Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Monday 16th February

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Zoë Jayne Beard

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Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Monday 16th February

Another busy Monday of racing across Carlisle, Fairyhouse, Wolverhampton and Ayr, with testing ground conditions set to play a big role at the jumps venues. We’ve pulled together our Lucky 15, a confident NAP of the Day, and a lively Dark Horse for those hunting a bit of value.

As always, these selections are based on recent form, ground suitability, handicapping angles and jockey bookings — not guesswork.

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Todays NAP of the Day

17 Feb 14:30 - Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase - Market Rasen
17 Feb 14:30
Every Race Live On Racing TV Novices' Handicap Chase - Market Rasen

Florita

J: Jonathan England T: S England
Race Winner
79/50

Reason for Tip

Eight year old who never made a great deal of progress over hurdles but has taken to fences like a duck to water. Two wins in three chases so far and both the wins were here at this course. Goes up in trip today to 2m7f but that should no pose no great threats to her chances and this girl looks set to complete a Market Rasen hattrick. This race doesn’t look a particularly strong affair and the opposition are largely opposable. Forecast soft ground is fine and if Florita can keep the form going from last time out, could take this with relative ease. Yard have a good record here and Jonathan is riding well at the moment, sporting a 31% strikerate in the last 60 days. Florita should win again today.

⭐ NAP of the Day

Lynches Knock

3.50 Fairyhouse – 11/8
T: Gordon Elliott | J: Jack Kennedy

The most unexposed runner in the race and one who has improved with every start. Proven on testing ground, stays the trip well, and comes from a yard in strong form. Jack Kennedy choosing this one over the other Elliott runner is telling. Looks the one to beat and a confident NAP.

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Todays Dark Horse

17 Feb 19:30 - BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) - Wolverhampton
17 Feb 19:30
BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) - Wolverhampton

Age Of Baroque

J: Taryn Langley T: Jessica Macey
Race Winner
40/1

Reason for Tip

Wide open handicap here in the 7.30 at Wolverhampton and one who is interesting at a ginormous price of 33/1 is five year old Age Of Baroque from the Macey stable. Not seen since September 2025 when 9th of 10 at Chelmsford and has since undergone a wind op. This procedure can spark immediate results and so it can be a factor worth considering sometimes in certain scenarios. Further to that, this five year old has shown ability, namely when winning at Southwell back in June off a mark only 2lb below what he runs off today. However, Taryn Langley is booked today and she has a 5lb apprentice allowance which puts Age Of Baroque on a mark 3lb below last winning one. Now the price is huge for reasons too, coming back after a break, from a yard who aren’t overly successful at the moment and an apprentice aboard who is capable, but inconsistent. But there is a few factors mentioned earlier which peak interest today and if this boy can get going well fresh, there’s no reason he can’t place off this mark and if the wind op has really helped this horse, then we could have a big surprise price going in. Interesting race, interesting runner.

🎯 Dark Horse

Annandale

8.00 Wolverhampton – 14/1
T: Jim Goldie | J: Lauren Young

Plenty of reasons to give this one another chance. Returns to his preferred 1m4f trip, now very well handicapped, and benefits from a 5lb claim. Recent form isn’t disastrous and this is a weak race. At double-figure odds, Annandale looks overpriced and could easily sneak into the places — or better.

Todays Lucky 15

17 Feb 13:30 - Join Racing TV Now Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) - Market Rasen
17 Feb 13:30
Join Racing TV Now Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) - Market Rasen

My Kinda Ghaiy

J: S Bowen T: O Murphy
Race Winner
4/1

Reason for Tip

Previously a flat horse for Hugo Palmer, four year old My Kinda Ghaiy now resides with the Olly Murphy yard and in his first two starts over obstacles has shown talent for this discipline. A strong second on hurdling debut at Taunton before a credible third at Wetherby lto. Runs the same trip again today and is open to plenty of progression still. Will appreciate the soft ground and has one of the best around aboard in Sean Bowen. This race looks contestable and this four year old with a little improvement in his fluidity over the obstacles should be bang there today. Good chance in this.

