Toluca vs Guadalajara - Match Preview & Prediction
2.1
Toluca
Mexico - Mexico Liga MX
Toluca vs Guadalajara
Saturday - Feb 28th, 23:00 PM
2.2
Guadalajara
Predictions & Tips
56% Over 2.5 Goals
68% Over 1.5 Goals
52% BTTS
3.34 Goals / Match
4.56 Cards / Match
10.95 Corners / Match
Toluca Information
Coming into this game, Toluca has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Toluca has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Toluca at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 13 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Guadalajara's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Toluca from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Momentum is really building for Toluca as they have now gone 8 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Toluca has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 1 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
Toluca is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Guadalajara, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Toluca recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Toluca has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/30 games for Toluca this season.
Guadalajara Information
Coming into this game, Guadalajara has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 4 of those games. Guadalajara has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Scoring is not an issue for Guadalajara when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 6 games they have played on the road. Can Toluca stop this run?
Guadalajara will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Toluca, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0
In the last 5 matches for Guadalajara, 4 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 14 matches (54% of all matches) involving Guadalajara has seen BTTS landing.
It's likely that Guadalajara will score today, as they have netted in the last 8 games coming into this one and have scored 9 goals in the last five games.
Who Will Win
The home team is 4 % worse to the away team in terms of points per game
Head to Head Record
Total Matches: 34
68% Over 1.5 Goals
23/34 Matches
38% Over 2.5 Goals
13/34 Matches
21% Over 3.5 Goals
7/34 Matches
59% BTTS
20/34 Matches
24% Clean Sheets
Toluca
32% Clean Sheets
Guadalajara
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 29% worse than away team in terms of goals scored
| Scored Per Game | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 10% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 1H | 36% | 93% |
| Scored in 2H | 64% | 36% |
| Scored in Both Halves | 20% | 30% |
| Scored Average 1H | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| Scored Average 2H | 0.90 | 0.50 |
Recent Form
Deportivo Toluca FC
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | w l w w w d d d w w | 2.1 |
| Home | w w w d w | 2.6 |
| Away | l w d d w | 1.6 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| AVG | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Scored | 14.00 | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| Conceded | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| CS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| FTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| xG | 1.80 | 1.98 | 1.62 |
| xGA | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.08 |
CD Guadalajara
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | w d l w w w w w w l | 2.2 |
| Home | w d w w w | 2.6 |
| Away | l w w w l | 1.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| AVG | 2.90 | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 18.00 | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| Conceded | 11.00 | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| CS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| FTS | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| xG | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| xGA | 1.02 | 1.09 | 0.95 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 83% better than away team in terms of goals conceded
| Scored Per Game | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 10% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Cleansheets | 50% | 40% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| 1H Clean Sheet | 80% | 70% |
| 2H Clean Sheet | 70% | 40% |
| Conceded Average 1H | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Conceded Average 2H | 0.40 | 0.80 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)
50%
Scored first in 5 / 10
80%
Scored first in 8 / 10
| 10 Minutes | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 7% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 10% | 10% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 10% | 7% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 5% | 21% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 20% | 17% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 30% | 3% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 0% | 3% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 15% | 10% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 10% | 21% |
| 15 Minutes | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 5% | 14% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 15% | 10% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 15% | 31% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 40% | 10% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 5% | 10% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 20% | 24% |
| Scored (10 min) | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 11% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 7% | 11% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 7% | 11% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 7% | 22% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 21% | 22% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 36% | 0% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 0% | 6% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 7% | 0% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 14% | 17% |
| Scored (15 min) | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 0% | 17% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 14% | 17% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 21% | 39% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 43% | 6% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 0% | 6% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 21% | 17% |
| Conceded (10 min) | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 17% | 9% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 17% | 0% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 0% | 18% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 17% | 9% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 17% | 9% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 33% | 27% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 0% | 27% |
| Conceded (15 min) | Toluca | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 17% | 9% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 17% | 0% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 0% | 18% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 33% | 18% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 17% | 18% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 17% | 36% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?
