Toluca vs Monterrey - Match Preview & Prediction

2.2
Toluca
Mexico - Mexico Liga MX
Toluca vs Monterrey
Sunday - May 11th, 02:00 AM

1.8
Monterrey
Predictions & Tips
65% Over 2.5 Goals
84% Over 1.5 Goals
63% BTTS
3.2 Goals / Match
4.3 Cards / Match
9.42 Corners / Match

BET £5 GET £30
T&Cs Apply
New Customer offer - Use promo code YSKAST. Place a min £5 bet on the sportsbook at odds of min EVS (2.0) and get £30 in free bets. Free bet rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via Debit Cards & Apple Pay will qualify for this offer. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.

GET £50 IN FREE MULTIPLES
T&Cs Apply
Place a min £10 bet on Sportsbook on odds of min EVS (2.0), get £50 in Free Bet Builders, Accumulators or multiples to use on any sport. Rewards valid for 30 days. Only deposits via cards or Apple Pay will qualify. T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly.

Bet £10 Get £50 in Free Bets
T&Cs Apply
New customers only. Register with BETFRED50. Deposit £10+ via Debit Card and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility & payment exclusions apply. T&Cs apply.
Toluca Information
Coming into this game, Toluca has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Toluca has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Toluca at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Monterrey's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Toluca from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 8 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Toluca as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
Toluca is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Monterrey, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
In the last 5 matches for Toluca, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 21 matches (58% of all matches) involving Toluca has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Toluca will score today, as they have netted in the last 7 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.
Monterrey Information
Coming into this game, Monterrey has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Monterrey has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Monterrey has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Monterrey has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 28/42 games for Monterrey this season.
It's likely that Monterrey will score today, as they have netted in the last 10 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.
Who Will Win

The home team is 14 % better to the away team in terms of points per game

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 27

85% Over 1.5 Goals
23/27 Matches
52% Over 2.5 Goals
14/27 Matches
30% Over 3.5 Goals
8/27 Matches
70% BTTS
19/27 Matches
22% Clean Sheets
Toluca
11% Clean Sheets
Monterrey
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 28% better than the away team in terms of goals scored


Scored Per Game | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
Failed To Score | 10% | 0% |
Scored 1st/2nd Half | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
Scored in 1H | 61% | 22% |
Scored in 2H | 39% | 57% |
Scored in Both Halves | 50% | 30% |
Scored Average 1H | 1.40 | 0.50 |
Scored Average 2H | 0.90 | 1.30 |
Recent Form

Deportivo Toluca FC
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
Form | Results | PPG |
---|---|---|
Overall | l w w w w w w d l w | 2.2 |
Home | w w w d w | 2.6 |
Away | l w w w l | 1.8 |
Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
---|---|---|---|
Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
AVG | 3.90 | 4.40 | 3.40 |
Scored | 23.00 | 14.00 | 9.00 |
Conceded | 16.00 | 8.00 | 8.00 |
BTTS | 70% | 100% | 40% |
CS | 20% | 0% | 40% |
FTS | 10% | 0% | 20% |
xG | 1.60 | 1.92 | 1.34 |
xGA | 1.57 | 1.51 | 1.62 |

CF Monterrey
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
Form | Results | PPG |
---|---|---|
Overall | w l w l w w l w w l | 1.8 |
Home | l w w l w w | 2 |
Away | w l w l | 1.5 |
Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
---|---|---|---|
Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
AVG | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Scored | 18.00 | 11.00 | 7.00 |
Conceded | 12.00 | 7.00 | 5.00 |
BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
CS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
FTS | 0% | 0% | 0% |
xG | 1.36 | 1.55 | 0.88 |
xGA | 0.93 | 0.91 | 0.96 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 33% worse than the away team in terms of goals conceded


Scored Per Game | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
Over 0.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over 1.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Cleansheets | 20% | 30% |
Scored 1st/2nd Half | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
1H Clean Sheet | 50% | 70% |
2H Clean Sheet | 50% | 30% |
Conceded Average 1H | 0.80 | 0.30 |
Conceded Average 2H | 0.80 | 0.90 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

