Nacional vs Peñarol - Match Preview & Prediction
1.7
Nacional
Uruguay - Uruguay Primera División
Nacional vs Peñarol
Sunday - Nov 30th, 19:30 PM
2
Peñarol
Predictions & Tips
57% Over 2.5 Goals
81% Over 1.5 Goals
55% BTTS
3.67 Goals / Match
5.34 Cards / Match
11.47 Corners / Match
Nacional Information
Coming into this game, Nacional has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Nacional has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Nacional is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 4 games that they have played at home.
Superb stuff from Nacional at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 16 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Peñarol's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Nacional from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 2 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Nacional as they have now gone 14 games without losing. They have won 1 of the last 5 games they have played.
Nacional is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Peñarol, having won 1 and drawn 4. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Nacional recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
In the last 5 matches for Nacional, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 23 matches (59% of all matches) involving Nacional has seen BTTS landing.
Peñarol Information
Coming into this game, Peñarol has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Peñarol has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Peñarol has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
Momentum is really building for Peñarol as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Peñarol ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
Peñarol will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Nacional, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
In the last 5 matches for Peñarol, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 20 matches (50% of all matches) involving Peñarol has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Peñarol will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
Who Will Win
The home team is 10 % worse to the away team in terms of points per game
Head to Head Record
Total Matches: 37
78% Over 1.5 Goals
29/37 Matches
43% Over 2.5 Goals
16/37 Matches
22% Over 3.5 Goals
8/37 Matches
57% BTTS
21/37 Matches
30% Clean Sheets
Nacional
27% Clean Sheets
Peñarol
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 7% worse than away team in terms of goals scored
| Scored Per Game | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 10% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 1H | 57% | 50% |
| Scored in 2H | 43% | 57% |
| Scored in Both Halves | 20% | 20% |
| Scored Average 1H | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Scored Average 2H | 0.60 | 0.80 |
Recent Form
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | d w d w l l w l w w | 1.7 |
| Home | d l w w | 1.75 |
| Away | d w w l l w | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| AVG | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 14.00 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Conceded | 10.00 | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| CS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| FTS | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| xG | 1.36 | 1.61 | 1.18 |
| xGA | 1.07 | 1.05 | 1.10 |
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | d w l w w d w w w l | 2 |
| Home | d w w d w l | 1.83 |
| Away | l w w w | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| AVG | 2.30 | 2.67 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 15.00 | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| Conceded | 8.00 | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| CS | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| FTS | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| xG | 1.48 | 1.38 | 1.61 |
| xGA | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.94 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 25% worse than the away team in terms of goals conceded
| Scored Per Game | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Cleansheets | 40% | 40% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| 1H Clean Sheet | 60% | 60% |
| 2H Clean Sheet | 50% | 70% |
| Conceded Average 1H | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Conceded Average 2H | 0.50 | 0.40 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)
50%
Scored first in 5 /
50%
Scored first in 5 /
| 10 Minutes | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 13% | 17% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 13% | 4% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 0% | 9% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 13% | 9% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 21% | 13% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 8% | 9% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 13% | 4% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 13% | 22% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 8% | 13% |
| 15 Minutes | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 17% | 17% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 8% | 13% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 29% | 17% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 13% | 13% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 13% | 9% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 21% | 30% |
| Scored (10 min) | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 7% | 20% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 14% | 7% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 0% | 13% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 14% | 7% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 29% | 0% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 21% | 7% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 7% | 27% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 7% | 20% |
| Scored (15 min) | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 14% | 20% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 7% | 20% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 36% | 7% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 7% | 0% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 21% | 7% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 14% | 47% |
| Conceded (10 min) | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 20% | 13% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 10% | 0% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 10% | 13% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 10% | 38% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 20% | 25% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 20% | 13% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 10% | 0% |
| Conceded (15 min) | Nacional | Peñarol |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 20% | 13% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 10% | 0% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 20% | 38% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 20% | 38% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 0% | 13% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 30% | 0% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?
5.1
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Nacional and Peñarol
2.4 / Match
Booked / Match
2.7 / Match
Booked / Match
| Match Cards | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 100% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 5.5 | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 6.5 | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Team Cards | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards For Average | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.55 |
| Over 0.5 For | 90% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 For | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 For | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 For | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Cards Against | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Against | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Against | 90% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 90% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 80% | 40% | 60% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
| Half Cards | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Cards For Average | 1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| 2H Cards For Average | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 1H Total Cards AVG | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 2H Total Cards AVG | 4 | 4.5 | 4.25 |
| 1H Had More Cards % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2H Had More Cards % | 60% | 80% | 50% |
| Over X 1H/2H Cards | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| 2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 70% | 90% | 80% |
| 1H Total Under 2 | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| 2H Total Under 2 | 0% | 10% | 5.005% |
| 1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 50% | 20% | 35% |
| 2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 40% | 30% | 35% |
| 1H Total Over 3 | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| 2H Total Over 3 | 60% | 60% | 60% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?
