Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional - Match Preview & Prediction
1
Independiente Medellín
Colombia - Colombia Categoria Primera A
Independiente Medellín vs Atlético Nacional
Sunday - May 4th, 22:10 PM
1.3
Atlético Nacional
Predictions & Tips
35% Over 2.5 Goals
55% Over 1.5 Goals
33% BTTS
3.34 Goals / Match
6.39 Cards / Match
12.48 Corners / Match
Independiente Medellín Information
Coming into this game, Independiente Medellín has picked up 8 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 1.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Independiente Medellín has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Superb stuff from Independiente Medellín at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 7 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
Independiente Medellín has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
Independiente Medellín has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 10 occasions.
Independiente Medellín will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Atlético Nacional, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 2 and drawn 2
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Independiente Medellín recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Independiente Medellín has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 4/15 games for Independiente Medellín this season.
Atlético Nacional Information
Coming into this game, Atlético Nacional has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That's 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Atlético Nacional has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
Atlético Nacional has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
Atlético Nacional will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Independiente Medellín, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Atlético Nacional recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
Just 1 of the last 5 games for Atlético Nacional has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 6/16 games for Atlético Nacional this season.
Who Will Win
The home team is 10 % worse to the away team in terms of points per game
Head to Head Record
Total Matches: 48
67% Over 1.5 Goals
32/48 Matches
40% Over 2.5 Goals
19/48 Matches
31% Over 3.5 Goals
15/48 Matches
52% BTTS
25/48 Matches
27% Clean Sheets
Independiente Medellín
33% Clean Sheets
Atlético Nacional
Goals Scored Who will score more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 22% worse than away team in terms of goals scored
| Scored Per Game | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Scored in 1H | 67% | 67% |
| Scored in 2H | 33% | 56% |
| Scored in Both Halves | 10% | 30% |
| Scored Average 1H | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Scored Average 2H | 0.30 | 0.50 |
Recent Form
Deportivo Independiente Medellin
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | d w l d l d l w d l | 1 |
| Home | d w d d w l | 1.5 |
| Away | l l l d | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| AVG | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 9.00 | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 9.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| CS | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| FTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| xG | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.48 |
| xGA | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 |
Club Atletico Nacional SA
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
| Form | Results | PPG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | l d w d d l w l d w | 1.3 |
| Home | w d w d | 2 |
| Away | l d d l l w | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| AVG | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 11.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Conceded | 11.00 | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| CS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| FTS | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| xG | 1.63 | 1.73 | 1.56 |
| xGA | 1.45 | 0.80 | 1.89 |
Goals Conceded Who will concede more? (Last 10 matches)
The home team is 22% better than away team in terms of goals conceded
| Scored Per Game | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Cleansheets | 30% | 40% |
| Scored 1st/2nd Half | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 1H Clean Sheet | 40% | 80% |
| 2H Clean Sheet | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded Average 1H | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Conceded Average 2H | 0.30 | 0.80 |
Who will score first? (Based on last 10 matches)
30%
Scored first in 3 / 10
60%
Scored first in 6 / 10
| 10 Minutes | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 17% | 14% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 11% | 9% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 28% | 5% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 17% | 18% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 11% | 18% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 6% | 18% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 0% | 5% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 11% | 14% |
| 15 Minutes | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 6% | 9% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 22% | 14% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 39% | 18% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 17% | 23% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 6% | 23% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 11% | 14% |
| Scored (10 min) | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 11% | 18% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 11% | 9% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 33% | 9% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 11% | 27% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 11% | 9% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 11% | 18% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 0% | 9% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 11% | 0% |
| Scored (15 min) | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 0% | 18% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 22% | 9% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 44% | 27% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 11% | 18% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 11% | 27% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 11% | 0% |
| Conceded (10 min) | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 11 - 20 Mins | 22% | 9% |
| 21 - 30 Mins | 11% | 9% |
| 31 - 40 Mins | 22% | 0% |
| 41 - 50 Mins | 22% | 9% |
| 51 - 60 Mins | 11% | 27% |
| 61 - 70 Mins | 0% | 18% |
| 71 - 80 Mins | 0% | 0% |
| 81 - 90 Mins | 11% | 27% |
| Conceded (15 min) | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 0 - 15 Mins | 11% | 0% |
| 16 - 30 Mins | 22% | 18% |
| 31 - 45 Mins | 33% | 9% |
| 46 - 60 Mins | 22% | 27% |
| 61 - 75 Mins | 0% | 18% |
| 76 - 90 Mins | 11% | 27% |
Number of Cards How many cards will there be?