70%
Scored first in 7 / 10

70%
Scored first in 7 / 10
10 Minutes | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 5% | 7% |
11 - 20 Mins | 15% | 7% |
21 - 30 Mins | 10% | 10% |
31 - 40 Mins | 5% | 0% |
41 - 50 Mins | 26% | 13% |
51 - 60 Mins | 10% | 20% |
61 - 70 Mins | 13% | 7% |
71 - 80 Mins | 5% | 7% |
81 - 90 Mins | 10% | 30% |
15 Minutes | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 15% | 7% |
16 - 30 Mins | 15% | 17% |
31 - 45 Mins | 26% | 3% |
46 - 60 Mins | 15% | 30% |
61 - 75 Mins | 13% | 13% |
76 - 90 Mins | 15% | 30% |
Scored (10 min) | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 11% |
11 - 20 Mins | 22% | 0% |
21 - 30 Mins | 13% | 11% |
31 - 40 Mins | 9% | 0% |
41 - 50 Mins | 17% | 22% |
51 - 60 Mins | 13% | 28% |
61 - 70 Mins | 9% | 6% |
71 - 80 Mins | 9% | 11% |
81 - 90 Mins | 9% | 11% |
Scored (15 min) | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 13% | 11% |
16 - 30 Mins | 22% | 11% |
31 - 45 Mins | 26% | 6% |
46 - 60 Mins | 13% | 44% |
61 - 75 Mins | 9% | 17% |
76 - 90 Mins | 17% | 11% |
Conceded (10 min) | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
0 - 10 Mins | 13% | 0% |
11 - 20 Mins | 6% | 17% |
21 - 30 Mins | 6% | 8% |
31 - 40 Mins | 0% | 0% |
41 - 50 Mins | 38% | 0% |
51 - 60 Mins | 6% | 8% |
61 - 70 Mins | 19% | 8% |
71 - 80 Mins | 0% | 0% |
81 - 90 Mins | 13% | 58% |
Conceded (15 min) | Toluca | Monterrey |
---|---|---|
0 - 15 Mins | 19% | 0% |
16 - 30 Mins | 6% | 25% |
31 - 45 Mins | 25% | 0% |
46 - 60 Mins | 19% | 8% |
61 - 75 Mins | 19% | 8% |
76 - 90 Mins | 13% | 58% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

6
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Toluca and Monterrey
2.7 / Match
Booked / Match

3.3 / Match
Booked / Match

Match Cards | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% |
Over 3.5 | 80% | 90% | 85% |
Over 4.5 | 60% | 90% | 75% |
Over 5.5 | 30% | 60% | 45% |
Over 6.5 | 30% | 40% | 35% |
Team Cards | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Cards For Average | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3 |
Over 0.5 For | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Over 1.5 For | 70% | 90% | 80% |
Over 2.5 For | 40% | 70% | 55% |
Over 3.5 For | 30% | 20% | 25% |
Cards Against | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 0.5 Against | 100% | 90% | 95% |
Over 1.5 Against | 80% | 80% | 80% |
Over 2.5 Against | 70% | 60% | 65% |
Over 3.5 Against | 20% | 50% | 35% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
Half Cards | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
1H Cards For Average | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
2H Cards For Average | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.55 |
1H Total Cards AVG | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
2H Total Cards AVG | 3 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
1H Had More Cards % | 30% | 20% | 25% |
2H Had More Cards % | 70% | 50% | 40% |
Over X 1H/2H Cards | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 40% | 80% | 60% |
2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 90% | 90% | 90% |
1H Total Under 2 | 60% | 30% | 45% |
2H Total Under 2 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 0% | 50% | 25.005% |
2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 60% | 50% | 55% |
1H Total Over 3 | 40% | 20% | 30% |
2H Total Over 3 | 30% | 40% | 35% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

8.45
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Toluca and Monterrey
4.78 / Match
Corners Earned

