Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Thursday 2nd April

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Zoë Jayne Beard

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Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Thursday 2nd April

It’s a busy day of racing across Kelso, Chepstow, Southwell and more, and as always we’ve picked out our NAP of the Day, Dark Horse, and a strong Lucky 15 for today’s racing.

We’re focusing on course form, handicap marks, trainer form and jockey bookings to find the best value on the card.

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Todays NAP of the Day

4 Apr 16:40 - Book In Advance Save 5 Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) - Carlisle
4 Apr 16:40
Book In Advance Save 5 Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) - Carlisle

Kado Sacree

J: S Bowen T: O Murphy
Race Winner
6/4

Reason for Tip

You could be forgiven for questioning the maiden form of 4666 but Kado Sacree is bred for much better than that and we are likely to see that today on handicap debut. Enters handicaps on a rather low mark and this race is not very warm at all. Won’t take a great deal of improvement to take this today and the increased trip are a big positive on pedigree. Ground conditions are ideal and there’s lots of positives for this six year old today. Murphy yard in great form, have been all year and Kado Sacree has a big jockey upgrade today to the fantastic Sean Bowen. When Sean and Olly combine at Carlisle they’ve won 30% of races in the last two years and Sean will get the very best from this boy today at a course he knows very well. Looks set to win handicap debut.

⭐ NAP of the Day

Lovely bred youngster from the Johnston yard who ran a cracker on debut when finishing a close second before going one better at Wolverhampton last time out, winning in fine style. She looks the most unexposed horse in this race and remains open to plenty of improvement.

She has a decent draw in stall 4 today and quite frankly not much in this field looks capable of matching her on paper. This looks like a very good opportunity for Espanita to follow up on handicap debut. Callum Shepherd is in great form and this looks a strong booking.

Everything points towards a big run here and the price may shorten before the off.

Tip: Espanita – 13/8

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🎯 Dark Horse

The Jad Factor can be difficult to predict, but he is more than capable on his day and looks well handicapped at present. His last five runs read P114P, which sums up his inconsistency, but there are reasons to believe he could bounce back today.

He may have found the 2m7f trip too far last time out and now drops back to 2m5f, which looks much more suitable. He has course form, having won here last year, and the ground conditions are fine.

The yard are flying at the moment with a 43% strike rate in the last month, and with Patrick Wadge booked, there are plenty of positives. In a race that doesn’t look overly strong, he could easily outrun his odds.

Tip: The Jad Factor – 9/1

Todays Lucky 15

4 Apr 13:25 - Virgin Bet A Good Bet Royal Mile Handicap - Musselburgh
4 Apr 13:25
Virgin Bet A Good Bet Royal Mile Handicap - Musselburgh

Vincenzo Peruggia

J: Rowan Scott T: C Johnston
Race Winner
11/4

Reason for Tip

Warm looking renewal here with a Balding three year old at the head of the market at time of writing but preference is for Vincenzo Peruggia from the Johnston yard. Ran ok on debut at Hamilton when third back in June last year and followed up at Beverley when winning nicely. Outclassed in the Vintage Stakes at Goodwood when last seen in July last year but this three year old is beautifully bred and looks a major danger on step back down to Class 3 company. Has an ok draw from stall 6 and represents a top yard who won this race last year. Rowan Scott aboard for the ride. Vincenzo Peruggia is highly unexposed and remains open to plenty of further improvement. Should go well fresh and has a major chance today in this grade.

4 Apr 14:35 - Les Drew Hello Matey I'm 80 Handicap Chase - Newton Abbot
4 Apr 14:35
Les Drew Hello Matey I'm 80 Handicap Chase - Newton Abbot

Jack Doyen

J: J M Quinlan T: B I Case
Race Winner
39/10

Reason for Tip

This ten year old consistently produces best work in March and April each year and we’ve seen that again this year. Third at Leicester and then a winner at Hereford lto. Remains well treated off adjusted mark and is likely to run well again today in conditions that are ideally suited. For a small yard the Case’s have found a couple of winners recently and that bodes well for Jack Doyen’s chances. Biggest question mark is the course, makes debut today at Newton Abbot and has sometimes struggled going left handed but if he can shake that off, looks to have a good chance today.

4 Apr 16:30 - JCB Hydrogen Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) - Haydock
4 Apr 16:30
JCB Hydrogen Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) - Haydock

Springtime Legend

J: R P McLernon T: N P Mulholland
Race Winner
21/2

Reason for Tip

Pretty open race here and Springtime Legend from the Mulholland stable. Low mileage and only three runs in handicaps so far with form of 613. Wasn’t far away lto when third and looks to be open to further progression from this mark. Will stay this trip and acts on this ground and looks more than capable of having a big run today. From a yard with a good course record and who’ve also found a patch of really solid form. Richie Mclernon in the saddle is no bad thing and Springtime Legend looks a nice price at 8/1 and is certainly not written out of winning this today.

4 Apr 18:55 - Thank You Opus Foundation Handicap - Wolverhampton
4 Apr 18:55
Thank You Opus Foundation Handicap - Wolverhampton

Kirkdale

J: Callum Rodriguez T: E Bethell
Race Winner
3/1

Reason for Tip

Largely there or thereabouts recently for Kirkdale and form gong back to November last year reads 2244. Has struggled in last two starts when missing the break from arguably quite poor rides. Positive jockey change to the inform Callum Rodriguez today and has a plum draw from stall 2. Can run prominently so wouldn’t be surprised if the orders were to get out front and may be hard to peg back if given an easy time of it off this mark. Callum winning more than a third of his rides at the moment and partners with a stable that he has a stellar record for today. Kirkdale is in very good hands in a race that looks winnable. Big chance.

🍀 Lucky 15 Tips Today

Here are today’s Lucky 15 selections:

Horse Race Odds
Smoke Trail 2.40 Kelso 10/3
Supreme George 3.00 Chepstow 3/1
So You Know 4.07 Chepstow 3/1
Fortunate Star 6.48 Southwell 4/1

Lucky 15 Analysis

Smoke Trail returns to Kelso where he won on debut and can be forgiven for a poor run last time out at Newbury on handicap debut. This race looks weaker and a return to this track could spark improvement.

Supreme George has been very consistent over hurdles and completed a hat-trick earlier in the season. He has continued to run well despite higher weights and should be competitive again here.

So You Know looks one of the most unexposed runners in the race and has form figures of 122 since a disappointing debut. This looks a very good opportunity to get his head in front.

Fortunate Star has been in excellent form with two wins and a second recently and was unlucky not to complete a hat-trick last time out. He is now 5lb better off with the horse that beat him and looks set to reverse the form.

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Tipmans's Final Word

There looks to be some good opportunities on today’s card, with Espanita standing out as the best bet of the day, while The Jad Factor looks a solid each-way price in the Dark Horse slot.

The Lucky 15 looks strong on paper and could return well if a couple go in.

Good luck if you’re having a bet today.


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