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Toulouse vs Lens - Ligue 1
Over 1.5 Goals
Reason for Tip
The hosts Toulouse have been involved in four matches resulting in over 1.5 match goals within their previous four matches, meanwhile the visitors Lens have also been involved in four matches resulting in over 1.5 match goals within their previous four matches.
Gil Vicente vs Sporting - Primeira Liga
Sporting Win
Reason for Tip
The hosts Gil Vicente come in-to the match winless within their previous six matches, meanwhile the visitors Sporting come in-to the match in excellent form, managing to win all four of their previous matches.
Aston Villa vs Nottm Forest - Premier League
Aston Villa Win
Reason for Tip
Villa’s home form remains a major strength, with over 70% of league points collected at Villa Park and a clear uptick in chance creation against mid-table opposition. Their ability to control midfield and apply sustained pressure has translated into 1.8+ goals per home game, while Forest continue to struggle away from home, conceding regularly when forced to defend deep. With superior structure, depth and attacking efficiency on home soil, Villa look well placed to take the points.
Brighton vs Burnley - Premier League
Brighton Win
Reason for Tip
Brighton’s possession-heavy approach and pressing structure make them particularly effective at home against sides that struggle to retain the ball. They average 60%+ possession at the Amex and rank among the league leaders for shots from inside the box. Burnley’s away record remains fragile, with a low scoring output and a tendency to concede territory for long spells. Brighton’s ability to recycle pressure and create repeat chances gives them a clear edge.
Bournemouth vs Arsenal - Premier League
Arsenal Win
Reason for Tip
Arsenal’s away performances against bottom-half sides have been consistently strong, driven by high shot volume and disciplined game management. They average over 1.6 goals per away match while conceding relatively few high-quality chances. Bournemouth remain competitive but can be exposed defensively when pressed aggressively, particularly in central areas. Arsenal’s superior quality in midfield and ability to control tempo should see them assert themselves.
Celtic vs Rangers - Scottish Premiership
Rangers Win
Reason for Tip
Rangers have shown greater control and defensive solidity in recent Old Firm meetings, particularly when games are played at a high tempo. Their pressing efficiency and transitional threat have caused Celtic problems, and they arrive with strong underlying numbers away from home against top-six opposition. In what is likely to be a tight, physical contest, Rangers’ structure and game management give them a narrow but credible edge.
Altrincham vs Morecambe - National League
Altrincham Win
Reason for Tip
Altrincham’s home form has been one of the standout features of their season, with a high win percentage and over 1.9 goals per game on their own patch. They play with intensity, commit numbers forward and regularly overwhelm visiting sides with sustained pressure. Morecambe’s away record has been inconsistent, particularly defensively, making this a strong spot for the hosts.
Carlisle vs Wealdstone - National League
Carlisle Win
Reason for Tip
Carlisle are far more reliable at home, where their physical approach and set-piece threat tend to tell. They concede fewer chances at Brunton Park and have shown an ability to turn territorial dominance into goals against lower-ranked opposition. Wealdstone’s away performances have lacked consistency, particularly when faced with direct pressure, giving Carlisle a solid home edge.
Rochdale vs Brackley - National League
Rochdale Win
Reason for Tip
Rochdale’s attacking numbers at home remain strong, with a high shot count and regular goals from open play. They tend to impose themselves early, forcing visiting sides into defensive shapes they struggle to maintain. Brackley are well organised but can be stretched against teams that move the ball quickly and attack from wide areas. Rochdale’s tempo and attacking depth give them the advantage.
Southend vs Truro - National League
Southend Win
Reason for Tip
Southend’s home performances have been built on control and consistency, averaging well over a goal per game while limiting opponents’ chances effectively. Truro’s away form has been a clear weak point, particularly defensively, with difficulties coping against sides that apply sustained pressure. Southend’s superior structure and home momentum make them the right call.
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