3.67 / Match
Corners Earned

Match Corners | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Over 6.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Over 7.5 | 56% | 67% | 61.5% |
Over 8.5 | 56% | 44% | 50% |
Over 9.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 10.5 | 33% | 22% | 27.5% |
Over 11.5 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Over 12.5 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
Over 13.5 | 22% | 11% | 16.5% |
Over 14.5 | 22% | 11% | 16.5% |
First Half | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
FH Average | 43 | 32 | 37.5 |
FH Over 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
FH Over 5 | 4 | 3 | 3.5 |
FH Over 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Second Half | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
2H Average | 39 | 39 | 39 |
2H Over 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
2H Over 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
2H Over 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
Team Corners | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Corners Earned / Match | 4.78 | 3.67 | 4.23 |
Corners Against / Match | 4.33 | 4.56 | 4.45 |
Over 2.5 For | 78% | 78% | 78% |
Over 3.5 For | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Over 4.5 For | 44% | 33% | 38.5% |
Over 2.5 Against | 67% | 78% | 72.5% |
Over 3.5 Against | 56% | 67% | 61.5% |
Over 4.5 Against | 33% | 44% | 38.5% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
Team Shots | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Shots / Match | 13.11 | 8.89 | 11.00 |
Shots Conversion Rate | 18% | 21% | 19.50% |
Shots On Target / M | 6.67 | 5.22 | 5.95 |
Shots Off Target / M | 6.44 | 3.67 | 5.06 |
Shots Per Goal Scored | 5.62 | 4.71 | 5.17 |
Team Shots Over 10.5 | 67% | 44% | 55.5% |
Team Shots Over 11.5 | 67% | 44% | 55.5% |
Team Shots Over 12.5 | 56% | 33% | 44.5% |
Team Shots Over 13.5 | 44% | 22% | 33% |
Team Shots Over 14.5 | 33% | 0% | 16.5% |
Team Shots Over 15.5 | 33% | 0% | 16.5% |
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 89% | 78% | 83.5% |
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 89% | 56% | 72.5% |
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 89% | 33% | 61% |
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 56% | 22% | 39% |
Offside Stats | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Offsides / Match | 3.22 | 3.56 | 3.39 |
Over 2.5 Offsides | 5 | 6 | 5.50 |
Over 3.5 Offsides | 4 | 5 | 4.50 |
Misc Stats | Toluca | Monterrey | Average |
---|---|---|---|
Fouls Committed / Match | 11.22 | 11.67 | 11.45 |
Fouled Against / Match | 12.89 | 13 | 12.95 |
Average Possession | 55% | 51% | 53% |
Past Matches
8th May 2025
Monterrey 3Toluca 2
19th January 2025
Toluca 1Monterrey 1
1st September 2024
Monterrey 1Toluca 2
19th February 2024
Monterrey 0Toluca 0
31st August 2023
Toluca 1Monterrey 0
6th February 2023
Monterrey 2Toluca 1
18th August 2022
Toluca 1Monterrey 1
7th April 2022
Toluca 2Monterrey 2
23rd September 2021
Monterrey 2Toluca 0
11th April 2021
Toluca 1Monterrey 2
29th July 2020
Monterrey 3Toluca 1
29th February 2020
Toluca 2Monterrey 0
18th August 2019
Monterrey 2Toluca 0
7th April 2019
Toluca 5Monterrey 1
21st October 2018
Monterrey 2Toluca 1
11th February 2018
Toluca 2Monterrey 1
24th August 2017
Monterrey 4Toluca 1
16th April 2017
Toluca 1Monterrey 1
23rd October 2016
Monterrey 1Toluca 1
8th May 2016
Monterrey 1Toluca 2
22nd November 2015
Toluca 3Monterrey 1
8th March 2015
Monterrey 3Toluca 2
21st September 2014
Toluca 1Monterrey 0
26th January 2014
Toluca 2Monterrey 0
4th August 2013
Monterrey 1Toluca 1
7th April 2013
Toluca 1Monterrey 0
8th November 2012
Monterrey 2Toluca 2
Mexico Liga MX 2024/2025 Table
Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cruz Azul FC | 74 | 37 | 37 | 82 | 2.85 |
2 | Club América | 76 | 38 | 38 | 80 | 2.65 |
3 | Deportivo Toluca FC | 83 | 46 | 37 | 75 | 3.39 |
4 | CF Monterrey | 79 | 57 | 22 | 75 | 3.09 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 49 | 32 | 17 | 69 | 2.19 |
6 | Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente | 61 | 65 | -4 | 55 | 3.32 |
7 | Atlético San Luis | 53 | 58 | -5 | 55 | 2.92 |
8 | Club Universidad Nacional | 48 | 48 | 0 | 53 | 2.53 |
9 | Club León | 47 | 47 | 0 | 48 | 2.69 |
10 | Club Necaxa | 56 | 55 | 1 | 47 | 3.17 |
11 | CD Guadalajara | 43 | 38 | 5 | 46 | 2.31 |
12 | CF Pachuca | 51 | 55 | -4 | 45 | 2.86 |
13 | CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara | 44 | 59 | -15 | 43 | 2.86 |
14 | FC Juárez | 39 | 58 | -19 | 42 | 2.77 |
15 | Querétaro FC | 30 | 55 | -25 | 32 | 2.5 |
16 | Mazatlán FC | 26 | 45 | -19 | 31 | 2.09 |
17 | Puebla FC | 29 | 56 | -27 | 23 | 2.5 |
18 | Club Santos Laguna | 27 | 66 | -39 | 17 | 2.74 |