Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos - Match Preview & Prediction

1.9

Morelia
d w w w l w l w l w

Mexico - Mexico Ascenso MX

Morelia vs Tepatitlán de Morelos

Sunday - Mar 15th, 01:00 AM

1.8

Tepatitlán de Morelos
w d w l w l w d w d

Predictions & Tips

46% Over 2.5 Goals

66% Over 1.5 Goals

47% BTTS

3.24 Goals / Match

6.98 Cards / Match

10.96 Corners / Match

Morelia Information

Coming into this game, Morelia has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Morelia has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Morelia will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Tepatitlán de Morelos, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1

In the last 5 matches for Morelia, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (46% of all matches) involving Morelia has seen BTTS landing.

It's likely that Morelia will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 6 goals in the last five games.

Tepatitlán de Morelos Information

Coming into this game, Tepatitlán de Morelos has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Tepatitlán de Morelos has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Tepatitlán de Morelos will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Morelia, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1

Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Tepatitlán de Morelos recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?

Just 2 of the last 5 games for Tepatitlán de Morelos has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/27 games for Tepatitlán de Morelos this season.

Who Will Win

1.9 d w w w l w l w l w
The home team is 4 % better to the away team in terms of points per game
52 %
48 %
1.8 w d w l w l w d w d

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 13
15% Wins
39% Draws
46% Wins

85% Over 1.5 Goals

11/13 Matches

69% Over 2.5 Goals

9/13 Matches

46% Over 3.5 Goals

6/13 Matches

77% BTTS

10/13 Matches

8% Clean Sheets

Morelia

15% Clean Sheets

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 31% worse than away team in terms of goals scored
1.30 Average Goals
1.70 Average Goals
Scored Per Game Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over 0.5 90% 80%
Over 1.5 30% 70%
Over 2.5 10% 10%
Over 3.5 0% 10%
Failed To Score 10% 20%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
Scored in 1H 46% 69%
Scored in 2H 46% 62%
Scored in Both Halves 33% 40%
Scored Average 1H 0.67 0.90
Scored Average 2H 0.67 0.80

Recent Form

CA Monarcas Morelia

Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall d w w w l w l w l w 1.9
Home w w w w w 3
Away d w l l l 0.8
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 60% 100% 20%
AVG 2.30 2.40 2.20
Scored 13.00 9.00 4.00
Conceded 10.00 3.00 7.00
BTTS 50% 40% 60%
CS 40% 60% 20%
FTS 10% 0% 20%
xG 1.43 1.69 1.16
xGA 1.21 0.94 1.47
Tepatitlan de Morelos

Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall w d w l w l w d w d 1.8
Home w w w w w 3
Away d l l d d 0.6
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 50% 100% 0%
AVG 2.60 2.80 2.40
Scored 17.00 12.00 5.00
Conceded 9.00 2.00 7.00
BTTS 50% 40% 60%
CS 40% 60% 20%
FTS 20% 0% 40%
xG 1.70 1.99 1.41
xGA 1.43 1.30 1.56

Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 11% worse than the away team in terms of goals conceded
1.00 Goals Conceded
0.90 Goals Conceded
Scored Per Game Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over 0.5 60% 60%
Over 1.5 40% 20%
Over 2.5 0% 10%
Over 3.5 0% 0%
Cleansheets 40% 40%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
1H Clean Sheet 44% 60%
2H Clean Sheet 67% 60%
Conceded Average 1H 0.78 0.40
Conceded Average 2H 0.33 0.50

Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

50%

Scored first in 5 / 10

50%

Scored first in 5 / 10

10 Minutes Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 - 10 Mins 0% 19%
11 - 20 Mins 22% 12%
21 - 30 Mins 17% 12%
31 - 40 Mins 9% 0%
41 - 50 Mins 9% 8%
51 - 60 Mins 4% 4%
61 - 70 Mins 4% 4%
71 - 80 Mins 13% 12%
81 - 90 Mins 17% 31%
15 Minutes Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 - 15 Mins 17% 31%
16 - 30 Mins 22% 12%
31 - 45 Mins 17% 8%
46 - 60 Mins 4% 4%
61 - 75 Mins 13% 8%
76 - 90 Mins 22% 38%
Scored (10 min) Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 - 10 Mins 0% 18%
11 - 20 Mins 15% 18%
21 - 30 Mins 15% 6%
31 - 40 Mins 8% 0%
41 - 50 Mins 8% 12%
51 - 60 Mins 0% 6%
61 - 70 Mins 0% 6%
71 - 80 Mins 15% 12%
81 - 90 Mins 31% 24%
Scored (15 min) Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 - 15 Mins 8% 35%
16 - 30 Mins 23% 6%
31 - 45 Mins 15% 12%
46 - 60 Mins 0% 6%
61 - 75 Mins 8% 12%
76 - 90 Mins 38% 29%
Conceded (10 min) Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 - 10 Mins 0% 22%
11 - 20 Mins 30% 0%
21 - 30 Mins 20% 22%
31 - 40 Mins 10% 0%
41 - 50 Mins 10% 0%
51 - 60 Mins 10% 0%
61 - 70 Mins 10% 0%
71 - 80 Mins 10% 11%
81 - 90 Mins 0% 44%
Conceded (15 min) Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 - 15 Mins 30% 22%
16 - 30 Mins 20% 22%
31 - 45 Mins 20% 0%
46 - 60 Mins 10% 0%
61 - 75 Mins 20% 0%
76 - 90 Mins 0% 56%

Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

6.8
Cards / Match

Sum of bookings per match between Morelia and Tepatitlán de Morelos

3.5 / Match

Booked / Match

3.3 / Match

Booked / Match

Match Cards Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Over 2.5 90% 100% 95%
Over 3.5 90% 100% 95%
Over 4.5 70% 80% 75%
Over 5.5 60% 60% 60%
Over 6.5 60% 50% 55%
Team Cards Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Cards For Average 3.5 3.3 3.4
Over 0.5 For 90% 100% 95%
Over 1.5 For 90% 80% 85%
Over 2.5 For 80% 60% 70%
Over 3.5 For 50% 50% 50%
Cards Against Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Over 0.5 Against 90% 100% 95%
Over 1.5 Against 70% 100% 85%
Over 2.5 Against 60% 80% 70%
Over 3.5 Against 50% 50% 50%

First Half / Second Half Cards

Half Cards Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
1H Cards For Average 1.4 1 1.2
2H Cards For Average 2 2.1 2.05
1H Total Cards AVG 2.6 2.2 2.4
2H Total Cards AVG 4 4.3 4.15
1H Had More Cards % 30% 10% 20%
2H Had More Cards % 60% 70% 50%
Over X 1H/2H Cards Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
1H Over 0.5 Cards For 80% 70% 75%
2H Over 0.5 Cards For 90% 100% 95%
1H Total Under 2 30% 20% 25%
2H Total Under 2 10% 0% 5%
1H is 2~3 Total Cards 30% 60% 45%
2H is 2~3 Total Cards 40% 50% 45%
1H Total Over 3 40% 20% 30%
2H Total Over 3 50% 50% 50%

Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

11.1
Corners / Match

Average Corner Kicks per match between Morelia and Tepatitlán de Morelos

4.8 / Match

Corners Earned

6.3 / Match

Corners Earned

Match Corners Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Over 6.5 90% 100% 95%
Over 7.5 70% 100% 85%
Over 8.5 60% 60% 60%
Over 9.5 50% 40% 45%
Over 10.5 40% 40% 40%
Over 11.5 20% 40% 30%
Over 12.5 10% 20% 15%
Over 13.5 10% 20% 15%
Over 14.5 10% 10% 10%
First Half Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
FH Average 41 49 45
FH Over 4 3 6 4.5
FH Over 5 1 3 2
FH Over 6 0 3 1.505
Second Half Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
2H Average 56 55 55.5
2H Over 4 7 8 7.5
2H Over 5 3 5 4
2H Over 6 3 3 3

