Necaxa vs Toluca - Match Preview & Prediction
1
Necaxa
Mexico - Mexico Liga MX
Necaxa vs Toluca
Sunday - Feb 22nd, 01:00 AM
2.1
Toluca
Predictions & Tips
52% Over 2.5 Goals
75% Over 1.5 Goals
59% BTTS
3.38 Goals / Match
4.91 Cards / Match
10.57 Corners / Match
Necaxa Information
Coming into this game, Necaxa has picked up 6 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Necaxa has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Necaxa has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Necaxa recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Necaxa has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/23 games for Necaxa this season.
Toluca Information
Coming into this game, Toluca has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Toluca has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Toluca has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
Momentum is really building for Toluca as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 2 of the last 5 games they have played.
Toluca has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 11 occasions.
Toluca is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Necaxa, having won 2 and drawn 3. They have scored 5 goals in those 5 games.
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Toluca recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Toluca has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/29 games for Toluca this season.
Who Will Win
The home team is 36 % worse to the away team in terms of points per game
Head to Head Record
Total Matches: 24
75% Over 1.5 Goals
18/24 Matches
46% Over 2.5 Goals
11/24 Matches
42% Over 3.5 Goals
10/24 Matches
63% BTTS
15/24 Matches
17% Clean Sheets
Necaxa
33% Clean Sheets
Toluca
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 91% worse than away team in terms of goals scored
| Scored Per Game | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 0% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 1H | 36% | 73% |
| Scored in 2H | 64% | 118% |
| Scored in Both Halves | 30% | 30% |
| Scored Average 1H | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Scored Average 2H | 0.70 | 1.30 |
Recent Form
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | l l w w l l l l d w | 1 |
| Home | l w l l w | 1.2 |
| Away | l w l l d | 0.8 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| AVG | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 11.00 | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| Conceded | 13.00 | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| CS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| FTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| xG | 1.21 | 1.41 | 1.00 |
| xGA | 1.68 | 1.37 | 1.99 |
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | d w w w w w l d w d | 2.1 |
| Home | d w w w d w | 2.33 |
| Away | w w l d | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| AVG | 3.00 | 2.50 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 21.00 | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| Conceded | 9.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| CS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| FTS | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| xG | 1.89 | 1.90 | 1.87 |
| xGA | 1.06 | 0.89 | 1.32 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 44% worse than the away team in terms of goals conceded
| Scored Per Game | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Cleansheets | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 1H Clean Sheet | 60% | 80% |
| 2H Clean Sheet | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded Average 1H | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Conceded Average 2H | 0.70 | 0.70 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)
30%
Scored first in 3 /
80%
Scored first in 8 /
| 10 Minutes | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 4% | 3% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 4% | 7% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 0% | 7% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 21% | 7% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 13% | 13% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 13% | 13% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 8% | 7% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 13% | 20% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 25% | 23% |
| 15 Minutes | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 8% | 3% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 0% | 13% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 33% | 17% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 13% | 17% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 17% | 17% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 29% | 33% |
| Scored (10 min) | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 9% | 5% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 0% | 10% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 0% | 5% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 9% | 5% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 18% | 14% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 27% | 14% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 9% | 5% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 18% | 14% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 9% | 29% |
| Scored (15 min) | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 9% | 5% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 0% | 14% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 27% | 19% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 27% | 14% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 27% | 10% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 9% | 38% |
| Conceded (10 min) | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 8% | 0% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 0% | 11% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 31% | 11% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 8% | 11% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 0% | 11% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 8% | 11% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 8% | 33% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 38% | 11% |
| Conceded (15 min) | Necaxa | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 8% | 0% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 0% | 11% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 38% | 11% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 0% | 22% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 8% | 33% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 46% | 22% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?
4.9
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Necaxa and Toluca
2.4 / Match
Booked / Match
2.5 / Match
Booked / Match
| Match Cards | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 70% | 55% |
| Over 5.5 | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 6.5 | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Team Cards | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards For Average | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.45 |
| Over 0.5 For | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 For | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 For | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 For | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Cards Against | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Against | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Against | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 30% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 20% | 30% | 25% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
| Half Cards | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Cards For Average | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
| 2H Cards For Average | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1 |
| 1H Total Cards AVG | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.55 |
| 2H Total Cards AVG | 2 | 2.5 | 2.25 |
| 1H Had More Cards % | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| 2H Had More Cards % | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| Over X 1H/2H Cards | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 60% | 70% | 65% |
| 2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 1H Total Under 2 | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| 2H Total Under 2 | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| 1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| 2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 40% | 10% | 25% |
| 1H Total Over 3 | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2H Total Over 3 | 10% | 50% | 30% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?