5.1
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Toluca and Guadalajara
2.8 / Match
Booked / Match
2.3 / Match
Booked / Match
| Match Cards | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 5.5 | 50% | 20% | 35% |
| Over 6.5 | 50% | 10% | 30% |
| Team Cards | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards For Average | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.55 |
| Over 0.5 For | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 For | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 For | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 For | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Cards Against | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Against | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Against | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 40% | 20% | 30% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
| Half Cards | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Cards For Average | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| 2H Cards For Average | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 1H Total Cards AVG | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.25 |
| 2H Total Cards AVG | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1H Had More Cards % | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| 2H Had More Cards % | 50% | 60% | 45% |
| Over X 1H/2H Cards | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| 2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 60% | 70% | 65% |
| 1H Total Under 2 | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| 2H Total Under 2 | 40% | 10% | 25% |
| 1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 40% | 30% | 35% |
| 2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 20% | 60% | 40% |
| 1H Total Over 3 | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| 2H Total Over 3 | 40% | 30% | 35% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?
10.1
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Toluca and Guadalajara
5.6 / Match
Corners Earned
4.5 / Match
Corners Earned
| Match Corners | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 7.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 8.5 | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 9.5 | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Over 10.5 | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Over 11.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 12.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 13.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| Over 14.5 | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| First Half | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH Average | 45 | 30 | 37.5 |
| FH Over 4 | 5 | 2 | 3.5 |
| FH Over 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| FH Over 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Second Half | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2H Average | 35 | 40 | 37.5 |
| 2H Over 4 | 3 | 4 | 3.5 |
| 2H Over 5 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 |
| 2H Over 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
| Team Corners | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.5 | 5.05 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
| Over 2.5 For | 90% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 For | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 For | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Against | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
| Team Shots | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / Match | 17.2 | 15.2 | 16.20 |
| Shots Conversion Rate | 8% | 12% | 10.00% |
| Shots On Target / M | 5.4 | 5.1 | 5.25 |
| Shots Off Target / M | 11.8 | 10.1 | 10.95 |
| Shots Per Goal Scored | 12.29 | 8.44 | 10.37 |
| Team Shots Over 10.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Team Shots Over 11.5 | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Team Shots Over 12.5 | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Team Shots Over 13.5 | 60% | 70% | 65% |
| Team Shots Over 14.5 | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Team Shots Over 15.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Offside Stats | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / Match | 3.1 | 3.9 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 Offsides | 6 | 9 | 7.50 |
| Over 3.5 Offsides | 3 | 5 | 4.00 |
| Misc Stats | Toluca | Guadalajara | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls Committed / Match | 13.1 | 11.5 | 12.30 |
| Fouled Against / Match | 10.9 | 10.3 | 10.60 |
| Average Possession | 56% | 55% | 55.5% |
Past Matches
21st September 2025
Guadalajara 0Toluca 3
16th February 2025
Toluca 2Guadalajara 1
7th July 2024
Guadalajara 0Toluca 0
12th May 2024
Toluca 0Guadalajara 0
9th May 2024
Guadalajara 1Toluca 0
31st January 2024
Guadalajara 3Toluca 2
2nd October 2023
Toluca 1Guadalajara 1
22nd January 2023
Guadalajara 1Toluca 2
4th September 2022
Toluca 0Guadalajara 0
10th April 2022
Toluca 1Guadalajara 1
17th October 2021
Guadalajara 2Toluca 0
16th January 2021
Guadalajara 1Toluca 1
23rd August 2020
Toluca 1Guadalajara 0
26th January 2020
Guadalajara 2Toluca 2
3rd November 2019
Toluca 1Guadalajara 3
21st January 2019
Guadalajara 1Toluca 0
5th August 2018
Toluca 2Guadalajara 2
7th January 2018
Toluca 1Guadalajara 1
23rd July 2017
Guadalajara 0Toluca 0
22nd May 2017
Guadalajara 1Toluca 1
19th May 2017
Toluca 1Guadalajara 1
5th March 2017
Guadalajara 2Toluca 0
17th September 2016
Toluca 2Guadalajara 1
7th February 2016
Guadalajara 1Toluca 1
29th October 2015
Guadalajara 1Toluca 0
16th August 2015
Toluca 3Guadalajara 1
22nd March 2015
Guadalajara 1Toluca 0
3rd October 2014
Toluca 3Guadalajara 1
23rd February 2014
Toluca 1Guadalajara 0
1st September 2013
Guadalajara 0Toluca 0
6th January 2013
Guadalajara 1Toluca 1
18th November 2012
Toluca 3Guadalajara 1
16th November 2012
Guadalajara 1Toluca 2
22nd July 2012
Toluca 2Guadalajara 1
Team Player List
Franco Agustín Romero 
Federico Pereira 
Luan 
José Paulo Bezerra Maciel Júnior 
Robert Morales 
Óscar Alexander Whalley Guardado 
Santiago Sandoval Loboa 
Santiago Sandoval González Which Players Will Score?