6.1
Cards / Match
Sum of bookings per match between Independiente Medellín and Atlético Nacional
3 / Match
Booked / Match
3.1 / Match
Booked / Match
| Match Cards | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 5.5 | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Over 6.5 | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Team Cards | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cards For Average | 3 | 3.1 | 3.05 |
| Over 0.5 For | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 For | 80% | 90% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 For | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 For | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Cards Against | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Against | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Against | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 60% | 30% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 30% | 30% | 30% |
First Half / Second Half Cards
| Half Cards | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Cards For Average | 1.56 | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| 2H Cards For Average | 1.78 | 1.67 | 1.725 |
| 1H Total Cards AVG | 3 | 3.22 | 3.11 |
| 2H Total Cards AVG | 3.67 | 3.22 | 3.445 |
| 1H Had More Cards % | 44% | 56% | 50% |
| 2H Had More Cards % | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Over X 1H/2H Cards | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1H Over 0.5 Cards For | 100% | 78% | 89% |
| 2H Over 0.5 Cards For | 78% | 78% | 78% |
| 1H Total Under 2 | 11% | 22% | 16.5% |
| 2H Total Under 2 | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| 1H is 2~3 Total Cards | 56% | 44% | 50% |
| 2H is 2~3 Total Cards | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| 1H Total Over 3 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2H Total Over 3 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Number of Corners How many corner kicks will there be?
9
Corners / Match
Average Corner Kicks per match between Independiente Medellín and Atlético Nacional
4.2 / Match
Corners Earned
4.8 / Match
Corners Earned
| Match Corners | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 | 70% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 7.5 | 50% | 80% | 65% |
| Over 8.5 | 30% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 9.5 | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 10.5 | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 11.5 | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Over 12.5 | 0% | 10% | 5.005% |
| Over 13.5 | 0% | 0% | 0.005% |
| Over 14.5 | 0% | 0% | 0.005% |
| First Half | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| FH Average | 23 | 26 | 24.5 |
| FH Over 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| FH Over 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.505 |
| FH Over 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.005 |
| Second Half | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2H Average | 31 | 39 | 35 |
| 2H Over 4 | 2 | 5 | 3.5 |
| 2H Over 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 2H Over 6 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 |
Team Corners Corners Earned / Against
| Team Corners | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.8 | 4.50 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3 | 4 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 For | 90% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 For | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 For | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Against | 50% | 80% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 Against | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Against | 20% | 30% | 25% |
Shots, Offsides, Fouls & more
| Team Shots | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots / Match | 14.9 | 14.4 | 14.65 |
| Shots Conversion Rate | 6% | 8% | 7.00% |
| Shots On Target / M | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.15 |
| Shots Off Target / M | 9.8 | 9.2 | 9.50 |
| Shots Per Goal Scored | 16.56 | 13.09 | 14.83 |
| Team Shots Over 10.5 | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Team Shots Over 11.5 | 80% | 70% | 75% |
