Formula 1’s 2025 Belgium Grand Prix: Prediction, Preview & Betting Tips




Tyler Smith
An enthusiastic sports writer with a passion for Football, American Sports and Formula 1, bringing sharp insight and informed betting analysis to every weekend.
Published Date: July 24, 2025 8:19 PM




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Round 13 of the 2025 Formula 1 World Championship heads to Spa-Francorchamps in Belgium, one of the most historic and challenging circuits on the calendar. Known for its long straights, elevation changes and the legendary Eau Rouge corner, Spa is a favourite among drivers and fans alike.
This weekend follows the sprint format, with Sprint Qualifying on Friday, a 100km Sprint Race on Saturday morning, and traditional Grand Prix Qualifying later that day. The main race takes place on Sunday at 2:00 PM local time.
McLaren continue to dominate the 2025 season with Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris first and second in the Drivers’ Championship. Lewis Hamilton, who won here in 2024 after George Russell’s disqualification, returns to a circuit where he has never finished lower than fourth in a completed race. Ferrari arrive with a rear suspension upgrade, while Red Bull enter the weekend under the temporary leadership of Laurent Mekies following Christian Horner’s departure.
In this Belgium Grand Prix betting preview, Tipman looks at key trends, recent results and value picks for the weekend ahead.
Race Overview & Sprint Format
- Event dates: Friday 25–Sunday 27 July.
- Sprint weekend: Friday features Sprint Qualifying, Saturday a 100 km Sprint Race at 11:00 AM, then main race qualifying at 3:00 PM. The grand prix starts Sunday at 2:00 PM local time.
- Track: 7.004 km per lap, making it F1’s longest circuit. Race distance is 44 laps (~308 km)
Recent winners (last five races):
- 2024: Lewis Hamilton – promoted after Russell’s disqualification.
- 2023–2021: All won by Verstappen.
- 2020: Lewis Hamilton
This seasons form:
- Drivers’ Championship: Oscar Piastri leads McLaren teammate Lando Norris by 8 points, with Verstappen 69 off the lead
- McLaren’s resurgence: Piastri has won 5 of 12 races; Norris has four—McLaren dominate same-year 2025 form
- Red Bull shake‑up: First weekend under acting principal Laurent Mekies following Christian Horner’s departure
- Mercedes in form: Hamilton chipped in with a win at Spa 2024, hinting at resurging pace before his switch to Ferrari
- Upgrades to note: Williams are bringing a mid-season update for Sainz and Albon


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It is hard to look past the McLaren dominance this season and while it is refreshing to see 2 team mates battling it out for supremacy at the top of the standings, it is not helpful from a betting perspective as both are incredibly short in price.
We are going to back an outsider for the podium however, in Lewis Hamilton. Quite simply Hamilton loves Spa and has never finished lower than 4th in a race he’s completed here. Hamilton showed signs of the old version at Silverstone last time, finishing P4 in a rain affected GP. Ferrari have also been testing out a rear suspension upgrade which has been noted with ‘cautious optimism’ around the Ferrari camp. Could an upgrade to the Ferrari and one of Hamilton’s favourite tracks be a match made in heaven? We hope so and we will be backing him for a Top 3 Finish.
Another selection we like is Isack Hadjar to finish in the top 10 and secure some points. Without Max Verstappen’s influence, it could be argued the the Racing Bulls car has actually been stronger than the Red Bull this season, shown by the disappointing season so far by any 2nd Red Bull driver. Hadjar looks destined for the Red Bull 2nd seat next season and has been the strongest of all the rookie drivers so far this season, bar Antonelli in the superior Mercedes.
We will be backing Hadjar to maintain his form and secure another top 10 finish.
Predictions:
- Lewis Hamilton Top 3 Finish (Podium Finish) – 7/4
- Isack Hadjar Top 10 Finish (Points Finish) – 6/4


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