10.2
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Necaxa and Toluca
4.5 / Match
Corners Earned
5.7 / Match
Corners Earned
| Match Corners | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 7.5 | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 8.5 | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 9.5 | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 10.5 | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 11.5 | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 12.5 | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Over 13.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Over 14.5 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| First Half | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH Average | 49 | 49 | 49 |
| FH Over 4 | 6 | 7 | 6.5 |
| FH Over 5 | 6 | 5 | 5.5 |
| FH Over 6 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 |
| Second Half | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2H Average | 53 | 44 | 48.5 |
| 2H Over 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 2H Over 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2H Over 6 | 4 | 1 | 2.5 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
| Team Corners | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.7 | 5.10 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 3.6 | 4.65 |
| Over 2.5 For | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 For | 70% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 For | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 90% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Against | 70% | 20% | 45% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
| Team Shots | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / Match | 11.3 | 18.4 | 14.85 |
| Shots Conversion Rate | 10% | 11% | 10.50% |
| Shots On Target / M | 3.8 | 6.3 | 5.05 |
| Shots Off Target / M | 7.5 | 12.1 | 9.80 |
| Shots Per Goal Scored | 10.27 | 8.76 | 9.52 |
| Team Shots Over 10.5 | 60% | 90% | 75% |
| Team Shots Over 11.5 | 40% | 90% | 65% |
| Team Shots Over 12.5 | 20% | 80% | 50% |
| Team Shots Over 13.5 | 10% | 70% | 40% |
| Team Shots Over 14.5 | 10% | 70% | 40% |
| Team Shots Over 15.5 | 10% | 60% | 35% |
| Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 60% | 90% | 75% |
| Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 30% | 80% | 55% |
| Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 20% | 50% | 35% |
| Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 10% | 40% | 25% |
| Offside Stats | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / Match | 2.44 | 4.2 | 3.32 |
| Over 2.5 Offsides | 4 | 9 | 6.50 |
| Over 3.5 Offsides | 2 | 5 | 3.50 |
| Misc Stats | Necaxa | Toluca | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls Committed / Match | 11.4 | 8.9 | 10.15 |
| Fouled Against / Match | 13.1 | 10.6 | 11.85 |
| Average Possession | 49% | 58% | 53.5% |
Past Matches
13th July 2025
Toluca 3Necaxa 1
8th March 2025
Toluca 5Necaxa 2
28th October 2024
Necaxa 1Toluca 3
10th February 2024
Necaxa 3Toluca 3
2nd July 2023
Toluca 0Necaxa 0
30th April 2023
Toluca 3Necaxa 0
27th December 2022
Toluca 1Necaxa 0
2nd July 2022
Necaxa 1Toluca 3
5th March 2022
Necaxa 0Toluca 1
21st October 2021
Toluca 1Necaxa 1
24th January 2021
Toluca 2Necaxa 0
31st October 2020
Necaxa 3Toluca 2
19th January 2020
Toluca 2Necaxa 3
29th August 2019
Necaxa 1Toluca 1
10th March 2019
Necaxa 1Toluca 1
22nd September 2018
Toluca 3Necaxa 2
12th April 2018
Necaxa 1Toluca 0
4th February 2018
Necaxa 0Toluca 0
20th August 2017
Toluca 0Necaxa 0
2nd April 2017
Toluca 2Necaxa 0
2nd October 2016
Necaxa 3Toluca 1
6th August 2015
Necaxa 1Toluca 1
30th July 2015
Toluca 4Necaxa 2
27th September 2012
Necaxa 1Toluca 1
Loading player stats...
FT Result Odds
| FT Result | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Betfair | Betsson | Betway | Cashpoint | CloudBet | Coral | Dafabet | HKJC | Interwetten | Ladbrokes | MansionBet | MelBet | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Draw | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Toluca |
Double Chance Odds
| Double Chance | 10Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Betway | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa | |||||||||
| Draw | |||||||||
| Toluca |
Over/Under Odds
Both Teams To Score Odds
| Both Teams To Score | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Betway | Pinnacle | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.77 | 1.77 | 1.89 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.72 |
| No | 1.93 | 2.02 | 1.89 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.99 | 2.05 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.98 |
BTTS 1st Half Odds
BTTS 2nd Half Odds
Over/Under 1st Half Odds
Over/Under 2nd Half Odds
Result 1st Half Odds
Result 2nd Half Odds
Team To Score First Odds
Clean Sheet Home Odds
| Clean Sheet - Home | 10Bet | Betway | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.00 | 5.00 | 5.25 |
| No | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.14 |
Clean Sheet Away Odds
| Clean Sheet - Away | 10Bet | Betway | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.30 | 2.40 | 2.45 | >
| No | 1.55 | 1.50 | 1.47 |
Win To Nil Odds
| Win To Nil | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Necaxa | 10.00 |
| Toluca | 2.75 |
Corners 1x2 Odds
Corners Over Under Odds
Mexico Liga MX 2025/2026 Table
| Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Toluca FC | 69 | 31 | 38 | 73 | 2.86 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul FC | 60 | 36 | 24 | 68 | 2.91 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 62 | 37 | 25 | 61 | 2.83 |
| 4 | CD Guadalajara | 56 | 36 | 20 | 60 | 2.97 |
| 5 | Club América | 48 | 32 | 16 | 54 | 2.58 |
| 6 | CF Monterrey | 57 | 49 | 8 | 51 | 3.21 |
| 7 | CF Pachuca | 40 | 34 | 6 | 47 | 2.39 |
| 8 | Club Universidad Nacional | 46 | 40 | 6 | 44 | 2.87 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente | 47 | 43 | 4 | 42 | 2.81 |
| 10 | FC Juárez | 49 | 54 | -5 | 41 | 3.22 |
| 11 | CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara | 38 | 51 | -13 | 35 | 3.07 |
| 12 | Club Necaxa | 38 | 48 | -10 | 30 | 2.97 |
| 13 | Querétaro FC | 27 | 45 | -18 | 28 | 2.57 |
| 14 | Club Santos Laguna | 36 | 58 | -22 | 28 | 3.24 |
| 15 | Atlético San Luis | 43 | 50 | -7 | 27 | 3.21 |
| 16 | Club León | 27 | 55 | -28 | 26 | 2.83 |
| 17 | Mazatlán FC | 34 | 52 | -18 | 25 | 2.97 |
| 18 | Puebla FC | 31 | 57 | -26 | 24 | 3.03 |