17 Feb 14:45 - Boyle Sports Cheltenham Bank Builder Jackpot Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) - Newbury
17 Feb 14:45
Boyle Sports Cheltenham Bank Builder Jackpot Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) - Newbury

Giantsgrave

J: Harry Skelton T: D Skelton
Race Winner
3/1

Reason for Tip

Won his bumper and been a little disappointing since over the obstacles with form of 35. However, Giantsgrave is very nicely bred, has hinted at ability and may just have needed a couple of runs. Needs to be better over the hurdles which on third start we should now see plenty of improvement and the drop in trip to the flat 2m looks a favourable switch up. Heavy ground shouldn’t pose too much of an issue, won his bumper on some pretty soft ground and is related to some heavy ground winners. Represents a major yard with a top jockey aboard in Harry Skelton and shouldn’t be far away at all today. Likely winner.

17 Feb 15:02 - Visit racingtv.com Mares' Handicap Hurdle - Market Rasen
17 Feb 15:02
Visit racingtv.com Mares' Handicap Hurdle - Market Rasen

Madame Luna

J: Paul O'Brien T: Harry Derham
Race Winner
11/4

Reason for Tip

Five year old Madame Luna has made the perfect start to her career so far with form of 111 and completed the hattrick in a warm mares novice at Doncaster lto. This looks a very reasonable opening mark considering and she has to be taken very seriously on handicap debut today. Should be fine over this trip considering she won over a furlong less lto and she remains open to an unknown quantity of further progression, although im sure we’ve not seen the best of Madame Luna yet. Paul O’Brien back aboard after an absence last time and that’s a positive, both yard and jockey have very good records at the course and when combining together at this track, have won 43% of their races in the last few years. Hard to look beyond this youngster today and she looks set to complete a four timer.

17 Feb 18:00 - Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Rider Restricted Race) (GBB Race) - Wolverhampton
17 Feb 18:00
Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Rider Restricted Race) (GBB Race) - Wolverhampton

Free Yourself

J: Callum Hutchinson T: A M Balding
Race Winner
11/2

Reason for Tip

Nicely bred debutant from the Balding yard who is a close relation to numerous winners, including at group level. Always a bit of a risk tipping a newcomer as they can be anything however this race is not a strong one. Of the horses who have had a run, none looks up to a great deal and this looks an ideal chance for a potentially talented filly to get off to a flying start. Yard have a good record with their debutants along with plenty of success at this track. Free Yourself has an ok draw from stall 4 and Callum Hutching gets the ride. Callum is riding very well at the moment and it’s a very strong booking at this course. Lots to like and if running to any sort of expectation from what’s on paper, should be challenging here and can win this.

🍀 Lucky 15 Tips Today

Kilnesare Flight

1.05 Carlisle – 9/4
T: Donald McCain | J: Brian Hughes

A lightly-raced six-year-old who continues to progress with each run. After placing in a point and bumper, Kilnesare Flight made no mistake on hurdling debut last time, winning in tidy fashion in a race that has since worked out well. Further improvement looks very likely, soft ground is ideal, and the booking of Brian Hughes only strengthens confidence. Big chance.


Hawkseye View

4.05 Carlisle – 6/1
T: J Parkinson & S Smith | J: Danny McMenamin

Still searching for a first win under rules, but this mark looks very workable now. His latest run can be forgiven and the drop back in trip should suit, with several of his better efforts coming at this distance. Danny McMenamin is a positive booking and if returning to his previous form, Hawkseye View is capable of finally getting off the mark.


Forceonmyown

4.50 Fairyhouse – 11/2
T: Gordon Elliott | J: Jack Kennedy

A wide-open handicap where several rivals have ground or weight concerns. Forceonmyown looks well treated on handicap debut and should relish the heavy ground. His maiden form suggests plenty of ability and Gordon Elliott does well with this type. Jack Kennedy taking the ride is another big positive. Major player.


Hierarchy

6.30 Wolverhampton – 4/1
T: J A Osborne | J: Conor Whiteley

Capable but not always straightforward, Hierarchy bounced back with a solid win last time and remains well treated despite a small rise. Conor Whiteley’s 7lb claim makes a big difference here and stall 1 is ideal. Expect him to be delivered late — if he gets a clear run, he’ll be bang there.

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Tipmans's Final Word

A cracking Monday card with value angles across both codes, but Lynches Knock stands out as the most solid option on the day. The Lucky 15 carries a nice blend of progressive types and handicapped runners, while Annandale offers a bit of spice at a big price.

As always — sensible staking, shop around for prices, and enjoy the racing.

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