Team Corners Corners Earned / Against

Team Corners Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Corners Earned / Match 4.8 6.3 5.55
Corners Against / Match 4.8 4.1 4.45
Over 2.5 For 90% 100% 95%
Over 3.5 For 80% 90% 85%
Over 4.5 For 50% 80% 65%
Over 2.5 Against 90% 80% 85%
Over 3.5 Against 70% 50% 60%
Over 4.5 Against 60% 40% 50%

Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more

Team Shots Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Shots / Match 12.5 14 13.25
Shots Conversion Rate 10% 12% 11.00%
Shots On Target / M 4.6 5.5 5.05
Shots Off Target / M 7.9 8.5 8.20
Shots Per Goal Scored 9.62 8.24 8.93
Team Shots Over 10.5 60% 80% 70%
Team Shots Over 11.5 40% 80% 60%
Team Shots Over 12.5 40% 60% 50%
Team Shots Over 13.5 30% 50% 40%
Team Shots Over 14.5 30% 30% 30%
Team Shots Over 15.5 20% 20% 20%
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ 50% 80% 65%
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ 40% 60% 50%
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ 30% 50% 40%
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ 20% 30% 25%
Offside Stats Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Offsides / Match 3.56 4.33 3.95
Over 2.5 Offsides 6 7 6.50
Over 3.5 Offsides 4 4 4.00
Misc Stats Morelia Tepatitlán de Morelos Average
Fouls Committed / Match 11.67 14.67 13.17
Fouled Against / Match 13.89 11.33 12.61
Average Possession 50% 46% 48%

Past Matches

4th October 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3
Morelia 2
1st February 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3
Morelia 1
18th August 2024
Morelia 2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1
4th February 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
Morelia 1
3rd November 2023
Morelia 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos 0
2nd February 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
Morelia 0
29th September 2022
Morelia 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1
1st April 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
Morelia 1
24th October 2021
Morelia 2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
15th May 2021
Morelia 2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
12th May 2021
Tepatitlán de Morelos 1
Morelia 0
16th April 2021
Morelia 2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
19th August 2020
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2
Morelia 2
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FT Result Odds

FT Result 10Bet188Bet1xbet888SportBetfairBetssonCashpointCloudBetCoralDafabetHKJCInterwettenLadbrokesMansionBetMelBetPinnacleSboUnibetWilliamHillbet365bwin
Morelia
Draw
Tepatitlán de Morelos

Double Chance Odds

Double Chance 10Bet 1xbet 888Sport Sbo Unibet WilliamHill
Morelia
Draw
Tepatitlán de Morelos

Over/Under Odds

No Data Available...

Both Teams To Score Odds

Both Teams To Score 10Bet 188Bet 1xbet 888Sport Unibet WilliamHill
Yes 1.70 1.73 1.87 1.70 1.58 1.70
No 2.00 2.08 1.87 2.00 2.20 2.00

BTTS 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

BTTS 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Over/Under 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

Over/Under 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Result 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

Result 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Team To Score First Odds

No Data Available...

Clean Sheet Home Odds

No Data Available...

Clean Sheet Away Odds

No Data Available...

Win To Nil Odds

No Data Available...

Corners 1x2 Odds

No Data Available...

Corners Over Under Odds

No Data Available...

Mexico Ascenso MX 2025/2026 Table

Pos Team GF GA GD Pts AVG
1 Club Deportivo y Social Tampico Madero 45 32 13 61 2.33
2 Cancún FC 49 27 22 53 2.62
3 Club Atlante 56 28 28 50 2.9
4 Tepatitlán de Morelos 44 29 15 48 2.28
5 CA Monarcas Morelia 42 35 7 48 2.48
6 Deportivo Irapuato 54 48 6 47 3.09
7 Club Deportivo Mineros de Zacatecas 48 47 1 43 3.28
8 Club Atlético La Paz 46 41 5 38 3.22
9 CD Tapatío 47 39 8 35 3.19
10 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 35 44 -9 35 2.72
11 Venados FC Yucatán 52 53 -1 33 3.89
12 Tlaxcala FC 28 42 -14 33 2.59
13 Club Atlético Zacatepec 33 53 -20 26 3.19
14 Correcaminos UAT 29 59 -30 22 3.26
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa 22 53 -31 15 2.78

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