Fiorentina vs AC Milan - Match Preview & Prediction
2
Fiorentina
Italy - Italy Serie A
Fiorentina vs AC Milan
Sunday - Jan 11th, 14:00 PM
2
AC Milan
Predictions & Tips
53% Over 2.5 Goals
71% Over 1.5 Goals
58% BTTS
2.99 Goals / Match
3.58 Cards / Match
8.61 Corners / Match
Fiorentina Information
Coming into this game, Fiorentina has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Fiorentina has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
AC Milan's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Fiorentina from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 4 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
Fiorentina has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
In the last 5 matches for Fiorentina, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (63% of all matches) involving Fiorentina has seen BTTS landing.
AC Milan Information
Coming into this game, AC Milan has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. AC Milan has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from AC Milan away from home, where they are currently unbeaten in 8 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Scoring is not an issue for AC Milan when they play away from home. They have scored in the last 5 games they have played on the road. Can Fiorentina stop this run?
Momentum is really building for AC Milan as they have now gone 16 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
AC Milan has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 4 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 9 occasions.
AC Milan is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Fiorentina, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 10 goals in those 5 games.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for AC Milan has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 8/17 games for AC Milan this season.
It's likely that AC Milan will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.
Who Will Win
The home team is 50% equal to the away team in terms of points per game
Head to Head Record
Total Matches: 35
74% Over 1.5 Goals
26/35 Matches
49% Over 2.5 Goals
17/35 Matches
20% Over 3.5 Goals
7/35 Matches
57% BTTS
20/35 Matches
14% Clean Sheets
Fiorentina
34% Clean Sheets
AC Milan
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 21% better than the away team in terms of goals scored
| Scored Per Game | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 1H | 24% | 29% |
| Scored in 2H | 76% | 53% |
| Scored in Both Halves | 20% | 30% |
| Scored Average 1H | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Scored Average 2H | 1.30 | 0.90 |
Recent Form
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | w w w l l d w w w d | 2 |
| Home | w l d w d | 1.6 |
| Away | w w l w w | 2.4 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| AVG | 2.90 | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 17.00 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Conceded | 12.00 | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| CS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| FTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| xG | 1.58 | 1.79 | 1.37 |
| xGA | 1.29 | 1.16 | 1.41 |
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | w d w w d l w w l w | 2 |
| Home | w d l w w | 2 |
| Away | d w w w l | 2 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| AVG | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 14.00 | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| Conceded | 7.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| CS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| FTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| xG | 1.53 | 1.68 | 1.37 |
| xGA | 1.24 | 1.16 | 1.32 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 71% worse than the away team in terms of goals conceded
| Scored Per Game | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Cleansheets | 30% | 40% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 1H Clean Sheet | 70% | 70% |
| 2H Clean Sheet | 40% | 60% |
| Conceded Average 1H | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Conceded Average 2H | 0.80 | 0.40 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)
40%
Scored first in 4 /
70%
Scored first in 7 /
| 10 Minutes | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 7% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 3% | 5% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 10% | 5% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 3% | 24% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 14% | 10% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 14% | 10% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 17% | 10% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 7% | 19% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 14% | 19% |
| 15 Minutes | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 10% | 0% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 10% | 10% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 7% | 29% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 24% | 14% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 17% | 19% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 21% | 29% |
| Scored (10 min) | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 6% | 7% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 12% | 0% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 6% | 29% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 6% | 7% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 12% | 14% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 24% | 14% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 6% | 7% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 18% | 21% |
| Scored (15 min) | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 6% | 0% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 12% | 7% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 6% | 29% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 18% | 21% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 24% | 14% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 24% | 29% |
| Conceded (10 min) | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 17% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 8% | 14% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 0% | 14% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 25% | 14% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 17% | 0% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 8% | 0% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 8% | 43% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 8% | 14% |
| Conceded (15 min) | Fiorentina | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 17% | 0% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 8% | 14% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 8% | 29% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 33% | 0% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 8% | 29% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 17% | 29% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?
4.4
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Fiorentina and AC Milan
2.6 / Match
Booked / Match
1.8 / Match
Booked / Match
| Match Cards | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 | 70% | 20% | 45% |
| Over 5.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 6.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Team Cards | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards For Average | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Over 0.5 For | 90% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 For | 90% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 For | 70% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 For | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Cards Against | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Against | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Against | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 20% | 10% | 15% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
| Half Cards | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Cards For Average | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.155 |
| 2H Cards For Average | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1H Total Cards AVG | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 2H Total Cards AVG | 3.9 | 3.2 | 3.55 |
| 1H Had More Cards % | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| 2H Had More Cards % | 70% | 90% | 55% |
| Over X 1H/2H Cards | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| 2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 90% | 70% | 80% |
| 1H Total Under 2 | 60% | 100% | 80% |
| 2H Total Under 2 | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| 2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| 1H Total Over 3 | 0% | 0% | 0.005% |
| 2H Total Over 3 | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?