| Team Shots Over 12.5 | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| Team Shots Over 13.5 | 80% | 50% | 65% |
| Team Shots Over 14.5 | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Team Shots Over 15.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Team Shots On Target 3.5+ | 70% | 60% | 65% |
| Team Shots On Target 4.5+ | 70% | 50% | 60% |
| Team Shots On Target 5.5+ | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Team Shots On Target 6.5+ | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Offside Stats | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offsides / Match | 3.11 | 3.8 | 3.46 |
| Over 2.5 Offsides | 6 | 9 | 7.50 |
| Over 3.5 Offsides | 3 | 5 | 4.00 |
| Misc Stats | Independiente Medellín | Atlético Nacional | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls Committed / Match | 11.8 | 11 | 11.40 |
| Fouled Against / Match | 11.4 | 12.2 | 11.80 |
| Average Possession | 56% | 48% | 52% |
Past Matches
23rd March 2025
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 1
18th November 2024
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 0
11th November 2024
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 1
1st November 2024
Atlético Nacional 2Independiente Medellín 0
22nd April 2024
Independiente Medellín 2Atlético Nacional 2
3rd December 2023
Atlético Nacional 0Independiente Medellín 5
19th November 2023
Independiente Medellín 2Atlético Nacional 1
15th October 2023
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 2
10th September 2023
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 0
30th April 2023
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 3
25th March 2023
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 1
7th October 2022
Atlético Nacional 3Independiente Medellín 2
5th September 2022
Independiente Medellín 4Atlético Nacional 3
30th April 2022
Independiente Medellín 0Atlético Nacional 0
7th March 2022
Atlético Nacional 2Independiente Medellín 0
14th November 2021
Independiente Medellín 0Atlético Nacional 0
17th October 2021
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 1
28th March 2021
Independiente Medellín 0Atlético Nacional 0
29th February 2020
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 1
22nd February 2020
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 3
8th September 2019
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 4
25th August 2019
Atlético Nacional 5Independiente Medellín 2
25th April 2019
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 0
16th March 2019
Independiente Medellín 2Atlético Nacional 2
6th October 2018
Independiente Medellín 2Atlético Nacional 1
8th April 2018
Atlético Nacional 2Independiente Medellín 0
18th November 2017
Atlético Nacional 0Independiente Medellín 0
27th August 2017
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 0
29th May 2017
Independiente Medellín 4Atlético Nacional 3
19th March 2017
Atlético Nacional 3Independiente Medellín 1
23rd October 2016
Independiente Medellín 2Atlético Nacional 2
28th August 2016
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 0
7th May 2016
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 2
20th March 2016
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 1
13th December 2015
Atlético Nacional 2Independiente Medellín 0
11th December 2015
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 0
6th September 2015
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 0
19th July 2015
Atlético Nacional 0Independiente Medellín 0
15th March 2015
Atlético Nacional 3Independiente Medellín 1
7th February 2015
Independiente Medellín 0Atlético Nacional 1
14th September 2014
Atlético Nacional 1Independiente Medellín 0
20th July 2014
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 0
1st March 2014
Independiente Medellín 0Atlético Nacional 2
26th January 2014
Atlético Nacional 3Independiente Medellín 1
3rd October 2013
Independiente Medellín 1Atlético Nacional 1
14th September 2013
Atlético Nacional 2Independiente Medellín 0
28th April 2013
Atlético Nacional 2Independiente Medellín 2
7th April 2013
Independiente Medellín 0Atlético Nacional 0
Team Player List
Cards Per 90 Mins
Cards / 90 - Independiente Medellín
Brayan Léon Muñiz
|
0.7 AVG |
Léider Iván Berrío Peña
|
0.54 AVG |
