Millwall vs Derby County - Match Preview & Prediction

2.2

Millwall
w l w d w w l w w w

England - England Championship

Millwall vs Derby County

Tuesday - Mar 10th, 19:45 PM

1.9

Derby County
w w d w l w l l w w

Predictions & Tips

61% Over 2.5 Goals

80% Over 1.5 Goals

52% BTTS

2.71 Goals / Match

4.2 Cards / Match

9.59 Corners / Match

Millwall Information

Coming into this game, Millwall has picked up 12 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Millwall has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Derby County's defence will have to be at their best today if they're to stop Millwall from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 6 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 4 home matches this season.

Millwall has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.

It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 11 games for Millwall ending with 2 goals or more being scored.

Millwall will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Derby County, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 4 and drawn 0

In the last 5 matches for Millwall, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 17 matches (47% of all matches) involving Millwall has seen BTTS landing.

It's likely that Millwall will score today, as they have netted in the last 11 games coming into this one and have scored 11 goals in the last five games.

Derby County Information

Coming into this game, Derby County has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Derby County has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.

Derby County has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.

It's possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 9 games for Derby County ending with 2 goals or more being scored.

In the last 5 matches for Derby County, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 25 matches (69% of all matches) involving Derby County has seen BTTS landing.

Who Will Win

2.2 w l w d w w l w w w
The home team is 10 % better to the away team in terms of points per game
55 %
45 %
1.9 w w d w l w l l w w

Head to Head Record

Total Matches: 23
39% Wins
35% Draws
26% Wins

52% Over 1.5 Goals

12/23 Matches

35% Over 2.5 Goals

8/23 Matches

13% Over 3.5 Goals

3/23 Matches

39% BTTS

9/23 Matches

43% Clean Sheets

Millwall

35% Clean Sheets

Derby County

Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 11% better than the away team in terms of goals scored
2.10 Average Goals
1.90 Average Goals
Scored Per Game Millwall Derby County
Over 0.5 100% 90%
Over 1.5 70% 60%
Over 2.5 30% 20%
Over 3.5 10% 10%
Failed To Score 0% 10%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Millwall Derby County
Scored in 1H 33% 43%
Scored in 2H 67% 48%
Scored in Both Halves 40% 20%
Scored Average 1H 0.70 0.90
Scored Average 2H 1.40 1.00

Recent Form

Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall w l w d w w l w w w 2.2
Home w d l w 1.75
Away w l w w w w 2.5
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 70% 50% 83%
AVG 2.90 3.25 2.67
Scored 21.00 9.00 12.00
Conceded 8.00 4.00 4.00
BTTS 50% 50% 50%
CS 50% 50% 50%
FTS 0% 0% 0%
xG 1.48 1.63 1.39
xGA 1.32 1.10 1.47

Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses

Form Results PPG
Overall w w d w l w l l w w 1.9
Home d l w w w 2
Away w w w l l 1.8
Stats Overall Home Away
Win % 60% 60% 60%
AVG 3.10 2.80 3.40
Scored 19.00 9.00 10.00
Conceded 12.00 5.00 7.00
BTTS 60% 80% 40%
CS 30% 20% 40%
FTS 10% 0% 20%
xG 1.38 1.21 1.56
xGA 1.28 1.27 1.29

Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)

The home team is 50% better than away team in terms of goals conceded
0.80 Goals Conceded
1.20 Goals Conceded
Scored Per Game Millwall Derby County
Over 0.5 50% 70%
Over 1.5 20% 30%
Over 2.5 10% 10%
Over 3.5 0% 10%
Cleansheets 50% 30%
Scored 1st/2nd Half Millwall Derby County
1H Clean Sheet 70% 50%
2H Clean Sheet 70% 50%
Conceded Average 1H 0.30 0.60
Conceded Average 2H 0.50 0.60

Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)