9.1
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Fiorentina and AC Milan
4.7 / Match
Corners Earned
4.4 / Match
Corners Earned
| Match Corners | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 90% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 7.5 | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 8.5 | 30% | 40% | 35% |
| Over 9.5 | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Over 10.5 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 11.5 | 0% | 20% | 10.005% |
| Over 12.5 | 0% | 10% | 5.005% |
| Over 13.5 | 0% | 0% | 0.005% |
| Over 14.5 | 0% | 0% | 0.005% |
| First Half | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH Average | 32 | 35 | 33.5 |
| FH Over 4 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 |
| FH Over 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| FH Over 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Second Half | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2H Average | 48 | 39 | 43.5 |
| 2H Over 4 | 6 | 3 | 4.5 |
| 2H Over 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2H Over 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.505 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
| Team Corners | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.55 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 4 | 3.65 |
| Over 2.5 For | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 For | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 For | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Against | 20% | 50% | 35% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
| Team Shots | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / Match | 14.7 | 13.4 | 14.05 |
| Shots Conversion Rate | 12% | 10% | 11.00% |
| Shots On Target / M | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.60 |
| Shots Off Target / M | 9.9 | 9 | 9.45 |
| Shots Per Goal Scored | 8.65 | 9.57 | 9.11 |
| Team Shots Over 10.5 | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Team Shots Over 11.5 | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Team Shots Over 12.5 | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| Team Shots Over 13.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Team Shots Over 14.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Team Shots Over 15.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Offside Stats | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / Match | 2.56 | 3.8 | 3.18 |
| Over 2.5 Offsides | 3 | 7 | 5.00 |
| Over 3.5 Offsides | 3 | 4 | 3.50 |
| Misc Stats | Fiorentina | AC Milan | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls Committed / Match | 13.3 | 10.9 | 12.10 |
| Fouled Against / Match | 15.7 | 11.9 | 13.80 |
| Average Possession | 49% | 56% | 52.5% |
Past Matches
19th October 2025
AC Milan 2Fiorentina 1
5th April 2025
AC Milan 2Fiorentina 2
6th October 2024
Fiorentina 2AC Milan 1
30th March 2024
Fiorentina 1AC Milan 2
25th November 2023
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 0
4th March 2023
Fiorentina 2AC Milan 1
13th November 2022
AC Milan 2Fiorentina 1
1st May 2022
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 0
20th November 2021
Fiorentina 4AC Milan 3
21st March 2021
Fiorentina 2AC Milan 3
29th November 2020
AC Milan 2Fiorentina 0
22nd February 2020
Fiorentina 1AC Milan 1
29th September 2019
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 3
11th May 2019
Fiorentina 0AC Milan 1
22nd December 2018
AC Milan 0Fiorentina 1
20th May 2018
AC Milan 5Fiorentina 1
30th December 2017
Fiorentina 1AC Milan 1
19th February 2017
AC Milan 2Fiorentina 1
25th September 2016
Fiorentina 0AC Milan 0
17th January 2016
AC Milan 2Fiorentina 0
23rd August 2015
Fiorentina 2AC Milan 0
16th March 2015
Fiorentina 2AC Milan 1
26th October 2014
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 1
26th March 2014
Fiorentina 0AC Milan 2
2nd November 2013
AC Milan 0Fiorentina 2
7th April 2013
Fiorentina 2AC Milan 2
11th November 2012
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 3
7th April 2012
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 2
19th November 2011
Fiorentina 0AC Milan 0
10th April 2011
Fiorentina 1AC Milan 2
20th November 2010
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 0
1st May 2010
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 0
24th February 2010
Fiorentina 1AC Milan 2
31st May 2009
Fiorentina 0AC Milan 2
17th January 2009
AC Milan 1Fiorentina 0
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FT Result Odds
| FT Result | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | 888Sport | Betfair | Betsson | CloudBet | Dafabet | HKJC | Interwetten | Ladbrokes | MansionBet | MelBet | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | |||||||||||||||||||
| Draw | |||||||||||||||||||
| AC Milan |
Double Chance Odds
| Double Chance | 10Bet | 1xbet | Pinnacle | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | ||||||
| Draw | ||||||
| AC Milan |
Over/Under Odds
Both Teams To Score Odds
| Both Teams To Score | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xbet | Pinnacle | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 | 1.69 | 1.60 | 1.74 | 1.66 | 1.67 | 1.70 |
| No | 2.10 | 2.18 | 2.34 | 2.19 | 2.14 | 2.10 | 2.05 |
BTTS 1st Half Odds
BTTS 2nd Half Odds
Over/Under 1st Half Odds
Over/Under 2nd Half Odds
Result 1st Half Odds
Result 2nd Half Odds
Team To Score First Odds
Clean Sheet Home Odds
| Clean Sheet - Home | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| Yes | 3.90 |
| No | 1.22 |
Clean Sheet Away Odds
| Clean Sheet - Away | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.88 | >
| No | 1.36 |
Win To Nil Odds
| Win To Nil | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 6.50 |
| AC Milan | 3.75 |
Corners 1x2 Odds
Corners Over Under Odds
Italy Serie A 2025/2026 Table
| Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 66 | 24 | 42 | 69 | 3 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 47 | 23 | 24 | 63 | 2.33 |
| 3 | SSC Napoli | 46 | 30 | 16 | 62 | 2.53 |
| 4 | Calcio Como | 53 | 22 | 31 | 57 | 2.5 |
| 5 | Juventus FC | 52 | 29 | 23 | 54 | 2.7 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 40 | 23 | 17 | 54 | 2.1 |
| 7 | Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 | 2.27 |
| 8 | SS Lazio | 31 | 28 | 3 | 43 | 1.97 |
| 9 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 42 | 2.47 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 36 | 40 | -4 | 39 | 2.53 |
| 11 | Udinese Calcio | 35 | 42 | -7 | 39 | 2.57 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 34 | 1.97 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 36 | 42 | -6 | 33 | 2.6 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 34 | 53 | -19 | 33 | 2.9 |
| 15 | Cagliari Calcio | 31 | 42 | -11 | 30 | 2.43 |
| 16 | ACF Fiorentina | 35 | 44 | -9 | 29 | 2.63 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 21 | 40 | -19 | 27 | 2.03 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 25 | 44 | -19 | 27 | 2.3 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 22 | 52 | -30 | 18 | 2.47 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 23 | 54 | -31 | 18 | 2.57 |