Luis Fernando Sandoval Oyola
|
0.54 AVG |
Homer Enrique Martínez Yepez
|
0.45 AVG |
Francisco Javier Chaverra Angulo
|
0.41 AVG |
Cards / 90 - Atlético Nacional
Kilian David Toscano Bassa
|
0.66 AVG |
Luis Miguel Landázuri
|
0.59 AVG |
Casar Rafael Haydar Villareal
|
0.5 AVG |
Elkin José Rivero Almario
|
0.49 AVG |
Juan José Arias
|
0.46 AVG |
FT Result Odds
| FT Result | 188Bet | 1xbet | Betfair | Betsson | Betway | Cashpoint | CloudBet | Dafabet | Interwetten | Ladbrokes | Pncl | Sbo | Unibet | WilliamHill | bet365 | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellín | 3.30 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 11.78 | 3.40 | 3.35 | 3.25 | 3.64 | 3.06 | 3.45 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Draw | 2.85 | 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.95 | 2.88 | 2.90 | 1.07 | 2.95 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.99 | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.88 | 2.90 |
| Atlético Nacional | 2.36 | 2.35 | 2.38 | 2.32 | 2.30 | 2.24 | 8.68 | 2.30 | 2.35 | 2.20 | 2.32 | 2.17 | 2.25 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 2.25 |
Double Chance Odds
Over/Under Odds
| Over/Under | Betway | Cashpoint | Ladbrokes | Unibet | bet365 | bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Over 1.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Over 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.29 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.30 | 2.2 |
| Over 3.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Over 4.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Under 0.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.60 | 1.58 |
| Under 3.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Under 4.5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Both Teams To Score Odds
| Both Teams To Score | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.91 |
| No | 1.80 |
BTTS 1st Half Odds
| BTTS 1st Half | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 5.50 |
| No | 1.14 |
BTTS 2nd Half Odds
| BTTS 2nd Half | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Yes | 3.75 |
| No | 1.25 |
Over/Under 1st Half Odds
Over/Under 2nd Half Odds
Result 1st Half Odds
| Result 1st Half | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Independiente Medellín | 4.00 |
| Draw | 2.05 |
| Atlético Nacional | 3.00 |
Result 2nd Half Odds
| Result 2nd Half | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Independiente Medellín | 3.50 |
| Draw | N/A | >
| Atlético Nacional | 2.60 |
Team To Score First Odds
| Team To Score First | bet365 |
|---|---|
| Independiente Medellín | 2.40 |
| Draw | N/A |
| Atlético Nacional | 1.80 |
Clean Sheet Home Odds
Clean Sheet Away Odds
Win To Nil Odds
Corners 1x2 Odds
Corners Over Under Odds
Colombia Categoria Primera A 2025 Table
| Pos | Team | GF | GA | GD | Pts | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Deportes Tolima SA | 73 | 49 | 24 | 96 | 2.26 |
| 2 | Deportivo Independiente Medellín | 80 | 52 | 28 | 92 | 2.44 |
| 3 | CD Popular Junior FC SA | 75 | 55 | 20 | 90 | 2.41 |
| 4 | Club Atlético Nacional SA | 87 | 55 | 32 | 88 | 2.73 |
| 5 | Independiente Santa Fe SA | 65 | 52 | 13 | 87 | 2.17 |
| 6 | Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA | 67 | 46 | 21 | 85 | 2.17 |
| 7 | CA Bucaramanga | 57 | 42 | 15 | 75 | 2.15 |
| 8 | Millonarios FC SA | 58 | 47 | 11 | 73 | 2.28 |
| 9 | Once Caldas SA | 51 | 53 | -2 | 63 | 2.26 |
| 10 | Alianza Petrolera FC | 47 | 43 | 4 | 58 | 2.25 |
| 11 | Fortaleza CEIF FC | 43 | 54 | -11 | 58 | 2.11 |
| 12 | Rionegro Águilas SA | 46 | 46 | 0 | 48 | 2.3 |
| 13 | AD Pasto | 46 | 48 | -2 | 48 | 2.35 |
| 14 | CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira | 41 | 57 | -16 | 46 | 2.45 |
| 15 | Asociación Deportivo Cali | 36 | 45 | -9 | 45 | 2.03 |
| 16 | Club Llaneros SA | 37 | 53 | -16 | 45 | 2.25 |
| 17 | Envigado FC | 34 | 51 | -17 | 38 | 2.13 |
| 18 | Deportivo Boyacá Chicó FC SA | 28 | 60 | -32 | 35 | 2.26 |
| 19 | AD Unión Magdalena | 36 | 62 | -26 | 32 | 2.45 |
| 20 | CD La Equidad Seguros SA | 27 | 64 | -37 | 23 | 2.33 |
Eder Aleixo Chaux Ospina
Francisco Fydriszewski
Marcus Vinicius Felicio
Washington Omar Aguerre Lima
Joaquín Mancilla
Billy Vladimir Arce Mina
