Louisville City vs Lexington - Match Preview & Prediction

2.3
Louisville City
USA - USA USL Championship
Louisville City vs Lexington
Friday - May 2nd, 01:00 AM

1
Lexington
Predictions & Tips
50% Over 2.5 Goals
100% Over 1.5 Goals
50% BTTS
2.75 Goals / Match
7 Cards / Match
14 Corners / Match

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Louisville City Information
Coming into this game, Louisville City has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Louisville City has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Louisville City will be confident of scoring today and will look to keep up their record of scoring in every single home game this season.
Momentum is really building for Louisville City as they have now gone 6 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Louisville City ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Louisville City is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Lexington, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Louisville City, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (67% of all matches) involving Louisville City has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Louisville City will score today, as they have netted in the last 6 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Lexington Information
Coming into this game, Lexington has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Lexington has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Lexington has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Can Lexington turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Lexington recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
In the last 5 matches for Lexington, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 4 matches (57% of all matches) involving Lexington has seen BTTS landing.
Lexington will need to improve their attack if they're to get anything out of this game. They have not scored in the last 2 matches. During the last five games they have scored 4 times and overall this season they have scored 1.14 goals per game.
Who Will Win

The home team is 44 % better to the away team in terms of points per game

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 1

0% Over 1.5 Goals
0/1 Matches
0% Over 2.5 Goals
0/1 Matches
0% Over 3.5 Goals
0/1 Matches
0% BTTS
0/1 Matches
100% Clean Sheets
Louisville City
0% Clean Sheets
Lexington
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 46% better than the away team in terms of goals scored


Scored Per Game | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
Over 0.5 | 90% | 60% |
Over 1.5 | 70% | 40% |
Over 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over 3.5 | 10% | 10% |
Failed To Score | 10% | 40% |
Scored 1st/2nd Half | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
Scored in 1H | 42% | 32% |
Scored in 2H | 58% | 37% |
Scored in Both Halves | 40% | 30% |
Scored Average 1H | 0.80 | 0.60 |
Scored Average 2H | 1.10 | 0.70 |
Recent Form

Louisville City FC
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
Form | Results | PPG |
---|---|---|
Overall | w l w d w w d w w w | 2.3 |
Home | w l w w w w | 2.5 |
Away | w d d w | 2 |
Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
---|---|---|---|
Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
AVG | 3.00 | 3.33 | 2.50 |
Scored | 19.00 | 13.00 | 6.00 |
Conceded | 11.00 | 7.00 | 4.00 |
BTTS | 70% | 50% | 100% |
CS | 20% | 33% | 0% |
FTS | 10% | 17% | 0% |
xG | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.43 |
xGA | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.27 |

Lexington SC
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
Form | Results | PPG |
---|---|---|
Overall | w d w d l l l d d l | 1 |
Home | w w d l d d l | 1.29 |
Away | d l l | 0.33 |
Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
---|---|---|---|
Win % | 20% | 29% | 0% |
AVG | 2.50 | 2.14 | 3.33 |
Scored | 13.00 | 10.00 | 3.00 |
Conceded | 12.00 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
BTTS | 40% | 29% | 67% |
CS | 40% | 57% | 0% |
FTS | 40% | 43% | 33% |
xG | 1.58 | 1.72 | 1.29 |
xGA | 1.01 | 0.89 | 1.24 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 9% better than away team in terms of goals conceded


Scored Per Game | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
Over 0.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over 1.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Cleansheets | 20% | 40% |
Scored 1st/2nd Half | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
1H Clean Sheet | 70% | 60% |
2H Clean Sheet | 30% | 50% |
Conceded Average 1H | 0.30 | 0.60 |
Conceded Average 2H | 0.80 | 0.60 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

