- 8
Lameck Banda - 6
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga - 6
Ylber Ramadani - 6
Lassana Coulibaly - 2

Cards Per 90 Mins

Cards / 90 - AC Milan

Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez 2.05 AVG
Zachary Athekame 1.2 AVG
Pervis Estupiñán 0.53 AVG
Youssouf Fofana 0.28 AVG
Fikayo Tomori 0.24 AVG

Cards / 90 - Lecce

Lameck Banda 0.7 AVG
Konan Ignace Jocelyn Nu2019dri 0.61 AVG
0.44 AVG
Youssef Maleh 0.39 AVG
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga 0.35 AVG

FT Result Odds

FT Result 10Bet188Bet1xbet888SportBetfairCloudBetDafabetHKJCInterwettenLadbrokesMansionBetMelBetPinnacleSboUnibetWilliamHillbet365bwin
AC Milan
Draw
Lecce

Double Chance Odds

Double Chance 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Pinnacle Sbo Unibet WilliamHill
AC Milan
Draw
Lecce

Over/Under Odds

No Data Available...

Both Teams To Score Odds

Both Teams To Score 10Bet 188Bet 1xbet 888Sport Pinnacle Unibet WilliamHill bet365
Yes 2.35 2.49 2.39 2.38 2.59 2.48 2.38 2.25
No 1.55 1.54 1.52 1.53 1.54 1.50 1.53 1.57

BTTS 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

BTTS 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Over/Under 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

Over/Under 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Result 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

Result 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Team To Score First Odds

No Data Available...

Clean Sheet Home Odds

Clean Sheet - Home 10Bet
Yes 1.65
No 2.10

Clean Sheet Away Odds

>
Clean Sheet - Away 10Bet
Yes 7.00
No 1.07

Win To Nil Odds

Win To Nil bet365
AC Milan 1.83
Lecce 17.00

Corners 1x2 Odds

No Data Available...

Corners Over Under Odds

No Data Available...

Italy Serie A 2025/2026 Table

Pos Team GF GA GD Pts AVG
1 FC Internazionale Milano 44 17 27 49 2.9
2 AC Milan 34 16 18 46 2.38
3 SSC Napoli 31 17 14 43 2.29
4 AS Roma 26 12 14 42 1.81
5 Juventus FC 32 17 15 39 2.33
6 Calcio Como 28 16 12 34 2.2
7 Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio 26 20 6 32 2.19
8 Bologna FC 1909 30 24 6 30 2.57
9 SS Lazio 21 16 5 28 1.85
10 Udinese Calcio 22 33 -11 26 2.62
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 23 28 -5 23 2.43
12 Parma Calcio 1913 14 22 -8 23 1.71
13 Torino FC 21 34 -13 23 2.62
14 US Cremonese 20 28 -8 22 2.4
15 Cagliari Calcio 22 30 -8 22 2.48
16 Genoa CFC 22 29 -7 20 2.43
17 ACF Fiorentina 23 32 -9 17 2.62
18 US Lecce 13 29 -16 17 2
19 AC Pisa 1909 16 31 -15 14 2.24
20 Hellas Verona FC 17 34 -17 13 2.55

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