St Pauli vs Hamburg Tips, Predictions and 11/1 Bet Builder – Bundesliga

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DavidParsons

David Parsons is an experienced sports writer with over 15 years’ expertise, creating trusted, data-driven match previews and betting content for leading sports platforms.

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St Pauli vs Hamburg Match Preview

St Pauli vs Hamburg – Tips, Predictions & 11/1 Bet Builder

Bundesliga | 23 January | 19:30
Venue: Millerntor-Stadion


St Pauli vs Hamburg Preview

St Pauli remain rooted to the bottom of the Bundesliga table and find themselves four points adrift of safety following consecutive away defeats to Wolfsburg (2–1) and Borussia Dortmund (3–2). Despite showing some attacking intent in both matches, defensive fragility continues to undermine their survival hopes.

The wider picture is bleak for the hosts, who have managed just one win in their last 14 Bundesliga matches. Home form has offered little respite either, with St Pauli recording only two wins from seven games at the Millerntor-Stadion this season, losing four times in the process.

Hamburger SV arrive in 14th place, holding a five-point cushion over their city rivals. However, Merlin Polzin’s side are also struggling for momentum, having failed to win any of their last four league matches.

Draws against Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach were followed by away defeats to Hoffenheim and Freiburg, highlighting ongoing inconsistency — particularly on the road. With neither side in form, this derby looks finely balanced despite the league positions.

St Pauli v Hamburg

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Draw

Match Result
11/5

Reason for Tip

St Pauli vs Hamburg – Tips, Predictions & 11/1 Bet Builder

Bundesliga | 23 January | 19:30
Venue: Millerntor-Stadion


St Pauli vs Hamburg Preview

St Pauli remain rooted to the bottom of the Bundesliga table and find themselves four points adrift of safety following consecutive away defeats to Wolfsburg (2–1) and Borussia Dortmund (3–2). Despite showing some attacking intent in both matches, defensive fragility continues to undermine their survival hopes.

The wider picture is bleak for the hosts, who have managed just one win in their last 14 Bundesliga matches. Home form has offered little respite either, with St Pauli recording only two wins from seven games at the Millerntor-Stadion this season, losing four times in the process.

Hamburger SV arrive in 14th place, holding a five-point cushion over their city rivals. However, Merlin Polzin’s side are also struggling for momentum, having failed to win any of their last four league matches.

Draws against Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach were followed by away defeats to Hoffenheim and Freiburg, highlighting ongoing inconsistency — particularly on the road. With neither side in form, this derby looks finely balanced despite the league positions.

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

BTTS - Yes

Both Teams To Score
19/20

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals
17/5

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Over 5.5 Corners

Over 5.5 Corners
1/16

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Adam Dzwigala to be Carded

Player To Be Carded
53/20

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Nicolai Remberg to be Carded

Player To Be Carded
57/20

Reason for Tip

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Current Form Guide

St Pauli: L L L D L

Hamburg: D L D L D

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Team News and Predicted Line-Ups

St Pauli Team News

  • Out: Jackson Irvine (foot), David Nemeth (groin)

James Sands and Eric Smith are expected to form the midfield pivot, while Martijn Kaars should again lead the line.

Possible XI:
Vasilj; Dźwigała, Wahl, Mets; Pyrka, Sands, Smith, Ritzka; Fujita, Kaars, Pereira Lage


Hamburg Team News

  • Out: Yussuf Poulsen (ankle)

Damion Downs is expected to start up front, supported by creative wide options, while Luka Vušković anchors the defence.

Possible XI:
Fernandes; Capaldo, Vušković, Torunarigha; Jatta, Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim; Vieira, Downs, Dompé

St Pauli vs Hamburg Prediction

With both sides struggling for confidence, this Hamburg derby is likely to be tense and scrappy rather than free-flowing. St Pauli’s desperation for points could make them competitive at home, but Hamburg’s slightly greater stability and league position may help them avoid defeat.

St Pauli vs Hamburg Betting Tips

TipMan Bet Builder

Draw

Both Teams To Score

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 5.5 Corners Total

Adam Dzwigala To Be Booked

Nicolai Remberg To Be Booked

🔥 Estimated Odds: ~ 11.00+ (dependent on bookmaker)

St Pauli v Hamburg

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Draw

Match Result
11/5

Reason for Tip

St Pauli vs Hamburg – Tips, Predictions & 11/1 Bet Builder

Bundesliga | 23 January | 19:30
Venue: Millerntor-Stadion


St Pauli vs Hamburg Preview

St Pauli remain rooted to the bottom of the Bundesliga table and find themselves four points adrift of safety following consecutive away defeats to Wolfsburg (2–1) and Borussia Dortmund (3–2). Despite showing some attacking intent in both matches, defensive fragility continues to undermine their survival hopes.

The wider picture is bleak for the hosts, who have managed just one win in their last 14 Bundesliga matches. Home form has offered little respite either, with St Pauli recording only two wins from seven games at the Millerntor-Stadion this season, losing four times in the process.

Hamburger SV arrive in 14th place, holding a five-point cushion over their city rivals. However, Merlin Polzin’s side are also struggling for momentum, having failed to win any of their last four league matches.

Draws against Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Mönchengladbach were followed by away defeats to Hoffenheim and Freiburg, highlighting ongoing inconsistency — particularly on the road. With neither side in form, this derby looks finely balanced despite the league positions.

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

BTTS - Yes

Both Teams To Score
19/20

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Over 3.5 Goals

Over 3.5 Goals
17/5

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Over 5.5 Corners

Over 5.5 Corners
1/16

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Adam Dzwigala to be Carded

Player To Be Carded
53/20

Reason for Tip

23 Jan 19:30 - St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga
23 Jan 19:30
St. Pauli vs Hamburg - Bundesliga

Nicolai Remberg to be Carded

Player To Be Carded
57/20

Reason for Tip

Conclusion

Neither side comes into this Hamburg derby in convincing form, and with pressure high at both ends of the table, caution is likely to outweigh ambition. St Pauli’s need for points should keep them competitive, but Hamburg’s experience may be enough to secure a share of the spoils in a low-scoring, hard-fought encounter.

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