60%

Scored first in 6 /

60%

Scored first in 6 /

10 Minutes Millwall Derby County
0 - 10 Mins 3% 10%
11 - 20 Mins 17% 19%
21 - 30 Mins 10% 0%
31 - 40 Mins 3% 6%
41 - 50 Mins 7% 16%
51 - 60 Mins 10% 6%
61 - 70 Mins 14% 13%
71 - 80 Mins 14% 10%
81 - 90 Mins 21% 19%
15 Minutes Millwall Derby County
0 - 15 Mins 10% 16%
16 - 30 Mins 21% 13%
31 - 45 Mins 3% 19%
46 - 60 Mins 17% 10%
61 - 75 Mins 21% 19%
76 - 90 Mins 28% 23%
Scored (10 min) Millwall Derby County
0 - 10 Mins 5% 0%
11 - 20 Mins 10% 26%
21 - 30 Mins 14% 0%
31 - 40 Mins 5% 5%
41 - 50 Mins 5% 21%
51 - 60 Mins 5% 11%
61 - 70 Mins 14% 16%
71 - 80 Mins 14% 5%
81 - 90 Mins 29% 16%
Scored (15 min) Millwall Derby County
0 - 15 Mins 10% 11%
16 - 30 Mins 19% 16%
31 - 45 Mins 5% 21%
46 - 60 Mins 10% 16%
61 - 75 Mins 24% 21%
76 - 90 Mins 33% 16%
Conceded (10 min) Millwall Derby County
0 - 10 Mins 0% 25%
11 - 20 Mins 38% 8%
21 - 30 Mins 0% 0%
31 - 40 Mins 0% 8%
41 - 50 Mins 13% 8%
51 - 60 Mins 25% 0%
61 - 70 Mins 13% 8%
71 - 80 Mins 13% 17%
81 - 90 Mins 0% 25%
Conceded (15 min) Millwall Derby County
0 - 15 Mins 13% 25%
16 - 30 Mins 25% 8%
31 - 45 Mins 0% 17%
46 - 60 Mins 38% 0%
61 - 75 Mins 13% 17%
76 - 90 Mins 13% 33%

Number of Cards How many cards will there be?

4.5
Cards / Match

Sum of bookings per match between Millwall and Derby County

2.1 / Match

Booked / Match

2.4 / Match

Booked / Match

Match Cards Millwall Derby County Average
Over 2.5 90% 80% 85%
Over 3.5 50% 80% 65%
Over 4.5 40% 40% 40%
Over 5.5 20% 20% 20%
Over 6.5 10% 20% 15%
Team Cards Millwall Derby County Average
Cards For Average 2.1 2.4 2.25
Over 0.5 For 100% 100% 100%
Over 1.5 For 60% 80% 70%
Over 2.5 For 30% 40% 35%
Over 3.5 For 20% 20% 20%
Cards Against Millwall Derby County Average
Over 0.5 Against 100% 90% 95%
Over 1.5 Against 70% 60% 65%
Over 2.5 Against 30% 30% 30%
Over 3.5 Against 10% 20% 15%

First Half / Second Half Cards

Half Cards Millwall Derby County Average
1H Cards For Average 0.2 1.1 0.555
2H Cards For Average 1.9 1.3 1.6
1H Total Cards AVG 0.9 1.8 0.905
2H Total Cards AVG 3.3 2.6 2.95
1H Had More Cards % 0% 10% 5.005%
2H Had More Cards % 90% 70% 35.005%
Over X 1H/2H Cards Millwall Derby County Average
1H Over 0.5 Cards For 20% 90% 55%
2H Over 0.5 Cards For 100% 80% 90%
1H Total Under 2 80% 40% 60%
2H Total Under 2 10% 20% 15%
1H is 2~3 Total Cards 20% 60% 40%
2H is 2~3 Total Cards 50% 60% 55%
1H Total Over 3 0% 0% 0.005%
2H Total Over 3 40% 20% 30%

Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?

8.9
Corners / Match

Average Corner Kicks per match between Millwall and Derby County

5.5 / Match

Corners Earned

3.4 / Match

Corners Earned

Match Corners Millwall Derby County Average
Over 6.5 100% 60% 80%
Over 7.5 80% 50% 65%
Over 8.5 60% 30% 45%
Over 9.5 40% 30% 35%
Over 10.5 30% 10% 20%
Over 11.5 30% 10% 20%
Over 12.5 20% 10% 15%
Over 13.5 20% 10% 15%
Over 14.5 0% 10% 5.005%
First Half Millwall Derby County Average
FH Average 55 37 46
FH Over 4 6 3 4.5
FH Over 5 4 3 3.5
FH Over 6 3 2 2.5
Second Half Millwall Derby County Average
2H Average 43 34 38.5
2H Over 4 4 2 3
2H Over 5 4 2 3
2H Over 6 1 0 0.5

Team Corners Corners Earned / Against

Team Corners Millwall Derby County Average
Corners Earned / Match 5.5 3.4 4.45
Corners Against / Match 4.3 4.2 4.25
Over 2.5 For 90% 50% 70%
Over 3.5 For 80% 30% 55%
Over 4.5 For 60% 30% 45%
Over 2.5 Against 90% 70% 80%
Over 3.5 Against 70% 60% 65%
Over 4.5 Against 40% 40% 40%

Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more

Team Shots Millwall Derby County Average
Shots / Match 13.3 12.5 12.90
Shots Conversion Rate 16% 15% 15.50%
Shots On Target / M 4.4 4 4.20
Shots Off Target / M 8.9 8.5 8.70
Shots Per Goal Scored 6.33 6.58 6.46
Team Shots Over 10.5 70% 70% 70%
Team Shots Over 11.5 60% 60% 60%
Team Shots Over 12.5 60% 60% 60%
Team Shots Over 13.5 50% 50% 50%
Team Shots Over 14.5 30% 40% 35%
Team Shots Over 15.5 30% 30% 30%
Team Shots On Target 3.5+ 80% 70% 75%
Team Shots On Target 4.5+ 50% 50% 50%
Team Shots On Target 5.5+ 30% 30% 30%
Team Shots On Target 6.5+ 0% 10% 5.005%
Offside Stats Millwall Derby County Average
Offsides / Match 3.11 2.33 2.72
Over 2.5 Offsides 4 3 3.50
Over 3.5 Offsides 3 1 2.00
Misc Stats Millwall Derby County Average
Fouls Committed / Match 13.2 12.1 12.65
Fouled Against / Match 8.3 12.4 10.35
Average Possession 49% 48% 48.5%

Past Matches

10th December 2025
Derby County 1
Millwall 1
22nd February 2025
Derby County 0
Millwall 1
19th October 2024
Millwall 1
Derby County 1
23rd February 2022
Derby County 1
Millwall 2
6th November 2021
Millwall 1
Derby County 1
13th March 2021
Derby County 0
Millwall 1
5th December 2020
Millwall 0
Derby County 1
20th June 2020
Millwall 2
Derby County 3
14th December 2019
Derby County 0
Millwall 1
20th February 2019
Derby County 0
Millwall 1
18th August 2018
Millwall 2
Derby County 1
27th January 2018
Millwall 0
Derby County 0
23rd December 2017
Derby County 3
Millwall 0
25th April 2015
Millwall 3
Derby County 3
4th October 2014
Derby County 0
Millwall 0
8th March 2014
Derby County 0
Millwall 1
14th September 2013
Millwall 1
Derby County 5
4th May 2013
Derby County 1
Millwall 0
10th November 2012
Millwall 2
Derby County 1
11th February 2012
Millwall 0
Derby County 0
24th September 2011
Derby County 3
Millwall 0
3rd January 2011
Derby County 0
Millwall 0
23rd October 2010
Millwall 2
Derby County 0

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FT Result Odds

FT Result 10Bet188Bet1xbetBetfairBetssonCashpointCloudBetCoralDafabetHKJCInterwettenLadbrokesMansionBetMelBetPinnacleSboUnibetWilliamHillbet365bwin
Millwall
Draw
Derby County

Double Chance Odds

Double Chance 10Bet 1xbet Pinnacle Sbo Unibet WilliamHill
Millwall
Draw
Derby County

Over/Under Odds

No Data Available...

Both Teams To Score Odds

Both Teams To Score 10Bet 188Bet 1xbet Pinnacle Unibet WilliamHill bet365
Yes 1.85 1.94 1.84 1.88 1.77 1.85 1.83
No 1.90 1.83 1.86 1.96 1.94 1.85 1.83

BTTS 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

BTTS 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Over/Under 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

Over/Under 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Result 1st Half Odds

No Data Available...

Result 2nd Half Odds

No Data Available...

Team To Score First Odds

No Data Available...

Clean Sheet Home Odds

Clean Sheet - Home 10Bet
Yes 2.55
No 1.45

Clean Sheet Away Odds

>
Clean Sheet - Away 10Bet
Yes 3.60
No 1.25

Win To Nil Odds

Win To Nil bet365
Millwall 3.25
Derby County 7.00

Corners 1x2 Odds

No Data Available...

Corners Over Under Odds

No Data Available...

England Championship 2025/2026 Table

Pos Team GF GA GD Pts AVG
1 Coventry City FC 74 38 36 74 3.11
2 Middlesbrough FC 58 35 23 69 2.58
3 Millwall FC 50 41 9 65 2.53
4 Ipswich Town FC 61 35 26 64 2.74
5 Hull City AFC 57 52 5 60 3.03
6 Wrexham FC 54 45 9 57 2.83
7 Derby County FC 54 47 7 54 2.81
8 Southampton FC 57 46 11 53 2.94
9 Watford FC 45 41 4 51 2.46
10 Bristol City FC 48 46 2 50 2.61
11 Sheffield United FC 51 49 2 49 2.78
12 Preston North End FC 42 43 -1 49 2.36
13 Swansea City AFC 42 43 -1 49 2.36
14 Birmingham City FC 46 47 -1 49 2.58
15 Stoke City FC 39 36 3 47 2.08
16 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58 -12 47 2.89
17 Norwich City FC 47 44 3 45 2.6
18 Charlton Athletic FC 34 44 -10 44 2.17
19 Leicester City FC 48 57 -9 41 2.92
20 Portsmouth FC 35 45 -10 40 2.29
21 Blackburn Rovers FC 34 47 -13 39 2.25
22 West Bromwich Albion FC 35 53 -18 36 2.44
23 Oxford United FC 34 48 -14 35 2.28
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 22 73 -51 11 2.64

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