60%
Scored first in 6 / 10

30%
Scored first in 3 / 10
10 Minutes | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 3% | 12% |
11 - 20 Mins | 13% | 12% |
21 - 30 Mins | 13% | 12% |
31 - 40 Mins | 0% | 0% |
41 - 50 Mins | 7% | 16% |
51 - 60 Mins | 17% | 12% |
61 - 70 Mins | 13% | 8% |
71 - 80 Mins | 17% | 12% |
81 - 90 Mins | 17% | 16% |
15 Minutes | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 7% | 20% |
16 - 30 Mins | 23% | 16% |
31 - 45 Mins | 7% | 12% |
46 - 60 Mins | 17% | 16% |
61 - 75 Mins | 17% | 8% |
76 - 90 Mins | 30% | 28% |
Scored (10 min) | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 8% |
11 - 20 Mins | 16% | 23% |
21 - 30 Mins | 21% | 0% |
31 - 40 Mins | 0% | 0% |
41 - 50 Mins | 5% | 23% |
51 - 60 Mins | 16% | 15% |
61 - 70 Mins | 11% | 8% |
71 - 80 Mins | 21% | 23% |
81 - 90 Mins | 11% | 0% |
Scored (15 min) | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 0% | 23% |
16 - 30 Mins | 37% | 8% |
31 - 45 Mins | 5% | 15% |
46 - 60 Mins | 16% | 23% |
61 - 75 Mins | 16% | 8% |
76 - 90 Mins | 26% | 23% |
Conceded (10 min) | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 9% | 17% |
11 - 20 Mins | 9% | 0% |
21 - 30 Mins | 0% | 25% |
31 - 40 Mins | 0% | 0% |
41 - 50 Mins | 9% | 8% |
51 - 60 Mins | 18% | 8% |
61 - 70 Mins | 18% | 8% |
71 - 80 Mins | 9% | 0% |
81 - 90 Mins | 27% | 33% |
Conceded (15 min) | Louisville City | Lexington |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 18% | 17% |
16 - 30 Mins | 0% | 25% |
31 - 45 Mins | 9% | 8% |
46 - 60 Mins | 18% | 8% |
61 - 75 Mins | 18% | 8% |
76 - 90 Mins | 36% | 33% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

4.63
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Louisville City and Lexington
2.33 / Match
Booked / Match

2.3 / Match
Booked / Match

Match Cards | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 | 89% | 70% | 79.5% |
Over 3.5 | 67% | 40% | 53.5% |
Over 4.5 | 44% | 20% | 32% |
Over 5.5 | 33% | 20% | 26.5% |
Over 6.5 | 22% | 10% | 16% |
Team Cards | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Cards For Average | 2.33 | 2.3 | 2.315 |
Over 0.5 For | 89% | 80% | 84.5% |
Over 1.5 For | 56% | 70% | 63% |
Over 2.5 For | 33% | 50% | 41.5% |
Over 3.5 For | 22% | 20% | 21% |
Cards Against | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 0.5 Against | 89% | 70% | 79.5% |
Over 1.5 Against | 67% | 40% | 53.5% |
Over 2.5 Against | 67% | 20% | 43.5% |
Over 3.5 Against | 22% | 10% | 16% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
Half Cards | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
1H Cards For Average | 0.67 | 0.8 | 0.405 |
2H Cards For Average | 1.56 | 1.5 | 1.53 |
1H Total Cards AVG | 1.89 | 1.2 | 1.545 |
2H Total Cards AVG | 3 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
1H Had More Cards % | 11% | 10% | 10.5% |
2H Had More Cards % | 56% | 70% | 40.5% |
Over X 1H/2H Cards | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 44% | 60% | 52% |
2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 78% | 80% | 79% |
1H Total Under 2 | 44% | 70% | 57% |
2H Total Under 2 | 11% | 10% | 10.5% |
1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 44% | 20% | 32% |
2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 67% | 80% | 73.5% |
1H Total Over 3 | 11% | 10% | 10.5% |
2H Total Over 3 | 22% | 10% | 16% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

11
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Louisville City and Lexington
4.11 / Match
Corners Earned