10.7
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Nacional and Peñarol
5.4 / Match
Corners Earned
5.3 / Match
Corners Earned
| Match Corners | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 7.5 | 60% | 70% | 65% |
| Over 8.5 | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 9.5 | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 10.5 | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Over 11.5 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 12.5 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 13.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Over 14.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| First Half | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH Average | 49 | 49 | 49 |
| FH Over 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| FH Over 5 | 4 | 3 | 3.5 |
| FH Over 6 | 0 | 2 | 1.005 |
| Second Half | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2H Average | 41 | 39 | 40 |
| 2H Over 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 2H Over 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2H Over 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
| Team Corners | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.35 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 |
| Over 2.5 For | 90% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 For | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 For | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 60% | 70% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 40% | 30% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 Against | 30% | 20% | 25% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
| Team Shots | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / Match | 11 | 13.3 | 12.15 |
| Shots Conversion Rate | 13% | 11% | 12.00% |
| Shots On Target / M | 4.3 | 5.1 | 4.70 |
| Shots Off Target / M | 6.7 | 8.2 | 7.45 |
| Shots Per Goal Scored | 7.86 | 8.87 | 8.37 |
| Team Shots Over 10.5 | 60% | 70% | 65% |
| Team Shots Over 11.5 | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Team Shots Over 12.5 | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Team Shots Over 13.5 | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Team Shots Over 14.5 | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Team Shots Over 15.5 | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Offside Stats | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / Match | 4.25 | 2.75 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 Offsides | 6 | 6 | 6.00 |
| Over 3.5 Offsides | 4 | 2 | 3.00 |
| Misc Stats | Nacional | Peñarol | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls Committed / Match | 12 | 10.13 | 11.07 |
| Fouled Against / Match | 15 | 15.63 | 15.32 |
| Average Possession | 55% | 55% | 55% |
Past Matches
23rd November 2025
Peñarol 2Nacional 2
9th August 2025
Peñarol 3Nacional 0
6th July 2025
Nacional 0Peñarol 0
9th February 2025
Nacional 1Peñarol 1
26th January 2025
Nacional 2Peñarol 1
6th October 2024
Nacional 2Peñarol 1
4th August 2024
Nacional 1Peñarol 1
29th March 2024
Peñarol 0Nacional 0
11th November 2023
Nacional 2Peñarol 2
1st April 2023
Peñarol 2Nacional 0
4th September 2022
Nacional 3Peñarol 1
27th February 2022
Peñarol 1Nacional 0
31st October 2021
Peñarol 0Nacional 0
23rd July 2021
Peñarol 0Nacional 1
16th July 2021
Nacional 1Peñarol 2
4th July 2021
Nacional 2Peñarol 0
3rd February 2021
Peñarol 0Nacional 0
13th December 2020
Peñarol 3Nacional 2
9th August 2020
Nacional 1Peñarol 1
15th December 2019
Nacional 1Peñarol 0
11th December 2019
Peñarol 0Nacional 2
17th November 2019
Nacional 0Peñarol 0
1st September 2019
Nacional 3Peñarol 0
12th May 2019
Peñarol 1Nacional 1
11th November 2018
Nacional 1Peñarol 2
20th October 2018
Nacional 1Peñarol 1
22nd April 2018
Peñarol 1Nacional 1
17th September 2017
Nacional 0Peñarol 2
6th April 2017
Peñarol 1Nacional 1
27th November 2016
Peñarol 0Nacional 3
15th May 2016
Peñarol 2Nacional 2
8th November 2015
Nacional 1Peñarol 1
14th June 2015
Nacional 3Peñarol 2
17th May 2015
Peñarol 1Nacional 1
9th November 2014
Nacional 2Peñarol 1
27th April 2014
Peñarol 5Nacional 0
24th November 2013
Nacional 2Peñarol 3
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FT Result Odds
| FT Result | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Betfair | Betsson | CloudBet | Dafabet | Interwetten | Ladbrokes | MansionBet | MelBet | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | ||||||||||||||||||
| Draw | ||||||||||||||||||
| Peñarol |
Double Chance Odds
| Double Chance | 10Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | |||||||
| Draw | |||||||
| Peñarol |
Over/Under Odds
Both Teams To Score Odds
| Both Teams To Score | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Pinnacle | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 | 1.81 | 1.92 | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.81 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| No | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.99 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
BTTS 1st Half Odds
BTTS 2nd Half Odds
Over/Under 1st Half Odds
Over/Under 2nd Half Odds
Result 1st Half Odds
Result 2nd Half Odds
Team To Score First Odds
Clean Sheet Home Odds
Clean Sheet Away Odds
Win To Nil Odds
| Win To Nil | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Nacional | 3.75 |
| Peñarol | 5.00 |
Corners 1x2 Odds
Corners Over Under Odds
Uruguay Primera División 2025 Table
| Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional de Football | 79 | 35 | 44 | 87 | 2.85 |
| 2 | CA Peñarol | 70 | 38 | 32 | 83 | 2.63 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC Montevideo | 52 | 39 | 13 | 65 | 2.39 |
| 4 | CA Juventud | 45 | 39 | 6 | 61 | 2.27 |
| 5 | Defensor Sporting Club | 42 | 38 | 4 | 61 | 2.16 |
| 6 | CA Boston River | 50 | 39 | 11 | 55 | 2.41 |
| 7 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 39 | 38 | 1 | 53 | 2.08 |
| 8 | CA Torque | 54 | 51 | 3 | 49 | 2.84 |
| 9 | Cerro Largo Fútbol Club | 41 | 41 | 0 | 49 | 2.22 |
| 10 | Club Atlético Cerro | 33 | 42 | -9 | 47 | 2.03 |
| 11 | Danubio Fútbol Club | 41 | 41 | 0 | 43 | 2.22 |
| 12 | Club Atlético Progreso | 38 | 60 | -22 | 39 | 2.65 |
| 13 | Club Plaza Colonia de Deportes | 28 | 46 | -18 | 35 | 2 |
| 14 | Montevideo Wanderers Fútbol Club | 25 | 47 | -22 | 31 | 1.95 |
| 15 | Club Atlético River Plate Montevideo | 28 | 48 | -20 | 29 | 2.05 |
| 16 | Club Sportivo Miramar Misiones | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 | 2.51 |
