Reason for Tip

Taking a slight risk on this one, however the hosts Leicester may have finally found their winning form after three points against Norwich last time out. Expecting a close game as Stoke come in-to the match in decent form, however we fancy the hosts Leicester to make it back to back three points.

Reason for Tip

The hosts Oxford United come in-to the match in bad form, only managing to win once within their previous matches. Within the previous two head-to-head matches the visitors Middlesbrough have a perfect record, winning both matches.

Reason for Tip

The hosts Portsmouth come in-to the match in bad form, losing four of their previous five matches and have only managed to pick up one point within that five match run. Within the previous five head-to-head matches the visitors Millwall have a perfect record, winning all five games.

Reason for Tip

The hosts QPR come in-to the match in bad form, only managing to win once within their previous six attempts. The visitors Hull come in-to the match in much better form, only losing once within their previous seven matches and have won five times within that run.

Reason for Tip

Burnley vs Chelsea — Match Result: Chelsea

Chelsea come into the weekend sitting 3rd in the Premier League and have tightened right up defensively with back-to-back league wins to nil over Spurs (0–1 away) and Wolves (3–0 at home). Burnley, by contrast, are stuck in the lower half and come into this on the back of a 2–0 home defeat to Arsenal and a 3–2 collapse at West Ham where they let a 2–0 lead slip, highlighting persistent defensive issues. Chelsea’s control, superior depth and set-piece threat make them far more reliable over 90 minutes, and if they strike first their game management usually sees the job done.

Reason for Tip

Brighton vs Brentford — Match Result: Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton’s home numbers this season are exactly what you want onside: they’re unbeaten at the Amex in the league (3 wins, 2 draws) and have controlled most of those fixtures through possession and territory. Brentford, despite sitting mid-table, have a stark home/away split — they’ve taken 13 points from six home games, but away from home they are just 1-0-4, with their only road win coming against West Ham during a poor spell. Brighton’s structure at home consistently forces teams back, and Brentford’s record of conceding around 1.5 goals per away match tilts this firmly towards the Seagulls.

Reason for Tip

Newcastle vs Manchester City — Match Result: Manchester City

Manchester City sit 2nd in the Premier League with one of the strongest xG profiles in the division and a 7-1-3 record. Newcastle, meanwhile, are in the lower mid-table with only three wins from their opening eleven games and were recently beaten 3–1 by Brentford, underlining issues against high-pressure, attack-minded sides. City’s attack still looks elite, generating high shot volume and high-quality chances every week, and the long-term head-to-head is heavily City-leaning. With Newcastle juggling Europe and struggling for balance, the away side’s depth and consistency point towards a City win.

Reason for Tip

Birmingham vs Norwich — Match Result: Birmingham City

Birmingham have settled well after promotion and sit around mid-table, with home performances particularly strong — big wins over Millwall and Portsmouth (both 4–0) showing their attacking potential at St Andrew’s. Norwich, on the other hand, are in a dreadful run: they sit 23rd, are winless in 11 league matches and have managed only two victories all season. Their recent 2–1 defeat to Leicester was another example of late collapses and poor defensive shape. Birmingham look the more confident and cohesive side, especially at home, and Norwich’s structural issues make the hosts the logical pick.

Reason for Tip

Bolton vs Bradford — Match Result: Bolton Wanderers

This is a key League One clash with both sides chasing the automatic spots. Bradford are 3rd on 27 points and Bolton are just a point behind, but recent trends favour the hosts: Bolton have put together strong home wins built on high pressing and consistent chance creation, while Bradford have dropped points recently and haven’t looked quite as sharp on the road. Although the quality gap is small, Bolton’s home advantage and tactical tempo make them the more likely winners in what should be a competitive promotion battle.

Reason for Tip

Crawley vs Accrington — Match Result: Crawley Town

The overall table has these two close together, but the home/away splits separate them. Crawley’s 4-4-8 record includes a much better home return of 3-2-3 with more reliable goal output. Accrington sit 18th with a 4-5-7 record but are poor travellers — just 1 win in 8 away games and conceding around 1.63 goals per away match. Crawley still have defensive flaws, but when comparing home stability to Accrington’s travel issues, the hosts have the stronger statistical edge and are well-placed to take three points if they start fast.

Reason for Tip

Barcelona vs Athletic Club — Match Result: FC Barcelona

Barcelona sit 2nd in La Liga with a 9-1-2 record, 32 goals scored and only 15 conceded, giving them the best goal difference in the league (+17). They’ve been perfect at home in the league (5 wins from 5) and now gain an extra lift from returning to the partially-reopened Spotify Camp Nou after the £900m redevelopment. Athletic are having a respectable season (7th, 5-2-5) but generally fall short against top-tier opposition, and recent meetings have strongly favoured Barcelona, including a 3–0 win away in May 2025 and 2–1 at home in August 2024. With multiple attacking threats in form, Barcelona are strongly favoured.

Reason for Tip

Rangers vs Livingston — Match Result: Rangers

Rangers sit 4th in the Scottish Premiership with a +5 goal difference and come in as one of the league’s form sides, going 4-2-0 over their last six and scoring 12 while conceding just 5. Livingston are bottom with only one win from twelve, a –9 goal difference, and the longest winless run in the division (10 matches). The head-to-head is completely one-sided — Rangers have won the last four meetings by an aggregate 12–1, including a 3–0 away victory earlier this month. With Rangers improving under Danny Röhl and Livingston struggling badly at both ends, a home win is the clearest outcome on the card.

Reason for Tip

The hosts Fulham have managed to score in three of their previous four matches, meanwhile the visitors Sunderland have been involved in three matches resulting in both teams scoring within their previous four matches, managing to score in all four games.

Reason for Tip

The visitors Crystal Palace have managed to score in three of their previous four matches. Within the previous five head-to-head matches, all five games have resulted in both teams scoring.

Reason for Tip

The hosts Newcastle United have managed to score in all five of their previous five matches, with three games resulting in both teams scoring.

Reason for Tip

The hosts Ipswich have been involved in three matches resulting in both teams scoring within their previous four matches, managing to score in all four games. Meanwhile the visitors Wrexham have managed to score in four of their previous five attempts.

Reason for Tip

The hosts Derby come in-to the match in excellent form, managing to win all five of their previous five matches. The hosts Watford come in-to the match in below-average form, only managing to win once within their previous four matches.

Reason for Tip

The hosts Derby come in-to the match in excellent form, managing to win all five of their previous five matches. The hosts Watford come in-to the match in below-average form, only managing to win once within their previous four matches.

Reason for Tip

Reasonable form when with Fergal O’Brien last season and moved to the Nicholls yard in the offseason and now resides there. Looked a much improved horse on seasonal debut at Stratford when winning handily and then backed that up earlier this month completing a double at Sedgefield by 6 lengths. Handicap debut today in a slightly warmer race but this five year old has looked better and better every race this year and this isn’t an overly high entry point for handicap debut. Represents a top yard with a great record here and has stable jockey Harry Cobden aboard. Ceiling of Absolutely Doyen has not been reached yet and the hattrick looks likely. Should win this.