Italy vs Germany - Match Preview & Prediction

1.5

Italy
d l w w d w w l l d

International - International UEFA Nations League

Italy vs Germany

Thursday - Mar 20th, 19:45 PM

2.1

Germany
w l w d w w w d w d

Predictions & Tips

75% Over 2.5 Goals

83% Over 1.5 Goals

67% BTTS

3.26 Goals / Match

3.67 Cards / Match

8.34 Corners / Match

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Italy Information

Coming into this game, Italy has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Italy has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Italy will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.

Italy will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Germany, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1

In the last 5 matches for Italy, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 5 matches (83% of all matches) involving Italy has seen BTTS landing.

It's likely that Italy will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.

Germany Information

Coming into this game, Germany has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Germany has scored 13 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Germany has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.

Momentum is really building for Germany as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.

Germany is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Italy, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 13 goals in those 5 games.

In the last 5 matches for Germany, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 3 matches (50% of all matches) involving Germany has seen BTTS landing.

It's likely that Germany will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 13 goals in the last five games.

Who Will Win

1.5 d l w w d w w l l d
The home team is 20 % worse to the away team in terms of points per game
40 %
60 %
2.1 w l w d w w w d w d

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 6
17% Wins
50% Draws
33% Wins

83% Over 1.5 Goals

5/6 Matches

33% Over 2.5 Goals

2/6 Matches

33% Over 3.5 Goals

2/6 Matches

67% BTTS

4/6 Matches

33% Clean Sheets

Italy

17% Clean Sheets

Germany

Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 44% worse than away team in terms of goals scored
1.80 Average Goals
2.60 Average Goals
Scored Per Game Italy Germany
Over 0.5 90% 100%
Over 1.5 50% 70%
Over 2.5 30% 30%
Over 3.5 10% 20%
Failed To Score 10% 0%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Italy Germany
Scored in 1H 44% 61%
Scored in 2H 56% 83%
Scored in Both Halves 30% 20%
Scored Average 1H 0.80 1.10
Scored Average 2H 1.00 1.50

Recent Form

Italy National Team

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall d l w w d w w l l d 1.5
Home d w l l 1
Away d l w w w d 1.83
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 40% 25% 50%
AVG 3.40 4.00 3.00
Scored 18.00 8.00 10.00
Conceded 16.00 8.00 8.00
BTTS 80% 100% 67%
CS 10% 0% 17%
FTS 10% 0% 17%
xG 1.34 1.55 1.21
xGA 1.28 1.12 1.39
Germany National Team

Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall w l w d w w w d w d 2.1
Home w w w w d 2.6
Away l d w d w 1.6
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 60% 80% 40%
AVG 3.60 4.20 3.00
Scored 26.00 18.00 8.00
Conceded 10.00 3.00 7.00
BTTS 60% 20% 100%
CS 40% 80% 0%
FTS 0% 0% 0%
xG 1.87 2.20 1.55
xGA 1.10 0.85 1.35

Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 60% worse than the away team in terms of goals conceded
1.60 Goals Conceded
1.00 Goals Conceded
Scored Per Game Italy Germany
Over 0.5 90% 60%
Over 1.5 50% 30%
Over 2.5 20% 10%
Over 3.5 0% 0%
Cleansheets 10% 40%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Italy Germany
1H Clean Sheet 50% 80%
2H Clean Sheet 30% 50%
Conceded Average 1H 0.80 0.20
Conceded Average 2H 0.80 0.80

Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

50%

Scored first in 5 / 10

70%

Scored first in 7 / 10

10 Minutes Italy Germany
0 - 10 Mins 12% 8%
11 - 20 Mins 3% 0%
21 - 30 Mins 9% 11%
31 - 40 Mins 15% 11%
41 - 50 Mins 18% 17%
51 - 60 Mins 9% 11%
61 - 70 Mins 15% 17%
71 - 80 Mins 12% 11%
81 - 90 Mins 9% 11%
15 Minutes Italy Germany
0 - 15 Mins 15% 8%
16 - 30 Mins 9% 11%
31 - 45 Mins 24% 17%
46 - 60 Mins 18% 22%
61 - 75 Mins 21% 17%
76 - 90 Mins 15% 22%
Scored (10 min) Italy Germany
0 - 10 Mins 11% 4%
11 - 20 Mins 6% 0%
21 - 30 Mins 11% 15%
31 - 40 Mins 11% 15%
41 - 50 Mins 11% 15%
51 - 60 Mins 11% 12%
61 - 70 Mins 11% 15%
71 - 80 Mins 17% 15%
81 - 90 Mins 11% 8%
Scored (15 min) Italy Germany
0 - 15 Mins 17% 4%
16 - 30 Mins 11% 15%
31 - 45 Mins 17% 23%
46 - 60 Mins 17% 19%
61 - 75 Mins 22% 15%
76 - 90 Mins 17% 23%
Conceded (10 min) Italy Germany
0 - 10 Mins 13% 20%
11 - 20 Mins 0% 0%
21 - 30 Mins 6% 0%
31 - 40 Mins 19% 0%
41 - 50 Mins 25% 20%
51 - 60 Mins 6% 10%
61 - 70 Mins 19% 20%
71 - 80 Mins 6% 0%
81 - 90 Mins 6% 20%
Conceded (15 min) Italy Germany
0 - 15 Mins 13% 20%
16 - 30 Mins 6% 0%
31 - 45 Mins 31% 0%
46 - 60 Mins 19% 30%
61 - 75 Mins 19% 20%
76 - 90 Mins 13% 20%

Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

4.5
Cards / Match

Sum of bookings per match between Italy and Germany

2.1 / Match

Booked / Match

2.4 / Match

Booked / Match

Match Cards Italy Germany Average
Over 2.5 80% 80% 80%
Over 3.5 50% 60% 55%
Over 4.5 40% 50% 45%
Over 5.5 20% 40% 30%
Over 6.5 20% 20% 20%
Team Cards Italy Germany Average
Cards For Average 2.1 2.4 2.25
Over 0.5 For 100% 80% 90%
Over 1.5 For 60% 50% 55%
Over 2.5 For 30% 50% 40%
Over 3.5 For 20% 20% 20%
Cards Against Italy Germany Average
Over 0.5 Against 80% 90% 85%
Over 1.5 Against 50% 80% 65%
Over 2.5 Against 40% 40% 40%
Over 3.5 Against 10% 30% 20%

First Half / Second Half Cards

Half Cards Italy Germany Average
1H Cards For Average 0.7 0.6 0.305
2H Cards For Average 1.3 1.8 1.55
1H Total Cards AVG 1.1 1.2 1.15
2H Total Cards AVG 2.9 4 3.45
1H Had More Cards % 20% 20% 20%
2H Had More Cards % 80% 80% 50%
Over X 1H/2H Cards Italy Germany Average
1H Over 0.5 Cards For 50% 30% 40%
2H Over 0.5 Cards For 90% 80% 85%
1H Total Under 2 60% 70% 65%
2H Total Under 2 30% 20% 25%
1H is 2~3 Total Cards 40% 30% 35%
2H is 2~3 Total Cards 40% 30% 35%
1H Total Over 3 0% 0% 0.005%
2H Total Over 3 30% 50% 40%

Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

10.1
Corners / Match

Average Corner Kicks per match between Italy and Germany

4.9 / Match

Corners Earned

5.2 / Match

Corners Earned

Match Corners Italy Germany Average
Over 6.5 80% 60% 70%
Over 7.5 70% 50% 60%
Over 8.5 60% 50% 55%
Over 9.5 60% 50% 55%
Over 10.5 40% 40% 40%
Over 11.5 40% 40% 40%
Over 12.5 30% 20% 25%
Over 13.5 10% 20% 15%
Over 14.5 0% 10% 5.005%
First Half Italy Germany Average
FH Average 45 44 44.5
FH Over 4 5 5 5
FH Over 5 5 5 5
FH Over 6 3 2 2.5
Second Half Italy Germany Average
2H Average 53 42 47.5
2H Over 4 5 6 5.5
2H Over 5 4 4 4
2H Over 6 3 2 2.5

Team Corners Corners Earned / Against

Team Corners Italy Germany Average
Corners Earned / Match 4.9 5.2 5.05
Corners Against / Match 4.9 3.8 4.35
Over 2.5 For 70% 90% 80%
Over 3.5 For 60% 80% 70%
Over 4.5 For 50% 50% 50%
Over 2.5 Against 70% 70% 70%
Over 3.5 Against 50% 50% 50%
Over 4.5 Against 40% 40% 40%

Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more

Team Shots Italy Germany Average
Shots / Match 10.3 14.6 12.45
Shots Conversion Rate 17% 18% 17.50%
Shots On Target / M 5.5 7.5 6.50
Shots Off Target / M 4.8 7.1 5.95
Shots Per Goal Scored 5.72 5.62 5.67
Team Shots Over 10.5 30% 70% 50%
Team Shots Over 11.5 30% 60% 45%
Team Shots Over 12.5 20% 60% 40%
Team Shots Over 13.5 20% 60% 40%
Team Shots Over 14.5 10% 50% 30%
Team Shots Over 15.5 10% 40% 25%
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ 90% 100% 95%
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ 70% 90% 80%
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ 40% 70% 55%
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ 40% 40% 40%
Offside Stats Italy Germany Average
Offsides / Match 2.11 3.1 2.61
Over 2.5 Offsides 3 4 3.50
Over 3.5 Offsides 1 4 2.50
Misc Stats Italy Germany Average
Fouls Committed / Match 11.8 12.8 12.30
Fouled Against / Match 13.3 12.6 12.95
Average Possession 51% 60% 55.5%

Past Matches

14th June 2022
Germany 5
Italy 2
4th June 2022
Italy 1
Germany 1
15th November 2016
Italy 0
Germany 0
2nd July 2016
Germany 1
Italy 1
29th March 2016
Germany 4
Italy 1
4th July 2006
Germany 0
Italy 2

International UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Table

Pos Team GF GA GD Pts AVG
1 Kosovo National Team 15 6 9 18 3
2 Greece National Team 14 5 9 18 2.38
3 Germany National Team 23 8 15 18 3.88
4 Spain National Team 18 9 9 18 3.38
5 Turkey National Team 15 7 8 17 2.75
6 Portugal National Team 18 8 10 17 3.25
7 FYR Macedonia National Team 10 1 9 16 1.83
8 France National Team 14 8 6 16 2.75
9 Sweden National Team 19 4 15 16 3.83
10 Romania National Team 15 3 12 15 3.6
11 England National Team 16 3 13 15 3.17
12 Italy National Team 17 13 4 14 3.75
13 Slovakia National Team 10 6 4 14 2
14 Georgia National Team 16 7 9 13 2.88
15 Norway National Team 15 7 8 13 3.67
16 Austria National Team 15 8 7 12 2.88
17 Republic of Ireland National Team 7 14 -7 12 2.63
18 Slovenia National Team 8 9 -1 12 2.13
19 Wales National Team 9 4 5 12 2.17
20 Netherlands National Team 18 12 6 11 3.75
21 Ukraine National Team 11 12 -1 11 2.88
22 Croatia National Team 10 10 0 11 2.5
23 Northern Ireland National Team 11 3 8 11 2.33
24 Denmark National Team 10 10 0 11 2.5
25 Czech Republic National Team 9 8 1 11 2.83
26 Serbia National Team 6 7 -1 10 1.63
27 Scotland National Team 8 11 -3 10 2.38
28 Moldova National Team 5 1 4 9 1.5
29 Bulgaria National Team 5 10 -5 9 1.88
30 Belgium National Team 10 12 -2 7 2.75
31 San Marino National Team 5 3 2 7 2
32 Belarus National Team 3 4 -1 7 1.17
33 Malta National Team 2 2 0 7 1
34 Albania National Team 4 6 -2 7 1.67
35 Armenia National Team 9 18 -9 7 3.38
36 Iceland National Team 12 18 -6 7 3.75
37 Cyprus National Team 4 15 -11 6 3.17
38 Hungary National Team 5 17 -12 6 2.75
39 Gibraltar National Team 4 3 1 6 1.75
40 Faroe Islands National Team 5 6 -1 6 1.83
41 Israel National Team 5 13 -8 4 3
42 Estonia National Team 3 9 -6 4 2
43 Latvia National Team 4 11 -7 4 2.5
44 Poland National Team 9 16 -7 4 4.17
45 Montenegro National Team 4 9 -5 3 2.17
46 Luxembourg National Team 3 7 -4 3 1.67
47 Bosnia-Herzegovina National Team 4 17 -13 2 3.5
48 Liechtenstein National Team 3 6 -3 2 2.25
49 Switzerland National Team 6 14 -8 2 3.33
50 Kazakhstan National Team 0 15 -15 1 2.5
51 Andorra National Team 0 4 -4 1 1
52 Azerbaijan National Team 3 17 -14 1 3.33
53 Lithuania National Team 4 11 -7 0 2.5
54 Finland National Team 2 13 -11 0 2.5

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