6.89 / Match
Corners Earned

Match Corners | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 6.5 | 67% | 78% | 72.5% |
Over 7.5 | 56% | 67% | 61.5% |
Over 8.5 | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Over 9.5 | 33% | 44% | 38.5% |
Over 10.5 | 22% | 44% | 33% |
Over 11.5 | 22% | 33% | 27.5% |
Over 12.5 | 22% | 33% | 27.5% |
Over 13.5 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Over 14.5 | 22% | 0% | 11% |
First Half | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
FH Average | 37 | 40 | 38.5 |
FH Over 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
FH Over 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
FH Over 6 | 3 | 2 | 2.5 |
Second Half | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
2H Average | 31 | 47 | 39 |
2H Over 4 | 3 | 6 | 4.5 |
2H Over 5 | 3 | 6 | 4.5 |
2H Over 6 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
Team Corners | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Corners Earned / Match | 4.11 | 6.89 | 5.50 |
Corners Against / Match | 4.56 | 2.89 | 3.73 |
Over 2.5 For | 67% | 100% | 83.5% |
Over 3.5 For | 44% | 78% | 61% |
Over 4.5 For | 33% | 78% | 55.5% |
Over 2.5 Against | 78% | 44% | 61% |
Over 3.5 Against | 56% | 44% | 50% |
Over 4.5 Against | 56% | 22% | 39% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
Team Shots | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Shots / Match | 10.33 | 11.44 | 10.89 |
Shots Conversion Rate | 16% | 13% | 14.50% |
Shots On Target / M | 5.89 | 5.11 | 5.50 |
Shots Off Target / M | 4.44 | 6.33 | 5.39 |
Shots Per Goal Scored | 6.2 | 7.92 | 7.06 |
Team Shots Over 10.5 | 33% | 56% | 44.5% |
Team Shots Over 11.5 | 33% | 56% | 44.5% |
Team Shots Over 12.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Team Shots Over 13.5 | 11% | 22% | 16.5% |
Team Shots Over 14.5 | 11% | 22% | 16.5% |
Team Shots Over 15.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 89% | 67% | 78% |
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 89% | 67% | 78% |
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 33% | 11% | 22% |
Offside Stats | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Offsides / Match | 5 | 5 | 5.00 |
Over 2.5 Offsides | 6 | 1 | 3.50 |
Over 3.5 Offsides | 6 | 1 | 3.50 |
Misc Stats | Louisville City | Lexington | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Fouls Committed / Match | 14.33 | 19 | 16.67 |
Fouled Against / Match | 11.83 | 10 | 10.92 |
Average Possession | 42% | 56% | 49% |
Past Matches
6th April 2023
Louisville City 1Lexington 0
USA USL Championship 2025 Table
Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Loudoun United FC | 13 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 2.71 |
2 | New Mexico United | 8 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 2 |
3 | San Antonio FC | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 3.14 |
4 | Louisville City FC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 2.33 |
5 | Monterey Bay FC | 11 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 2.13 |
6 | Detroit City FC | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 2.57 |
7 | Tulsa Roughnecks FC | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
8 | Charleston Battery | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
9 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | 3.57 |
10 | North Carolina FC | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 | 2.43 |
11 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 5 | 7 | -2 | 8 | 2 |
12 | Lexington SC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 2.29 |
13 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds FC | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | 2.17 |
14 | Orange County SC | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | 3.17 |
15 | Oakland Roots SC | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | 3.14 |
16 | Sacramento Republic FC | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | 2.83 |
17 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC | 12 | 14 | -2 | 6 | 3.71 |
18 | Phoenix Rising FC | 13 | 16 | -3 | 6 | 4.14 |
19 | Miami FC II | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 2.67 |
20 | Indy Eleven | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | 3.8 |
21 | Birmingham Legion FC | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 | 2.83 |
22 | Rhode Island FC | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | 2.6 |
23 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 | 2.33 |
24 | Hartford Athletic | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 | 1.8 |