Aston Villa vs Manchester City Predictions, Betting Tips and Bet Builder

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Fraser Bricknell

Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.

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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Kick-Off, Date & TV Info
  • Date: Sunday 26 October

  • Kick-off: 2:00pm

  • Venue: Villa Park, Birmingham

  • Competition: Premier League

  • TV: Sky Sports Main Event

Two sides in very different rhythms meet at Villa Park on Sunday. Aston Villa F.C. are back on home soil after a frustrating midweek European defeat, while Manchester City F.C. arrive with momentum and a clear upward curve in form. Here is our Aston Villa v Man City Bet Builder Tip!

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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Preview

Villa’s winning run came to a halt on Thursday with a 2–1 defeat away to Go Ahead Eagles in the Europa League. It was a reminder of their defensive vulnerability despite a strong domestic recovery. They’ve now conceded in six of their last seven matches in all competitions.

Unai Emery’s side started the Premier League season slowly, failing to score in their first four games, but have since found more balance and structure. They’ve beaten City at Villa Park in their last two league meetings, their best run against them at home in decades. However, fatigue may be a factor here after a demanding European trip and a squad that lacks depth in certain areas.

Manchester City, meanwhile, have been solid. They’ve won their last three league games without conceding and have kept clean sheets in seven of their eight wins in all competitions this season. Their defensive shape has tightened in recent weeks, and their attacking structure remains relentless.

City have also scored in every league match this season, regularly taking control early and forcing teams to chase. Pep Guardiola’s side have opened the scoring in six straight league matches and arrive with Erling Haaland in strong form, scoring in each of their last four Premier League away games.

Team News and Predicted Lineups

Aston Villa

Youri Tielemans (calf) and Andrés García (muscle) remain unavailable. Lucas Digne is a slight doubt and could be replaced by Ian Maatsen at left-back.

Predicted line-up (4-2-3-1):
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen; Kamara, Onana; Guessand, Rogers, McGinn; Watkins.
Bench: Buendia, Bogarde, Digne, Lindelof, Elliott, Mings.

Manchester City

Rodri remains out with a muscle injury. Nico González could start at the base of midfield. John Stones is fit and expected to partner Rúben Dias, with Josko Gvardiol at left-back.

Predicted line-up (4-1-4-1):
Donnarumma; Nunes, Stones, Dias, Gvardiol; Gonzalez; Doku, Reijnders, Foden, Savinho; Haaland.
Bench: Silva, Kovacic, Marmoush, Ait-Nouri, Bobb.

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Head-to-Head Record
  • Last 6 meetings: Villa 2 | Draw 1 | City 3

  • Villa have won their last two home league games against City.

  • City have scored in each of the last 10 league meetings.

This fixture has quietly become far more competitive at Villa Park, where City’s last win came in 2022.

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Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Tactical View

Villa’s home success against City has come through compact mid-blocks, organised pressing and clinical counter-attacks. John McGinn and Morgan Rogers drive transitions, while Ollie Watkins stretches defences.

However, set pieces have been a weak spot — five of their last seven goals conceded have come from dead balls. That’s a danger against a City side with rehearsed routines and aerial threats in Stones, Dias and Haaland.

City will aim to suffocate Villa with sustained possession. Without Rodri, they’ve leaned more on positional rotations from Reijnders and Foden to build control. Erling Haaland’s physical presence remains their most consistent weapon, and he’s scored in all four away league games this season.

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Key Stats
  • Manchester City have kept clean sheets in 7 of their 8 wins in all competitions this season.

  • Villa have conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.

  • Haaland has scored in 4 straight Premier League away games.

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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction

Villa are well drilled at home and have recent success against City on this ground, but Guardiola’s side look composed and efficient again. Expect Villa to make this competitive, but City to have enough control to avoid defeat.

Tipman Prediction: Manchester City to win or draw, 2–1 City correct score lean.

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FAQs

When is Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Sunday 26 October, 2:00pm kick-off.

Where is the match being played?
Villa Park, Birmingham.

Where can I watch it?
Live on Sky Sports Main Event in the UK.

Who’s favourite?
Manchester City are odds-on favourites with the draw second favourite.

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