Who Will Get Booked?
Cards Given - Guadalajara
Cards Per 90 Mins
Cards / 90 - Guadalajara
Erick Gutiérrez
|
0.65 AVG |
Richard Ledezma
|
0.62 AVG |
|
Hugo Camberos Figueroa
|
0.52 AVG |
|
Alan Mozo Rodríguez
|
0.45 AVG |
|
Daniel Aguirre
|
0.41 AVG |
FT Result Odds
| FT Result | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Betfair | Cashpoint | CloudBet | Coral | Dafabet | HKJC | Ladbrokes | MansionBet | MelBet | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | |||||||||||||||||||
| Draw | |||||||||||||||||||
| Guadalajara |
Double Chance Odds
| Double Chance | 10Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | |||||||
| Draw | |||||||
| Guadalajara |
Over/Under Odds
Both Teams To Score Odds
| Both Teams To Score | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Pinnacle | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.64 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| No | 2.05 | 2.06 | 2.05 | 2.00 | 2.22 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.05 |
BTTS 1st Half Odds
BTTS 2nd Half Odds
Over/Under 1st Half Odds
Over/Under 2nd Half Odds
Result 1st Half Odds
Result 2nd Half Odds
Team To Score First Odds
Clean Sheet Home Odds
| Clean Sheet - Home | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.75 |
| No | 1.40 |
Clean Sheet Away Odds
| Clean Sheet - Away | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| Yes | 4.00 | >
| No | 1.20 |
Win To Nil Odds
| Win To Nil | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Toluca | 3.50 |
| Guadalajara | 7.00 |
Corners 1x2 Odds
Corners Over Under Odds
Mexico Liga MX 2025/2026 Table
| Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Toluca FC | 59 | 26 | 33 | 62 | 2.83 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul FC | 50 | 32 | 18 | 57 | 2.93 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 55 | 31 | 24 | 54 | 2.87 |
| 4 | Club América | 42 | 24 | 18 | 48 | 2.54 |
| 5 | CD Guadalajara | 43 | 31 | 12 | 48 | 2.85 |
| 6 | CF Monterrey | 49 | 41 | 8 | 47 | 3.21 |
| 7 | CF Pachuca | 34 | 30 | 4 | 39 | 2.37 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente | 41 | 35 | 6 | 38 | 2.81 |
| 9 | Club Universidad Nacional | 39 | 34 | 5 | 36 | 2.92 |
| 10 | FC Juárez | 39 | 46 | -7 | 31 | 3.15 |
| 11 | CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara | 33 | 44 | -11 | 30 | 3.21 |
| 12 | Club Necaxa | 33 | 43 | -10 | 26 | 3.17 |
| 13 | Querétaro FC | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 | 2.71 |
| 14 | Atlético San Luis | 37 | 42 | -5 | 23 | 3.29 |
| 15 | Club Santos Laguna | 31 | 51 | -20 | 22 | 3.28 |
| 16 | Mazatlán FC | 28 | 43 | -15 | 21 | 2.84 |
| 17 | Club León | 21 | 41 | -20 | 20 | 2.58 |
| 18 | Puebla FC | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 | 3.21 |
