Today’s Best Over 2.5 Goals Tips – Wednesday 5th November

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Ben Beard

Co-founder of Tipman and a well-known tipster with over a decade of profitable tracked results. Featured on the Racing Post NAPs table, Ben brings proven expertise and sharp racing insight.

Published Date: November 4, 2025 2:55 PM

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Today’s Best Over 2.5 Goals Tips – Wednesday 5th November

Our TipMan Football Stats Centre highlights the fixtures most likely to produce three or more goals — using xG, recent form, and scoring frequency to isolate data-backed opportunities.
All fixtures below show a 75%+ Over 2.5 Goals probability according to TipMan’s live model.

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Summary – Wednesday’s Top Over 2.5 Goals Fixtures
🕒 🌍 🏠 v 🏃 📈 O2.5 🤝 BTTS ⚽ AVG
10:00 🇦🇩 Pas de la Casa v FC Santa Coloma 100% 50% 3.5
11:00 🇻🇳 Binh Duong v Hai Phong 100% 88% 3.5
11:00 🇮🇳 Gokulam v Mohammedan 75% 0% 3.0
14:00 🇮🇳 Bengaluru v Minerva Punjab 75% 0% 3.0
17:30 🇩🇰 København W v Køge W 100% 50% 12.0
18:00 🇩🇰 Nordsjælland W v Odense Q 100% 50% 5.0
18:30 🇩🇪 HSV II v Lübeck 86% 57% 4.17
19:00 🏴 Leyton Orient U21 v Blackburn U21 75% 100% 3.75
19:45 🏴 York City v Gateshead 81% 47% 3.86
20:00 🇧🇪 Club Brugge v Barcelona 93% 79% 4.17
20:00 🇫🇷 Marseille v Atalanta 84% 50% 2.83
20:00 🏴 Newcastle v Athletic Bilbao 84% 50% 3.50

 

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Detailed Write-Ups & Insights

🇦🇩 Pas de la Casa vs FC Santa Coloma (10:00 AM – Andorra Primera Divisió)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 100% | Avg Goals: 3.50 | Total xG: 1.82
The early Andorran fixture is a data standout. Pas de la Casa games have seen 100% of matches clear 1.5 goals, and Santa Coloma’s xG trend supports another open affair. Reliable early kick-off overs angle.

🇻🇳 Binh Duong vs Hai Phong (11:00 AM – Vietnam V.League 1)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 100% | Avg Goals: 3.50 | xG: 3.11 (1.60H / 1.51A)
Consistent goals in the Vietnamese top flight — both sides 100% for 1.5+ goals and 88% for BTTS. High tempo, poor defences, and a strong xG total make this one of the best early picks of the day.

🇮🇳 Gokulam vs Mohammedan (11:00 AM – India Super Cup)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 75% | Avg Goals: 3.00 | xG: 2.25 (1.49H / 0.76A)
Gokulam’s attacking numbers keep them in this list. While Mohammedan’s BTTS record is low, the home side’s xG and chance creation make Over 2.5 a fair play.

🇮🇳 Bengaluru vs Minerva Punjab (14:00 PM – India Super Cup)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 75% | Avg Goals: 3.00 | xG: 3.56 (1.70H / 1.86A)
A balanced attacking fixture in Indian domestic competition. Both sides average over 3 total goals per game and have the xG to match, with Bengaluru’s home form especially consistent.

🇩🇰 København W vs Køge W (17:30 PM – Danish Women’s Cup)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 100% | Avg Goals: 12.00 | Total xG: 2.19
An extraordinary statistical outlier. København’s games are averaging 12 goals with 100% over rates across all goal lines — the perfect addition for high-goal accumulator bettors.

🇩🇰 Nordsjælland W vs Odense Q (18:00 PM – Danish Women’s Cup)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 100% | Avg Goals: 5.00 | xG: 1.11 (all away)
Five-goal match averages, 100% for 1.5+ goals, and a strong attacking record from Odense. Reliable over trend in Denmark’s women’s competition.

🇩🇪 Hamburger SV II vs VfB Lübeck (18:30 PM – Regionalliga Nord)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 86% | Avg Goals: 4.17 | Total xG: 2.10
German regional football rarely disappoints for goals. HSV II matches are averaging over four goals, with a 92% hit rate for 1.5+ and both halves showing solid attacking numbers.

🇬🇧 Leyton Orient U21 vs Blackburn U21 (19:00 PM – Premier League Cup U23)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 75% | Avg Goals: 3.75 | xG: 2.39 (1.25H / 1.14A)
Youth games continue to be a goals haven. Both sides 100% for 1.5+ goals and 100% for BTTS. Open football and poor defensive shape make this a confident inclusion.

🇬🇧 York City vs Gateshead (19:45 PM – National League)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 81% | Avg Goals: 3.86 | xG: 3.51 (2.09H / 1.42A)
Gateshead’s games rank among the highest-scoring in the National League, while York’s attacking xG at home has spiked recently. A clear data-driven value for the overs market.

🇪🇺 Club Brugge vs FC Barcelona (20:00 PM – UEFA Champions League)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 93% | BTTS: 79% | Avg Goals: 4.17 | xG: 3.56 (1.88H / 1.68A)
Elite attacking matchup. Both sides are trending heavily towards goals, and with Barcelona averaging 4+ goals per match in Europe, this fixture leads the evening slate for over potential.

🇫🇷 Marseille vs Atalanta (20:00 PM – UEFA Champions League)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 84% | Avg Goals: 2.83 | xG: 2.84 (1.22H / 1.62A)
Two teams with attacking systems and occasional defensive lapses. Marseille’s home games have produced 84% over 1.5, while Atalanta’s European form adds further upside for goals.

🏴 Newcastle United vs Athletic Club Bilbao (20:00 PM – UEFA Champions League)

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 84% | Avg Goals: 3.50 | xG: 3.10 (1.62H / 1.48A)
Newcastle’s high-tempo style against Bilbao’s press should deliver end-to-end football. Strong BTTS numbers (50%) and matching xG data make this a standout overs fixture in the late window.

Why These Picks Rank Top

Every match above is filtered through the TipMan Football Stats Software using advanced data points:

  • ✅ 75%+ Over 2.5 probability

  • ⚽ High xG totals (2.5–5.0+)

  • 💥 Above-average BTTS rates

  • 📊 Consistent over-performance vs market odds

These games represent statistically strong expected value (EV) for goals-based betting markets.

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TipMan Verdict

Wednesday’s card features a perfect blend of Champions League quality and global goal value.
The top statistical overs include:

  • Club Brugge vs Barcelona

  • Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao

  • Binh Duong vs Hai Phong

Combine 3–5 selections for an Over 2.5 Goals Acca, and check live updates before kick-off inside the TipMan Football Stats Centre.

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