Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Predictions, Tips, Odds & Bet Builder

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Fraser Bricknell

Tipman founder, lifelong football fan and stats-driven tipster with seven years of winning experience.

Published Date: October 17, 2025 5:56 PM

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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Match Info

  • Date: Saturday, October 18

  • Kick-off: 12.30pm (UK)

  • Venue: City Ground, Nottingham

  • Competition: Premier League

  • TV: TNT Sports 1

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Preview

Chelsea to win is our first leg in our Nottingham Forest v Chelsea Bet Builder tip. Forest’s season has started badly. They’ve taken just two points from their opening seven games and sit 17th in the Premier League table. Postecoglou has yet to win since taking over, and their home form has been especially poor — three straight defeats at the City Ground.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are seventh and growing in confidence. Their 2-1 victory over Liverpool before the international break was their biggest result of the season so far, and they’ve now lost just one of their last six league matches.

The two sides met at the City Ground in May, where Levi Colwill’s header sealed a 1-0 win for Chelsea on the final day. The Blues have lost just once to Forest in their last 12 meetings in all competitions.

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Key Stats

  • Forest have lost four of their last five Premier League matches to nil.

  • Forest have scored just one second-half goal all season.

  • Chelsea have won only three of their last 14 away league games.

  • Both teams have scored in five of Chelsea’s last six matches.

  • Chelsea have conceded first in all five away games this season.

  • Forest are averaging 4.71 corners per game, Chelsea 6.43, for a combined 11.1 corners.

  • Forest average 2.00 yellow cards per match and Chelsea 2.14, for a combined 4.14 cards.

  • Forest are committing 11.29 fouls per match, Chelsea 10.5.

  • Chelsea average 5.8 shots on target per game, second in the league behind Liverpool.

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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Team News & Predicted Line Ups

Oleksandr Zinchenko is expected to be fit despite a minor groin issue. Murillo should return to the starting XI after missing out against Newcastle. Douglas Luiz and Ola Aina remain out with hamstring problems.

For Chelsea, Trevoh Chalobah is available again after suspension. Enzo Fernández and Moisés Caicedo are both carrying knocks but are expected to feature. Romeo Lavia could start if one misses out. Cole Palmer is a doubt with a groin injury.

Predicted Lineups

Nottingham Forest: Sels, Zinchenko, Milenkovic, Murillo, Williams, Sangaré, Anderson, Hudson-Odoi, Gibbs-White, Ndoye, Wood

Chelsea: Sánchez, Cucurella, Badiashile, Chalobah, James, Gusto, Caicedo, Estêvão, Fernández, Neto, Pedro

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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Bet Builder Tips

1. Chelsea to Win

Forest are winless in their last nine matches and have conceded 12 goals in seven league games. Chelsea have won two of their last three league games and have dominated this fixture historically, losing just one of the last twelve meetings. Forest are struggling badly in front of their home fans, making Chelsea the logical selection for the match result.

2. Under 4.5 Goals

Forest’s matches are averaging 2.4 total goals this season and Chelsea’s 3.1. Both sides would need to combine for at least five goals to lose this bet, which is statistically rare in the Premier League. Given Forest’s limited attacking threat and Chelsea’s tendency to edge tight games, the under is favoured here.

3. Over 8.5 Corners

Chelsea average 6.43 corners per match this season, Forest 4.71. That combined average of over 11 corners per game comfortably clears the 8.5 line. Chelsea’s style under Maresca — heavy possession, wide overloads and high shot volume — naturally leads to corners, particularly against low-block teams like Forest.

4. Over 3.5 Cards

Forest are averaging 2.00 yellows per game and Chelsea 2.14, for a total of over four bookings on current averages. Both teams press aggressively and commit a lot of fouls in midfield, while Forest are fighting to avoid being dragged deeper into the relegation battle. A physical game looks likely, making over 3.5 cards a strong angle.

5. João Pedro — 1+ Shot on Target

João Pedro has averaged 0.46 shots on target per 90 this season. Chelsea are averaging 5.8 shots on target per match overall, so if he starts in an advanced role, registering at least one on-target attempt is a realistic expectation.

6. Elliot Anderson — 1+ Foul

Anderson averages around 1.6 fouls per 90 minutes. Playing in an advanced pressing role, he’s likely to be involved in transitions and defensive work, which increases the chance of him committing at least one foul during the game.

7. Enzo Fernández — 1+ Foul

Fernández has averaged 1.54 fouls per 90 over the past year and 0.68 this season. Operating in central midfield, he’s at the heart of Chelsea’s pressing and defensive structure. One foul is well within his usual match profile.

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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction

Forest are struggling badly under Ange Postecoglou, while Chelsea are building momentum. Forest haven’t beaten Chelsea at home for 28 years, and the visitors should have enough to get the job done again at the City Ground.

Predicted Score: Nottingham Forest 1–2 Chelsea

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Final Word

Chelsea aren’t perfect away from home, but Forest’s form has been dreadful. Add in Chelsea’s attacking numbers, Forest’s discipline issues and their vulnerability at the back, and this bet builder has a strong statistical foundation.

👉 Kick-off: Saturday, October 18, 12:30pm
👉 TV: TNT Sports 1
👉 Venue: City Ground

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